Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategy, Winning It
February 17, 2010
Category: 2010 Fantasy Baseball Draft, Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategy
With the RCL sign ups in full bloom, we decided to take a look at what last year’s RCLs showed us. I.e., what it took to win these fantasy baseball leagues last year. Across nine 12 team leagues, you would think you’d have some wide variations, but it’s amazingly close what you need in each category to do average vs. win. Some quick points upfront. There were 5 outfielders and one utility, so if you play in a Yahoo league with three outfielders and two utility, I’d expect a bit more offense across the board. There were 198 games started vs. 180 games started this year. So Wins and Ks were a bit high, but I’m going to factor those changes into the below numbers. 6.5 is average in a 12 team league, not 6 because the last place team has 1 point, not zero. Finally, the RCLs are made up of guys that are probably more competitive than your casual buddy office fantasy baseball league, so if you can hit these benchmarks, you should be in good shape. Anyway, here’s what it takes to win a 12 team fantasy baseball league:
Runs – 1,067
The average team last year scored 1,047 Runs, that would get them 6.5 points in the standings in Runs. To win your league, it took 1,159 Runs with the average player contributing 89 Runs. To move up a point from average, you needed an extra 20.39 Runs. So 20 runs on top of 1,047 Runs took you from 6.5 points to 7.5 in the standings. I like to aim for a 7.5 in Runs. So I would aim for 1,067 Runs or 82 Runs/player.
Home Runs — 277
The average team hit 262 homers. To win, you needed 304 homers or 23 homers/player. To move up a point from average (6.5 points in the standings), you needed an extra 7.5 homers. I like to aim for an 8.5 in homers. So I would aim for 15 homers from 262 or 277 homers or 21 homers/player.
RBIs — 1,036
The average team needed 1,016 RBIs. To win, you had to get 1,128 or 87 RBIs/player. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an extra 20.37 RBIs. I aim for a 7.5 points in RBIs. So I would aim for 1,036 RBIs or 80 RBIs/player.
Steals — 168
The average team needed 153 steals. To win, you had to get 208 or 16 steals/player. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an extra 10.02 steals. I aim for 8 points in steals. So I would aim for 168 steals or 13 steals/player.
Average — .277
The average team’s, uh, average is .277. To win, you had to get a .290. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an increase of .0314. I aim for average in, well, ya know. So I would want a .277 average. Let the rest figure itself out.
Strikeouts — 1,165
The average team’s Ks are 1,065. To win, you needed to rack up 1,238 Ks. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an extra 31.47 Ks. I aim for a 10 in Ks. Actually, I don’t aim for it, but that’s where I end up. So I would want 1,165 Ks or 129 Ks/pitcher.
Wins — 77
The average team’s pitchers won 77 games. To win, you needed to win 92. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed to win an extra 2.84 games. (Jason Marquis is good for at least two .84 wins.) I go for average here, which is 77 games or 9 wins/pitcher. Otherwise known as letting the cards fall where they may.
Saves — 117
The average team’s relievers close out 87 games. To win, you needed 133 saves. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an extra 8.52 saves. I aim for a 10 in saves. My thought is if you have extra, you can always trade those suckers. To get 10 points in saves, you needed an extra 30 saves from average or 117 saves or 39 saves from 3 closers or 29 from 4 closers.
ERA — 3.80
The average team’s pitchers had a 3.91 ERA. To win, you needed a 3.31 ERA. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an increase of .11. I aim for a 7.5 in ERA. So I would want a 3.80 ERA. In reality, ERA’s so fickle that aiming for ERA is like throwing darts at a unicorn.
WHIP — 1.25
The average team’s pitchers had a 1.30 WHIP. To win, you needed a 1.20 WHIP. To move up a point from average (6.5 points), you needed an increase of .02. I aim for a 9 in WHIP. So I would want a 1.25 WHIP.
February 17th, 2010 at 4:24 am
seems tough looking at those numbers,makes you think though,nice roundup
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February 17th, 2010 at 4:56 am
From RotoWorld: Jair Jurrjens underwent an MRI on his pitching shoulder on Tuesday and will likely find out the results on Wednesday, according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution’s David O’Brien. Jurrjens complained of mild soreness in the shoulder on Monday. The 24-year-old finished the 2009 season with a 14-10 record, 2.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 151/75 K/BB ratio. Atlanta obviously can’t afford an extended absence from the star pitcher. Stay tuned.
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:23 am
Watch out, Erik Terribell is calling Napoli his C sleeper this year. All aboard the bandwagon 3 years after the fact.
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:32 am
espn is the worst when I first started playing fantasy football/baseball I listened to Mathew berry and lost in all my leagues thank god for razzball lol
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:49 am
Grey I think a good supplemental post (done I’d guess a few weeks before the break) would be how much of each category you should have, on average, by the All-Star Break. This is my first time delving into roto style play, so it’d be useful to know where I should pick it up and what categories I can afford to trade off.
And I was wondering if you could help me out in a dilemma I usually face. Whenever I mock, and it’s the later rounds of the draft, I wonder just how much AL East pitchers can damage me. For example, it’s not rare for me to end up with Price, Lester, and Bucholz on my staff. Do you look down on this? Is there a sort of rule you have with AL East pitchers? Even though some may be sleepers, would you personally draft one, after all ready having a Garza or Lester?
I love the idea of banking on possible breakout candidates, but thoughts of ERAs over 4 and 5 run innings tend to linger when I’m deciding whether or not to draft these guys.
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:53 am
Thanks for the info. I tried calculating this the other day for one of my leagues and it was kind of pain in the but. So, thanks for doing the work for us.
Any way to spit out numbers on a 14 team league?
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:06 am
Grey I seen in the football section they created a razzball app is there gonna be baseball one coming out?
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:36 am
great post this is exactly what I was asking about the other day… Its only my second year in Roto so i basically just try and draft a well rounded team. I’d have to think thats the best route…
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:17 am
@Eddy: Great idea! I’d love to see some numbers relating to post All-Star break. I guess I could do it myself, but I’m an English teacher so math doesn’t come naturally.
I’ve seen a number of these rundowns before, but one I really liked came from Tim Dierkes. His “What It Takes to Win” series on RotoAuthority is fabulous.
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:34 am
Grey,
Unless my calculator’s math is wrong, your point total for all cats adds up to 81. Is that enough to win a 12-team RCL league? It seems low to me. For my 12-team league, historically I had targeted 90 points to win (averaging fourth in all cats) but in recent years it has taken a higher total to win (95-105), mainly because of guys at the bottom of the standings trading their high-priced guys for low-priced keepers for next year (we switched to an auction format a few years ago). So trying to normalize for a league where this sort of trading doesn’t go on (i.e., a non-keeper league), it seems to me that your target should be more around 90 points total rather than 81.
But maybe in a league where the owner talent is equally spread 81 points is enough? In my league there are usually one or two guys that are perennial bottom dwellers, so perhaps their lower-than-typical performance means you need to have more points to win; I don’t know.
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:35 am
Grey – that was a nice summation; however, I wanted to check to see how I did last year in comparison with your stats; unfortunately, they must have recently closed off last years ESPN Leagues. Maybe next year you could do this post a couple of weeks earlier.
Also, for those of us involved in deeper leagues (14-16) would it be possible to add an extra 100 players at some point to your Top 300?
Enjoy your dacquiri.
Thanks
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:40 am
@Rhymenoceros: I really liked and heavily depended on Tim D’s stuff a couple years, back but it seems to me that recently he has scaled back what he does somewhat. (Maybe he got a wife/kids/job? Lesson here: family and career ruin everything.) Tim used to do a full set of preseason auction values for all players, but I haven’t seen that from him in recent years. I still like the stuff he puts out, though; he seems to me to be one of the smarter fantasy commenters out there (second to Grey and the Razzballers, of course–”Grey and the Razzballers” sounds like a decent wedding band–maybe there’s a career in there for you, Grey.)
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:42 am
@Eddy: I too have difficulty in Mocks with the AL vs NL starter quandary. (Having unwittingly handed in a Mock Draft with all AL starters, I am the perfect foil.) I am aware that AL pitchers tend to get a .50 hike in their ERA. However, I thought that this was taken account in your top 300 ratings. The problem in drafting is that astute draftees (as will certainly be the case in the RCL Commenter drafts) are well aware of this fact. So what will happen is that you have a choice of drafting, say, a Clay Bucholz, vs the highest ranked NL pitcher, which at that point might be a Mike Pelfrey. I would think that I would take my chances with Pelfrey. It certainly seems like a potential conundrum.
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@Rabbit: FYI, Tim also runs MLBTradeRumors.com – I think he puts more of his time on that site.
@Paulie Allnuts: You can also check the Point Shares accessible via the 2010 Fantasy Baseball Rankings button up top. I haven’t adjusted yet for playing time though. That should be up in about 2 weeks.
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:01 am
@sean: Jurrjens’ MRI shows only inflammation by the way.
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@AL KOHOLIC: Thanks!
@sean: Yeah, I’m gonna have to drop him in the rankings.
@Pirate Jesus: Who, Karabell? Yikes.
@Eddy: You should be a little more than halfway into each category. Or the games prior to the ASB, divided by 162 multiplied by the numbers. I’d try not to draft more than one AL East pitcher.
@Atherton32: Rudy’s calculating it right now. Give us fifteen minutes.
@Mikey boy324: It’s coming.
@Tony: No problem.
@Rabbit: I’m aiming for that in the draft. I’m sure you’d end up with a few more points. You’d probably need more than Wins, but you shouldn’t bother aiming for them.
@Paulie Allnuts: re: extra 100 on 300 — Maybe.
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:13 am
@Grey: Its nice in theory drafting one AL East pitcher, but when you draft against 11 other Commenters who read your column, and are drafting NL pitchers by a wide margin, you are going to have to dig mighty deep to stick to that formula.
I would thing that you are going to have a staff filled with Hodge-Padres.
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:29 am
@Rudy Gamble: Thanks, Rudy. One stupid question. Why does CHONE have HanRam hat such a higher point value then Puhols? Expecially since Alberts VORP is off the charts, and he is the no-brainer first pick in everyone’s fantasy draft?
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@Atherton32: I lied. Rudy’s going to do it, but it’s going to take longer than 15 minutes.
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:47 am
I did some calculations based upon the 10-team CBS cash leagues I was in last year, and in order to take the 8 in each category, you would need to accumulate:
R: 1065
HR: 280
RBI: 1050
SB: 168
AVG: .285
W: 85
K: 1200
SV: 114
ERA: 3.56
WHIP: 1.24
I set these as my goals in Sweet Lou’s War Room excel sheet, but as I used the sheet in my draft last week, I realized that it doesn’t correctly compute ratio stats. For example, for average, it doesn’t extrapolate team total hits over team total ABs, it just takes the sum of team projected averages and divides by the number of hitters. The same with the ratios for the pitchers.
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:49 am
@Grey: Yeah, Karabell… Terribell for the awful advice he gives every year and for lifting from other sources. One of my friends submitted a question about Cueto two years ago with some interesting phrasing that just so happened to turn up slightly altered in an article Karabell ran a few days later. My guess is that he’s just lazy. Here’s the thread describing what happened…
http://www.fantasysharks.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=162977
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:57 am
are you guys ever going to do anything with projected auction prices?
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:57 am
@Pirate Jesus: It maybe not so much that Terribell is lazy, although that might be part of it. The truth of the matter is that he was hired by ESPN for reasons that had nothing to do with knowledge of fantasy sports. So blame ESPN. Actually, it may not be the worst thing when he does plagiarize; at least he is copying the thoughts of someone who actually knows what he is talking about. However, if you think that ESPN “experts” are terrible, check out the crew at CBS…
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@airlifting: What do you mean?
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February 17th, 2010 at 9:02 am
@ Grey No hurry. I really appreciate your help. I will definately be donating some money this year since I look at this webpage way too much.
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February 17th, 2010 at 9:05 am
Hey Grey, the other day I got curious… what is the best possible top 3 rounds you could realistically get?
With the first pick, you’re the first 3rd rounder, but you get a less exciting second rounder.
So… Pujols, Upton, Votto? Pujols, Rollins, Votto? I want Votto in the third if I can get him, but don’t know how possible that is.
I just feel like the first five rounds always dictate what I get later. I usually just grab the BEST regardless of position for the first three rounds and then adjust.
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February 17th, 2010 at 9:07 am
@Real Tom: Grey answered this question a scant two days ago.
http://razzball.com/best-2010-fantasy-baseball-team/
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@Real Tom: As long as you don’t go Crawford, Reyes and Rollins, or some other boneheaded first 3 rounds, you shouldn’t mess it up.
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February 17th, 2010 at 9:24 am
@Freak: Yea, that’s why I said “the other day I got curious.” I was referring to that post. After that post, I proposed a top three rounds that Grey said wasn’t very likely, so I was asking what first three rounds are both great and REALISTIC. Thanks though.
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February 17th, 2010 at 9:32 am
@Paulie Allnuts: I agree with the CBS sentiment. After last year, I don’t see myself ever doing a league on Sportsline again. Their user interface feels like I’m back to using a command line prompts. For as much customization as they offer, they could really use some help in the everyday usability department.
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@Pirate Jesus: command line prompts — Ha!
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February 17th, 2010 at 10:52 am
@Grey: most of what you guys post assume snake drafts; “this is his ADP,” “you can probably get him late in the third round.” obviously in an auction league, it doesn’t really matter; tommy hanson could be nominated…some dude freaks and springs $25 for him, though i doubt that’s what *you* would pay in an typical auction.
the spreadsheets you guys posted while back had projected dollar value…but i was just thinking something along the lines that rotoauthority or yahoo! big board does (not that i agree with either of their rankings…just their format), where they rank 1-X with their projected dollar value. in the case of the big board, when he mocks he puts draft position in each league and what he paid in an auction.
with yahoo offering auction leagues now, and a lot of people choosing to go in that direction, i think it’d be a valuable thing to do.
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@airlifting: Gotcha… Yeah, the Chone Point Shares have the dollar amounts I would use, and will use tonight for my first auction draft of the year. http://razzball.com/2010-fantasy-baseball-rankings/2010-razzball-projected-point-shares-12-team-chone/
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@Paulie Allnuts: One driver is that Point Shares takes position into account. While ‘position scarcity’ is overrated (I’ll go into that in another post), 1B does has an advantage over SS so HanRam’s stats get boosted up compared to Pujols’. I think CHONE’s plate appearance/AB estimate for HanRam are a bit high (673) and will be adjusted down in the next iteration. I imagine them almost even by the time it’s all done.
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February 17th, 2010 at 12:37 pm
@Grey:
Crawford, Reyes, Rollins?…damn, there goes my RCL strategy
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February 17th, 2010 at 12:54 pm
@Grey: @Rudy Gamble: I’m a French and Politics grad, so no sniggering, but if your auction league has a cap of $300, is it simply a matter of adding 25%, give or take, to the Point Shares dollar values?
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@Steve: it would be 300/260 = 1.15.
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February 17th, 2010 at 1:03 pm
@Rudy Gamble: Our differences laid bare for all to see
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February 17th, 2010 at 1:04 pm
@Rudy Gamble: The differences between us laid bare for all to see
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February 17th, 2010 at 1:05 pm
Oops.
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February 17th, 2010 at 1:13 pm
Do you trade Jason Bay for Brian Roberts? (12 Team, 5 x 5 league) –
My other keepers are Howard, Youk, Granderson, Santana and Beckett (I could keep up to eight, but will go into the draft with six keepers and get a couple of “early picks” – if that makes sense!)
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February 17th, 2010 at 1:29 pm
Does Kershaw’s 3.08 to 3.90 xFIP plus innings bump concern you at all?
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February 17th, 2010 at 1:37 pm
@Pirate Jesus: I understand some of the anti CBS sentiments. My main league uses CBS Sportsline and has for years. Yeah it’s expensive, but all the owners love the live scoring feature and they are all comfortable with the website. Even the customizing meets our needs……… pretty basic 5 x 5 league. The analysis and articles are rubbish, but that’s OK we all know that going in. I know Yahoo and ESPN are free, but are there other services/websites that offer live scoring……?
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@Commish Cauda: Hehe
@Euroalien: I’d want Bay.
@Tom Reale: Yup, but his extra innings from ’07 to ’08 worried me too, and those didn’t effect him. The truth is, there’s worries with almost all pitchers. Lincecum was injured and didn’t pitch well in September, ya know?
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February 17th, 2010 at 2:28 pm
@Euroalien: both espn and yahoo NOW do live scoring for free. is that what you’re asking?
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February 17th, 2010 at 2:51 pm
@Grey: Good point. I want to be a bigger Kershaw fan but I just hate the BBs and I won’t pay what others in my draft will, so he won’t get to me anyway. I guess my question has more to do with his “math.” As I understand it, since he had the lowest HR/FB% and a high FB%, he is projected to have more of those FBs turn into HRs and therefore negatively impact his ERA. For instance, Jurrjens has a similarly low HR/FB%, low BABIP, and large gap between ERA and xFIP and everyone knows that he was very “lucky” last year. But, I don’t hear anyone talking about Kershaw’s luck. Now I am not suggesting that they are in the same class at all, but with similar numbers across the board, sans K/9, it is something to think about.
If he regresses half as much as I am saying, I expect to make the Nostradamus list.
“The Duder” Lincecum (I don’t know why but watching him pitch makes me want to pour a caucasian) was able to get back on track in October so I think he might be alright this year…
PS I can’t wait until mid March when you will be fielding questions regarding Pujols .081 struggles against Lefty relievers, in the eighth inning, on the road, during day games(I made up that stat since I couldn’t find it) When’s the effen draft?
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@Tom Reale: Yeah, sans’ing on the K/9 is a decent-sized sans.
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February 17th, 2010 at 3:19 pm
Maybe the caucasians and math don’t mix as well as I thought…time for a sanswich!
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February 17th, 2010 at 3:24 pm
@brad: Brad – Yeah that’s what I was asking. Thanks for letting me know. It’s too late for this season as we’ve already renewed with CBS, but we might make the switch to one of the others next year.
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@Tom Reale: Not to mention that Kerhsaw had a low BABIP (.274). At his current 4+ BB/ 9 IP, he’s a good bet for a Billingsleyesque WHIP of 1.30+.
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February 17th, 2010 at 3:37 pm
@Rudy Gamble: Agreed. I was saying that his and Jair’s(.273)BABIP were unsustainable and I hated the BBs. Almost Sanchezian ain’t he?
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February 17th, 2010 at 4:41 pm
@Grey: I’m taking Pujols with the first overall pick, but would you recommend taking another 1b with value (say Votto at the 4/5 turn) if he’s there?
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@David: If he’s there in the 5th, sure. I’m not looking to take him though.
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:35 pm
@Grey: With the 6th pick, I went Braun, Holliday, Votto, Granderson with my first four picks. What I learned is that the 6th pick in this current draft is a terrible position to be in. I had to either stretch/reach for players or pray that they would fall. Mocking at Yahoo means that they aren’t going to fall because half of those mocks are auto-drafted. Needless to say, in my RCL I have the 6th pick and boy do I want out of this position. I was really excited for this position until I tried a mock there. Phew * end rant.
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:40 pm
@Stephen:
ugh, anywhere in the middle is such a pain to draft
in. It REALLY makes you scrutinize your draft picks, which usually results in 1-2 “omg I can’t believe I actually drafted him when THIS guy was on the board” afterthoughts.
I somehow got some beginners luck and drew the 12th spot for my RCL!
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February 17th, 2010 at 5:47 pm
@Eddy: I wouldn’t mind the 10th pick and on. But the once I got past those first few rounds I was frustrated and outfielder heavy. I ended up with Adam Jones, Adam Lind, Granderson, Braun, and Holliday.
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:00 pm
@Stephen:
Well on the bright side, you’d have the most dominate OF in your entire league. AND Adam Jones/Lind could always be trade bait for some position you ended up hurting on due to the suckassness of 6th pick.
Not to mention it wont be such a huge problem if your infield isn’t stacked with power at the corners. If you don’t mind, what was the infield you ended up with?
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:04 pm
@Eddy: I haven’t received the email with my roster, but IIRC this is what I had:
C- Miguel Montero
1B- Joey Votto
2B- (in honor of Razzball) Ian Steward (10th round)
3B- Chris Davis
SS- Everth Cabrera (22nd round)
OF- Braun
OF- Holliday
OF- Granderson
UTIL- Lind
UTIL- Adam Jones
SP- Clayton Kershaw
SP- ?
after this I cannot remember.
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:05 pm
I got Kershaw in the 6th and used the 7th on another starter and the 8th on a closer (Bell).
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:05 pm
I got Kershaw in the 7th and used the 8th on another starter and the 9th on a closer (Bell).
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@Stephen: That doesn’t look like a bad top four.
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:13 pm
@Stephen:
That team looks fine to me. The only complaint would not be getting Elvis as my SS, but that’s just me being fickle. Man, I haven’t used the word fickle in a while. Fickle. Anyways, that’s a very solid offense, and the potential downside of Davis, Stewart, and EverCab is easily offset by your insane OF.
Needless to say, if you gave me that offense and told me to run with it, I would. Very, very, far away.
@Grey:
Grey would you prefer a Longo/Fielder combo or a Longo/Tex?
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@Eddy: Longo, Tex
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:21 pm
@Grey:
all right then I made the right choice in my current mock.
First 6 picks, what do you think (had the 12th pick)
Tex
Longo
Granderson
Werth
Verlander
Lester
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:22 pm
@Grey: Not a bad top four, but the what I struggled with was finding value while keeping flexibility. There were just a lot of Outfielders and my roster couldn’t hold to many more outfielders. Further, I essentially punted my left side of my infield until the end of the draft and banking on Steward and Davis to play well.
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February 17th, 2010 at 6:26 pm
grey…would you trade longo and vmart for wright and holliday (keeper league)
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@Stephen: I hear ya.
@PJtres: Sure
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:19 pm
Hey Gray – I did a 12 team draft and took the 1st spot to see how a draft would go if you draft Hanley Ramirez instead of Albert Pujols
The players are shown in order that I picked – I had to go through this crap this way because Yahoo has not been sending me my Mock Drafts – not sure why
1- I always wait to pick number 7 to start picking my starters – I try to the best availble starter with as many K’s as I can get and use your rankings
I punt 2b and catcher
I draft 4 relief pitchers that give me 120 saves
as my bench goes – depends what is there but I am interested in one hitter and 4 pitchers for my bench – its kind of streaming from your own team to have a bench full of pitchers and you know what you have and you don’t know what you get
I draft as much power as I can get – and then pick up late cheap steals
Hanley Ramírez (FLA)-SS —–100/25/110/.320/25
Adrián González (SD)-1B——- 90/38/100/.280
Ryan Zimmerman (WAS)-3B—105/30/110/.295/5
Jayson Werth (PHI)-OF———–85/30/100/.270/18
Adam Lind (TOR)-OF————–85/35/110/.300/2
Adam Dunn (WAS)-OF———— 80/40/100/.250
Josh Johnson (FLA)-SP———– 14-6/3.35/1.22/175
Jake Peavy (CWS)-SP————10-5/3.35/1.15/145
Matt Garza (TB)-SP————— 12-9/3.80/1.24/200
Carlos Mármol (CHC)-RP——–4-3/3.15/1.30/100, 38 saves
Francisco Rodríguez -RP——– 5-2/3.10/1.30/70, 40 saves
Carlos Quentin (CWS)-ULTILTY-80/28/95/.275/5
David Price (TB)-SP——————12-9/3.75/1.30/155
Nyjer Morgan (WAS)-ULTILTY—-105/4/45/.300/45
Max Scherzer (DET)SP————-12-8/4.00/1.32/165
David Aardsma (SEA)RP———– 5-2/3.10/1.30/70, 40 saves
Ryan Franklin (STL)-RP————- 4-2/3.75/1.25/40, 30 saves
Clay Buchholz (BOS)-SP————14-9/3.95/1.34/155
David Ortiz (BOS)-BENCH———–70/27/90/.265
Juan Pierre (CWS)-BENCH———-95/1/40/.300/45
Clint Barmes (COL)-2B—————-65/15/75/.255/12
Joba Chamberlain (NYY)- BENCH- 9-6/3.85/1.34/160
Chris Iannetta (COL)- CATCHER—50/17/65/.265
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:20 pm
hmmm…gotcha…
do you think longo will eventually be a 40 HR threat though? b/c wright is looking like a 20/20 guy…which is good…but how many 40 HR 3b are there…
i think that holliday is solid and so is wright…but do you think that longo is going to be a top 5 guy in the future? or do you see wright/longo being pretty even for the next few years?
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:24 pm
Grey you are The Fantasy Baseball Council, and you are like Yoda – and we are all your students – may the draft be with you
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@mrbaseball: Solid team… You know how I feel on Peavy and Scherzer, and two Rays pitchers could give you fits, but I do like those two. Pierre and Morgan’s one way to get your steals… I’d prefer balance, but I guess whatever gets you there.
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@mrbaseball: I’m actually drafting right now.
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:29 pm
when I picked at that spot as per your rankings – Peavy and Scherzer,were rated highest on your rankings – so I took them
The Rays Pitchers add up to 355 K’s – those are fits that I can deal with
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@mrbaseball: They fits you well. Hehe… What?
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February 17th, 2010 at 7:33 pm
picking Hanley Ramírez first does fill you SS slot a weaker position -then when you are ready to draft at 1B you steal can get 40 homeruns from that spot and then add a solid thirdbaseman
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February 17th, 2010 at 8:44 pm
I am in a dynasty keep everyone keeper league and was wondering what you thought of this deal.
I would be sending Carlos Lee for Hunter Pence and Jose Lopez. How do you feel about this deal, he said I could have Pence or Reimold but I can’t decide who I like more. I am not overly excited about Lopez but my second base position consists of Ian Desmond and Felipe Lopez, neither of whom are guaranteed starters. Lemme know what you think thanks
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@Chris: I’d want the Pence side.
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February 18th, 2010 at 6:12 am
@ Grey Still no hurry but when you have the numbers for the 14 team league will they be on the comments page or will you put them somewhere else. Thanks
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February 18th, 2010 at 7:37 am
In a 10 team std 5×5 roto league (starting 12 hitters/7 pitchers), any thoughts on who holds the best draft seat? We draw for where we want to sit. I typically take a middle seat fearing the long stretch between picks and thus inability to jump in on position bandwagons, but I’m now considering the ends. How important is it to you to get a top 3?
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@Atherton32: Oh, it’ll probably be this weekend.
@Buge Hoobs: Nice username. I’d take the 10 hole.
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February 19th, 2010 at 7:08 am
building on Atherton32′s request and #20 sean’s coment, quick way to convert/comfirm these #’s for a 10 team league?
muchas gracias
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February 19th, 2010 at 8:20 am
@Tom Reale: His percentages stack up nicely next to Sanchez with the exception of the HR/9. His BABIP also is nearly the same as Haren(.280) and better than Cain, and Chris Carpenter. His strand rate was lower than Cain, Wainwright, Carpenter, Halladay and Greinke. So it is not as if he was completely lucky. The walks will come down(32 after the all star break in 71 innings compared with 59 in 99 before) the BABIP will go up(because it has to) but his ERA should still hover around 3.00
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February 19th, 2010 at 12:59 pm
@majortommy: “Now I’m not saying I’d keep Kershaw over a known hitter commodity”…That’s me quoting Grey, quoting Grey, out of context to suit my arguement, sure, but it works for Foxs News right?
How can you compare Kershaw, who walks like he lost his license, to Haren, who walks less than the 700 pound man?
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February 25th, 2010 at 3:48 am
any luck on the 14 team league numbers?
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@Atherton32: Rudy says by the end of the weekend he’ll have them.
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February 16th, 2011 at 8:26 am
Why do you think it is that different fantasy websites (Yahoo, ESPN, etc.) don’t make the league numbers readily available? It makes much harder to prepare for anything but default settings.
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