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In the NFL, every GM has a cheat sheet to help determine the value of a draft pick.  It was started by Jimmy Johnson during his Cowboy heyday and I imagine that every NFL GM has some egghead on staff who has a slightly different value for each draft pick.  This comes in handy when draft picks are exchanged or traded.

Since some fantasy baseball leagues allow you to exchange/trade draft picks (and I’ve gotten various related questions throughout the years), I built the below cheat sheet using the average projected auction values for players who ranked within the draft range – e.g., $36 under MLB 10 team for picks 1-5 was derived by averaging the top 5 dollar values on the 2012 10-team Point Shares (http://razzball.com/2012-point-shares-10-team-mlb-espn-roster/).

Notes:

  • These values are the same regardless of Roto vs. H2H
  • ESPN = C/1B/2B/SS/3B/5 OF/CI/MI/UTIL/9P, Yahoo!=C/1B/2B/SS/3B/3 OF/2 UTIL/8 SP, AL/NL-only is ESPN format with a 2nd catcher
  • For keeper leagues, there are a number of variables that would need accounting for including: 1) number of keepers, 2) are they dollars or draft picks, etc.  If you put a gun to my head and asked for my general guidance, I’d say (after crapping my pants) to add up all the keepers in the league and then start at that draft pick range.  So if you’re in a 12-team league with 5 keepers/team, the first round is worth an average of $16.

 

Estimated Auction $ Value ($260) Per Draft Pick
Draft Pick Range MLB (ESPN) MLB (Yahoo!) AL-only (2C) NL-only (2C)
 # of Teams -> 10 12 14 15 16 10 12 14 15 16 10 12 10 12
1-5 36 36 35 36 36 42 42 42 43 43 34 36 36 36
6-10 32 33 33 33 33 38 38 37 38 38 29 32 31 31
11-15 30 31 31 31 32 34 35 35 36 36 27 29 27 28
16-20 28 29 29 30 30 31 32 33 33 34 25 26 24 26
21-25 25 26 26 27 28 29 30 30 31 31 23 25 23 24
26-30 23 24 25 25 26 26 27 28 28 29 22 23 23 23
31-40 20 21 22 23 23 22 24 25 26 27 20 22 21 22
41-50 18 19 20 21 21 20 21 23 23 24 19 20 19 20
51-60 16 18 19 20 20 17 19 20 21 22 17 19 18 18
61-70 14 16 18 18 19 16 18 19 20 20 16 17 16 17
71-80 14 16 17 18 18 14 17 18 19 20 15 16 15 16
81-90 13 15 16 17 17 13 16 17 18 19 14 15 14 15
91-100 12 14 15 16 17 12 15 16 17 18 13 14 13 14
101-110 11 13 14 15 16 11 14 15 16 17 11 13 12 13
111-120 10 12 14 14 15 10 13 14 15 16 10 12 11 12
121-130 9 12 13 14 14 9 12 13 14 15 9 11 10 11
131-140 8 11 12 13 14 8 11 12 13 14 8 10 8 10
141-150 8 10 12 12 13 7 9 11 12 13 7 9 8 9
151-160 7 9 11 12 13 6 9 11 12 13 6 8 6 9
161-170 6 8 10 11 12 4 8 10 11 11 5 8 6 8
171-180 5 7 9 10 11 3 6 9 10 11 5 7 5 7
181-190 4 7 9 10 10 2 5 8 9 10 4 6 4 7
191-200 4 6 8 9 10 1 4 7 8 9 3 5 3 6
201-210 3 5 7 8 9 0 3 6 7 8 2 4 2 5
211-220 2 4 7 8 8 0 3 5 6 7 2 4 2 5
221-230 1 4 6 7 8 -1 2 5 5 6 1 3 1 4
231-240 0 3 5 6 7 -2 1 3 4 5 1 3 1 3
241-250 0 2 5 6 7 -3 1 3 4 5 0 2 0 3
251-260 -1 2 4 5 6 -3 0 2 3 4 0 2 0 2
261-270 -1 1 3 4 5 -4 -1 2 2 3 -1 2 -1 2
271-280 -2 1 3 4 5 -4 -1 1 2 3 -2 1 -1 1
281-290 -3 0 2 3 4 -5 -2 0 1 2 -2 1 -2 1
291-300 -3 0 2 3 4 -5 -2 0 1 2 -3 0 -2 0

23 Responses

  1. trick dad says:
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    ive been looking for something like this, thanks!!!

    • @trick dad, you’re welcome!

  2. kangaroo hops says:
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    Sorry, off topic to this post.

    OK, Grey & Rudy and fellow Razzballers (Grey’s mom’s term!), I need help. I’m soliciting opinions for a keeper choice in a H2H league where we can only keep players drafted in the 4th round or later. Obviously, you want to keep someone who will be in the top 3 rounds the following year. I can keep two of these: Cruz, Andrus, Michael Morse, Matt Moore, Dee Gordon.

    I had earmarked Cruz and Andrus, but I’m having second thoughts about Elvis. I can get his stats later for cheaper, I suppose, which is why I’m hesitating. Morse, maybe a fluke, but maybe not. It might be worth the risk. I think I might wait on Moore—too much rookie pitcher instability. But if he’s that great, I’d like to have him. Gordon is tempting because—if he has the potential for 50+ steals, I want him on my team and not on my opponent’s. What do you think? Cruz, Andrus, Morse, Moore, Gordon. Pick 2.

    There is no inflation, etc. Any keeper is yours 4eva. Thoughts?

    • Giacomo says:
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      @kangaroo hops, Moore could be the next elite guy in my opinion, so I would pick him and Cruz.

    • Big Magoo says:
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      @kangaroo hops, I agree with Giacomo on Moore – he looks like a sure top-10 and maybe top-5 starter for a long time. The other depends on the other keepers and what your leaguemates value. Eliminate Gordon – he’s less valuable than the others. I’d lean toward Cruz, but consider Andrus if some of the other top SS are off the board.

      • kangaroo hops says:
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        @Big Magoo, I’d like to have power. If Cruz can put together a healthy season, he’s got elite status.

    • Tom Thumb says:
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      @kangaroo hops, Moore and Andrus. Not close IMO

      • kangaroo hops says:
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        @Tom Thumb, Why are you so sure about Andrus?

    • @kangaroo hops, I like Andrus more than Gordon, everything equal. But if you get credit for a specific draft pick and Gordon is a number of draft picks later, I’d prefer that. I’d take Cruz over the others. Re: Moore, there will be plenty of SPs available to draft and it’s H2H so SPs matter a little less (draft in volume!)

      • kangaroo hops says:
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        @Rudy Gamble, I agree about the SPs, and I think Moore will be there in the middle rounds to pick up should I really want him. No credit for any picks, just flat keeper.

  3. Tom Thumb says:
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    Wow, really useful tool. Thanks! Was wondering because I haven’t seen it anywhere on the rankings… what do you guys think of Ogando this year in a holds league?

    • @Tom Thumb, You’re welcome! Ogando is an okay holds option. Adams has a lock on the 8th inning but I’m not sure how much that impacts holds.

  4. Jaker says:
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    Dang Rudy, good stuff! I need to join an auction league seems a lot more fun than simple roto snake draft. Speaking of which, I owe you and the stached one a few rounds of daiquiris; just finished my draft last night and really happy with my squad. If you have a few seconds to check it out while sipping on a bev please let me know what you think and areas I can get better (12 team 5×5 obp and I picked 4th). Thanks bro! team- C-M Montero, 1B-Te(i)x, 2B- Phillips, SS- Andrus, 3B- Wright, MI- N. Walker, CI- Reynolds, OF (5)- Braun, Jennings, Markakis, Rios, Bourjos, Util (1)- Belt or Mayberry, SP- CJ Wilson, Latos, Beachy, Joh Santana, Iwakuma, Peacock, RP- Betancourt, League, Santos, Myers, Venters.
    diggin’ it

    • @Jaker, I like the team. Seems like you were able to get a few AVG drains who are more valuable with OBP like Teix and Reynolds. good balance of power and speed. Solid pitching staff – a little lighter than ideal at the top but it’s a solid top 3. Might have some challenges in Wins/K/ERA/WHIP. Good luck!

  5. Jmonte says:
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    Thanks for the effort Rudy, will come in useful for my Mixed Auction Draft next week.

    Off topic: Any Razzballers interested in compiling a master spreadsheet taking the the averages of the top 300 rankings from as many sources as we can find?

    • B.o.B. says:
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      @Jmonte, Check out FantasyPros.com

  6. giantjj says:
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    hi rudy, with texas announcing that they hope to keep martin on the farm for most of the year, who do you like to see most of the playing time in center, gentry or borbon? thanks!

  7. @giantjj, I think Gentry will beat out Borbon but Murphy will get games at CF and not sold that Leonys won’t be called up at some point. Drafting any of those guys is a crapshoot in deep/AL-only leagues. Safest bet is that Murphy will get his 300 ABs.

  8. Ted says:
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    I’ve never done an auction draft before but I’m doing one this year. Will you all be posting NL-only auction values at any point in your Point Shares spreadsheet, or should I just use MLB $180/80?

    • @Ted, Planning on posting NL only early next week. We’re in an AL-only money league that drafts late in the pre-season so those won’t be posted until the beginning of the season.

  9. Eric says:
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    Nice work Rudy. When will u post your 20 Riskiest Pitchers article?

    • @Eric, Thanks Eric. Maybe in a week or two? Working through a backlog of posts/data crunching and that’s towards the end.

  10. Eric says:
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    I will be waiting with baited breath!

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