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That’s a Fantasy Baseball Look at the signings or trades of Randy Wolf, Bobby Abreu, Aaron Heilman, Rich Hill, Andruw Jones and Ty Wiggington.  And, yes, I couldn’t resist the palindrome.  I’m real late to the discussion on some of these.  Not because I didn’t hear about them, but I just didn’t feel like they warranted immediate attention.  So here’s a fantasy baseball breakdown for these offseason signings and trades:

Ty Wiggington – Last year at 2nd base he was nice to have.  At 3rd base this year, he’s okay.  I’d slot him in between 21 and 25 on the top 20 3rd basemen for 2009 fantasy baseball.  I’d prefer to take a flier on someone like Gordon or Sandoval though if you’re that deep into the position.  This acquisition hurts Luke Scott’s value, but Luke Scott hurts Luke Scott’s value anyway.

Aaron Heilman –  So what do Dempster, Looper, Wainwright, Dennis Eckersley if you experience time in reverse, Lowe and Duchscherer have in common?  Guys that started as relievers and then found success as starters.  Check one for Heilman.  Quite a few of those guys weren’t that good as relievers.  A big, oversized second check for Heilman.  So for 2009 fantasy we expect the same from Heilman as we got last year from Dempster or Duchscherer?  Honestly, I wouldn’t expect the same from those guys in 2009, let alone from Heilman.  Though this whole moving a reliever to starter business does seem like an easy way to find a diamond in a ruff, at least in the short term.  I think in the long term it screws pitchers up by overextending them, making them risky pitchers.  Also, I’ve pretty much convinced myself that looking at Heilman’s reliever numbers mean very little.  Maybe some day Rudy will break down how these relievers move to the rotation with such great results.  What do I think it is?  Well, thanks for asking.  I think it’s part psychological.  They want to start and if they get the opportunity then they do everything to show they’re capable.  It’s part how few innings their arm has on it going into their inaugural season starting.  It’s part magic.  The only major drawback I see to Heilman is he battled some knee problems last year.  If he has more problems with his knee in 2009, then he might end up giving up home runs and being useless.  If he’s healthy, I like Aaron Heilman as a very late round 2009 fantasy sleeper.  Yup, I said it.  Finally.  Who knew I had so much to say about Heilman?  I sure didn’t when I started this treatise.  I should’ve done my thesis at the College of Fantasy Baseball at Charleston on Aaron Heilman.  Would’ve been a whole lot more productive than, “I Found My Thrill on Rich Hill.”

Rich Hill – Hey, wasn’t someone just talking about him?  You were, Grey. Ah, yes, thank you random italicized voice.  Fool me once and shame on you.  Fool me twice and shame on me.  Fool me three times and I should start tattooing notes on my body.  If Hill’s in the rotation leaving Spring Training, he’s worth a look in AL-Only leagues, but I wouldn’t start him against 70% of the AL teams.  So he’s risky to say the least.

Bobby Abreu – Nothing changes for Abreu with his move to the Angels, except maybe he’s now a lock for 20 steals whereas before he was a lock for 15 plus or minus 3.  I say he’s now a lock for 20 steals because the Angels love to steal.  They also don’t love to walk so it’ll be interesting to watch Abreu’s reaction on first base when Vladdy’s batting.  As Rex Hudler says, “From his head to his toes, that’s how Vladdy goes.”  Abreu should add about three minutes onto every Angels game.  Yay, more Rally Monkey.

Randy Wolf – Good K/9 rate makes him a solid late round flier in NL-Only leagues and a $1 auction buy.  Don’t expect the world, but 150 Ks and 4.50 ERA is in his wheelhouse.

Andruw Jones – In AL-Only leagues, I could see taking the flier on Andruw if he exits March with the center field job.  I would not expect a bounceback to former glory like Bret Michaels post-Rock of Love.  Andruw’s lost too much bat speed and gained too much girth.  BTW, isn’t it ironic that absolute locks for the Hall of Fame, Dale Murphy and Andruw Jones, both played center for the Braves at the height of their career?  It’s like rain on your wedding day, which is not really ironic.

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  1. Baron Von Vulturewins

    Baron Von Vulturewins says:
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    Thanks for this. It’s weird how quickly Druw Jones went from explosive mid-3rd rounder to explosively-midriffed 260-pounder. He’s still only, like, 30, right? Very, very odd.

    I never liked Abreu (I can’t get jazzed by less then 25 donks from an OF, plus I hate the Yankees, plus I hate OFs who disappear for half-seasons at a time) but somehow this year he seems like pretty good value to me. That is, assuming most everyone is as bored and unexcited by him as I am. He’s like McLouth, but not as sexy, and cheaper. The kind of guy who never sends you to bed with a boffo night but somehow has good stats at the end of the year. See also: Dye, Jermaine*. And the Angels should score… a bit… right?

    *Since you asked, yes, I am trying to get over my fetishistic attachment to young players and find value — and success — among old broken down ugly farts with one last good season left in them. Wish me luck!

  2. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Baron Von Vulturewins: Just don’t start getting excited about Magglio Ordonez, except for his hair, of course.

  3. Baron Von Vulturewins

    Baron Von Vulturewins says:
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    @Grey: I never liked that guy. He’s like Abreu without steals. Or knees, really.

  4. johnson says:
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    yeah. nancy kerrigan has better knees than magglio.

  5. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @johnson: And Harding has Upton’s quick wrists.

  6. TickTock says:
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    Im creating a league and I need some help on whats a reasonable innings minimum pitched per week. I dont want it to be too little but at the same time I dont want it to be so much that you have to stream pitchers. Also, should I end my season on week 24 or 25? i havent found a place to see the week by week schedule and Im close to going with week 24 because so much scrubs play on week 25. Help from anybody would be greatly appreciated. thanks in advance

  7. Wombaty says:
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    Grey, do you think there is a risk Abreu’s rbi and runs numbers will drop as an Angel even if his SBs stay around 20? The Angels don’t seem to offer quite as substantial a contingent of “former” juicers to bat him in as the Yanks, and the table setters might hurt his rbi opportunities too, no?

  8. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TickTock: Go with 24 weeks and 30 IP minimum.

    @Wombaty: That’s a fair point. They’re so poor with OBP, I wouldn’t be surprised if he loses a hair off his RBIs. Should be negligible though in the big picture, cause the Angels have more speed so they might have more guys running in front of him. Maybe he goes from 100 to 100.

  9. TickTock says:
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    thanks grey

  10. Chase says:
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    @Baron Von Vulturewins: Baron, not gonna lie. I’m halfway disappointed that you are too scared to play fantasy baseball against Sandlot’s Finest (me) this year. It shall not be the same. You will be sorely missed and easily replaced.

  11. TickTock says:
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    on yahoo whats the difference between daily-tommorow and daily-today for roster changes?

  12. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TickTock: You can change your roster either at midnight the day before games or the day of games. Do daily-today.

  13. TickTock says:
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    den wats daily-tommorow?

  14. TickTock says:
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    also, is 5 outfielders too much for a 12 team league because that would be the top 60 outfielders and once u get around 60 theres not much good outfielders. Should I go with 4 outfielders. Im trying to make my leave exciting as possible without making it too deep. Also, 5 starting pitchers or 4?

  15. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TickTock: Daily tomorrow is midnight the day before games. 5 OFs, 5 SPs.

  16. TickTock says:
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    3 relief pitchers or 2 ?
    thanks in advance

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