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So many times the so-called experts give you the names and the numbers, but you never really know how the ‘perts are doing in their DFS play. Well, my unkempt Razzballers, you’re humble-but-nonetheless-handsome Guru will share with you my results all season long. Will my winnings enable me to spend the winter in Cancun or will I go bust and be left turbanless and living under the bridge? We shall see. So far we’re looking at sand and sunshine. I’ve been in the money in 45 of 65 DraftKings contests. I’ll admit I don’t bet big. (A good tip: never wager more than 10% of your bankroll in any given day.) I also play mainly 50-50s/double-ups and head-to-heads where the odds of cashing are much better. It’s a good way to build a bankroll in the early going.  I also use a couple different philosophies when playing DFS. 1) Ace and stack philosophy: One or two teams featuring the days best pitcher and a stack of players from teams that’ll score a lot. I used Jose Fernandez and a stack of Tigers last night. It cashed. 2) Stream-a-tron philosophy: I use Razzball’s Stream-o-nator and Hitter-tron to construct a team consisting of the two best pitchers along with hitters the ‘tron projects to produce that also fit under my budget. This may not win a tourney, but it cashes out in 50/50’s at a pretty good rate. Yesterday the Stream and the ‘tron liked David Price and Hyun-Jin Ryu along with Buster Posey, Miguel Cabrera and Hunter Pence. Not sure how this worked, but as of this writing I’m 27th out of 140 players. That’s one step closer to umbrella drinks and me showing off my tan lines.

With the rambling out of the way, don’t forget to join the DraftKings Sweet Spot challenge and we could frolic on the beach together with our thongs filled with $400,000 in cash. If you’re new to the game, keep in mind DraftKings virgins get a free $2 ticket.

Alrighty my Razzballers, here’s your dirty turbaned Guru’s lineup for Wednesday’s 4/23 contests on DraftKings for 2014 Fantasy Baseball. Remember to check the lineups and the Doppler radar. Don’t get left with a big fat zero. Good luck.

Michael Wacha, SP: $11,200 – Wacha is the Stream-O-Nators’ fourth best pitcher on the board tonight. While he may be a bit pricey, we’re willing to spend for this matchup as Wacha gets a Mets team that is second in baseball with 186 strikeouts.

Alfredo Simon, SP: $9,300 – Looking for some value here with the price high and our confidence low in the other options like Kyle Loshe and Michael Pineada. Simon’s hot streak won’t last, but we’ll roll him out tonight against a struggling Pirates offense in a pitchers park.

Jose Molina, C: $1,800 – Punting catcher in this particular lineup. Make sure Molina is at least in tonight’s lineup. Other possible punts include Tim Federwicz of the Dodgers. If we get four points from catcher tonight that’ll work.

Victor Martinez, 1B: $4,200 – The first piece of our Tigers stack. Detroit gets dinner with Andre Rienzo making his first start of the year. Vegas has the Tigers favored big, the over is 8 ½ runs and the wind is blowing out to right in Detroit.

Ian Kinsler, 2B: $5,600 – Dropping some big bucks here, but it worked last night as Kinsler had a couple of hits, two runs scored and two RBI.

Miguel Cabrera, 3B: $5,100 – The Miggy slump is over.

Ryan Flaherty, SS: $2,600 – Punt play, but love for a guy that played high school ball in Portland. If he gets two hits he’ll be enshrined in the Maine Baseball Hall of Fame along with Billy Swift, Mike Bordick and Chummy Gray (look him up).

Rajai Davis, OF: $4,400 – Another piece in our Tigers stack attack. Davis hits at the top of the order and is always a threat to steal and score. His 12 FPTS last night put us in the money.

Will Venable, OF: $3,100 – The Hitter-tron likes Venable. I won’t argue because last time I did he took advantage of my toaster oven. Hey, get off her! That’s where I make my Hot Pockets!

Ichiro Suzuki, OF: $2,700 – While Ichiro is just 10/39 off John Lackey and 112 years-old the price is right in a game at Fenway where runs will be scored.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

Weather is looking good in the late games across the league. Slight chance of showers in Boston and the wind is blowing out to right in Detroit.

Doing Lines in Vegas

COL vs. SF at 10 ½ leads the way and I’ll have another team consisting of Giants and Rockies.

DET vs. CHW checks in with an over of 8 1/2.

TOR vs. BAL is currently +9 with the Jays favored. A Toronto stack could be fun.

  1. Sky

    Sky says:
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    I got so engaged with building my morning lineup, I put Eovaldi in my DK lineup but left him out in two of my seasonal leagues. I think I have a problem, Guru…

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Yes, can’t wait to be your roommate on “Minor Celebrity Fantasy Writer Rehab.”

      • Mike

        Mike says:
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        We found him in the bathtub shouting something about “Colorado stacks”. He’s pretty shaken up. We’ll let him make one free lineup a day to bring him down slowly…

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Thanks, Dr. Mike. Those fantasy dt’s can be fatal. He’s just curled up in the fetal position saying “Buster Posey” over and over.

    • MattTruss223 says:
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      @Sky: Hey, so I’m not the only one that does this, haha!

  2. Chris says:
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    Good stuff Guru I need to get back into that league.

    Question for you, I was offered a trade I need pitching and am pretty solid in hitting.

    I give Rizzo and Lincecum
    I get Lester

    Let me know.

    Thanks,
    Chris

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      After watching Lester last night that’s a big no on Lester. Use that Stream-o-nator!

  3. 740 says:
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    Hey, 10team h2h 5x5cat. ROS, Crisp or Raja?

    Thanks

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      It’s tough to predict ROS this early, but Crisp is a 20/20 possibility while Davis is the SAGNOF king. Go cuckoo for Coco.

      • 740 says:
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        @The Guru:

        Thank u sir!

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          No prob. Don’t get hypnotized by the SAGNOF!

  4. AndrewM says:
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    Start or sit Martin Perez today @Oakland? I also have Sonny Gray going and I have Cespedes in my OF. Hate hedging my bet. I’m inclined to sitting him here.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      In a DFS I rarely start two pitchers facing each other. I’m going Sonny as my best option tonight so let’s fade Perez. Think those Oakland right-handed bats could make a good stack. Crisp, Cespedes and Donaldson will be one one team I play tonight.

  5. MattTruss223 says:
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    Rajai on the pine FYI. Insert Don Kelly – $2200 and SPLURGE elsewhere!

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Just saw that. I’m with ya. Pick up Kelly and try to find a way to get Joey Bats or Longo into the lineup.

  6. crazyeyes says:
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    Are there going to be any more Razzball only contests on DraftKings?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’m sure there will.

  7. elipitt says:
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    Thanks for the advice. Your posts have been money for me since I started playing daily. Literally.

    I am having good luck on lower dollar amount beginner 50/50s. Should I play higher amounts than I normally until I reach the beginner limit, assuming it won’t come so easy in non-beginner games?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Depends on how much money you’re willing to leave out there. I generally make 3 rosters and enter them in all the cheap 50/50′s ($1-$5). It’s a good way to build a bankroll quickly. You will also notice that “beginner” games have guys that also play the bigger games. So while the competition can get stiffer in the higher $$ games the difference is not great until you’re talking the $100 and higher levels.

      • elipitt says:
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        @The Guru: Any strategic advantage to playing three $1s as opposed to one three $1s? I am thinking one game is better until I reach my beginner limit.

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          I have data to back me up, just my experience, but I find I can make 2-3 different rosters and play them across the $1 games and hit on 80% of them. If I just play one team on the $3 game and my team craps the bed (like my Giants stack last night) then I’m out. Last night I played a Giants stack, a Blue Jays stack and a Tigers stack. Jays and Tigers hit. Giants no. So, by playing 3 rosters across the board I was in the black.

  8. Joe G says:
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    Gurú would you start tyson ross against brewers in milwuakee?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I think he’s a good value play, but that Brewers team has been hitting. I went with Drew Smyly on one of my teams for value and I think he’ll be just as good Ross tonight.

  9. Alan says:
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    U rather have E5 or Wright when dealing J Up?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      E5 despite the slow start.

  10. TheBlackMan says:
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    Hey Guru, I know I asked before…..but to you and the other Draftkings guys, when does this article go live on Razzball?

    I sit at my desk every day and even by 12pm noon EASTERN TIME, I don’t see anything posted.

    Is there something I’m missing or another way to access updated content?

    Thanks a bunch to you, Sky, Mike, and the rest!

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I thought it went up at noon, maybe 1pm ET. The writers do these the night before so sometimes we don’t know what the next day’s rosters will look be and, like today, I have guys that are not in the lineup. That make Guru angry. This seems like a question for the powers that be when it comes to doing updates etc.

      • TheBlackMan says:
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        @The Guru:

        Okay understood, thanks for the reply. I guess sometimes you really just don’t know. I set my own lineups but it’s great to get insight for you guys before the matches start just in case I may have missed something.

        Thanks again.

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          No prob. Appreciate the question.

  11. costaricanchata says:
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    @ Guru :

    appreciate your approach to this column .
    putting your money where your mouth is ,
    and going public with the results .
    i wish you the best of luck ,
    and will be sure to read every one of these columns that you write .
    those other guys … not so much .
    btw … are you from maine ?
    ice out , yet ??

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Thanks, Costa. Thought I’d keep people in the loop on my strategies and results. I’ve had a nice little streak to start the year and have tripled my bankroll. Winning 2/3 of the early games today. We’ll see how long my luck I mean skill lasts. Ha! Yes, born and bred Mainah.

      • costaricanchata says:
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        @The Guru:

        that’s probably where (partially) your truth and honest stems from .
        (and as a new hampsire-ite , that was difficult for me to say) .
        been around a bit , in my lifetime , and nothing compares to
        new england forth-righted-ness (<— is that even a word ?) …
        and i'm still not sure of those green mountain boys and their
        radical leftist tendencies .

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Ha! And we are def leaving Connecticut out of this conversation! Stop claiming to be New Englanders!

          • costaricanchata says:
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            @The Guru:

            and massachusett drivers !

            • The Guru

              The Guru says:
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              Ha!

  12. MattTruss223 says:
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    Man, Morse is such a boob. I’ve ridden that guy for two straight days and gotten bupkis! Killed me last night (went w/a Giants stack as well). Don’t use him today obviously. Bummer.

    So, this 10% of your bankroll thing, think that’s my problem. I tend to get on a roll, build the bankroll up and end up having 1/3-1/2 of it in play before long feeling like I can’t lose. And then, guess what? I lose. 10% doesn’t seem like a whole lot to have in play though. You start w/$100 and I have to look at $90 sitting there. That kills me when I have a good night, though I suppose it woulda saved me last night. Hmmmm, got me thinking Guru, got me thinking.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Same here, Matt. At least I had Belt, Tulo and Blackmon in the early games. Yes, its tough when you think you have a great team built like last nights Giants stack that did crap. I try to stick to that 10% rule and while I don’t win huge, I win consistently and it’s a slow build.

      • MattTruss223 says:
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        @The Guru: I hear ya, I get so tempted by the big GPPs and the “what coulda been”. Need to slow my roll now and then. Had the Tulo/Blackmon combo in the earlies and my super-sneaky Chris Carter pick, gettin paid in the early games :)

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Nice work, Matt! Those big paydays are tempting, but I stay away until later in the season when my bankroll is bigger and the data is better.

  13. elipitt says:
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    The Giants/Rockies stack killed it for me today. It was bound to pay off eventually! Of course, I score 205 points (so far) in a $1 triple up. Yesterday was the day I went with the daily dollar, argh…

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Nice work! Yes, playing the numbers will win in the long run. I got beat as well with my Giants stack yesterday, but things paid off today with Giants/Rockies.

      • elipitt says:
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        @The Guru: I look like a genius for having the dumb luck of punting catcher with Hector Sanchez!

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Good call. Yeah, I played him too. 34 points! That’s what we expected from freakin’ Posey last night.

  14. Picard56 says:
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    Is the Mark Trumbo injury likely to end his season?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Not sure yet, but it’s a stress fracture in his foot and the last time he had that he missed 5 1/2 months. Not looking good.

  15. and1mcgee says:
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    went with Greinke, as he ranked higher on the SON and I won my matchup and $9 lol … everyone else was a dud. Barely won! Love the SON !!

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Nice work!

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