FIP Your Wig
It’s been over a month since we took a look at some pitchers who are pitching over their heads. Last time, we saw Cueto, Porcello, Millwood, Saunders, Lilly, Cahill and Gallardo were due for a correction. Since then, they’ve had Liquid Paper dumped all over their stats. Also, on that list were Matt Cain, Zach Duke and John Lannan. 6 of 10 pitchers pitched poorly since the last time I told you they would, Gallardo’s been marginally worse and Zach Duke’s been marginally the same. That’s pretty bad odds against the pitchers on this list. A few are still on here as they’re still pitching over their head. For a refresher course on what the eff I’m even talking about with FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), take Exhibit A pitcher who has an ERA of 2.75 but his FIP is a 6.75. A -4.00 difference. That means he’s been very lucky and there’s a good chance his ERA is going to go way up. So here’s a list of pitchers with the biggest difference between their actual ERAs and their FIPs. (If your guy’s on the list, it’s not a great sign.)
Matt Cain – -1.63 difference. Cain’s regression is defying gravity.
J.A. Happ – -1.23. Then throw in his home park and the Phils will have to start limiting his innings. Or, at least, they should. But after their handling of Hamels last year, they may not.
Edwin Jackson – -1.19. Ouch! That was Edwin Jackson landing on top of Aaron Hill in the giant pile of Guys You Already Got So Much Value From That If You Want More You’re Just Being Greedy.
Kevin Millwood – -1.19. He still has a ways to go before we see the Millwood we know and don’t own in fantasy baseball.
John Lannan – -1.13. The terrible K/9 and the team behind him makes him questionable anyway. I recently owned him for his start vs. the Padres. Got a 8 inning, 1 earned run game from him. Then I dropped him.
Jarrod Washburn – -1.12. It’s only because his ERA is currently a 2.64. You don’t really think he’s a sub-3 ERA pitcher, right? Rhetorical!
Wandy Rodriguez – -1.01. No!!! Anyone but Wandy, please. Here, take my Catfish Hunter 1978 RC Cola Player Soda Can. Just leave Wandy alone!
Trevor Cahill – -.97. Since he currently has over a 5 ERA, he shouldn’t be on your team anyway.
Joba Chamberlain – -.91. If his mom, Anne Ramsey, catches him on this list, there will be trouble.
Tags: Edwin Jackson, J.A. Happ, Jarrod Washburn, Joba Chamberlain, John Lannan, Kevin Millwood, Matt Cain, Trevor Cahill, Wandy Rodriguez





August 4th, 2009 at 11:44 am
I know chris carpenter wouldn’t be on this list, but does anyone think this guys making it thru the rest of the season????
The only thing thats helping him was the little DL stint he went on….?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:45 am
So if I get any offers including those guys I should tell them to “FIP off”? Joba isn’t going anywhere from my squad though.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:47 am
This post has ruined my day. Thanks!
Should I try to trade a guy like Edwin Jackson for someone like Lackey?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:50 am
Edwin Jackson looks even worse by xFIP, although Comerica supresses home runs, so I think his FIP is sustainable.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:51 am
I picked up Josh Willingham this week off the FA list and realized he’s only owned in 23% of ESPN leagues! I find this incredible. Sure, he missed a lot of games early in the year, but the Nats finally realized what they got in this guy and he’s playing every day now.
I did a quick, simple analysis of what his stats would average out to if he had roughly another 120 ABs:
70 R, 110 H, 30 2B, 25 HR, 64 RBI, .304, .420 OBP, .598 SLG
Holy crap, it’s Chase Utley!!! For what it’s worth, his ownership is up 15% in the last couple weeks, but still, I feel like I struck gold with this pickup. Also, I think he could be a nice sleeper pick for next year in a late round, though if he continues to make a name for himself, maybe not!
[Reply]
@Tony Y: I’m very wary of Carp making it through the season, but I think everyone is. Which makes trading him difficult, unless you under sell him.
@Probable Party Starter: Hehe
@peter: That trade’s fair.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:52 am
@EJ: Willingham will look even better if he picks up 1B/OF eligibility.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:59 am
@Grey: Fair? As in, even? I don’t want fair, per se. I want to be a jerk and ditch a falling pitcher for a rising one.
[Reply]
@EJ: The problem is outfielders that can put up 25 homers are pretty abundant.
@peter: May turn out to be apples for apples and I wouldn’t do a deal like that.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:02 pm
Cain, while defying gravity does have pretty normal peripherals based on his past. The only things that are different are his BABIP (30 pts lower) and LD% (~10% lower). I wonder if Cain’s stuff is improving, especially his Change-up. This would case more groundballs (like he is seeing) and weaker contact, causing both BABIP and LD% to drop. In addition he has solid defenders behind him and is pitching in a weak division.
FYI his remaining starts (if he stays on track w. rotation) are CIN, @NYM, @CIN, @COL, COL, @PHI, SD, LAD, @LAD, @ARI, ARI, @SD (7 no brainers and 2-4 more ok starts). I wouldn’t sell and think he actually makes a decent keeper.
[Reply]
@Cain Fan: Great info, thanks!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:08 pm
@Grey: Well those numbers are a projection where he would be right now if he hadn’t missed 30+ games early on, and assuming he kept the same pace of production. Right now there are 4 outfielders in all of baseball that have more than 22 homers. Cust kayin’.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:13 pm
One note on Joba – he’s given up a ridiculous amount of unearned runs this season (10 unearned vs. 45 earned). If you compare his total Runs Allowed to his FIP, there’s only a 0.10 difference. I’m not sure how errors influence FIP, if at all, but you can imagine how a misplayed ball could give Joba the opportunity to give up a costly home run, which would influence FIP.
More importantly, since the all-star break, which he claims helped him regain his focus, his FIP has been around 3.20.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:14 pm
he won’t keep up current pace!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:15 pm
@Grey: Who gets the best of this trade in a keeper league: Lackey/Vasquez for Lincecum?
Also, is it time to drop JJ Hardy? The season is 2/3 over, and I am getting tired of waiting for that elusive hot streak. The pick ups would be the usual MI rotatable schmohawks.
I think that the correction is actually occurring with Edwin Jackson. He has been less then stellar in the last month.
Thanks!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:32 pm
@Grey: Yeah, I hated seeing Wandy on that list too. He’s my binky. What are your thoughts about Alexei vs. J.Lopez? It seems Alexei isn’t really living up to expectations, whereas Lopez has really turned it on. Thanks…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:40 pm
Neftali Feliz is sick….
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/neftali-oh-my
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:41 pm
Starting Cueto against the Cubs tonight?
Relatedly, my Chipper for his D. Lowe?
Thanks.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:46 pm
ehhhh.. A little bold to make those kind of claims based on FIP alone. If you’re using xFIP or some other variation to make that claim you should at least toss their HR/FB rates up there too.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:56 pm
would you start kuroda today V MIL?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 12:56 pm
@ cain fan: 87.4 LOB% so far this year. high.
still, you have to like those matchups for the rest of the year..
[Reply]
@EJ: Sure, but you’re assuming he keeps his current production for an entire season.
@Dingo: Fair points.
@Paulie Allnuts: Drop Hardy. I’d want Lincecum.
@Prince: Alexei
@bobbo: He is indeed.
@Ceasar: I’m not starting Cueto. I’d want Chipper.
@Critter Nagurski: It’s but one way to look at guys.
[Reply]
@Martin: I would.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:14 pm
Yeah, I owned Lannan for a few starts. He ate some innings for me and that’s about it. Terrible defense, terrible K/9, so that leaves ERA/WHIP… definite drop.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:40 pm
@Grey: Im in a league thats very tight 1-8, so its hard to make deals…would you be hesitant to make a trade with the team immediately ahead of you in the standings? I have an excess of SBs and he has excess of SPs….
Thoughts on Ellsbury for Johan or McClouth for Felix, prefer either side, if any?
He could potentially gain 5pts right away from SBs from ellsbury and get a few from runs…
Do you think the 100 innings or so left in Johan or Felix can lower my ERA from 3.81 to 3.60 range and my 1.29Whip to 1.25 range with the proper lineup calls
Id also start wainwright shields garza too
Thanks…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:43 pm
Would you rather keep Votto (costs a 6th round pick) or Reynolds (costs a 17th round pick)?
In other words trade my Votto for his Reynolds, knowing the keeper rules?
[Reply]
@GTS: Yup
@matthole: I wouldn’t be hesitant if I were getting the best side of a trade in my estimation. I’d prefer the pitcher in both trades, but it depends on what you need, they’re both fair. If you need steals, grab Ellsbury. McLouth’s not going to give you that many steals.
@brad: Reynolds
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:47 pm
@brad: reynolds
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:48 pm
@Grey: Id be dealing Ellsbury for Johan or mcclouth for felix….which side would you push harder for?
[Reply]
@matthole: Ellsbury if you need steals.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:55 pm
@Grey: I could be confused or have misworded it…
Im the one who has a lead in steals and is looking for pitching help……
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:56 pm
@matthole: if the guy in front of you would gain points from steals, i’d try to sell him on mcclouth who won’t give him nearly the SBs that ellsbury will
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 1:59 pm
@ThePoonTycoon: Thanks, so you think theres still enough time to make up ground in pitching cats with an ace like felix..
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 2:04 pm
yeah, maybe not in era if you gotta climb .20, but in whip since you only gotta drop .04, sure (plus you never know when the other guy will fall back to you and meet you in the middle too). you’ll need a great 2 months from felix if you are largely relying only on him, but he’s got the skills. injuries/possible skipped starts would be my primary concern with felix just because th mariners are gonna be out of it, so any issue whatsoever will probably result in him having starts skipped/being shutdown.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 2:05 pm
the main question is that if you don’t think you can win with what you got now, what’s the harm in making a move? personally mclouth is a #3 OF/util guy in most leagues, so i would definitely move him for a felix type.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 2:07 pm
Ianetta or B. Molina? Cust or Burrell?
[Reply]
@matthole: Yeah, agree with Poon. Take F-Her.
@Mr. Rickey: Iannetta, Burrell
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 2:08 pm
holy cow razzballers,ive heard of floods before but never been in one,5 foot of water in the our basement /master bedroom,almost covered our pool,my frikin garage was 4 foot deep,my car was under to the windshield,canoes and boats going by,going to cut into my razz time for the next month but ill need this for an outlet from time to time,hey i saved the dogs and went to help my neighbor(yes i had a woodford and cigar in hand)arg,,couch days are over,but im sure ill lose about 20 pounds in the near future,now i need a great night for my teams to slightly lift my spirits(ha,get it? spirits)
[Reply]
@AL KOHOLIC: Sorry to hear that AL. Good that you saved the dogs and stogies.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 2:11 pm
@Grey: Could you rank these pitchers going forward?
U Jimenez, J Danks, G Floyd, S Baker
[Reply]
@Joe B: Ubaldo (away games), Floyd (home games only), Danks…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 2:48 pm
reyes still hurting,espn reports what AL(me)suggested yesterday,probably best to sit him the rest of the year
[Reply]
@AL KOHOLIC: Since the Mets are out of it, I’d say there’s a good chance of that.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:07 pm
@Grey: being a beltran owner,bring him back asap
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:11 pm
Fuentes a buy low right now, or stay away?
[Reply]
@AL KOHOLIC: Yeah, I’d like Beltran too. I also used to like to watch the Mets, outside of their series vs. the Backs. Haven’t watched them at all.
@I’m Keith Hernandez: If you need saves, he’s fine.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:47 pm
@AL KOHOLIC: I’d like him back too.
Trust you and yours are all OK?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:53 pm
If someone would like to explain to me why THE HOTTEST PLAYER IN MLB is getting benched for CHRIS SNYDER….????????? I’m all ears…..
Sincerely,
Miguel Montero
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:55 pm
starting gallardo vs LA?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:55 pm
@Grey: Do you like Kazmir over Bedard, Danks, Wolf or Jurrjens? He is a free agent in my 10-team league, but I’m guessing not for long…other potential free agents include Happ & Floyd…or sit tight?
Also I noticed Reyes status is at yet another setback and Yahoo is saying it might be best he sits out the rest of the season…I don’t want to waste a roster spot, when is the right time to cut him loose?
Last question, Napoli will be splitting catcher time with Mathis once Vlad returns, Montero has been hot recently but is also splitting time. I don’t want to drop Napoli but would it be worth holding 2 catchers (what if Montero keeps this up) ?
Thanks Grey!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 3:57 pm
@Nick: i’d take him over bedard unless you have a DL spot. bedard is probably better…when healthy though.
[Reply]
@Tony Y: Yeah, I feel ya, Miguel.
@RIP Harry: Yup
@Nick: Kaz over Bedard. Cut Reyes loose if you need the DL room. Just hold one catcher. Choose one of those two (I’d take Napoli, but can’t go wrong with either).
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:00 pm
@Grey: Ok so I’m going to drop Bedard for Kazmir…I don’t necessarily need the DL room if I drop Bedard because Hunter should be back soon so I guess sit tight with Reyes on the DL? or cut Reyes loose and grab Bourn off waivers (I dropped him for Peralta but now will regret it if someone grabs him)… what you think, might as well do that right?
[Reply]
@Nick: Lose Reyes, grab Bourn.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:01 pm
@Grey: Nonkeeper league drop Reyes outright?
What a waste of the second pick in the draft!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:03 pm
@BSA: Second pick!? I used my #1 pick, haha…however with Grey-Razzball crew, I have been in first since day 1! (cross-fingers, don’t jinx as my lead is slipping heavily!)
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:05 pm
@AL KOHOLIC: Sorry to hear about the flood. I even hope that your Commenter team makes some ground up tonight, (except on my team, of course!), to mellow your feelings.
[Reply]
@BSA: If you need the room on your DL, but no word saying definitely he’s out for the season, but even if he returns it’s not going to be the 1st round pick you drafted.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:10 pm
@Grey: Problem! If I do all these moves right now I won’t have anyone on the DL (with Hunter coming back) which means I will be over roster limit… who do you cut?
C-Napoli
1B-Gonzalez
2B-Utley
SS-Peralta
OF-BJ Upton, Ibanez, Hunter
U-Pena
BN-Bourn, Alexei, Pence
SP-Beckett & Bills
RP-Franklin & Hoffman
P-Wainwright, Jurrjens, Wolf
B-Danks, Jenks, Kazmir
someone has to go if I acquire Kazmir for Bedard & Bourn for Reyes…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:11 pm
*3B – Aramis
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:11 pm
@Grey: Yeah – I tell you the first month+ I had from Markakis, Sexy Alexi, Beckett, Lester, et al have digging a deep hole to dig out of. Especially since I counted on an August return for Reyes.
[Reply]
@Nick: Danks
@BSA: Yeah, bunch of tough breaks there.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:16 pm
Grey,
I am currently in a keeper league (keep 5. 5×5) and am massively overmatched in pitching so going the ratio route with MR and closers. Seeing as this is the case, i’m debating trading Halladay for a 3b. Who would you prefer between mini donkey and longo? Do you feel like reynolds has a chance to repeat this next year, or is this season just to re(mini)donkulous?
Going into next year, have Crawford, Tiex, Jroll, Halladay, Howard, beejay upton as potential keepers.
[Reply]
@Broadstreetbrawler: I’d take Longoria.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:19 pm
Longo or Doc as a keeper next year?
[Reply]
@Broadstreetbrawler: Longo
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:36 pm
What the effin’ eff is Pineiro up to?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:40 pm
@Pineiro: Dickhead.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:52 pm
Some Cubbie updates: Theriot HBP in the underside of his right arm, stayed in to run but it looked like it hurt like hell so I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s removed at some point as it may affect his ability to throw. Also, Gorzo looking pretty good so far in his Cubs debut, overcame one of Soriano’s trademark defensive “adventures” to get out of trouble in the first
Also, I would like to thank Pineiro for finally remembering that he’s not good
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:53 pm
@Paulie Allnuts: @Grey: @Steve: yeah thanks guys,be a long week,but we arent doing without,life is still good
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:57 pm
@AL KOHOLIC: I’m in the Eastern Iowa area that got pounded with historically bad floods last summer, although I’m far enough off the lake that I wasn’t directly impacted, I definitely feel your pain
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 4:58 pm
@grey-check out this site if you have time. If you follow the link it ranks the top 10 baseball seats. My personal favorite is the hotel room at rogers center and the pool at chase field. They are awesome.
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/2008-08-28-bestseats-skydome_N.htm
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:10 pm
In a perfect world, what caliber pitcher should say Ludwick and Aardsma get?
How bout Ludwick and Frasor?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:25 pm
@john: F-Her? Gallardo?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:27 pm
I was just offered Kendry Morales for Jake Peavy in a keeper league. Should I accept? Morales has been good this season, but what are his long term prospects like?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:32 pm
grey – we keep 8, and 7 of mine are easy picks. sure things may change, but who would you pick as your final keeper:
n cruz
j votto
c figgins
c pena
also – how would you rank for the rest of this season:
e dukes
j franceour
n johnson
j willingham
thanks!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:36 pm
3 hit nite for the Mini-Donkey.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:36 pm
Oh and Steal #20.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:39 pm
I am Sparkakis!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:42 pm
So glad I trotted out Pineiro against the Mets tonight. Just picked him up and this is his first start for me. Which way to the vomitorium?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:43 pm
Petit 6 IP 0 Hits as well…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:44 pm
@123: Not sure what to make of this tidbit, but only 4 of Morales 23 HRs have come off of division starters (Silva, Padill, Cahill, Braden). ???
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:44 pm
@Simply Fred: EDIT: Padilla
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:45 pm
@Adam: Thanks, the guy offered me Danks..so I was making sure I wasn’t overvaluing them
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:48 pm
I’m smiling because I just knew I’d start Pineiro and get owned. Floyd will pitch a great game now. Stake me now.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:51 pm
Gorzelanny = 1 RBI, Reds = 0 RBI. Ouch.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 5:52 pm
@john: Floyd, not Danks..so it’s worse
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:03 pm
I need closer help and have excess pitching. Would you trade Cain for Broxton, or are there strong concerns over Broxton’s health?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:07 pm
You know I have Pineiro but he has Washburn ahh man Thank you equalizer fairy.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:10 pm
@123: Here’s a good post on Morales’ prospects:
http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index.php/age-is-everything-sometimes
Basically, a lot depends on how old he really is. Depending on his age, he could be entering his prime or experiencing a late (and possibly short) peak.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:17 pm
@Elijah: Please don’t tell my wife. I laughed at her when she wanted to pick up Yosemite.
The Mets are apparently cursed this year. Luis Castillo appears seriously injured, falling down the dugout steps. Well, afterall you must pay a price for Mookie’s dribbler, and Swoboda’s equally unbelievable catch in the WS.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:22 pm
@Paulie Allnuts: dog house paulie
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:32 pm
Pick up Gorzelanny?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 6:35 pm
@Elijah: 30/20 and a .283 Avg. This is not your father’s mini-donkey!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:00 pm
What are Casey Kotchman’s keeper prospects? He’s a part time player right now in BOS, but what about next year?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:10 pm
hey bro Grey thanks for your help just sent in a paypal donation – went on my other ID – this is the beginning of other ID – (poot)
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:11 pm
been on the road last few day – too bad I was not here – looks like I missed alot
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:17 pm
Matt Cain fortune cookie says his era is not going up
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:24 pm
@Grey- Is Jones coming leaving Superman status? Peralta seems to be getting hot. Blanks is hitting HRs and I know Venable is not exciting, but he is doing some damage.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:25 pm
@Commish Cauda (formerly Mike): no way,280 hitter with 15 hr,rather take a shot with,well about anyone,,take blanks or jones or a rookie with upside
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:26 pm
I don’t like the direction Stauffer is going…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:31 pm
and phat ALBERT adds a grand salami to his solo shot,sorry paulie but your mets are in a class with my reds(atleast you have injuries to blame)
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:32 pm
@Grey: Sorry one more. I know I should not have two catchers, but Wieters is finally hitting and I picked up Napoli after the break hoping he would go crazy like last year. Similar question as the other commenter, with Napoli losing time, which catcher should I hold onto? Thanks
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:41 pm
bartlett and his .380 obp leading off,cant blame them for that but i dont see him hitting .340 all year
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:43 pm
@Paulie Allnuts: I feel you. Another Met fan here and can’t stand our struggles…but i’ll never switch to the ‘other’ NY team…thats a sin!
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:51 pm
I realize Napoli might be able to handle the rigors of a full season, but why would you sit him during a hot streak for a guy thats hitting .197?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:56 pm
@Robert: While Napoli doesn’t start every game he is an excellent hitter and provides good stats from the catcher position. If you can handle seeing him benched a few times a week then go with him because the days he starts he’s bound to hit a home-run (or at least it seems like it).
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:58 pm
@Robert: With that said, I do think Wieters may be picked up in your league (depending on # of teams). Maybe turn a quick trade involving one of your catchers?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 7:59 pm
What round do you see Jose Reyes going next year? It seems like with him Everything Falls Apart. I’m in the running for the last playoff spot in my league and would love to trade him to someone who’s out of it, someone looking for a New Day Rising, but not sure what kind of value is fair. Any suggested targets? I’ve got 2 spots to move up but only behind 2 and a half games, it seems my chances are sort of Candy Apple Gray.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:04 pm
I have Holland, Stauffer and Pineiro going today.
I’m going to cry.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:08 pm
@Charlie: depends on alot of things,but if he`s considered healthy and looks ok in spring training,then someone(not i)will still take him in the top 10
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:12 pm
@Nick: You are reading my mind. Does seem like when Nap is in there he does some damage. And I do think Wieters would be claimed if I let him go. I have tried to trade one of them without success. Owners in my league are afraid to trade, like the guy they trade might be their downfall or something.
[Reply]
@Martin: Cool, I’ll check it out.
@123: I wouldn’t make that trade.
@albertalbert: Votto, I’d own Dukes.
@Elijah: Nice!
@john: Ha!
@Emporers Monkey: Hehe
@Dexter: Broxton should be fine.
@GTS: Nope
@Commish Cauda (formerly Mike): There’s no reason to keep a player who’s not starting. He’ll go in the last round next year.
@mrbaseball: Thanks!
@Robert: Yeah, Jones is coming down to earth.
@Robert: Napoli
@Charlie: Nice run. I’d look to get at least a 2nd tier 1st baseman – say A-Gonz – or a bottom level 1st tier SP, think CC, but I have no idea what you need. I see him going in the bottom of the 1st round, beginning of the 2nd.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:36 pm
will this neftali feliz get holds in the sp spot for the remainder of the season? is he worth picking up?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:41 pm
J. Pineiro MET his match
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:41 pm
I know it’s a little late, but I like “McUpton” as a nickname for McCutchen. It kind of sounds like a hamburger with 30/30 potential.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:46 pm
Mini-Donkey seems even more appropriate now that he’s carrying my team on his back.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:49 pm
Neftali Feliz Frank Francisco/ C.J. Wilson – this will be your Brain Freeze update – when? soon – how soon your ask – soon – it might have already happened but that would be too soon
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:50 pm
I got WHIPped hard tonight..Stauffer, Aardsma and Howell
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:52 pm
currently have Kinsler and have been offered Brian Roberts for Heath Bell, and I have Bailey, Howell, Rodney, Nunez & Frasor…..do you think this is a fair trade or would one of these guys more equal? Thx
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 8:59 pm
rank the following dodger rp’s for holds potential – sherrill, troncoso, kuo. thanks…
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 9:01 pm
in regards to above….or should I just pick up M. Izturis, either Lopez, Casey McGehee or Matsui until Kinsler gets back or is it worth trading away a donkey-corn closer to get Roberts?
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 9:13 pm
@AL KOHOLIC: The Mets as a team should be put on the disgraceful list. They are almost unwatchable. I find myself switching to Phillies or Yankees games.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 9:19 pm
@Nick: I will never switch allegiance from the Mets, but I am at a point where I can’t stand to watch them. They are David Wright and 7 Triple A ball players. But tonight even K-Rod faltered.
@Steve: Look on the bright side. At least you didn’t have Contreras and Ho Che Var
[Reply]
@paulzone: Neftali should.
@mrbaseball: Hehe
@Lines: Ha!
@john: Ouch
@kR Express: That’s fair, I’d take Roberts there.
@paulzone: As you have them.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 9:43 pm
start Gaudin and Price tomorrow or leave em on the pine?
[Reply]
@kR Express: I’d sit them both in 12 team leagues and shallower.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 10:30 pm
@Grey: The guy I am up against this week has the same number of pitchers going than I do and his match ups are more favorable. His era is almost 3.00 better than mine because of Hoffman and Hughes blowing up. If I sit Price and Liriano I lose the innings category. Do you like my chances to improve era with Nolasco@Phil, Wainwright@PIT, Vazquez@LAD,Lackey vs TEX, Jurjens@LAD, Kaz@SEA going this week? The other guy has Cook@Phil, Saunders vsTex, Garza@SEA, Wells@Col, Porcello vs Bal, Hanson@SD, Feldman@LAA, Buchholz@NYY, Lester@NYY. Thank you.
[Reply]
@Robert: I like your matchups better.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 10:44 pm
Better end of the deal: Edwin Jackson for Denard Span? I’m giving up Edwin.
[Reply]
@Mike: Jackson
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 10:56 pm
OK, Grey. You’re the man.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:07 pm
What’s your take on this Venable guy? He’s been hot recently and Im wondering if its a fluke or is he for real?
[Reply]
@G: Went over him in the morning post. Grab him, he’s hot.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:14 pm
Hey Grey, what are your thoughts about Randy Wells? I know you posted about him once before, and since then he’s stayed remarkably consistent.
haha I want to fall back in his arms, but is it too late to expect him to continue to produce like he has?
[Reply]
@NickG: He should be owned in all leagues.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:24 pm
@Grey: Muchos gracias
He just hit waivers, I will have to drop either Shields or a slumping B.J. Upton to get him. I’ll have to sleep on it.
[Reply]
August 4th, 2009 at 11:30 pm
@Grey:
have you seen jhouly throw ??
the kid’s missing some bats .
look into your crystal ball …. does he project as a #2 by 2011 ??
i can wait that long ….. but not for your initial assessment , please .
[Reply]
August 5th, 2009 at 7:57 am
What do you guys think…just got offered Gallardo and Justin Upton for Carlos Lee and Gallardo in a 10 team 6×6 (ops and QS) league. I could use the most help in avg/r/ops and pretty much all pitching categories other than Ks.
I want to counter because this trade doesnt seem to do much for me, but the best pitchers he has are wainright and shileds. He does have kemp, which would help. Anyone see a match?
[Reply]
August 5th, 2009 at 8:00 am
Sorry got offered gallardo and upton for lee and cain.
[Reply]