I play in a keeper league and I need your help. It is AL ONLY, auction draft, and you can only keep TWELVE players from season to season. Two catchers, ten teams. We also need to roster a DH who has more than 20 games a year at DH, making guys like Montero more valuable than in a normal league.
After you’ve kept a guy for two years, you need to either extend him at $5/year for as many years as you want or announce that you will give him up after the following season
Keeper inflation is about 30%. Pujols sold for $44 at auction last year, Darvish for $30, and middling players like Morales and Liriano for around $20. Guys who aren’t special but are guaranteed a starting job tend to be worth $14 or so. Auction budget is standard $260. Here are my certain keepers:
• Carlos Santana - $4, $9, $14, or $19 (Would have to give him up after 2013, 14, 15, 16 respectively)
• Jesus Montero - $10, $15, $20 (Would have to give him up after 2013, 14, 15)
• Will Middlebrooks - $4
• Mike Moustakas - - $4, $9, $14 (Would have to give him up after 2013, 14, 15)
• Jurickson Profar - $10 (But I’ll be able to use him as an expansion pick and get him VERY cheap through the next few years)
• Wil Myers - $4
• Mike Trout - $4
• Brett Anderson - $1
• Matt Moore - $4
• Brandon Morrow - $12
I also have a TON of borderline keepers:
• Mitch Moreland - $3 (Would have to give up after this season or give an extension to)
• Dustin Ackley - $4 (Needs extension)
• Luke Scott - $1
• Lorenzo Cain - $10 (Needs extension)
• Nolan Reimold - $4
• Dayan Viciedo - $10
• Felix Doubront - $10
• Erasmo Ramirez - $10
• Garrett Richards - $1
• Anibal Sanchez - $20
• Dan Straily - $10
So I can keep two of those guys in addition to the ten I am keeping for sure. Right now it would probably be either Cain or Reimold (depending on spring stats) and one of Doubront, Straily, and Ramirez (depending on spring stats).
Question #1: How long should I extend Santana, Montero, and Moustakas for? Right now, I’m leaning toward $14 Santana through 2015, $9 Moustakas through 2014, and $10 Montero whom I’d have to give up after this year.
Question #2: I’m being offered a trade. The deal is Scott, Ackley, Moreland, Viciedo, and Morrow for Robinson Cano. Cano would cost me $31 if I just kept him for this year or $36 if I wanted to keep him for this year and next as well. The only slam-dunk keeper I’d be losing in this trade is Morrow, but I have him for this year and next at $12. I’d also be losing several trade chips that are reasonably (but not very) valuable. Is this deal worth making? I would also be building my pitching staff even more from scratch at the draft, keeping only Moore and Anderson. I could go big on Verlander, who will be in the auction, but I’d be stuck with lesser names on the bottom of my staff.
I could also probably get Pujols at $44 or Fielder for $37 without having to give up anyone too significant. Would this be a better move?