OK, Admiral, I won't spend much time trying to convince you since you are so locked in.
Closers that were drafted earlier tended to be much safer with a much lower failure rate. Rather than throw all closers in a big bin and think they all have the same risk, consider that. And factoring Mo's freak injury into your thinking is just ridiculous. Factoring the tendency to have pitching-related injuries, fine, but his crazy injury?
Finally, I upped my offer to Daniel Hudson for Axford. Both were shot down, of course. Smart managers are holding the saves they drafted. Even Heath frigging Bell, though I am at a loss to explain that one. Anyone have any suggestions for prying Axford or even Putz away?
I'm not locked in considering that I even tried buying saves this year in two of my most competitive leagues to avoid having to rely on vulturing and it got me nowhere. In one league I drafted Rivera and Valverde as my top two closers and in my other I drafted Farnsworth and Bailey as my top two closers. I even tried to handcuff Farnsworth with Peralta to be safe and then he lost his job the first week, too.
Rivera was just one example... Why do you keep referring back to him? He's just one guy, sure, but what about Joakim Soria? Ryan Madson? Brian Wilson? Kyle Farnsworth? Andrew Bailey? Sergio Santos? Drew Storen? It's not just one freak injury like you're trying to paint it... It's eight major injuries in six weeks. That's a big deal.
What about last year? Off the top of my head I can think of Jonathan Broxton, Andrew Bailey, David Aardsma, Brad Lidge, Jose Contreras, Neftali Feliz, etc. It's a constant issue where closers get injured.
And why are you surprised that a trade offering a currently injured decent SP for one of the most consistently good closers of the last three years would get rejected?
Again, I'm not arguing that it can't be prudent to pay for closers; Craig Kimbrel is invaluable this year, without any doubt. I'm just arguing against the notion that this year somehow proves that you should
pay for saves, because statistically all it proves is that you have a greater chance of getting screwed by a closer than for it to work out.