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 Post subject: War room category goals
PostPosted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 11:09 pm 
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I've been playing around in the war room; cool tool! But I'm wondering how you came up with the category goals. They all seem a bit high to me - especially SBs. Am I shooting for 100% or more in each category? If not, what totals should I target? Maybe 80% in each? (Assuming I don't punt any categories.) I don't know if this matters but I am playing in a 5x5 weekly H2H 10 team league. Thanks!
Steve


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 12:22 am 
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The goals are from compiling stats from last year and what people finished with in the money... 80+% isn't bad... Closest to 100% is obviously ideal...

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If you want me to look at your team, post the team. Don't post a link to another site where the team is.
Have you given me all the info I need to judge your team? The number of teams in the league is a good start for the big overall questions.
Is your league H2H? Roto?
I don't know who's on your waivers. Don't just ask me who you should pick up. Give me names to choose from.
If you only have one team, post your team in your signature with the league parameters.
I don't know every single matchup for next week, so if you want me to choose a player for the following week and you think the matchups are important, tell me who they're facing.


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 2:06 am 
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Well just for fun I picked a team of complete studs; basically took the best guy at each position. I expected this to generate way more than 100% of goal. In fact most categories are closer to 120%, and SBs are still less than 100%. Even with Reyes, Trout, Braun and McCutcheon. If you can't get to goal with these guys I don't see how you get there in a real draft! Can I change the goal numbers depending on my draft strategy? Thanks again...

POS R HR RBI SB AVG
C Buster Posey 74 25 97 1 .309
1B Albert Pujols 103 32 112 7 .297
2B Robinson Cano 105 30 110 4 .310
SS Jose Reyes 110 12 60 40 .285
3B Miguel Cabrera 110 39 124 3 .327
OF Ryan Braun 105 34 116 22 .319
OF Andrew McCutchen 102 30 107 27 .295
OF Mike Trout 108 19 102 48 .326
UTIL Prince Fielder 94 39 117 1 .291
UTIL Joey Votto 104 25 110 5 .320
Total 1015 285 1055 158 .309
Goal 856 220 827 175 .272
% Goal 119% 130% 128% 90% 114%


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 7:20 am 
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Posts: 134
There's a reason you didn't hit the SB total - you took big bats in both Utl slots (6 guys with less than 10 Stl each) and the targets are based on 5 OF set ups, which will usually pump the Stl a little and shave off some power. Keep in mind that even Grey's 'best fantasy team' fell a couple of percentage points short on steals, so there were obviously some really good Stl teams winning RCL leagues last season. What you're looking for is an average of 16.5 Stl per player, which might be a tall order unless you have a couple of 30-40 Stl studs and not too many hitters with Stl preventing moobs and beer guts.

You may have to work a little harder to hit that goal in Stl than some of the other categories, but it's not impossible.


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 7:39 am 
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Posts: 121
I'm not saying it's easy, but it's certainly possible to come close to all of the goals if you are drafting a balanced team instead of one that is extremely HR heavy. This is an ESPN mock I did, and as Fenris said, this is with 5 OF / 1 UT / CI / MI (I'm guessing you adjusted your league size to 3 OF which would give you different goals):

Attachment:
mock2_hitters_and_pitchers.png
mock2_hitters_and_pitchers.png [ 28.7 KiB | Viewed 411 times ]

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(RCL Champions League) My Mustache Has A Mustache
C - Ramos
1B - Goldy
2B - Kinsler
3B - Pedro
SS - Zobrist
MI - Rendon
CI - Napoli
OF - Ellsbury, Victorino, A.Jackson, Cruz, C.Carter
UT - Sandoval
BE - A.Guerrero
SP - Yu, MadBum, Dickey, Haren, Buchholz, C.Martinez
RP - Rosenthal, Uehara, C.Janssen, Hawkins, Herrera

(RCL) You're Teheran Us Apart
C - Castro
1B - Edwin
2B - Zobrist
3B - Longo
SS - ECab
MI - Rendon
CI - Teixeira
OF - A.Jones, Kemp, D.Brown, K.Davis, C.Carter
UT - Frazier
BE - Dee Gordon
SP - MadBum, Bailey, Smyly, Pineda, Yordano, Kennedy
RP - Nathan, Robertson, Grilli, Melancon, Herrera

(RCL) Buy Me Some Peanuts n Crack


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 7:46 am 
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That's a nice looking team. I'm really keying on guys like Desmond and Rutledge this year because the balance there really helps make the team build a little easier. I also have a lot of love for Goldschmidt this year for the same reason - those 10-15 steals are really helpful from a corner slot that you don't have to blow a first or second rounder on.


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 12:22 pm 
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Posts: 6
Wow Hill-o-beans that is some team! Would you mind posting the draft order (if you still have it) and maybe your overall strategy? ie Did you alternate high power (HR/RBI) guys with high speed (SB, Runs)? Did you ever focus specifically on AVG, or any 1 other category?

I've been thinking of punting either SBs (for obvious reasons) or AVG (to load up on guys like BJ Upton, Granderson, etc) because I am having so much trouble getting enough stats across all 5 hitting categories. Thiking it might be worth it to have like 90% confidence of winning 4 vs 70% of winning 5???

Also, yes I did set up my league, which is yahoo, 10 team, so thats why the goals are different I guess...

Thanks for any feedback!

Steve


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 12:36 pm 
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Punting a single cat in 5x5 isn't terrible, and AVG seems like the obvious punt this year (to me anyway) with so many otherwise studly dudes there for the taking. Baseball Monster is a great site for re-evaluating players based on a punt strategy btw. If you thought you could nail down all five pitching categories you could punt two hitting categories, but I think that's dicey.


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 6:07 pm 
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Posts: 6
Did another draft and did better this time. Last draft I had the #1 pick which I think was harder than this draft (5 of 10). Grabbing Bourne in the 9th helped a lot. Also got Aoki and Rutledge with my last 2 picks which was great for SBs.
I keep trying to grab Kimbrel - he is such a stud compared to any other closer this year - but you have to take him by early 5th round on Yahoo. Not sure if thats suicide or not...

POS R HR RBI SB AVG
C Salvador Perez 62 19 79 0 .312
1B Paul Goldschmidt 84 29 104 12 .274
2B Josh Rutledge 92 17 51 20 .262
SS Hanley Ramirez 84 23 95 20 .260
3B Chase Headley 79 20 92 15 .280
OF Matt Kemp 88 25 100 19 .294
OF Jose Bautista 91 32 100 5 .272
OF Michael Bourn 97 3 49 40 .269
UTIL Mark Trumbo 62 28 82 5 .258
UTIL Norichika Aoki 85 12 54 27 .295
Total 824 208 806 163 .277
Goal 856 220 827 175 .272
% Goal 96% 95% 97% 93% 102%
POS W K ERA WHIP SV
SP Cliff Lee 13 212 3.05 1.06 0
SP Kris Medlen 13 161 3.44 1.18 0
RP Craig Kimbrel 5 107 2.07 0.92 46
RP Jim Johnson 4 44 3.39 1.22 38
P James Shields 13 198 3.77 1.26 0
P Jeff Samardzija 12 195 3.45 1.24 0
P Matt Harvey 10 192 3.92 1.34 0
P Mike Minor 11 181 3.87 1.22 0
P Tom Wilhelmsen 3 82 2.76 1.13 33
Total 84 1372 3.44 1.19 117
Goal 103 1261 3.37 1.23 105
% Goal 82% 109% 98% 103% 111%


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 Post subject: Re: War room category goals
PostPosted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 6:37 pm 
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st3v3k4hn wrote:
Not sure if thats suicide or not...

Not quite suicide, but at the very least it's a Russian paratrooper move I'd let someone else make.


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