(all caps to distinguish myself).

You think big o has some holes? I managed to mistake our draft time for an hour later than it started, had the first pick for the first time in my fantasy career, and autodrafted for the first 5 rounds (OF, OF, SP, OF, SS). Then I showed up, freaked out, and ended up with this:

C- McCann (73)
1B- Dunn (193)
2B- Neil Walker (192)
3B- Reynolds (97)
SS- Andrus (49)
MI- Ackley (216)
CI- Ike Davis (168)
OF- Braun (1)
OF- McCutchen (24)
OF- Pence (48)
OF- Cespedes (144)
OF- Rasmus (169)
UTIL- Belt (217)
BN- Cuddyer (96)
BN- Daniel Murphy (265)
BN- Smoak (289)

P- Kershaw (25)
P- Strasburg (73)
P- Josh Johnson (120)
P- Luebke (145)
P- Worley (240)
P- Niese (241)
P- Valverde (121)
P- Adams (264)
P- Clippard (288)

The most disturbing part is that ESPN projects my team to win. Not a good sign.

One important note- last year Valverde was the only closer I drafted and I ended up with an 8 in saves. So I'm hoping that he can record ~ 115 saves this year. And Dunn can bounce back. Am I really asking for so much???

Yeah, not a good sign at all. You may get 10 total homers from 1st and corner with a .220 average and besides Braun I don't see anyone hitting over 30 homers on your team which means no RBIs either... Pitching looks way too good... Trade some pitching for some power...

Reynolds should hit over 30 HR, which was why I reached for him (at least according to ESPN's rankings). But having Reynolds limited the other power guys I could grab later because of AVG concerns.

Anyhow, besides the Reynolds thing, I agree with your prognosis. After netting so few HR in the first 5 rounds, I had to take a more risky, upside-heavy approach in the later rounds, so my team's success is really riding on the greatest comeback year ever from Dunn, as well as Ike Davis being healthy and really benefitting from the Metco walls moving in. I essentially took three 1B flyers (Smoak, Dunn, Davis), with the hope that at least one will work out. Dunn's preseason has my hopes up (.294/.478/.706), though now he's apparently out with a sore neck from sleeping on the couch. It's like he doesn't even realize how much is riding on him! By which I mean my fantasy season; who cares about the CWS.

Yeah, you're right, forgot about Reynolds... Reynolds and Dunn together is a whole different issue...

Sleeping on the couch? Has Dunn been hitting the lay-deez this Spring?

Ha! Could be, but he comes across as more of a big kid sort of guy, one that would fall asleep on the couch while watching cartoons at 3 a.m. I think that if they could get over how similar they are, he and Heath Bell would get along like gangbusters. I went to the Padres clubhouse the other day and the attendant told me some funny shizz about Bell. Apparently the Padres let him have two lockers because he had so many toys, like RC cars and helicopters, and he would go play with them in the stadium before games. During the national anthem, when the security guards would take off their hats and hold them behind their backs, Bell would throw pumpkin seeds at them, so that when they would put their hats back on they'd be full of seeds. So sad that the Padres wouldn't pay an extra 5-6 million a year for such genius.

Such un-American behaviour! I bet he thinks Obama was born in Iraq too.