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Well, I’d like to start off this post by saying I’m sorry to the folks in Razzball nation who picked up Cameron Maybin last week in their weekly leagues. He’ll be out for quite a while with a PCL tear to his knee. In the words of the Guru on Twitter, “This time wasn’t different, Mike…oops”. Maybin promised me the 8 o’clock rez at Dorsia, but then he slipped me an extra lithium and I ended up at Barcadia. Worst of all, in my weekly league, it was too late to swap him when the injury news came out. Next thing I knew it was lunch at Texarkana. Sheesh. Onward and upward, they say, and this week we have some new faces in the mix, including Gregor Blanco, who seems to have found a hot bat since stepping in for the injured Angel Pagan. Check him out and some of the other base stealing threats this week, but you’ll have to excuse me, I have a lunch meeting in 20 minutes with Cliff Huxtable at the Four Seasons.

Gregor Blanco – (2013: 7 SB, Last 7: 1 SB, This Week: Padres, Marlins)

While Pagan nurses a bad hammy on the disabled list, Blanco is a safe bet to patrol the outfield most nights as well as lead off for the Giants. He’s got a decent average (.280) and a solid OBP (.341), which will give him some opportunities for both steals and runs scored. In 2012, Blanco stole 26 bases in 141 games.

Juan Pierre – (2013: 18 SB, Last 7: 2 SB, This Week: @D’Backs, @Giants)

Pierre’s hitting .353 in his last 15 games and it is showing in his stolen base numbers, with 5 swipes in that span. I mention him every week, I know, but he’s only owned in 25% of ESPN leagues. Here’s a legitimate concern, however: if the Marlins’ young and talented outfield suddenly gets crowded, Pierre could be shipped off to a team that only uses him as a fourth outfielder/pinch runner. Basically, don’t hitch your star to his wagon permanently, but certainly pick him up now while he’s hitting everything.

Ben Revere (2013: 16 SB, Last 7: 2 SB, This Week: Nationals, Mets)

Not to be outdone by his NL East mate Pierre, Revere has 6 SB in his last 15 games, hitting .340. He’s had 3 multi-hit games in his last five, and he’s got more youth and upside than Pierre and is in a better lineup. He’s also owned in twice as many leagues as Pierre, however, and in RCL leagues he’s almost unavailable now with 91% ownership.

DJ LeMahieu – (2013: 8 SB, Last 7: 3 SB, This Week: @Blue Jays, @Nationals)

Well, for as bad as the Maybin recommendation turned out, my post two weeks ago on LeMahieu seems to be panning out. Despite being kind of a light-hitting middle infielder, he’s steadily racking up steals. His playing time isn’t in jeopardy even if he yields a start or two to Jonathan Herrera, and he should continue to provide some steals. I really like the goose egg in the CS column. He’s 8-0 in SB attempts in just 28 games.

Jarrod Dyson - DL (2013: 6 SB, Last 7: 0 SB, This Week: @Indians, White Sox)

Dyson is looking like he’s close to returning to action after an injury to his ankle landed him on the disabled list. While David Lough has filled in nicely, it shouldn’t take long to see Dyson back in the outfield most nights and batting leadoff for the Royals. Dyson was successfully stealing bags in the little bit of playing time he had before his injury, and the Royals seem to be clicking offensively at the moment. I’m not going gaga, but he’s on the radar for sure.

Peter Bourjos (2013: 2 SB, Last 7: 1 SB, This Week: Mariners, Pirates)

I’m a little concerned that Bourjos was only able to steal 3 bags last year in 100 games, and that’s what I’ll tell folks who ask me if he’s a good option to pick up for steals. I’m also not a big fan of him hitting at the bottom of the lineup. All that being said, he does have good speed and should play everyday given his above average defensive abilities in centerfield. I just don’t trust him as a great option when there are other guys available who are hitting leadoff for their respective teams.

Notes: Speaking of the Angels, they are still allowing the most steals in all of baseball with 58 through Sunday. An example of this problem was Saturday night, when Ichiro Suzuki  stole a pair and should actually have had 3 SBs for the evening had it not been for a bad call. Expect good SB numbers from your Mariners and Pirates players.

Teams highlighted in red are in the top ten in least stolen bases allowed.

Teams highlighted in green are in the top ten in most stolen bases allowed.

If you’re a tweeter on Twitter, you can find me @MButtil643

 

From Around The Web

  1. otis says:
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    I’m in a deep AL only keeper league and did not think I would be searching for steals. The only option on the waiver wire for steals is Munenori Kawasaki. Is he even “SAGNOF” material?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @otis: thanks, otis…Kawasaki has appeared in this article a couple times, but even in that format I wouldn’t trust him….only 2 steals and hitting barely above 200 in the last month, plus i think reyes is getting closer…

  2. David says:
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    Bruce or Cespedes now and 2-3 years from now? Thanks.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @David: Thanks David…Cespedes for both

  3. BucLover says:
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    Hey Mike,
    I hope you have a minute or two to give me some advice on my team.
    I’m in 4th place in my 7X6 (H,OPS,QS) 12 team Roto in Yahoo. 2 of the 3 guys ahead of me will lose ground because they are way ahead of pace on their allotment of IP, and there is a threat from one or two below me that are pacing their pitching. I’ve only got 3 points in the SB category and I think it’s time to make a move. I’m really not worried about any other category. Here’s my team:
    C Posey
    1B E5
    2B Brandon Phillips
    3B Machado
    SS Hardy / Josh Rutledge
    OF McCutchen
    OF Bruce
    OF Aoki
    Util Carpenter
    Util Aaramis Ramirez/ Mike Carp
    P- Gallardo
    Kluber
    Cole
    Minor
    Milone
    Latos
    Matt Moore
    Zach Wheeler
    Gregg
    Andrew Bailey
    K-Rod
    DL-Jeter, Rafael Betancourt

    I could trade someone. That would probably be Machado since Carpenter could fill in when Ramirez is injured, cause we know he will be, again. Or, I could drop someone and pick up a guy off your list. Who could you see dropping (pitcher or hitter)? I appreciate the help and the article!

  4. BucLover says:
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    followup-actually, trading the guy that is 3rd on my team in SB’s wouldn’t be such a good idea…I probably need to drop a pitcher, but which one ? what would you do?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @BucLover: thanks buclover..sorry I couldn’t get back to you sooner…I agree dropping an arm is better move and cole and wheeler come to mind at first glance, i’d give the slight edge to wheeler rest of season, so IMO the odd man out would be Cole

  5. chrisjen17 says:
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    Mike, in a dynasty league… do you still like Revere over Bourjos? Its hard for me to trust Manuel to have good judgment and keep Revere at leadoff.
    Bourjos at #9 isnt too bad, he still gets to hit in front of Trout/Hamilton/Pujols… but the lack of steals last year is alarming.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @chrisjen17: thanks chris…I do like Revere better in all formats, although Bourjos might give you some pop while Revere will give you nothing in the power/RBI dept. I just think Revere is looking like a legit 30-40 SB guy and is still young enough to keep that going for a couple more years. And in a dynasty, I wouldn’t worry about Manuel…I’d put my money on Sandberg at the helm in the near future.

  6. JTR says:
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    Rajai, De Aza or Revere for steals? Leaning De Aza since he can do more than just one category. Although Revere has looked great recently

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @JTR: Thanks JTR…I agree De Aza is the better all around player…off the top of my head I think he ended up with close to 25 SB last year, too. Revere will net you more steals, but will likely fall short of De Aza in everything else ROS

  7. YouKnowMeAldo says:
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    Just wanted to say thanks for this regular column. In a H2H cats daily changes league, I try not to carry bench hitters. A few weeks back I streamed R. Davis on a Thursday and got 2 steals and won the category because of it. Once again I have a free roster spot and I’m looking at D.J. LeMa for this Thursday… Anyhow, thanks–your method has the potential to swing matchups every week.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @YouKnowMeAldo: I appreciate that man, and I’m really glad it’s working for you. It can be frustrating when chasing a category, especially one like steals, so every little bit helps! Thanks for reading!

  8. nathan says:
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    Love the American Psycho reference in the first paragraph, more people need to see that movie

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @nathan: haha, thanks nathan….I had the HBO free preview this past weekend and got to catch it for like the 20th time. One of my faves. Thanks for reading!

  9. stinky_llama says:
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    heres a brain tickler….what the hell do you do with howie kendrick when you have aaron hill ‘stached and returning shortly to rake in front of au shizz? howwwwww-ie is in the midst of a career year, and im not sure if im just too nice a guy to chop a guy whos been nothing but faithful to me through hill’s 6 week vaginal reconstruction layoff or what…10 TM H2H….with kendrick hitting .330+ and batting 5th behind trout/pujols/hamilton/trumbo looks fairly juicy. i see them having fairly even second halfs… could use some speed. of course logical answer is trade one but not sure anyone is going to bite on a decent SP for either and im pretty deep in OF with cespedes, rios, heyward, and dom brown platooning 3 spots with chris davis mashin in my UTIL, and even have braun on the DL…whatchagondo???? what kind of SP should i be able to target for a package of hill/kendrick + heyward/brown?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @stinky_llama: Thanks Llama, It’s great problem to have for sure…I am not sure what the other owenrs are like are like in you’re league, but I would think you’d be able to shoot for arms like Latos, Mike Minor, James Shields types…don’t settle for anything outside of a top 30 arm with that package. just my two cents, I agree that Hill and Kendrick could end up looking pretty similar ROS

      • stinky_llama says:
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        @Mike: right arm, cheers sexy

  10. harkrider says:
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    Is there any chance Billy Hamilton comes up soon? He has 20SB’s more than the next guy in the minors and would look great on my fantasy team. Revere is helping my SB’s and now Starlin is finally running some, but I need more help

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @harkrider: Thanks, harkrider…as much as I’d love to see Billy come up and play, and you’re talking to a guy who listened to all his minor league games on the radio last year as he chased the record… I think a September call-up this year while breaking camp in 2014 is a more realistic expectation. The Reds don’t seem to be in any hurry, and they might believe he could benefit from some more cooking at AAA despite the gaudy steals numbers. keep an eye on him for sure, but he might be a guy that we’re adding as September approaches instead of in the next week or two.

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