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Yesterday, Rafael Furcal went 2-for-4 with a steal.  I thought Furcal was overvalued in the preseason because I thought he was more fragile than Alanis after a breakup.  Well, he’s actually played the whole season, albeit terribly.  He’s been on base over 200 times.  He has 10 steals with 6 times caught.  Who gave him Kirk Gibson’s fist-pumping legs for five months?  But, and here’s the head turner, he has 4 steals in the last seven games.  Not sure what happened to Furcal the first 95% of the season, 10 steals used to be a good month for him.  Maybe he’s a Latin 31.  But never us mind, he’s hot right now.  If he was dropped anywhere, he’s currently hitting over .500 in the last week with 4 steals.  Go fur it!  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Bobby Jenks – I might’ve misspoke when I said Linebrink would be the closer.  Grey wrong?  Get outta here this instant! Yeah, I know, random italicized voice, the guy who traded for Jose Reyes in one league in May being wrong is crazy.  I originally said Linebrink because of how Ozzie had used him recently.  But Linebrink has been awful.  No disputing that.  Then again, I don’t think Matt Thornton’s going to suddenly become Franklin Morales of last week.  Either way, I don’t think this is a great situation for saves.  Okay, correction done.

Jermaine Dye – 2 HRs yesterday as he came down with a case of Furcalitis, a disease that boosts one’s stats when games no longer matter.

Michael Aubrey – HR yesterday.  I also really love him on Real Estate Intervention.

Matt Wieters – Hit another homer yesterday.  Member all that (lack of) work he did over the summer to make him underrated next year?  Yeah, he’s been outta his mind recently.  I knew it would happen eventually, I was kinda hoping eventually was next April.

Travis Snider – HR yesterday.  4 for his last 7, but it was against Orioles pitching and, as I tell my girlfriend, beware the small sample size.

Francisco Liriano – Should start against the Royals on Sunday.  He’ll get to face Greinke.  Sometimes it just ain’t your year.

Carlos Guillen – 3-for-4, 4 RBIs with 2 HRs yesterday.  With the way he’s played since returning from injury, he should sit out two months every year.  Oh, wait, he does.

Chad Billingsley – 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 Ks vs. the Nats.  I think they call this a tune-up for the playoffs.  Considering how broken down he’s been lately, they would be right.

Ryan Zimmerman – Hit his 31st homer yesterday and so did Miguel Cabrera.  I mention that for symmetry and because, other than the average, Zimmerman’s been just as valuable.

Drew Stubbs – 2-for-6, 2 steals.  What, no homers?

Homer Bailey – 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 baserunners, 0 Ks.  Blech, but he got the win.  I’m gonna have to get over not liking him because I think I’ll probably own him in some leagues next year.

Jonathan Sanchez – 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 9 Ks.  I pegged him as a borderline starter to take a gamble on for yesterday, along with Homer Bailey.

Randy Choate – Got the save yesterday.  So that’s who the closer is!  Choate came in to get two lefties and a righty (which turned into two righties and a lefty – Wakamatsu is a magician!)

Wade Davis – 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 Ks.  He gets Baltimore and supposedly the last start of the year vs. the Yankees, which will be the B lineup.  And there is no A lineup on the Orioles.

Gaby Sanchez – HR yesterday.  (S)He’s a decent name to look at in deep NL-Only keepers.  Keepers only though, (s)he’s not playing much at all right now.

Tim Hudson – 6 IP, 2 ER, 11 baserunners as he tied his owners to the WHIPping post.  As someone who watched 75% of this game, Hudson looked terrible.  Got very lucky, even with Kelly Johnson mucking up a double play ball.

Chris Narveson – 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 10 Ks.  Anyone who’s read this blog for even a short period of time knows I got excited when I saw 10 Ks in under 6 innings.  Unfortunately, he gets the Rockies in Coors next time out so there’s nothing to see here.

Bud Norris – 6 IP, 0 ER.  Nice, but in the same boat as Narveson with a tough next matchup (@Philly).

Julio Borbon – Stole his 17th base yesterday in only 119 ABs.  I have a feeling someone’s value is going to be inflated next year.

Brad Lidge – 2/3 IP, 2 ER and his 11th blown save.  Imagine if Scioscia managed the Phillies.  Lidge would be in the Phanatic costume doing belly flops during rain delays.

Rich Harden – Now the Cubs are saying he may get shut down.  Yeah, I said that last week.  Read the blog, doode!

Milton Bradley – Has a new game, Pin The Blame On The Cubbies.

26 Responses

  1. Tony says:
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    Michael Aubrey – HR yesterday. I also really love him on Real Estate Intervention.

    HAHAHA you’ve got to get ahead of the market, OR you’re chasing it!

    Is choate a better option/chance at saves than LineStink?

    And how does my H2H opp get two wins and a NO Decsion out of tommy hunter, duensing, and hamels…. 15 runs in 18 innings! He got a 7 runs WIN!!!!!

  2. Sho says:
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    Think you’re wrong again on the ChiWsx closer situation. OK, you finally identified the new closer in Thornton, but not only is he better than Morales, but he’s better than Jenks. Just check out his numbers. This year. Last year. The year before. He has potential to be a top 5-10 closer.

  3. Rob says:
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    Grey,

    daily reader and comment once in awhile. Great job this season. Your advice has helped me run away from my 14 team roto league. Enjoy your sense of humor and keep up the great work.

    Rob

  4. papasmurf says:
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    Woulda been nice if he had a few Ks (My team is pretty safe in W, ERA, and WHIP, and need K’s), but I am liking the improvement that Bailey has made. I’ll definitely target him at the end of my draft next year.

  5. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Tony: Choate’s a better value add. Yeah, that Tommy Hunter win was ridiculous.

    @Sho: Okay, but the closer on a team isn’t always the best guy for the job.

    @Rob: Thanks!

    @papasmurf: Yeah, agreed.

  6. peter says:
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    Watching the LAD game yesterday, I was shaking my head and mumbling sonovabench at the end of each of the first 5 innings; Billingsley looked very good. Naturally, he’s lulled me into starting him next week against the Pirates where he’s certain to implode.

    Next week’s inevitable implosion aside, what to make of Billingsley for next year? I’ve kept him for 2 years, now, and am worried that I’ve developed an irrational attachment. Like I’m a scout that discovered a young talent and is willing to stake his career on him or something.

  7. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @peter: Billingsley had a unhealthy jump in innings from 08 to 09 that I (and others) were willing to overlook because it seemed like his body could handle it. It didn’t. Next year though, he should be back to his dominating self as long as A) the Dodgers don’t go too far in the playoffs B) he doesn’t pitch too many innings in the playoffs.

  8. brad says:
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    I have Wieters in a 14 team keeper league where he’ll cost me an 11th round pick. There are limited keepers, but he’s starting to look like a no-brainer, right?

  9. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @brad: That’s great value for him, but I have no idea who your other keepers are.

  10. peter says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, looking back at it now, it was a 60+ IP difference between those years.

    I’m going to have a lot of hand-wringing this winter regarding innings increases. See: Wainwright, Adam and Carpenter, Chris. W/r/t Wainwright, I’m looking at his career numbers and see that he’s done 200+ IP a few times. So that’s reassuring. What’s not so reassuring is that he’s only done it every other year.

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @peter: Yup, great point on Wainwright. He is over the age that Verducci earmarks though.

  12. peter says:
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    @Grey: Well, if Verducci’s ok with it… granted, I’d consider muling for the Colombians if Verducci said it was fine.

    Also, Wainwright, he could quite likely win a Cy Young – and you can’t NOT keep a Cy Young winner when there are not cost/pick concerns. Annoying!

  13. TheGreatVeto says:
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    Hey Grey,
    Pavano @ KC tomorrow. Yay or nay?

  14. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @peter: Hehe

    @TheGreatVeto: He’s been hit pretty badly by the Royals this year.

  15. TheGreatVeto says:
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    @Grey: oh, and Garland @ PIT? He has been decent recently, but it seems like one of those “too obvious of a pickup” that it could be a 3 ip, 8 er day, plus he is due for a bad outing… I am officially skeptical, and need the wisdom of your Greyness

  16. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TheGreatVeto: Garland should be fine, and I’d take a flier in most situations. But Arroyo and Correia are the only borderline pitchers tomorrow I fully endorse.

  17. TheGreatVeto says:
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    @Grey: Arroyo and Correia aren’t available, so I’m gonna roll with Garland and dump Pavano.

    Thanks for the help all season Grey. You are right many more times than not. I have confidence in my fantasy GM skills, but I consider you a fantasy God who I turn to when I don’t know where to go. If I wasn’t an unemployed 19 year old, I would have bought you 1,000 daiquiris by now. Instead, I can only offer you the free gift of a child’s laughter haha, thanks again man.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5P6UU6m3cqk

  18. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TheGreatVeto: Ha, nice video. Funny and creepy, not an easy combo to pull off.

  19. DrEasy says:
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    Taveras is back, so Stubbs sits? Ugh.

  20. brad says:
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    @Grey: Re: Wieters in the eleventh round and my other keepers. I’m planning on J. Up in the 9th and Reynolds in the 17th for sure.

    I get 2 others and besides Wieters I’m deciding between Javy Vazquez in the 10th, Wandy in the 20th, and Bourn, Carlos Gonzalez, and Rajai Davis who would cost me 23rd round picks (or 23rd and 22nd if I kept two.)

    I have a lot of valuable options, but I guess that’s a good problem to have.

  21. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @DrEasy: Not necessarily.

    @brad: Wow, there’s a lot of great options there. Definitely lean on the hitters over the pitchers. I’d go with Wieters, Up and Reynolds.

  22. Lava says:
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    I wanted to thank you for all the help this season, too. I’m in the finals in all three leagues I’m in, winning one and playing for the championship in the other.

    I hope my starting DLR over Billingsley or Sanchez this week didn’t ruin my chances, but I’m thankful to be where I’m at thanks to all of your advice!

    Cheers!

  23. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Lava: Cool, no problem.

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  24. brad says:
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    @Grey: sorry my comment could have been worded better.

    I get 2 keepers besides J. Up and Reynolds. So you would go with those two plus Wieters plus which other?

  25. Shmorgie S. Board says:
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    Anybody hear anything about Brett Anderson getting shut down after this start today? I need to stream SPs to keep ahead in Ks…

  26. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @brad: Ah… Wieters and Wandy. Though CarGo is tempting.

    @Shmorgie S. Board: Haven’t heard anything, but they should shut him down.

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