Jose Reyes dynasty deal - worth it?

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pujolsjunkie
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Joined: Thu Mar 03, 2011 3:42 am

Jose Reyes dynasty deal - worth it?

Postby pujolsjunkie » Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:32 pm

EDIT: IGNORE POST #1 - SEE POST #7

Hey guys, I'm really going back and forth on a deal in my dynasty league. 12-team Auction H2H points league with $125 cap, 40 man roster and the players are signed to contracts from 1-3 years. After a contract expires, a player can be retained for double his current price for the following season (player X signs for .25 for 1 year, the following season can be doubled for .50, and then $1.00 the year after and $2.00 the year after, etc.). My roster is as follows:

C - Wilin Rosario, $0.25/1 year
1B - Chris Davis, $2.00/1 year
2B - Robinson Cano, $20.00/2 years
3B - Chase Headley, $2.00/1 year
SS - Erick Aybar, $1.75/1 year
OF - Bryce Harper, $1.00/1 year
OF - Michael Bourn, $4.00/1 year
OF - Desmond Jennings, $3.50 (if re-signed)
DH - Jesus Montero, $2.00/1 year

Bench

C - Yasmani Grandal, $0.50/2 years
SS - Jhonny Peralta, $1.75/1 year
SS - Dee Gordon, $0.25/1 year

Pitching

SP - Madison Bumgarner, $2.00/1 year
SP - Brett Anderson, $2.00/1 year
SP - Brandon Morrow, $4.00/1 year
SP - Wei-Yin Chen, $0.25/2 years
SP - Andy Pettitte, $2.00/1 year
RP -

Bench

SP - Jaime Garcia, $0.50/1 year
SP - Lance Lynn, $1.50/1 year
SP - Bud Norris, $0.50/1 year
SP - Tim Stauffer, $0.50/1 year
SP - Randall Delgado, $0.50/1 year
SP - Brad Peacock, $1.25/2 years
RP - Heath Bell, $1.25/1 year

Minors

SS - Xander Bogaerts, $0.50/2 years
OF - Bubba Starling, $1.25/2 years
OF - Byron Buxton, $0.25/2 years
SP - Archie Bradley, $1.50/2 years
SP - Kevin Gausman, $0.50/2 years

A few unsavory characters stuck on my roster for the time being obviously. It happens in this league. No free agency to help during the season either. Anyway, the deal I'm debating whether I should do is:

-Jesus Montero, $2 for a year, so $4 next season if he's kept (eligibility rules in this league mean there's about an 80% chance he's DH-only and does not have catcher eligibility)
-Bud Norris, $0.50 for a year
-Heath Bell, $1.25 for a year

for

-Trevor Bauer, $4.50 for two years

Strikeouts are worth a half-point, wins are worth 10, innings are worth 2, ER are worth -2. In other words, pitching is certainly valuable, and more importantly, strikeout pitchers are coveted. The question is, do you think Montero will see a major uptick in his sophmore season with the fences moved in at Safeco? Does Bauer make his impact now? Does it take a while? It's a very tricky deal. He isn't particularly cheap, but two years at $4.50 with a manageable $9 re-sign in 2015 is fully worth it if he can reach his potential quickly, as it's harder to find arms than DHs. Would love to hear thoughts! Thanks guys!
Last edited by pujolsjunkie on Wed Jan 16, 2013 1:08 am, edited 1 time in total.

HOOTIE
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Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby HOOTIE » Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:41 pm

Montero is going to be a 25-30 hr 90-100 rbi guy soon.
Bauer is ok, but overrated imo.

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Mauddib
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Joined: Thu Dec 27, 2012 9:10 am

Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby Mauddib » Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:00 pm

I would take that deal. I like Montero and I am not sold on Bauer.

pujolsjunkie
Posts: 25
Joined: Thu Mar 03, 2011 3:42 am

Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby pujolsjunkie » Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:34 pm

Mauddib wrote:I would take that deal. I like Montero and I am not sold on Bauer.


So you wouldn't do the deal. I have Montero now! =D

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Mauddib
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Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby Mauddib » Wed Jan 09, 2013 6:29 am

pujolsjunkie wrote:
Mauddib wrote:I would take that deal. I like Montero and I am not sold on Bauer.


So you wouldn't do the deal. I have Montero now! =D


Sorry, yes keep Montero.

joeybelle
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Joined: Sat Apr 09, 2011 9:40 am

Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby joeybelle » Sun Jan 13, 2013 3:19 pm

Wow, you really like Montero that much? I have a hard time seeing him get those number in seattle wit that line-up around him

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Mauddib
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Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby Mauddib » Sun Jan 13, 2013 3:55 pm

joeybelle wrote:Wow, you really like Montero that much? I have a hard time seeing him get those number in seattle wit that line-up around him

The fences are moving in and that I am not as concerned about that lineup. Plus this is more of indicative of what I think of Bauer than what I think of Montero.

pujolsjunkie
Posts: 25
Joined: Thu Mar 03, 2011 3:42 am

Re: Trevor Bauer - Jesus Montero swap - thoughts?

Postby pujolsjunkie » Wed Jan 16, 2013 1:06 am

I appreciate the responses. I declined and kept Montero. Now do I deal Pettitte ($2 for a year) for Jose Reyes at $12 for a year? Pretty sizable contract and Reyes obviously carries injury risk playing on the turf at Rogers Centre. Still, his upside is tremendous. Literally no upgrades available at auction at SS, so if I don't do it, Aybar is my starter. Thoughts?


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