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 Post subject: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2013 3:05 pm 
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Hey guys. 12 team, H2H, ESPN, 5X5 (with pitching Losses and hitting K's).

Keeper league...each team gets 3 keepers. Keepers are drafted 3 rounds earlier than the previous season. Can be kept until they can't be drafted anymore (round 0).

This season, I have Mike Trout in round 12 and Adam Wainwright in round 16.

Do I keep Paul Goldschmidt in round 11 or Aaron Hill in round 21?
If I take Hill, I can probably redraft Goldy in round 5 or 6 considering my league's penchant for following ESPN's rankings. He has nice future value (round 18 next year, etc.)
If I take Goldy, I could target a 2B sleeper at the end of my draft like Rutledge (ESPN rank 247) or Gyorko (ESPN 279). Those dudes could even wind up with nice keeper value next year.


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 Post subject: Re: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2013 3:23 pm 
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Keep Hill if you are pretty sure you can get Goldy back. I would still think about grabbing one of those MI late in the draft as well though.

If there is any question about Goldy though, I would keep him over Hill.


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 Post subject: Re: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Thu Mar 14, 2013 9:43 pm 
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Agree with above.

Goldie is the keeper.

2B is slim pickings but Goldie is still in a growth stage. There is a good chance he will move up steadily as he loses 3 rounds per year in your league so I wouldn't be worried.

Odds are you will be able to pick up Hill or a Rickie Weeks in your draft (not in the 21st round) but after you've landed some studs...

I would consider getting a guy like Jose Altuve...Altuve might be a little undervalued...will get you SBs and AVG, a few runs...I know Grey isn't high on a guy like Kipnis but he's a guy that's probably a little overvalued with some of the hype.

Good luck!

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10-team mixed keeper league (15 keepers), H2H - 1 Win R/HR/RBI/SB/AVG/OPS/W/CG/SHO/SV/K/ERA/WHIP/QS
HITTERS:
Lineup (C/1B/2B/SS/3B/LF/CF/RF/UTIL/UTIL/UTIL/UTIL)
C - empty (will pick up a hot catcher when ready)
1B - E. Hosmer
2B - J. Kipnis
SS - T. Tulowitzki
3B - A. Beltre
OF - M. Trout, A. McCutchen, J. Upton
UTIL - G. Stanton, A. Rizzo, B. Harper, empty slot

PITCHERS: SP - S. Strasburg, A. Wainwright, G. Gonzalez, H. Iwakuma, S. Miller, K. Medlen, H. Ryu, M. Garza, A. Cobb, H. Bailey, R. Porcello, M. Estrada, W. Peralta, S. Gray, E. Ramirez
RP - A. Chapman, A. Reed, J. Benoit
N/A slot: M. Pineda. DL - C. Maybin, M. Moore


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 Post subject: Re: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Sat Mar 16, 2013 2:10 pm 
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Thanks for the good (and conflicting) input, Mauddib and BluePulaski. It looks like an easy decision on the surface. I think it really relies on Goldy becoming a 5 star stunner immediately (since he would be round 8, 5, and 2 in the next three years) vs. Hill being a solid, if unspectacular performer for many years (round 18, 15, 12, 9, and even 6) moving forward...


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 Post subject: Re: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Sat Mar 16, 2013 2:44 pm 
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Posts: 653
Did you read Grey's outlook on Goldie?

http://razzball.com/top-100-for-2013-fantasy-baseball/

_________________
10-team mixed keeper league (15 keepers), H2H - 1 Win R/HR/RBI/SB/AVG/OPS/W/CG/SHO/SV/K/ERA/WHIP/QS
HITTERS:
Lineup (C/1B/2B/SS/3B/LF/CF/RF/UTIL/UTIL/UTIL/UTIL)
C - empty (will pick up a hot catcher when ready)
1B - E. Hosmer
2B - J. Kipnis
SS - T. Tulowitzki
3B - A. Beltre
OF - M. Trout, A. McCutchen, J. Upton
UTIL - G. Stanton, A. Rizzo, B. Harper, empty slot

PITCHERS: SP - S. Strasburg, A. Wainwright, G. Gonzalez, H. Iwakuma, S. Miller, K. Medlen, H. Ryu, M. Garza, A. Cobb, H. Bailey, R. Porcello, M. Estrada, W. Peralta, S. Gray, E. Ramirez
RP - A. Chapman, A. Reed, J. Benoit
N/A slot: M. Pineda. DL - C. Maybin, M. Moore


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 Post subject: Re: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Sat Mar 16, 2013 5:11 pm 
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Mauddib wrote:
Keep Hill if you are pretty sure you can get Goldy back. I would still think about grabbing one of those MI late in the draft as well though.

If there is any question about Goldy though, I would keep him over Hill.



Agreed

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 Post subject: Re: Goldschmidt or Hill?
PostPosted: Sun Mar 17, 2013 7:52 am 
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Blue - read Grey's outlook, which got me all tingly and committed to Goldy this year. The thought of having him at round 11 in 2013, rd. 8 in '14, rd. 5 in '15, and (if he's worth it by then) rd. 2 in '16 is very exciting.

rightwingjedi - I'm pretty confident I can snag him in round 5 in this year's draft. If he is indeed keeper worthy (Grey's forecast is like a weatherman calling for a 99% chance of snow), I'd at least get a second year out of him at rd. 2.

Then again, Aaron Hill is 30 years old. Will he even be worth keeping 5 years from now? Last year he went undrafted in our league...


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