It is currently Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:03 am

All times are UTC - 8 hours [ DST ]

Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 6 posts ] 
  Print view Previous topic | Next topic 
Author Message
 Post subject: Keeper Conundrum
PostPosted: Wed Sep 02, 2009 10:11 am 
Offline
Sponsor
Sponsor

Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 8:29 am
Posts: 203
Hey there Doc,

My shallow keeper league is about to start, and I thought I had my keepers set, but now I'm not so sure. First the settings, which are a bit odd:

8-team league
PPR
1pt/20 yards rushing/receiving/returning + 3-pt bonus @ 100 yards
1pt/50 yards passing + 3-pt bonus @ 300 yards
6 pts per touchdown (any kind)
Roster: 2QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1DEF/ST, 4BN
2 Keepers - draft 2 rounds before previous year's pick. FA pickups count as last-round picks.

So, given these settings, QBs are much more valuable, and RBs aren't so much. I had planned on keeping Frank Gore (7th round last year), and Chris Johnson (FA pickup), and then going with a 2QB/2WR draft strategy for the first four rounds, but then I realized that I had Kevin Smith (FA pickup) on my final roster as well.

Last year, Gore was worth only 12 points more than Smith in this league. If I kept Smith in the 10th round instead of Gore in the 5th, I'd have a better chance of grabbing a top TE, or a 3rd QB/WR/RB that slipped through the cracks (this often happens in our league -- last year I got Boldin in the 6th round). Also, if I leave Gore out there, it's more likely that somebody will grab him in the first round instead of a top QB/WR. Finally, because of the weird scoring settings, it's possible to get top RB production out of a guy like Darren Sproles or Leon Washington who racks up tons of return yardage, though it's hard to count on that.

The major downside that I see with this is that Gore is capable of a huge bounceback season, so it's really a question of whether Gore's superior upside is worth the difference between a 5th round pick and a 10th round pick.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeper Conundrum
PostPosted: Wed Sep 02, 2009 11:48 am 
Offline
Sponsor
Sponsor
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2008 6:11 am
Posts: 983
Location: Chicago
You make a good case for K Smith who I like a lot this year, but I just can't recommend passing up Gore when you really don't know what you'll get in the 5th. A bird in the hand and all that. I wouldn't call you dumb for taking that gamble, but I don't think I would.

_________________
Johnny Ringo: All right, 'lunger'. Let's do it.
Doc Holliday: Say when.

Doc Holliday: I'm your huckleberry...

Image


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeper Conundrum
PostPosted: Wed Sep 02, 2009 3:11 pm 
Offline
Sponsor
Sponsor

Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 8:29 am
Posts: 203
Thanks for talking me down from the ledge. With such a shallow league, it's easy to overthink things, but I think you're right that it's worth keeping my Gore-bird in the fifth round rather than risk winding up with a marginal starter (Smith in an 8-team league) at RB.

By the way, I really liked your post about guys to target in points-for-return-yards leagues. With my league's settings, where do you think I should target Leon Washington and Darren Sproles?


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeper Conundrum
PostPosted: Wed Sep 02, 2009 5:07 pm 
Offline
Sponsor
Sponsor
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2008 6:11 am
Posts: 983
Location: Chicago
What do you get per reception?

_________________
Johnny Ringo: All right, 'lunger'. Let's do it.
Doc Holliday: Say when.

Doc Holliday: I'm your huckleberry...

Image


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeper Conundrum
PostPosted: Thu Sep 03, 2009 6:56 am 
Offline
Sponsor
Sponsor

Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 8:29 am
Posts: 203
One point.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeper Conundrum
PostPosted: Thu Sep 03, 2009 12:04 pm 
Offline
Sponsor
Sponsor
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2008 6:11 am
Posts: 983
Location: Chicago
They will need to go fairly high in that league. I'm guessing around the Moreno/Rice/McFadden area. But Rice and McFadden are pretty elevated in that format as well, so the Moreno area. I would do a little math and see where they finished last year in your league compared to say Lynch, Grant, etc...

_________________
Johnny Ringo: All right, 'lunger'. Let's do it.
Doc Holliday: Say when.

Doc Holliday: I'm your huckleberry...

Image


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 6 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 8 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to: