Okay: This is the scenario I've been nibbling at in the general comments threads over the last few days; figured I'd take it here for serious, once-and-for-all analysis, so I can stop obsessing over it and you can stop hearing about it. But this could be for all the marbles, so have a look.
12 team 5x5 mixed league roto. Right now, I'm in first, but there's 3 or 4 teams bunched together, and we're all very close in a few categories -- for example, I'm tied for 3rd in runs, but 2nd, 3rd, 3rd and 4th look like this: 587, 586, 586, 585. RBIs and HRs are similar. You get the picture.
My offense has been disappointing/putrid most of the first half, but I was patient, waiting for guys like Rios and Upton to get hot and Holliday/Morneau to get hot(ter). Over the past two months there have been signs of life: Morneau, Holliday, Longo, Rios, Chris Davis are all hitting. Here's the current lineup:
SS Hardy/Lowrie (picked up to spell stone-cold jj hardy)
Util C Davis
B Bonifacio (Furcal DL)
SP Hamels, Lackey, Cain, Baker, Kershaw (Penny DL)
RP Soria, Guardado, Zumaya, Chris Perez
So: I'd like to add another stud OF I can put out everyday and try and get some distance from the pack in the offensive categories. I've shopped for Soriano, Vlad, C Lee, Burrell, Markakis -- those are basically the guys available who aren't on my close rivals teams and aren't untouchable for whatever reason. (Well, Soriano is untouchable now thanks to his recent hot streak, so forget him.)
Here are the scenarios:
1) Hamels, Pence and Guardado for Markakis
2) Pence/Guardado for Burrell
3) Hamels/Rios for Vlad/Greinke or Garza
4) Hamels/Pence/Soria for Carlos Lee (that owner is a stingy miser, Scrooge McRoto)
5) Flip Bonifacio for a hot rent-a-bat like Tatis
6) Stick with Bruce/Pence, keep Hamels, stand pat
Of those four OFs, I probably like Markakis this best, given that, last season, in August and September, he hit 13 HRs with 48 rib-eyes. In other words, he's a proven late-season mashaholic. However, I don't know if my pitching is strong enough to lose Hamels, especially given that wins are also very tight and competitive and my other starters (eg. Cain) don't pile up the victories.
Still, I like the prospect of making a bold move and adding a big bat -- I waited long enough for my team to get hot, and it has been recently, for the most part, yet I still haven't got much separation from the pack.