Razzball Hittertron – Next 7 Days Hitter Projections



Hittertronpreview
 

Hittertron Info

FAQ: Click here.

Razzball Hittertron (aka Hitter-Tron):  This tool is designed to identify attractive short-term hitter pickups and to determine when to start/sit hitters on your roster.  (For Daily Fantasy Baseball games, check out DFSBot)  The higher the $ value, the more attractive the start.  Hittertron projections rely on Steamer Rest of Season projections as a foundation and then adjust based on several game-specific factors that include quality of opposing starting pitcher, hitter’s performance vs. the handedness of opposing starting pitcher, park factors, whether the game is home or away, and predicted batting order spot (for Runs, RBIs, and Plate Appearances).

What Is The Expected Accuracy Of Hittertron Projections?:  Please see the Razzball Ombotsman for correlations between the Hittertron projections and actual stats.

Filtering Results:  You can filter multiple fields at the same time.  The text fields below the column headers enable several methods for filtering the data.  Here are some examples:

Function Symbol Example Explanation
ANY MATCH ‘B’ in Pos Typing B in Pos will filter to any player with 1B, 2B, or 3B eligibility.  Type in more details to filter further – e.g., “1B’, “1B, 3B”, etc.
OR | 2B|SS Requires exact match on both sides – so 2B|SS returns anyone who has 2B or SS eligibility but not anyone with 2B/SS, 2B/3B, etc.
NOT ! !OF All players who do not have OF eligibility.
NOR ! | !1B|OF All players who do not have 1B eligibility NOR OF eligibility.  Just use the ! once.
GREATER THAN > >30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than 30.  Does not work for Date.
LESS THAN < <30 in $ All players whose $ is less than 30.  Does not work for Date.
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO >= >=30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than or equal to 30.  Does not work for date.
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO <= <=30 in $ All players whose $ is less than or equal to 30.  Does not work for Date.

Position Eligibility – 20 Games in last season for ESPN and ’2 Catcher’ formats.   5 Games for Yahoo.

$ Values – A hitter’s projected stats for the game are multiplied by 150 and then valued for a 12-team MLB league using the ESPN/CBSSports roster format (13 hitters, 9 pitchers) and a $260 team budget.  While the $ values would vary for any other league format, we would expect the rankings to remain relatively the same.   For 12-team leagues, $8 is about the ‘average’ hitter start. The ‘$’ estimate takes position value into account.  The ‘$U’ estimate is position-neutral and is the value to use when looking at players for Utility slots.

Own% –  Based on ownership within the Razzball Commenter Leagues which consists of 84 12-team MLB leagues using the standard ESPN roster format.

Updated: | Maintained by

  1. Joel Rollins says:
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    I left a message here before. This has been going on since I paid for your product. It says that I am logged in. It will not allow me to access any of the roto data. Please advise.

  2. Jesse says:
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    I have a question about how the Next 7 days value is calculated. Check Melky for instance. If you look game by game, his average projections are well below his ~$20 next 7 days value, more like $10. On the other hand look at Stanton, who is worth around $25 average game by game and has a next 7 days value slightly lower than Melky. I see Melky plays 2 more games (8 vs 6) but it seems like it shouldn’t be enough to make up the difference. Also Khris Davis, who has several negative values game by game yet is worth around $11 next 7 days, more than Belt who has better game by game projections.

    How are number of games played differences factored in? What I’m using this for is to look for good free agents to hold onto for the next week or so in a daily league. So only playing 6 vs 8 games is no problem because those 2 games would have a replacement level player anyway. Are fewer games factored in at a negative value? If so that’s not really accurately describing the value of players over next 7 days because I can sub them in and out.

    Given their game to game projections, I just don’t see any way that Melky should be projected to be more valuable than Stanton. I’d rather play Stanton in those 6 games and have the roster spot sit empty for the other day than play Melky with his 8 projected mediocre games. Can you explain how Melky ends up higher than Stanton? Or how Khris ends up higher than Belt, despite the same number of games and lower projections game by game?

    • @Jesse: I run the same $ method per day, 7 day, next week, and ROS. The key difference is that, when looking at single day $, everyone is equal in that they are all projected to play that game. For 7 day and next week, the daily projections are weighted based on projected likelihood to start each game. So a platoon player like Lind’s projected Games played will vary based on RHP/LHP mix.

      Melky’s team playing 2 extra games matters in the sense that, as an everyday player, he gets more PAs and that helps his counting stats for the week. Those counting stats – which are used to derive $ – are projected on this page. So while Melky is a mediocre daily play, the volume increases his 7-day value.

      If you are playing in a league where you can make daily roster moves, this point is null. I’d use this page, next calendar week, and the Weekly Hitter Planner to get a read for which players might be set up for advantageous weeks (# of games, quality of SP, handedness of SP, quality of park).

      And, final point on Melky being worth slightly more than Giancarlo, the 2 extra games puts him ahead for projected R/RBI. SB is a non-factor for both. Melky has advantage on AVG. Giancarlo still ahead on HR but that’s still a 3-to-1 category deficit. I think it’s fair to question whether Melky is more likely to get off days given they’ll be a doubleheader so my projected games estimate may be bullish. I wouldn’t sit Stanton for Melky either but I can’t imagine a team where that would even make sense (i.e., there would be lesser OF to consider sitting first).

    • Related to a position change i made yesterday. Should be fixed in a minute or so.

  3. Scott says:
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    You know what would be cool? Have a Next 2 Days choice. It would be cool because there’s 2 days between the short schedule days, Tuesday and Wednesday.

    • @Scott: thx for feedback but i think there’s a danger in cutting it too fine b/c of projecting starting time %. In those rare cases where you need 2 days, I’d just grab the Hitterton Today/Tomorrow (or Tomorrow/Day 3) projections and add up the $ in Excel.

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