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“Careful what you wish for” isn’t just a cliché or a phrase that genies use in Disney movies.  “Careful what you wish for” can also be applied to you, Mr. or Ms. Fantasy Baseballer, wishing a rookie pitcher gets put into a major league rotation.  Rookie pitchers are prone to the roofie.  To misquote Shakespeare, rookie pitchers are full of sound and fury and, by the middle of the season, you can hear the sound of furious fantasy owners.  Let’s give some numbers now.  In 26 IP of his rookie year, 25 Ks, 1.15 WHIP and a 2.42 ERA.  Then in his sophomore year, his numbers were 160 2/3 IP, 130 Ks, 1.51 WHIP and a 4.82 ERA.  His wildness really stopped him from being successful with 96 walks.  There were definitely some flashes of brilliance, but almost completely unownable in fantasy.  Wait, next year hasn’t happened yet.  Oh, right, random italicized voice.  My bad.  Those are the rookie and sophomore numbers for Randy Johnson.  Randy Johnson and Dylan Bundy aren’t close to the same pitcher.  They don’t even throw with the same arm.  Luckily, cause then Randy would probably be looking to reclaim his arm at some point and that could get messy.  I tell you all of this about one of the great pitcher’s rookie and sophomore years so your expectations are in check.  Okay, ready to knock your expectations out of check?  Yeah, me too!  So what can we expect of Dylan Bundy for 2013 fantasy baseball?

First (though this is more like second), here’s what I said at the end of the year when he was called up, “Bundy’s A-Ball numbers were insane.  He was too good for A-Ball.  A-Ball called a press conference and said, “You’re embarrassing us.  Please leave”  In 30 innings, he had 40 Ks and 2 walks.  Only giving up 5 hits and zero earned runs.  High-A wasn’t quite as bonkers, but wasn’t far off — 57 IP, 66 Ks and 18 walks with a 2.84 ERA.  In Double-A, it seemed like people started to finally catch up to his talent level, but he only threw 16 2/3 IP and had 13 Ks with a 3.24 ERA.  The Orioles also told him to stop using his cutter.  They said go with your 99 MPH fastball, i.e., I Can’t Believe It’s Not A Cutter.  So he’s adjusting.  Even without the cutter, he’s going to be an ace.”  And that’s me quoting me!  I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s not called up until June of 2013, but that shouldn’t stop him for giving some serious fantasy value.  Think about how great Medlen was last year and you didn’t own him until August.  In 20 starts next year for Bundy, I could see a line of 8-3/3.40/1.10/150.  Obviously there’s a chance for huge upside.  But, as mentioned in the opening, there’s risk, over-the-internet friend.

35 Responses

  1. Justin says:
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    In a keeper, h2h 16 teams,

    Which side would you rather have

    A: Miggy
    B: Price, Choo, Dunn, Milone

    thx for the help…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Miggy

  2. JT says:
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    Grey, thanks for covering these guys so early in the off-season (or pre-season if you’re obsessed like we obviously are).

    I’m in a 12-team keeper (8 keepers across the board last season) and only kept one pitcher. Definitely need pitching (available arms: Halladay, Wainwright, H. Bailey, Lincecum, Matt Moore, Lester, Shields, Bauer, Skaggs, Bundy, Hultzen), but if I have chance to get Profar in the first round, it’s a slam-dunk, right? I have Tulo at SS and Cano at 2B but need a MI.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yup, just as obsessed… Profar is real solid, but I don’t know who else could be available as bats or if you need any other positions…

  3. justin says:
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    Grey,

    Follow up to my above Miggy trade if you would oblige,

    I get Miggy, Bj Upton
    I give: Price, Cain, Choo, Milone

    My starting pitching staff after trade would be Kershaw, Verlander, brett Anderson, M. Moore, CJ Wilson.

    thx again… as always

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I really like it for you…

  4. Steve says:
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    Hahahaha. People who choose the Gold Gloves think Adam Jones was better than Mike Trout.

    • Steve says:
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      @Steve, They’re such kidders.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mike Trout gets Platinum Gloves…

  5. JT says:
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    Guess it would help if you had more info. Sorry to be such a chode. It’s a 12 team H2H keeper. My team is pretty stacked due to some fortuitous trades last season:
    C-
    1B-Votto
    2B-Cano
    SS-Tulo
    3B-Longo
    CI-Fielder
    MI-
    OF-Braun
    OF-Trout
    OF-
    OF-
    UTIL-
    SP-Price
    SP-
    SP-
    RP-
    RP-
    BN (5 spots)

    Best hitters available at needed positions: Sandoval (UTIL?), Kipnis, Montero (J. and M.), S. Perez, the brothers Upton, AsCab, Moustakas, Hosmer, Rizzo, W. Myers, Tavares.

    Hitting Cats: R, HR, RBI, Avg, SB, OPS, K
    Pitching Cats: W, L, QS, ERA, WHIP, K, BB

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, your team is stacked… I’d try and get Justin Upton in the first round, then Sandoval then Kipnis then Profar, for drafting… I’d take Miggy and BJ for the pitchers, then I wouldn’t take Sandoval if UTIL was filled with Miggy…

  6. JT says:
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    Thanks Grey! I have 8th pick, so I’m sure J. Upton will be long gone (and another Upton-lover will likley take the consolation BJ). I think the Miggy/BJ for Pitchers was another poster…so if J.Upton is gone, Pandoval, Kipinis, Profar. Unless Andrus is moved or Kinsler breaks a nail/is moved to LF.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oops, sorry, confused you with Justin above…. Yeah, I’d take Panda, Kipnis then Profar, in that order…

  7. JT says:
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    Man. Sticky keyboard giving me trouble with vowels/spelling/generally cohesion in my sentences. Told you I was excited about the upcoming season.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JT, Ha, don’t lose your enthusiasm too prematurely here…

  8. JT says:
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    I hate this time of year. My college football team is all but mathematically eliminated, half of my fantasy football team is dead and now I’m left to ponder dropping $100 on Baseball America subscription just to feed my addiction. MEDIC!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Step away from the PayPal account, you’ll be fine without it…

  9. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    Have you watched PRAS yet? I’m not spoiling anything by saying it was godawful. Not sure I can get through another episode, let alone an entire season.

    Wouldn’t it be interesting to have a maxi-episode (or mini-season) where the 10 people who were first sent home in each season compete? Maybe a 4-piece collection… a little redemption… a lot of heinous design… the prize is that you get to come back and compete in season 11.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      It was wholly terrible… Actually forgot I watched it… Speaking of forgot… Who the hell is Suede?

      • Awesomus Maximus

        Awesomus Maximus says:
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        @Grey, Awesomus only remembers Suede because Suede referred to Suedeself in the third-person during Suede’s season, and it drove Awesomus bananas. Rickey’s the only guy who can get away with that.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          See Grey don’t remember that at all… And it seems like something Grey would remember…

  10. JT says:
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    @Awesomus: if your reply was for me, I’m lost! I used Al Gore’s Google machine to look up PRAS and found some freaky Slavic gobbledygook and one reference Project Runway All-Stars. To quote celebrated actor and erstwhile country singer Dwight Yoakam, I ain’t that lonely yet.

    • Awesomus Maximus

      Awesomus Maximus says:
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      @JT, Nah, that was to Grey. I love quoting Dwight Yoakam, though… especially as Doyle from Slingblade:

      “Just put some chips in a bowl and run ice out to us when we look low.”

      That’s unless you want to pull up a chair and watch Project Runway with Grey and me. Just not an antique:

      “You know that, I can’t so much as drink a damn glass of water around a midget or a piece of antique furniture.”

  11. Jesse says:
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    Great stuff, Grey! I use Google Alerts to follow Bundy, and I’m glad your article popped up. First one yet on Bundy’s 2013 outlook. I agree, huge rook risk.

    Let me run by you and get your thoughts on my team. I won the 2012 championship in my 10 team/keeper league, carrying Bundy along for the ride and getting a couple innings out of him at the end.

    Which 4 pitchers would you keep? Our draft budget is $260 and keeper budget is $160.

    CL – J. Johnson ($1)
    SP – K. Medlen ($1)
    SP – D. Bundy ($1)
    SP – R. Vogelsong ($1)
    SP – J. Zimmerman ($1)
    SP – A. Wainwright ($14)
    SP – C. Carpenter (STL) ($1)

    Also have Hudson, Peavy, Floyd and Dempster @ a buck too.

    I plan on keeping batters Y. Molina ($1), G. Stanton ($35), J. Votto ($37), and M. Holliday ($22). Would you keep Scutaro ($1) or Beltran ($3) over any and save the cash/make the dive at Votto for a little more next season?

    • Jesse says:
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      Zimmer is actually ($14)

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Now that you say Zimmermann is $14, I’d lean towards Beltran over Wainwright…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Medlen, Bundy, Zimmermann and Wainwright… I wouldn’t bother with Scutaro, but would consider Beltran over Waino, but would probably go Waino…

  12. Jesse says:
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    Thanks Grey, that’s good stuff. I shoulda stated its 4 batters/4 pitchers keepers.

    I like it. Medlen, Bundy, Zimm and Wainwright.

    I figure Zimm and Waino will be drafted @ +$20 next year.

    What are your thoughts on Carpenter and Vogelsong, both over 37 next year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I wouldn’t mess with Carp probably in a keeper… Vogelsong isn’t that interesting in general… He just had a solid year this year…

  13. Steve says:
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    Erv-San traded to the Royals, apparently…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He went from fantasy oblivion to deeper fantasy oblivion…

  14. ThE sHiT says:
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    It is always fun tuning in to the latest Grey posts to catch baseball talk… I don’t know how Trout didn’t get the Gold Glove though. Dude is amazing. Being a Dodgers fan, i am so stoked for a chance to get tickets when the Angels visit to see Trouty play. Heck, i will even make the trek down to Anaheim to see him play next season. He is so special that ill be telling my grandkids i owned Trout in fantasy his rookie year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      And your grand kids will be telling you about how they own a piece of the real baseball player because in the future everyone owns a piece of a baseball player… Or not, simply speculation…

  15. ThE sHiT says:
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    Grey: What are your initial projections for his line next year? I am thinking 125/.340/35/105/60. Call me crazy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Who?

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