Rudy Gamble wrote:
But to just credit the team with 114 without any context to how competitive the league is just isn't fair.
Like I've said repeatedly, I'm inclined to agree.
But... After looking at some stats, I think I've been really, really lucky independent of league competitiveness. My draft and a coupla trades have done much of the work. FA and waiver claims, not so much. At first, I thought maybe the teams running out a bunch of "dead" roster spots may have given me a bunch of cheap points, but again, a look at the stats have changed my mind. Truth is, if everyone wins a lottery once in a lifetime, this was it for me. Check it out:
I ran some numbers this morning from the latest stat update. Of the 450+ teams in the league, I was 9th in runs and HRs, 26 in RBI, 30 in SB, and 51 in average. I'm behind the pace on starts used, but still 135th in K's, 21st in wins, 1st in saves, 3rd in ERA and 34th in WHIP.
So far (through today), my team has about 5500 AB. about 65% of them come from players I drafted. Another 20% come from players I picked up through trades, to replace a DL'd player, or before the end of May (when I think most of the teams in our league were still active).
Pitching is more difficult to quantify, but the only closer I grabbed aside from those I drafted was Hernandez (he got me maybe 4 saves before I dropped him for the extra stream slot). For the most part, my team has been anchored by Ogando, Bumgarner, Weaver, and Verlander. Weaver and Verlander I got through trades in mid-May nad early June, respectively, and Ogando and Bumgarner I grabbed from the wires in April (early May at the latest). Together, these pitchers, along with my closers, are responsible for almost exactly 67% of my IP so far. I also picked up Luebke in early June (twice) and never let him go after he gave me two gems in a row.
Streaming was always going to be a part of this team's plan, and it makes sense that streaming has probably worked out better than it would have if I was in a more competitive league, but... it's not like I've been running CC, Lee or even Cueto out there...
So... If I was in a more competitive league, the only hitting loss we'd be looking at would have come from the 15% of hitting stats that I picked up off the waiver wire. And it's not like my waiver claims have produced any extraordinary results (Altuve has been my best mid-to-late season add).
So far as pitching goes, I think my strategy of dominating the saves category, adding some "extra" K's, and holding ratios down by drafting a roster full of closers, was sound. Like I said, I've probably benefited from a deeper pool of streamers to pick over, but I don't think that whatever benefit I've gained justifies giving up 7-8 index points.
Apologies for making this all about me; that's really not my intent. It's just that I happen to be here, so I'm feeling the impact of the index and trying to figure out whether or not it's as good as it could be.
One question regarding Steve's post: Would it also make sense to look at the top scores in leagues with the highest and lowest indexes? If leagues with the lowest indexes demonstrated a pattern of higher first place scores than the first place scores of teams in more competitive leagues, would that tend toward proving the soundness of indexing?