Florida Marlins 2010 Minor League Review
Overall farm rankings via Baseball America (2010)
2010 (8) | 2009 (2) | 2008 (14) | 2007 (15) | 2006 (3) | 2005 (14) | 2004 (14)
Record of Major and Minor League Teams
MLB: [80 – 82] NL East
AAA: [66 – 77] Pacific Coast League – New Orleans
AA: [81 – 59] Southern League – Jacksonville
A+: [46– 92] Florida State League – Jupiter
A: [66 – 74] South Atlantic League – Greensboro
A(ss): [43 – 32] New York – Pennsylvania – Jamestown
R: [37 – 19] Gulf Coast League
The Run Down
Stud check… Mike Stanton. Stud check two… Logan Morrison. Stud check three… Well, not really Gaby Sanchez. A solid third though. No one can argue that the Marlins graduated two young stars in Stanton and Morrison, but a formidable defense would be the lack of high-grade starting pitching, depth and no impact bat beyond Matt Dominguez moving through their minors. That might be reflected in their 2011 Baseball America Farm System rank of number 29. Chad James and Brad Hand are their top starting pitching prospects and they both lack strong command of their pitches. Dominguez is going to be a solid player, but solid doesn’t sell seats.
Arizona Fall League Players – Phoenix Desert Dogs
Pitchers – (RHP) Pete Andrelczyk; (RHP) Jay Buente; (RHP) Steve Cishek; (RHP)Brad Stone;
Hitters – (C) Kyle Skipworth; (2B) Ryan Curry; #30 (SS) Osvaldo Martinez
#1 (RF) Mike Stanton; #2 (1B/OF) Logan Morrison; #5 (1B/3B) Gabby Sanchez; #20 (RHP) Tim Wood; (RHP) Alex Sanabia
Players of Interest for 2010
All rankings are from Baseball America 2010 with information from Baseball America 2010 and 2011 along with John Sickels Prospect Handbook 2010 and 2011.
#9 Scott Cousins | CF | D.o.B: 1-22-85 | Stats (AAA): .285/.336/.461 | 451 AB | 39 XBH | 14 Hr | .156 ISO | 12/4 SB/CS | 78:32 K:BB | .315
Suffered a separated shoulder during May 2010 that delayed some of his progress. Received a September call up slashing .297/.316/.459 in 37 at-bats. He has 15 to 20 home run and 15 to 20 stolen bases potential along with plus range and a strong arm that allows him to play center field. Could see 400 at bats in the majors if Chris Coghlan plays third, which seems doubtful, or gets hurt, less doubtful. Think of Mike Cameron as a comparison. Current BA ranking is number seven.
#4 Matt Dominguez | 3B | D.o.B: 8-28-89 | Stats (AA): .252/.333/.411 | 504 AB | 50 XBH | 14 Hr | .159 ISO | 0/2 SB/CS | 96:56 K:BB
Plays “Gold-Glove” defense, has been compared to Mike Lowell and Jeff Cirillo (ceiling and floor respectfully) and struggles with breaking pitches. Has average power (think 20 to 25 home run ceiling) and an expected .240 to .260 average. Below average speed. With no strong competition for the Marlins third base job, look for Dominguez to start the year there. Current BA ranking is number one.
#10 Jhan Marinez | RHP | D.o.B: 8-12-88 | Stats (A+/AA): 13.7 K/9 | 4.5 BB/9 | 42 IP | 1.71 ERA | 2.02 FIP (A+); 2.84 FIP (AA) | 1.00 WHIP | .4 Hr/9 | 4.5 H/9 | .282 BABIP (A+); .229 BABIP (AA)
You’re looking at the future closer of the Marlins. He throws a 93 to 97 MPH fastball that can touch 99 MPH. His slider is inconsistent but is sharp when on (88 to 89 MPH). He also tosses a two-seamer on occasion. Power fastball and slider are perfect for the closer role. Now if he can just have enough command to make the majors. Look for him to start at Triple-A. Current BA ranking is number four.
#24 Brett Sinkbeil | RHP | D.o.B: 12-26-84 | Stats (AAA): 8.0 K/9 | 4.4 BB/9 | 63 IP | 5.71 ERA | 3.99 FIP | 1.70 WHIP | .6 Hr/9 | 10.9 H/9 | .347 BABIP
History of nagging injuries have slowed this former first round pick. He throws a fastball between 90 and 96 MPH. A slider that sits at 86 to 87 MPH. His traditional statistics show that he struggled last year. His sabermetrics indicate that he was unlucky (.347 BABIP) and that his defense wasn’t helpful (3.99 FIP; -1.72 FIP from ERA). He’ll have a tough time gaining attention unless starts floating this sinking ship with buoyant production. Current BA ranking is unranked.
Tom Koehler | RHP | D.o.B: 6-29-86 | Stats (AA): 8.2 K/9 | 2.6 BB/9 | 158 2/3 IP | 2.61 ERA | 3.29 FIP | 1.17 WHIP | .6 Hr/9 | 7.9 H/9 | .295 BABIP
Throws a 88 to 92 MPH fastball with a good curve and a splitter. Has excellent command. Garnered John Sickels’ attention who called Koehler a sleeper. Could be a back-end-of-the-rotation starter. So a Kevin Slowey. Current BA ranking is unranked.
Elih Villanueva | RHP | D.o.B: 6-26-86 | Stats (AA): 5.8 K/9 | 1.7 BB/9 | 179 IP | 2.26 ERA | 3.71 FIP | .96 WHIP | .8 Hr/9 | 6.9 H/9 | .227 BABIP
Throws a 88 to 92 MPH fastball with impeccable command, an average 12-to-6 curveball and a hard slider. Baseball America compared him directly to Tom Koehler stating that, Villanueva is greater than the sum of [Koehler's] pitches, which play up because [Villanueva] mixes them so well and hits his spots.” That is exactly what Sickels said about Koehler. Sounds like I’m more excited about the pitcher with better strikeout rates, doesn’t rely on luck (.227 BABIP for Villanueva) and allows fewer home runs. Current BA ranking is number 14.
#17 Brad Hand | LHP | D.o.B: 3-20-90 | Stats (A+): 8.6 K/9 | 3.1 BB/9 | 140 2/3 IP | 3.33 ERA | 3.37 FIP | 1.44 WHIP | .6 Hr/9 | 9.8 H/9 | .348 BABIP
Drafted out of my hometown state (Minnesota), Hand throws a 91 to 94 MPH fastball, a 11-to-4 curveball and a fringe-average changeup. When you add that up, Hand could be a number three starter. Current BA ranking is number six.
#12 Marcell Ozuna | RF | D.o.B: 11-12-90 | Stats (A [ss]): .267/.314/.556 | 270 AB | 34 XBH | 21 Hr | .289 ISO | 3/1 SB/CS | 91:17 K:BB | .323 BABIP
After playing in the short season, Ozuna put his name on the map. He launched 21 home runs in 270 at-bats. However, he struggles with consistent contact (see: 91 strikeouts). His bat will be what carries him through the minors. At just 20 to start this year, look for him to start at Class Low-Single-A and rise to High-Single-A. Current BA ranking is number nine.
#7 Kyle Skipworth | C | D.o.B: 3-1-90 | Stats (A): .249/.312/.426 | 397 AB | 35 XBH | 17 Hr | .177 ISO | 1 /2 SB/CS | 132:32 K:BB | .328 BABIP
All power and no plate-discipline leaves Skipworth very vulnerable. His defense is adequate, his plate approach is “all-or-nothing” and chases breaking pitches. There are plenty of all-or-nothing type hitters who have never succeed in the high-majors. After just finishing Class Low-A, I would like to see Skipworth have more success in High-A and Double-A before I would be excited about this young catcher. Current BA ranking is number eight.
#3 Chad James | LHP | D.o.B: 1-23-91 | Stats (A): 8.3 K/9 | 5.1 BB/9 | 114 1/3 IP | 5.12 ERA | 3.54 FIP | 1.58 WHIP | .2 Hr/9 | 9.1 H/9 | .337 BABIP
Throws a 91 to 95 MPH fastball, a power breaking pitch that appears to be a slider but breaks as a curve – not a slurve ball either. Flashes a plus changeup. Get’s in trouble when he nibbles and doesn’t attack hitters causing him to frequently pitch from behind in the count. Mechanically he is working on fixing his landing point. Potential number two starter. Current BA ranking is number two.
Arquimedes Caminero | RHP | D.o.B: 6-16-87 | Stats (A):11.7 K/9 | 4.1 BB/9 | 74 2/3 IP | 3.01 ERA | 2.95 FIP | 1.20 WHIP | .5 Hr/9 | 6.6 H/9 | .283 BABIP
Can throw his fastball at 101 MPH though typically between 95 and 98 MPH. Slider isn’t sharp but is an effective pitch. Struggles with control and command as he doesn’t have a consistent delivery. Could be a successful set-up man or thrive as a closer. He’ll have to tighten up his control and slider to make either of those happen. Added to the 40-man roster due to the HUGE arm. Current BA ranking is number 20.