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BSA, Well Cincy and most Reds fans seem to be holding pat to idea that there will be an adjustment period for Bruce. I think for the most part as fans we are content to let our talent develop at the big league level, now if only Dusty wasn't asking our sluggers to bunt!
From a fantasy perspective I think patience is considerably less with a talent like Bruce, I believe they expected the next Ryan Braun out of him. I would contend that what Braun did was monumental and will likely not be repeated too often from other rookies. So expecting Braun type numbers out of Baseball America's top prospects each year is going to cause a lot of pain for fantasy owners. The laundry list of rookies who didn't have the impact Braun did is very long, Gordon, Kershaw, Scherzer, Bailey, Bucholz, Clement, Balentien, A. Jones, Delmon, ad infinitum.
But back to Bruce, I snagged this from a forum: To all those dismissing Jay Bruce already, you might want to keep tabs on him. He appears to be cutting down on his K's a bit and putting the ball in play (5 K's in his last 24 AB's... not great... but an improvement). Also take a peak at his splits, he has raked against righties (.302/.352/.542 17 runs, 6 HR, 15 RBI's and a respectable 8:22 BB:K ratio), and struggled big time against lefties (.213/.321/.255 5 runs, 0 HR, 4 RBI and 7:16 BB:K in 47 AB's). He also is a better then .300 hitter at home. Just signs he might be able to put it together.
This was however written previous to his Golden Sombrero on Tuesday!
Bottom line is, I think you can expect somewhere in the .265 - .275 range in BA with 20-25 HR, 80+ RBI, 90-100 R and 150 Ks, all together not too bad for a rookie.
_________________ -Hank Football.Razzball
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