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And then Dustin Pedroia turned my Silver Bullet into a Sam Adams.  I wouldn’t have believed it either, if I didn’t see it with my own eyes.   But Pedroia wasn’t done there.  Noooo…  With a droplet of his sweat, he defrosted Ted Williams so The Splendid Splinter could go to a Southie’s Little League game.  But that’s not it!  Did you know Pedroia single-handedly completed The Big Dig?  Sure, it was fifteen years off schedule, but it would’ve been thirty.   By the way, you lost your virginity because of Dustin Pedroia.  Yes, you did!  If he didn’t get Suzy What’s-Her-Face drunk, you’d still think boners were only associated with opening a Topps pack and finding a Dan Gladden rookie card.  Oh, and you’re lucky for C-sections, cause Pedroia is your mother.  Deal with that!  Now all of these magnificent achievements by Pedroia could make him overrated in 2009 fantasy baseball, but luckily we all have minds of our own, right?

Wrong.  What are you people doing?  Seriously.  I see Pedroia being drafted as early as the 2nd round in some drafts. Why not just make him the first pick overall and be done with it?  What are you people honestly hoping for in 2009 from Pedroia?  A 40/40 season?  Unless dooode is shooting up some Bondsteriodian clear, he’s not going to come close to fulfilling your expectations.  He’s a 15/15 guy with some upside for more.  But there’s downside on those numbers too.  You really want a 12/12 2nd baseman in the 2nd round?  Why not just draft Yunel with your first pick and Dusty second?  Sure, position scarcity makes Pedroia a wee bit more valuable, but not as valuable as I’ve seen him being drafted.  Then there’s his 118 RBIs last year.  He hit .307 with RISP, not completely clutch.  In 2007, he hit .263 with RISP and drove in 50.  Could he drive in only 50 again?  Yup.  Or maybe he drives in 60.  Still not 2nd round (or 3rd round) value.  His HR/fly balls were double in 2008 than they were in 2007, he had only 50 walks in over 700 plate appearances and he cured rubella.  Listen, he’s about the fourth best 2nd baseman going into 2009.  He’s not a 2nd (or even 3rd) round pick.  Chillax, people.  You would’ve got laid eventually, with or without Dustin Pedroia‘s help.

22 Responses

  1. Steve says:
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    Put that in your pipe and smoke it, y’all.

  2. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Actually, what I should have said is that I won’t be following the path of Dusty’s Trail, either.

  3. big o says:
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    did you ever track down tracy nelson’s “cry on” ?

  4. Eric W says:
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    You betta recognize!! dustin pedroia as the 5th best fantasy second basemen……..

  5. big o says:
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    i believe the thinking goes ===> those ranked above him are 3 guys with a history of injury and a 31 year old base-stealer.
    clearly pedroia is the safe pick for 2009 .

  6. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU! I’ve been trying to get over taking him in my first mock draft back in November, and I’ve regretted it like the time I went to a Cubs game at Wrigley and dumped a beer on a baby.

    Utley, Kinsler, Alexei and perhaps a tie between Pedroia and Uggla. Position scarcity is OVERRATED. You can get great numbers from drafting the best possible player on the board and balance your team out late in the draft.

  7. sean says:
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    @Grey: Preach!

    @bigO: The thinking I’ve seen splattered on in the interwebs is that Pedroia w/ upside is > Utley for 80% of the season.

    While this thinking isn’t totally unreasonable, I think it SHOULD correlate in drafts to trying to snag Pedroia in the 5/6th round and getting equal value to someone’s pick of Utley in the 2nd, but it’s NOT happening in mock draft practice. Instead, the hype correlates to people trying to be the first to make the “expert” pick of the draft by snagging Pedroia in the second (er.. first, er.. third) round.

    Pedroia is NOT the best 2B in the league; for my money, he’s not the best 2B in the AL. He is, however, a 5’6, balding, schmohawk cribbage addict who closes his eyes and swings out of his shoes in every AB. What’s not to love?

    In his defense, he did have the greatest interaction with a security guard EVER:

    “He was stopped at the players’ entrance at Coors Field in Denver during [The 2007] World Series against the Colorado Rockies. The security guard didn’t believe Pedroia was a player and shooed him away. Pedroia seethed. He produced his players’ ID card, and the security guard questioned whether it was legitimate.

    Pedroia, unable to contain his rage any longer, dropped a subtle reminder, much to the delight of Red Sox manager Terry Francona, who tells the story.

    ‘He says, “You don’t know who I am? You don’t know who I am?”’ Francona says. ” ‘Ask Jeff f———- Francis who the f—- I am. I’m the guy who hit a bomb and just ended their f———- season.””

    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/al/redsox/2008-09-14-Pedroia_N.htm

  8. TY says:
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    Me and my best friend talked his buddy into Keeping Pedroia over Beltran, which the difference between the two probably isn’t that great, but its funny how hyped Pedroia is…. he switched right after the MVP announcement came out LOL

    I hope he flops in 09

  9. Shogun says:
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    Yes, Pedroia is very overrated. I’d still take Brandon Phillips over him.

  10. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Glad you’re on the ‘trail’ to righteousness.

    @big o: I did! I liked it, very bluesy. Felt like I should be smoking a spliff and working on the railroad. In the end, I’m more of a Ludacris guy.

    @Eric W: Ha! I almost listed him as the 5th best, but my tentativeness on Alexei and my dislike for Brian Roberts made that impossible.

    @IowaCubs: Rudy’s been preaching position scarcity is overrated since last year — (http://razzball.com/don%E2%80%99t-meddle-with-middling-middle-infielders-in-the-middle-rounds/)

    @sean: You go ahead and preach yourself. Nice!

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @TY: Actually I’d say the difference is pretty large between them and your buddy should’ve kept Beltran.

    @Shogun: I’ve never liked Brandon Phillips but he’s suddenly become a bargain this year. I agree with you.

  12. ess says:
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    You may be onto something. I found this interesting….

    last two season:

    Dustin Pedroia : 297 games, .322/.378/.471 204r/25hr/133rbi/27s

    Kelly Johnson: 297games, .282/.362/.451 177r/28hr/137rbi/20s

    Where is Johnson going in drafts? Like 175 or something probably.

  13. BigFatHippo says:
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    @ess: Wow, eye opener.

    I may have to target KJ to play 2b.

  14. @BigFatHippo: avoid KJ. he’s the equivalent of pancakes. they always sound like a good idea but then you have a few bites and you’re wondering why the hell you wanted pancakes so much.

    I’m not a fan of Pedroia as a 2nd round pick but he did come up #44 in the Marcel-based Point Shares (http://razzball.com/2009-fantasy-baseball-rankings/2009-razzball-projected-point-shares-10-team-marcel/). He came out as the 2nd most valuable 2B compared to Utley but it’s all based on him getting a ton of runs (possible if he hits 1st, 2nd or 3rd), hitting .315 (possible), and maintaining 15-20 HRs.

    I see him as I’ve seen Jeter over the years – I’d like him on my team but not worth the price.

    Best value 2B in my eyes will be…..Freddy Sanchez!!! Basically hit .300/80/10/80 for 3 years prior to last year when he was dealing with a sore shoulder. Sucked in the first half but hit .346 in the 2nd half. If he’s healthy and hitting 2nd or 3rd, he’ll put up 80-90% of Pedroia’s #s and you can get him in the 20th round….

  15. Denys says:
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    @sean: Utley in the 2nd? Insanity! What is it – a 6 team league? Utley is a late first round pick. Always. Period. ..
    I know some people will say “Ohh late first, early second round.” Which would be FALSE. Because he’ll go between pick 8 and 10 consistently.

  16. Steve says:
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    @Rudy Gamble: @BigFatHippo: You could mount a decent argument that pancakes are actually more sustaining.

    Having drafted him in the 17th or somesuch, I suffered through two-thirds of a season with KJ in ’08. It was spirit-sapping (prob didn’t help having Renteria as well).

    The day I dumped his sorry ass for Al-Ram was one of the happiest of my life.

  17. @Steve: I had KJ on one team too…ugh. But I already had seen through Renteria (see the middling infielder post of mine that Grey linked too earlier). The good thing about prognosticating is that, if you do enough, something will make you look smart. Frigin Al-Ram….I had him on my radar in March but Yahoo! didn’t add him. Then Ozzie wouldn’t start him…frigin’ a, all the crappy 2B at-bats i had to endure until i picked up DeRosa…

    @Denys: If he’s healthy, agreed. That’s a big if right now.

  18. Steve says:
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    @Rudy Gamble: Even the stopped clock is right twice a day ;-)

  19. BigFatHippo says:
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    @Rudy Gamble and steve: Mmmmmm, pancakes…………..

    Thanks man, good reasoning.
    The only reason I would even consider a 2b such as KJ is because all of the others worth owning will be gone. Utley wll be too expensive for me, Kinsler will be kept for 13, Phillips for 13, Al-ram for 5, Scrappy Doo for 8, Uggla for 10. I can’t see any of these guys being released.

    So, Freddy Sanchez huh? Not a bad thought but going from owning Utley one year to a schmohawk the next leaves a bad taste in my mouth, not unlike my ex-wifes pancakes.

    Lets hope Freddy wins the batting title again next year.

  20. @BigFatHippo: Another good thing about Freddy…if he sucks in April, you’ll have no issues dropping him and picking up next year’s Al-Ram or DeRosa….harder to do with the 2nd/3rd tier 2Bs….

  21. elwood says:
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    Great!
    keep it comin
    goin to send these clipps to Bugsy.
    WAS Expectin 40/40, but with this ammo, should get Bugsy up to 60/60.
    Bugsy’s actually a livin baseball who feeds on “can’t dos’
    How else could someone as slow as molasses steal 20?

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