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From the land of Pilgrims, Cranberries, Sachems, and Ocean Spray, it’s Middleborough, Massachusetts’ own Sean Newcomb. A true Masshole through and through, over the course of his time in the minors, he’s refused to throw strikes with any regularity. This all changed last week, as Newcomb crushed two XL Great One’s from Dunks, and a marble cruller, before crushing the souls of the Mets. I’ve long followed Newcomb’s career dating back to his high school days at Middleborough. As he’s the rare professional sports product from my corner of the world. After some ups and downs, mostly due to control, or lack there of. Newcomb made his triumphant major league debut a little over a week ago, and in the process looked phenomenal. Flashing control and command he never possessed before. So today, we dig into the second start from the young lefty, at home vs Miami, and Giancarlo. A tough task for the rookie… Oh yeah, then we rank some pitchers.

 

Scouting Report: A big power lefty, Newcomb’s arsenal features 4 offerings in his 4 seam fastball, curve, slider, and change. Now forget I even wrote that he had a change and slider, because he rarely throws either. His 4-seam fastball sits mid to high 90’s, without a ton of movement, but it jumps on hitters quickly. His curveball sits in the upper 70’s, with some glove-side run. The hook generates almost exclusively fly-ball contact. Nearly 95% of his usage is between those two pitches. So know the fastball-curve combo, know his arsenal. Newcomb does mix in the slider every so often, but it’s a below average pitch. He does however generate swings and misses in bunches, consistently putting up high K per totals in the minors.

Sean Newcomb vs. Miami Marlins, June 16th, 2017 Suntrust Park, Atlanta, GA

First Inning

Dee Gordon – Fastball inside and over the plate at 99, second pitch is another fastball this time at 98 over the inner half of the plate, and Gordon goes the other way for a single.

Giancarlo Stanton – Fastball at 97 on the outer half, strike 1, swinging strike two over the outer half again at 99, a high fastball is more less a pitch out as Gordon heads for second, but the throw is too late, 1-2, and a 98 MPH fastball high and outside gets Stanton. Nasty pitch.

Christian Yelich – A 98 MPH fastball over the heart of the plate is hit the other way to the gap in left center, and Gordon scores on an RBI double for Yelich.

Marcell Ozuna – Starts off Ozuna with a curveball at 80 MPH to the outside, ball 1, a 98 MPH fastball low and outside, ball 2, 100 MPH!!! on the outside, Ball 3, 97 MPH fastball high and outside, a four pitch walk.

J.T. Realmuto – Starts off Realmuto at 101 on the outside. Holy moly, I’ve never seen Newcomb throw cheese like this, the guns must be hot. Lotta noise for a ball 1. 100 on the outer part of the plate and Realmuto fouls it off, strike 1, 99 MPH fastball for a swinging strike 2, Newcomb checks back Yelich at second, a 77 MPH curveball on the outer-corner is fouled off, a fastball at 100 high in the zone is skied to center for the second out, as the runners tag, and advance.

Justin Bour – Starts off the slugger with a curve in the dirt, ball 1, fastball at 100 on the inside is taken for ball 2, a 77 MPH curveball gets Bour to swing and miss, strike 1, a fastball at 99 high in the zone is fouled the other way, strike 2, a 77 MPH curve in on the hands is fouled off, 2-2 count, a cue shot off the end of the bat on a curveball is dribbled to Newcomb, who throws low, but Matt Adams does a nice job of staying on the bag.

Some good, and some ugly in this inning, definitely seems to struggle to not throw his fastball over the heart of the plate to lefties. The curveball looked like a great chase pitch, particularly when he got Bour to miss. Let’s discuss the elephant in the room, HOLY CRAP HE HIT 100!!!! According to the gun on the Braves broadcast he hit 100 five times in the first. Serious cheese!

Second Inning

Christian Colon – Fastball at 94 MPH on the outside, ball 1, fastball at 96 high in the zone saws off Colon, as he bounces an easy out to the pitcher, Newcomb tosses to first for the out.

JT Riddle – Fastball at 99 on the inner half, strike 1, curveball gets a check swing from Riddle for strike 2, a curveball high and in on the hands is fouled off, 0-2, a fastball at 95 in on the hands is fouled off, a 78 MPH curveball is chopped off the plate, still 0-2, a low fastball at 99 is taken for ball 1, a 98 MPH fastball on the outside corner gets Riddle looking. Two outs.

Dan Straily – High fastball at 95 starts him off for ball 1, the next pitch is a low fastball that Straily golfs a lazy fly to right field for out number three.

Excellent inning by Newcomb, as he does his job taking care of the bottom of the order on 11 pitches. He got weak contact from two batters, and threw consistent strikes to all three.

Third Inning

Dee Gordon – Fastball at 96 on the outside taken for ball 1, 81 MPh slider grounded to short, and Gordon is the first out.

Giancarlo Stanton – Buries the curveball and Stanton bites for a swinging strike 1, 95 MPH on the outside ball 1, another curveball bounces off the plate and Stanton swings again! Strike 2, curveball wayyyy outside, ball 2, Another hook on the outer-half and it’s cued over to third, and the throw beats Stanton for the second out.

Christian Yelich – Fastball at 98 down Main St., but I guess it’s too low, ball 1, 99 on the outer half, glove-side, strike 1, 83 MPH slider gets a bouncing foul ball, strike 2, a curveball low and under the hands is slapped to Phillips at second and he easily tosses out Yelich.

Another 1-2-3 inning for Newcomb as he sits down the top of the order on 11 pitches! That’s back to back 1-2-3 innings on 11 pitches. Great run for Newcomb, even the slider has been effective the couple of times he’s introduced it.

Fourth Inning

Marcell Ozuna – Starts off Ozuna with a 76 MPH hook that bounces before home, but gets a swing from Ozuna, strike 1, 100 MPH again on the outside, ball 1, 100 MPH high and in the zone, ans it’s fouled off, strike 2, 78 MPH curve on the outside is taken for ball 2, another high fastball, full count, 99 MPH fastball is hit hard on the ground to Matt Adams at first, Newcomb hustles over gets Adams throw and beats a hustling Ozuna to the bag. One out.

J.T. Realmuto – High fastball at 99 on the top of the zone is hit to center for a lazy fly ball, and a one pitch out for Newcomb. Two outs.

Justin Bour – Curveball at 76 is low and inside, ball 1, a fastball high and over the heart of the plate is hit 400+ feet to center for a homer.

Christian Colon – Fastball at 100 down Main St is taken for strike 1, a high fastball at 100 again is swung on, and hit for a lazy fly to left- center.

Outisde of one mistake to Bour it was another strong inning from Newcomb as he once again only needed 11 pitches. Bour’s homer was the first hard fly ball contact off Newcomb today.

Fifth Inning

JT Riddle – Newcomb starts Riddle off with a 73 MPH curve that runs in toward the plate, but misses for ball 1, he follows that up with a 81 MPH curve low in the zone, that hooks over the outside corner, strike 1, fastball at 97, low for ball 2, followed up by a 97 MPH fastball high in the zone on the outside corner is fouled off, count even at 2-2, a 98 MPH pitch on the inside is fouled down the first base line, 78 MPH curve on the inner-half of the plate, hit foul, 97 MPH fastball, hit foul, 85 MPH changeup is fouled back, 99 MPH fastball  in on the hands is grounded to second, Phillips makes the throw for the first out of the fifth.

Dan Straily – 96 MPH for a strike on the outer half, 97 MPH down Main St., strike 2, 97 MPH on the outer half, foul ball, rings him up with the 74 MPH curveball on the outside part of the plate.

Dee Gordon – Curve at 79, low and inside, ball 1, changeup at 85 MPH low, ball 2, inside fastball at 98 is hit on the ground to first, Adams trots to first, tags, and the side is retired.

Interesting inning for Newcomb, he continued his strong run of innings going 1-2-3 for the third time in 5 innings including retiring 9 out of 10 consecutive batters. He started to mix in the change a little this inning, and it didn’t look bad. Lots of movement, but some question as to whether or not he can control it.

Sixth Inning

Giancarlo Stanton – High fastball at 95 is hit into center for a single. Little shocked Newcomb didn’t go back to the curveball, Stanton’s been fooled a few times by the hook already.

Christian Yelich – 96 MPH fastball outer half to the glove-side is swung through for strike 1, curve at 75 low in the zone, ball 1, another fastball at 96 high to the glove-side is swung on and missed by Yelich, strike 2, 82 MPH slider on the inside taken for ball 2, 82 MPH slider on the inside this time is hit into center for another single.

Marcell Ozuna – 98 MPH on the outside, ball 1, 75 MPH curveball on the outside, ball 2, 100 MPH inside to Ozuna, and it’s fouled back, strike 1, 96 on the outer half, and it’s hit foul again, strike 2, 76 MPH curve way outside, ball 3, 79 MPH curveball fouled back, full count, 97 MPH fastball, foul, 89 MPH outside, almost looked like a pitch out, because it didn’t have his changeup movement, walk. Bases loaded.

J.T. Realmuto – starts off the catcher with a fastball over the heart of the plate at 98, strike 1, 99 MPH on the outer-half, strike 2, a 100 MPH fastball on the outer-half, gets a groundball to 3rd and Camargo starts a double play, but Stanton still scores.

Justin Bour – 98 MPH on the outside, ball 1, 97 MPH low and outside, ball 2, 84 MPH slider, gets a swing and miss, strike 1, 77 MPH curve bounces off the plate, ball 3, 98 MPH down Main St., strike 2, a 97 MPH pitch that should have been strike 3, is called a ball, and Bour is awarded first. 2 outs, runners at the corners.

Christian Colon – 80 MPH curve bounces off the plate, ball 1, rainbow curve on the outside, ball 2, 100 MPH pitch on the outside fouled off, strike 1, Newcomb follows up with a 99 MPH fastball, that’s fouled off, strike 2, another outside fastball, this time at 95, is fouled off, 2-2 count, 79 MPH curve bounces off the plate for ball 3, low curveball, ball 4, and Colon walks.

JT Riddle – 99 MPH on the outside, ball 1, 97 MPH in on the hands is fouled off, strike 1, 81 MPH slider is just a bit outside, ball 2, inside fastball at 97 is fouled off, strike 2, a fastball down the middle at 99 is hit hard to Swanson at short, and he makes a great play, throwing to Adams, the throw pulls the first baseman off the bag, but he’s able to tag Riddle for the third out.

Final Line: 6 Innings, 5 Hits, 4 Walks, 3 Earned Runs, 3 K’s, 1 HR, 106 Pitches, 67 Strikes, Game Score 46.

Summary: Two bad innings sandwiched four pretty strong frames for Newcomb today. He definitely had more control issues than his previous start, but there’s not a lot of pitches I felt he missed on. As much as he throws on the outside to try and get guys chasing his fastball, and curve. He rarely uses the slider or change, but both were better than advertised. He started to work inside to righties, and outside to lefties more as the game progressed, and I think his ability to do those two things will ultimately drive his success. He didn’t have the swing and miss stuff today, but you can see that it’s there. I wish he would waste less pitches trying to get guys chasing, and go at hitters more often with his high 90’s heat. He was throwing smoke all day, and as someone who’s followed Newcomb’s career, I haven’t seen him hit triple digits before, let alone a dozen plus times in an outing. I’m still skeptical of him as an every week option, but there’s much to be encouraged by.

 

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Max Scherzer, WAS 
2 Chris Sale, BOS
3 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
4 Yu Darvish, TEX
5 Zack Greinke, ARI
6 Chris Archer, TB
7 Jacob deGrom, NYM  
8 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
9 Alex Wood, LAD 
10 Carlos Martinez, STL  
11 Corey Kluber, CLE
12 Carlos Carrasco, CLE  
13 Luis Severino, NYY  
14 Robbie Ray, ARI
15 Jake Arrieta, CHC  
16 Johnny Cueto, SF
17 James Paxton, SEA 
18 Jon Lester, CHC   
19 Michael Pineda, NYY
20 Michael Fulmer, DET  
21 Jeff Samardzija, SF
22 Jason Vargas, KC   
23 Jose Berrios, MIN
24 David Price, BOS 
25 Sean Manaea, OAK 
26 Marcus Stroman, TOR
27 Dylan Bundy, BAL 
28 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
29 Ivan Nova, PIT
30 Steven Matz, NYM  
31 Dan Straily, MIA 
32 Marco Estrada, TOR 
33 Lance Lynn, STL
34 Ervin Santana, MIN
35 Gerrit Cole, PIT 
36 Jameson Taillon, PIT
37 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
38 Sonny Gray, OAK  
39 J.A. Happ, TOR
40 Taijuan Walker, ARI 
41 Chase Anderson, MIL 
42 Zack Godley, ARI 
43 Francisco Liriano, TOR   
44 Jose Quintana, CHW   
45 Rich Hill, LAD 
46 Jake Odorizzi, TB
47 Justin Verlander, DET  
48 Brandon McCarthy, LAD
49 Jacob Faria, TB 
50 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL 
51 Junior Guerra, MIL
52 Mike Leake, STL  
53 Rick Porcello, BOS 
54 Edinson Volquez, MIA 
55 Kenta Maeda, LAD
56 Drew Pomeranz, BOS    
57 Jordan Montgomery, NYY    
58 Tanner Roark, WAS
59 Zack Wheeler, NYM 
60 Jaime Garcia, ATL
61 Jeff Hoffman, COL
62 Mike Clevinger, CLE
63   Tyler Chatwood, COL
64 Tyson Ross, TEX  
65 Jesse Hahn, OAK    
66 John Lackey, CHC      
67 Wade Miley, BAL    
68 Antonio Senzatela, COL  
69 Luis Perdomo, SD
70 Ariel Miranda, SEA 
71 Brad Peacock, HOU  
72 Randall Delgado, ARI
73 Sean Newcomb, ATL   
74 Trevor Bauer, CLE  
75  Kyle Freeland, COL 
76 Robert Gsellman, NYM  
77 German Marquez, COL   
78  Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD  
79 Ty Blach, SF  
80 Daniel Norris, DET
81 Aaron Nola, PHI  
82 Joe Ross, WAS 
83  Zach Davies, MIL  
84 Derek Holland, CWS  
85  Michael Wacha, STL  
86 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI
87 Alex Meyer, LAA  
88 Jose Urena, FLA  
89 Julio Teheran, ATL
90 Tim Adleman, CIN 
91  Alex Cobb, TB
92 Joe Biagini, TOR
93 Josh Tomlin, CLE   
94 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY 
95  Adam Wainwright, STL  
96 Clayton Richard, SD   
97 Matt Moore, SF
98 Dinelson Lamet, SD 
99 Sam Gaviglio, SEA 
100 Jake Junis, KC

 

Disabled List (Ranking When Active): Madison Bumgarner, SF (3) , Lance McCullers, HOU (7), Noah Syndergaard, NYM (8), Dallas Keuchel, HOU (13), Danny Duffy (19), KC, Jon Gray, COL (26), Kyle Hendricks, CHC (33), Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS (31), Aaron Sanchez, TOR (34), Charlie Morton, HOU (46), Carlos Rodon, CHW (49), C.C. Sabathia, NYY  (51) Matt Shoemaker, LAA  (54)Andrew Triggs, OAK (61), Felix Hernandez, SEA (62), Trevor Cahill, SD (66), Matt Andriese, TB (68),Vincent Velasquez, PHI (73), Kendall Graveman, OAK (76), Matt Harvey, NYM (99

Coming Up: Brandon Woodruff, MIL (DL), Chance Adams, NYY, Jose De Leon, TB, Josh Hader, MIL, Brent Honeywell, TB

Dropped off: Kevin Gausman, BAL, Trevor Williams, PIT, Joe Musgrove, HOUErasmo Ramirez, TB, Danny Salazar, CLE, Julio Urias, LAD, Patrick Corbin, ARI, Chad Kuhl, PIT, Amir Garrett, CIN, Matt Garza, MIL, Tyler Anderson, COL, Jesse Chavez, LAA, Jeremy Hellickson, PHI, Ricky Nolasco, LAA, J.C. Ramirez, LAA

  • Since returning from the DL James Paxton has pretty much been junk. He’s 2-2 in four starts, with a 7.00 ERA, 8.5 K/9, 4.5 Bb/9, and 3 homers allowed. I wouldn’t cut bait yet, but if he strings together a few good starts, I might try and move him. Something ain’t right, but is it really ever with Paxton?
  • Not the best day to sing Robbie Ray’s praises following a sub-par effort on Sunday. However, I’m impressed by the changes in Ray’s approach in 2017. His curveball usage has spiked dramatically, giving the lefty a true third offering. In fact based off Fangraphs pitch values, the curve has been his best pitch. Everything is working for Ray at the moment, I’m buying no matter the format. Home starts be damned! Seriously, his ERA is 1.32 in road starts.
  • Johnny Cueto and John Lackey each have a serious home run problem. Cueto allowed 3 homers again on Wednesday for the second time this year. He’s actually allowed multiple homers in 5 of 14 starts, the same amount of times he’s allowed no homers. With a glance at his heatmaps, it looks as though he’s leaving his fastball over the middle of the plate, a lot, and the changeup is getting walloped on the armside part of the zone. Lackey on the other hand has allowed homers in 12 of his 14 starts, and multiple homers in 6 of the 12.
  • I was very excited for the MLB debut of Brewers righty Brandon Woodruff, but a pre-game tweak, saw Woodruff get scratched, and land on the DL. So he stays in the coming up section until further notice.

 

Follow me on Twitter @Ralphlifshitzbb, and check out my weekly Live Baseball Show on Fantrax YouTube channel Tuesday’s at 9 PM EST

   
  1. John Hagar says:
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    Thanks for your great work, Ralph! I always enjoy it!

    For this week, I see you have Rich Hill ranked above Junior Guerra and Alex Cobb (who might start twice if they choose to skip Faria or Ramirez with their off day).

    In a 5×5 Roto with weekly lineups, which of the 3 should I start this week? I’m leaning towards using Guerra, but I trust your rankings and a second start for Cobb might be nice.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @John Hagar: I’d start Hill against the Mets. Don’t trust Guerra much, Cobb almost not at all.

  2. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Great writeup. Noticed T-Ross entering the fray. Did you happen to catch his debut? The statline looks pretty vintage T-Ross, which was surprising to say the least. Definitely planning to see how he fares against TOR first, but he definitely peaked my interest.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I watched about 3 innings and he looked like Tyson Ross to me. The slider was classic. So we’ll see.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Good to hear! Thanks.

  3. KarlJ says:
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    Hi Ralph
    I asked this in your prospects blog. In a redraft league would you rather have Newcomb or Chance Adams? I assume Adams is up by all star break

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @KarlJ: I’m going Newcomb, he says up and he’s not pitching in the AL East.

  4. Chucky says:
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    Manea v Houston, Godley @ Colorado, Wacha @ Philadelphia, Guerra v Pittsburgh and Nola v StL. Which two you got? Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chucky: I’ll roll Manaea at home even against a top offense. Then Guerra at home vs Pittsburgh. I don’t trust Wacha at all. He’s way off.

  5. Reece King says:
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    Ralph,

    Would you drop Wacha for Alex Meyer? Wacha has been awful lately.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Reece King: If it’s a redraft where say the last 20-30 on this list aren’t owned at various times then absolutely. Wacha had a great month and a garbage month.

  6. Mike says:
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    Is Tanaka officially droppable in all leagues? The K’s are the only thing that’s keeping him around.

    What side you got? Ozuna/Andrus or Scherzer/Owings?

    • Jaaaaaake.crab says:
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      @Mike: Admittedly he is very frustrating but what options do you realistically have?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Mike: @Jaaaaaake.crab: He’s a sit and stash. There’s no way you can trust him right now. In the right formats RCL’s for example, he’s droppable.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike: Scherzer side, he’s the best player. As much as I like the other two

  7. PM_me_alexwood_woodies says:
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    You definitely need to get Wood ahead of Yu Darvish. Too many walks. Ugh, am I talking to an imaginary brick wall over here? What kind of Halp do I need to get through to you?

    Bless Gleyber’s heart and his UCL. A sad day for the Crab Army.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @PM_me_alexwood_woodies: Indeed, or perhaps another victim of our claws. Teaches him not to get called up on us!

      You know I’m starting to feel like Alex Wood at 4 is right. It feels right! I’m nervous about another phantom 10 day stint. Have to discount for that.

      • PM_me_alexwood_woodies says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Don’t argue with results, peasant

  8. LeBronson Arroyo says:
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    How would you value Glasnow and Giolito in a keep forever dynasty? Worth taking up valuable roster space? Can’t imagine moving them for much.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @LeBronson Arroyo: I’d value Giolito as a mid-rotation guy and Glasnow as a possible elite pen piece. I think Glasnow needs to go to the pen. Giolito’s fixed husband mechanics and looks solid, not great but solid.

  9. BenJammin says:
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    Where is McCullers?!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @BenJammin: On the DL.

  10. Jason says:
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    Hi Ralph,

    I love your analysis!!! Who do you like better in a hold forever 12 team dynasty points league, D Fisher or Margot? It’s a standard points league with -1 pts for strikeouts and 2 pts for stolen bases. 2017 production is a bonus but I’m primarily looking for the better long-term option. We have pretty thin rosters so I would have trouble holding both. Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jason: Long term it’s Margot, might be Fisher this year. The points element really plays up Margot’s skill set.

  11. Muskogee Joe says:
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    The day after Newcomb’s start,MIA announcers said they asked about the gun being off. They were told it was reading lefties 7 MPH higher

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Muskogee Joe: Wow, I hadn’t heard that. 7 seems high, Newcomb usually works in the 93-96 range, so possibly. It seemed crazy though.

  12. Pousse-Pousse says:
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    I love you because I own Wood, Ray, Severino, Carrasco, and Kluber in my money league, and you have them all top-14. Which makes me feel good about myself.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Pousse-Pousse: That’s a hell of a staff. Thanks for reading!

  13. Chris says:
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    Hi Ralph,
    Would you trade Salazar and get Junior Guerra?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: Ugh, depends on desperation level and format. Ideally you’d like to see him get healthy, get right and be what you expected, on the other hand he’s giving you less than nothing.

  14. Sea Hags says:
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    Hey what’s up Ralph. Great job again on the list. Had a quick suggestion for improvement: have you ever considered adding an additional column to rankings that shows their movement in the rankings over the past week? (Plus/minus the number of spots they moved). It would make it a lot easier to identify the risers and fallers. Cheers!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sea Hags: Thanks, I like that idea. I’ll see what I can do.

  15. mrbaseball says:
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    GLEYBER TORRES (R) SS Tommy John – do you still draft him this year and wait _ i have number 2 pick this year that has to be used on a prospect – Most prospects have came up in Yahoo

    Look else where

    • mrbaseball says:
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      He is not coming up so bad question

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @mrbaseball: Sure why not, it’s his non-throwing arm.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @mrbaseball: most prospects are NOT in yahoo, esp when you get further than a top 100 list.

  16. JB2 says:
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    Would you deal Wood, Severino, or Ray for Nelson Cruz? How about Sano or Abreu?

    • JB2 says:
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      @JB2: Also, you guidance has given me this staff:

      Carrasco, Wood, Ray, Severino, Bundy, Nelson, Lynn — I only had Severino and Ray at the beginning of the season. 12-teamer. Razzball made me what I am.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @JB2: Damn! I guess I should take my own advice haha!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JB2: I’d go Severino or Ray for Cruz if you’re hurting on power. Prolly do Sano too, not Abreu.

  17. John says:
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    Ralph,
    In a 10-team h2h keeper (keep 12 of 24) was offered Bogearts, Chapman and Cole for my Sale
    The rest of my pitching staff is about mid tier in the ranks from 20 to 40
    Do you make that trade?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @John: I think I might. I love Sale but in head to head depth is super important.

  18. Wacha Wacha says:
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    Hey Ralph! A few quick questions for you.

    1. Would you trade Paxton for Fulmer or shark?

    2. Correa or Machado Ros in obp league ?

    3. Give miggy get Lindor in rcl… Which side do you prefer?

    Thanks!!!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Wacha Wacha: No, Correa, I like the Lindor side, but slightly.

  19. Eephus says:
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    Isn’t Randall Delgado back in the bull pen?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Eephus: Yup, take him off. Too bad he was solid. I think he’ll be back, and these are ROS ranks. Still shouldn’t be there.

      • Eephus says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:
        It is sad. I suppose I’ll drop him. Thanks for great list and feedback

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Eephus: Haha thanks for the read, and once again good catch.

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    An interesting profile of this *pinkie to mouth* Newcomber. WUT.

    Hey, crab army, I eat you with cocktail sauce!

    Kidding, I don’t, please don’t attack me.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Grey: Crab Army loves you Grey no worries. Eat away, we’re cannibals.

      You’re punny!

      • nick the smooth dick says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Please eat us. Shit us out. We just come back with more stank! #CrabsloveGrey

  21. dfrench23 says:
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    14-team 5×5 (OBP-R-HR-RBI-SB and ERA, WHIP, K, QS, Sv+holds) where I’m needing some help in all categories but am within striking distance. It’s a 2-yr keeper lg so some guys are starting to dump for good keepers. The good keepers I have are $31 Votto, $10 Smoak, $5 Bregman, and a gem in $2 Bellinger. Several other $10 guys might be keepers in Maybin, Samardzjia, Alex Wood, and Alex Meyer. $8 Betances is a possible keeper.

    Another owner offers Braun, Miggy, Napoli, Trout, Wieters ,and deGrom out there to everyone with a “playing for next year….make offers” declaration.

    Am I crazy to think that I can hold on to a $2 Bellinger and still get Trout and maybe deGrom and Braun or does Bellinger need to be in that package?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @dfrench23: Probably not, but I’d try.

  22. Mike L says:
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    Giolito or Snell in dynasty? Could drop for Faria, Honeywell, Musgrove, Cotton, Nelson. Only draft a few times a year so sometimes big names stay available. I still feel like their upside is the highest but maybe not.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike L: Nelson and Honeywell. Faria is my third choice in Dynasty. Honeywell IMO is the highest upside guy you named. As for Nelson, he looks locked in.

  23. Jimmy Jack James says:
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    Great content Ralph.

    I’m in a 15 team roto with QS instead of W – starting pitching is definitely at a premium so I’ve been holding Hellickson in the hopes of regaining his 2016 form. Would you continue to hold and watch him strike no one out or take a shot on Matt Strahm, who the Royals seem committed to giving an extended look? Big K numbers in the minors…

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jimmy Jack James: I’d go Strahm, Hellickson is yuck.

  24. Slimcompoop says:
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    Just traded away Josh Donaldson over the weekend for Corey Kluber, Cody Allen, and Ryon Healy so here is my current staff…Sale, Kluber, Carrasco, Wood, Cole, McCarthy, *McCullers, *Duffy, and two streaming spots. Closers are Allen, Diaz, Robertson, and Giles. Pitching staff seems legit, right? Any room for improvement? 10-team, 6×6, H2H, keeper league.

    Speaking of the two streamer spots, I’ve been fortunate to get Alex Meyer on the cheap for the last three of his starts. He pitches at Fenway next turn, so shying away a little, but I’m thinking he should be held onto at this point. Amiright?

    I appreciate all of your posts. Thank you.

    • Slimcompoop says:
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      @Slimcompoop: P.S. – Added Torres for $0 auction dollars last night (after reading your article) and just heard that he tore his non-throwing UCL:(

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Slimcompoop: I know! Worst case scenario.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Slimcompoop: Geez, where are Max, Kershaw, Kenley, and Kimbrel? Haha

      Yeah, I liked him as a deep league flier coming into the year, but prefer him in home parks. Id hold, depending on who’s available, and sit this start out.

      Thanks!

  25. Sport says:
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    Thank you Ralph. You have done loads of work Rhiannon year and helped so many people, myself included.

    I’m in the middle of the pack in my 10 team dynasty rebuild. Really need power. My staff consists of Archer, Cueto, Faria, Fulmer, Paxton, McCullers, and Nelson. When is it time to move Cueto in a dynasty format and what would you look for in return?

    In my other dynasty, I have been offered Kyle Lewis for JP Crawford. I’m loaded with OF prospects but how good of a get is Lewis? Has he really only played two games since his return this year?

    Thank you.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sport: For Cueto, I’d be open to anything. Find out who’s interested and shoot some offers back and forth. Whoever is on the other guys team is going to dictate what’s available to help you. Are you looking to rebuild? Just dump Cueto and add a couple of underrated depth pieces? You have to decide and go for it.

      • Sport says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:
        What’s the word on Kyle Lewis since his return? And where would you rank him now?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Sport: Soreness in his knee. Back on the DL not good news. I’d hold on any trades.

  26. nick the smooth dick says:
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    Marble crullers? Not uh. Making shit up in the opening and then expect me to trust these pitching ranks? Gleyber killer!!!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @nick the smooth dick: You’ve never had one? Come on! One of the few good things at dunks.

      Gleyber killed himself, or his elbow…

      • nick the smooth dick says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I’ve seriously never seen those there. Man CT, get your Dunks game up!

  27. Chris says:
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    Dynasty. Archer. For happ -1st rd major pick. Which side?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: JA Rule Happ or Ian? What kinda stuff am I getting in the first major league round? How many you keep?

      • Chris says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:
        Ian There will be some quality players. Keep my whole team-franchise.
        Thank you

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chris: If you keep your whole team is it incoming 2017 draftees and J2 kid’s in the first?

          • Chrisl says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: minor leaguers and mlbers League is run like a major league franchise. Minor league draft-major league draft. Everyone has a contract except minor leaguers- when you bring them up you own fo 2 years than they are RFA’s

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Chrisl: Yeah seems even, might lean the Happ side.

  28. malamoney says:
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    Yo dude. What pitcher that’s still in the minors has the best chance of making a fantasy difference this season? Even if it’s just a few games late in the season.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @malamoney: My gut keeps saying Jack Flaherty, but I’m not sure what their plans are fro him.

      Many will say Chance Adams, which might be true, but I’m ascared of AL East rookie arms.

  29. StevenDeGafney says:
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    Maeda back to the pen…what a joke

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @StevenDeGafney: Until next weekend, it’s just roster games.

  30. jw says:
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    Which side? Paxton/Bellinger or Darvish/Alonso

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @jw: I’m going to say Paxton and Bellinger, mostly cause who doesn’t want to own Cody.

  31. Nickdiesel says:
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    Cole Hamel due back soon . He is not listed in your dl ranks? Is he top 100 when back?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nickdiesel: Yeah, he’s top 100. Prolly top 40, as much as I’m lukewarm on him, pitching sucks.

      • Nickdiesel says:
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        thanks Ralph, picked him up the other day cause I actually had an open DL spot over a dropped Duffy and Hendricks and Jon Gray and when I did not see him listed anywhere on the list though I might have been missing something (or thought I had open DL spot because I though Pollock was going to quit yanking his groin)

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Nickdiesel: Not a bad little add.

  32. Mihai says:
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    Hello Ralph!
    In a dynasty league who would you rather keep – (QS counts)?
    Pick one from the following list: Senzatela, Lively, Kuhl, Meyer, Holmberg, Gaviglio, Lamet, Clevinger

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mihai:Clevinger, if he’s got a rotation spot. Meyer or Senzatela.

  33. Crime Dog says:
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    who would you start this week between these options

    Jordan Montogmery vs LAA
    Wacha @ PHI
    Martes @ OAK

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Crime Dog: Jordon Montgomery easy

  34. Sdub88 says:
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    Bundy has terrified me his last few starts. I feel like he isn’t someone to be relied upon moving forward and is probably droppable. Do you agree?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sdub88: Yeah it’s been bad, granted the schedule hasn’t been a cakewalk of late. On the droppable thing it depends on the format. In an RCL he’s droppable.

      • Sdub88 says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        10 Team H2H 7×7 (W, Saves, ERA, WHIP, K, K/9, QS). My issue with him is his low K rate. If he allows 4 or more runs he won’t help in any area. I might ride him another game and see what’s out there if he looks bad again.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Sdub88: Yeah you can drop him, I really bought into the slider/cutter. Too bad, I like Bundy’s upside.

  35. Brian says:
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    First off, thanks for your prospect posts. I joined a dynasty league for the first time this year and your posts have been incredibly helpful. I have two questions for you that I’ll put in two different comments. This first one is a trade question. For context, it’s a 16 team mixed League H2H 9×8 (!) league. Batting categories include both OBP and BA and pitching categories include both saves and holds.

    We start one player at each position (no UTIL), there is a thirty man hard roster limit, and you can never have more than 7 SPs or 5 RPs EXCLUSIVE of players on the DL or in the minors.

    Each year, teams can keep between 7 and 13 players.

    I’m in first place and would prefer to play for this year and some struggling teams are looking to trade for Dansby Swanson. My roster is below:

    C: JT Realmuto
    1B: Joey Votto
    2B: Daniel Murphy
    3B: Jake Lamb
    SS: Eduardo Nunez
    OF (I start three): Mookie Betts, Eric Thames, AJ Pollack (DL), Scott Schebler, Max Kepler, Mallex Smith, Bradley Zimmer, Kole Calhoun, Tommy Pham

    Bench Hitters: Howie Kendrick (1B, 2B, 3B, OF elibible) and Dansby Swanson
    Hitters in the Minors: Rhys Hoskins

    SP: Yu Darvish, Corey Kluber, Sean Mananea, Jeff Samardzjia, Brandon McCarthy, Mike Foltynewicz, Homer Bailey (DL)
    RP: Addison Reed, Edwin Diaz, Bud Norris, Pat Neshak, and Cam Bedrosian
    Pitchers in Minors: Brent Honeywell

    A Braves fan who is already playing for next year offered Andrew Miller and Elvis Andrus for Dansby Swanson (I would probably drop Pat Neshak). Is that not enough in a dynasty league? I bet I could get him to add in Wilson Contreras , Rafael Devers, or Christian Yelich (with me likely then dropping Hoskins or Bailey). If he did that, would that change the calculus for you?

    Also, generally speaking, do you see Dansby Swanson as a potential decade long keeper at SS or should I be trading him considering my roster and my ‘win now’ goal? Thanks so much!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brian: I’d take that Andrus and Miller trade in a minute.

  36. Brian says:
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    Same league, but a roster tuning question. As a reminder, it’s a 16 team mixed League H2H league where the batting categories include both OBP and BA and pitching includes saves and holds.

    We start one player at each position (no UTIL), there is a thirty man hard roster limit, and you can never have more than 7 SPs or 5 RPs EXCLUSIVE of players on the DL or in the minors.

    Each yeah, teams can keep between 7 and 13 players.

    I’d like to know if I should make any dynasty tweaks to my roster. I’m ideally looking for players that will come up this year or next, though I’m open to longer-term plays. Available players are listed below. My current roster is:

    C: JT Realmuto
    1B: Joey Votto
    2B: Daniel Murphy
    3B: Jake Lamb
    SS: Eduardo Nunez
    OF (I start three): Mookie Betts, Eric Thames, AJ Pollack (DL), Scott Schebler, Max Kepler, Mallex Smith, Bradley Zimmer, Kole Calhoun, Tommy Pham

    Bench Hitters: Howie Kendrick (1B, 2B, 3B, OF eligible) and Dansby Swanson
    Hitters in the Minors: Rhys Hoskins

    SP: Yu Darvish, Corey Kluber, Sean Mananea, Jeff Samardzjia, Brandon McCarthy, Mike Foltynewicz, Homer Bailey (DL)
    RP: Addison Reed, Edwin Diaz, Bud Norris, Pat Neshak, and Cam Bedrosian
    Pitchers in Minors: Brent Honeywell

    Players I could pick up include: Dominic Smith, Willie Calhoun, Harrison Bader, Christin Stewart, Kolby Allard, Luke Weaver, and Walker Buehler.

    Would you swap out any any of my players for any of those listed above? If so, which ones? Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brian: I’d go Bailey for Buehler.

  37. Yr Never Too Old for Balloons says:
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    if we have 2/3 of these with only 1-2 NA slot in yahoo what’s best order of keeping them assuming brinson also gets sent down. all leagues being OBP with total bases or just OPS (maybe with hits). they are near redrafts here (clearly you don’t drop any of these in dynasties)
    meadows/fisher/hoskins/brinson. i have brinson last due to keon sucking up his time. 3-4 keepers per team at most and prices are last year’s fantasy pros ADP price for each league size (so a person with 2017 ADP of 254th would be a 16th rounder next year if a 16 team league, if a 10 team AL only type roughly a 13th rounder.

    • Yr Never Too Old for Balloons says:
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      @Yr Never Too Old for Balloons: the idea that brinson will get sent down at some point being that i can’t find any idea why any team competing or not would have their best prospect hitter be playing less than 1/3rd of the time like he is.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Yr Never Too Old for Balloons: I still say go Fisher and Brinson. It’s not like Meadows is hitting or going to find PT. Hoskins is obviously not coming up until later in the year. I think both Brinson and Fisher will find playing time.

      • Yr Never Too Old for Balloons says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: i’m about 5 days or so behind on the posts, i could’a sworn the last one i saw on meadows he was, but yeah, so is mcclutchin’ and marte isn’t back yet either and they’ve still given him zero at bats. hoskins i was more in the dark about as you guys have yelled about him needing to be up for what seems like months now.

  38. Saints says:
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    Thanks for the great stuff.
    I have some questions . Why do you rank Estrada still so high after those 4 horrible games in a row ? Do you think hes bouncing back ? I’m thinking about trading for him but im really scared. And Grey is thinking hes “garbage” as well.

    And would you trade Jay Bruce for Michael Pineda in a dynasty ?

    • Saints says:
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      @Saints:

      And last question i forgot: What do you see in Zack Wheeler that you ranked him at 59? Hes only the 107th SP on the player rater so far. And his June was nearly as bad as Estradas (12 ERA vs 9 ERA)

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Saints: Add 13+ spots for the DL guys he’s like mid-70’s and I think he has some upside in home starts. Still some K’s.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Saints: His K/9 is still 10. There’s 34 starters with ERA’s under 4 this year. I think you need to play upside, and look beyond ratios. There has to be a trust factor. I trust him over guys behind him. Maybe I shouldn’t.

      Yeah, if you need pitching, and you have power to spare.

  39. ichirosan says:
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    While both have been horrible this season, who do you prefer going forward? J.P. Crawford or Tyler O’Neill (and yes, I ask this knowing you may still call him the King in the North)?

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @ichirosan: o’neill and it’s probably not close

Comments are closed.