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The first time I got a Led Zeppelin album was when I was 11 years old and my brother hooked me up with Led Zeppelin II.  What a life changing moment, I was so utterly in love and confused all at the same time. What great riffs and mind bending sounds that turned everything musically I knew, which was very little, upside down and changed the course of my musical tastes from then on out. I wasn’t afraid anymore to try something I hadn’t watched on MTV or heard on the radio. Back then, 1986, we had very few options for our music and you had to use nobs and a steady hand to “tune in” to get static free tunes. Cute story J-FOH! I know 3rd personality, what is the point? Well 3rd personality,  like our lead today, Scott Kazmir,  we have a starting pitcher that is someone that is confusing to love, has forced us to change our tastes, and reminds me of a mesmerizing jam that takes me back to Fast Times at Ridgemont High. In the buildup to Rat’s date with Stacy, Damone advises him on his 5 point plan and tells him to play side one of Led Zeppelin 4, but low and behold he has Kashmir on the radio, which is off Physical Graffiti, the putz can’t even follow the plan. I feel like Rat when I keep passing on Kazmir in roto leagues this year. But why? I can’t get over the train wreck that he was for so long after starting out so promising. I think Matt Moore is ready to be the next Kazmir. We’ll see you back to relevance in 4-5 years Mr. Moore. Cleveland did a nice job in their reclamation projects last year, WTF is going on this year, and you need to trust him going against the Astros. He should be good for 8 K’s and a big fat W.

Our DraftKings King and deep league thinker Sky wrote a pre-season article about Mr. Kazmir here. How great minds think alike or is it how narrowly we think with our Led Zeppelin references? It’s the obvious lead in. We could be talking about our Kazmir sweaters, Kazmir scarves, or the Kazmir region of northwest India. But we didn’t and that’s OK. This is daily fantasy y’all, by tomorrow all will be forgotten and we will move on to a new day and a new set of players to tickle our fancy. For today though lets stick to Mr. Kazmir. He’s an expensive play and I get that is not always the best strategy, but after looking at what else is out there I have to highly recommend him. It’s worth the money and here is why. The Astros have the highest K rate in MLB, second lowest runs total, the worst team BABIP, and are the team of my newest hat. It’s f-ing pimp yo’s! Winning at DraftKings is wholly dependent on two things, great pitching matchups like the kind you can find on the Stream-O-Nator and great hitting matchups like the kind provided to you by that commercial grade stainless steal sex machine the Hitter-Tron.

Drew Hutchison, SP: $6,000 – sporting a 10.80 K/9 and getting the Orioles after that shootout on Wednesday may be the perfect pairing with Kazmir to get a strong anchor and the best value play gamble IMO.

Lance Lynn, SP: $10,900 – I have always been a big Lynn hater when it comes to roto but in daily fantasy he’s my boy….for one day. He gets the hapless Mets and their team K rate of 24% and couple that with his 10.27 K/9 and he’s worth every penny of fake dollars.

Mike Bolsinger, SP: $5,500 – he gets the Cubbies and their high K rate (23.3%) bottom ten of run producing teams bats and after how he made the Dodgers look through 3 innings last week has made him my other low dollar high upside gamble. Pair him up with Lynn in the early games and you got one there.

Chris Davis, 1B: $4,600 – I like everyone’s favorite late to the party Bill James breakout at the Rocket Center. I know I also suggested Hutchinson but I also know Drew Doggie won’t e out there all game. Crush Davis goes yard in the eighth.

Ben Zobrist, 2B/OF: $4,500 – I’m stacking against Ricky Nolasco tomorrow and having 2nd base eligibility will allow you other places to save a buck…..like Del Taco and the best value menu ever!

Yunel Escobar, SS: $2,900 –  Another one of my value plays going up against Crappy Nolasco and his sterling 6.08 ERA. Escobar is 10/29 with 4 XBH against Tricky Nolasco so I like the odds of a multi hit performance that may lead to more. Speaking of odds, Vegas has the over at 8 1/2.

Scott Van Slyke, OF: $3,600 – Got a start at 1B by filling in for Adrian Gonzalez yesterday. Van Slyke is probably the best hitting 5th outfielder in all of baseball. Could see him getting a second start in a row while one of the regulars in LA take a seat could pay dividends at a low price tag. Watch the lineups and if he’s playing you ain’t over payin.

Marlon Byrd, OF: $3,800 – Dan Haren might be hot but the dirty Byrd will get that worm. He’s got 10 hits in 21 AB’s vs. the right hander and of those ten hits 5 went for extra bases. A $3,800 outfielder is cheap considering that the top ones are going for ovr $5,000.

I’m Only Happy When it Rains

Lot’s of clouds and sun all over the place with no chance for rain. The 23mph winds blowing out to left in Wrigley could be part of the reason I’m stacking there…..and Edwin Jackson’s talent for blowing up the ERA line.

Doing Lines in Vegas

BAL @ TOR at 9. Yesterday they scored 18 runs against each other and I will predict it’s a little lower today. I also like Hutchinson here for the K’s and the win but the ERA will be in the 4’s.

NY @ BOS at 9 Blah Blah Blah it’s the Yanks and the Sox. I’m sure ESPN will be running it’s fourth part in a 12 part series covering Jacoby Ellsbury’s move to New York and where he loved to go in Boston. “Over here is the urinal he used before every home game”.

MIN @ TB at 8 1/2 is the one I like to heavily exceed the total runs. Stinky Nolasco faces off against Eric Bedwetter in a game that will see neither of them in the 6th inning….I think. A good place to stack if you like Rays of light.

From Around The Web

  1. Deck says:
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    Good work, but I would like to say, the amount of daily fantasy coverage on all sites this year is overwhelming. Football is great for one day fantasy but it doesn’t work well for baseball. Statistic variances between the good and average players take a much larger sample size to diverge in baseball than a mere four at-bats.

    I am looking forward to getting in on this stuff when they start offering weekly leagues, because to me daily is pretty close to dumb luck.

    This is not meant to offend you your articles and insight are great I just feel baseball doesn’t fit this model as well as football or basketball.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Deck: It’s a double edged sword. Lots of people could do a nice weekly team but to zero in on a strong day of great pitching plus solid hitting under a budget is an act of luck and knowledge. I was in your shoes at first and have really grown to love it. I play Sky H2H sometimes and that i just flat out fun for bragging rights.

      How is the vape biz going? I’m working on getting you some sample packs from some grownig high quality juice makers.

      • Deck says:
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        @J-FOH: Maybe I’ll try it again, I crush it at football, finishing in the money like 80% of the time, baseball I lose constantly.

        Vape biz is great! New liquids are selling very well. I would love the sample packs always looking for better stuff, just a question for you have you noticed California vapor is very light compared to vapors from the rest of the US?

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Deck: light as in viscosity? I know the PG to VG ratio affects that greatly. Sometimes though you have companies that claim 100% VG, like Virgin, but in reality they are not using PG and instead are cutting it with something else. It really varies from maker to maker what their mixture is or even what type of nicotine they use. Jameson used some of the strongest nic I have seen where there 6 hit like a 16 and 12 hit like a 24.

          • Deck says:
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            @J-FOH: Yeah the VG/PG mix seems really light in all of the Vapor I’ve gotten in Cali

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Deck: depends

    • MattTruss223 says:
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      @Deck: You’d think that at first glance, until you see the same guys cashing over and over again everyday. I think you can still put yourself in a position to come out ahead if you put in the time, study match-ups, watch the weather, basically follow the steps Jack and others lay out in these articles.

      That said, I do find Daily baseball to be a lot more about patience and bankroll management than w/football.

      My two cents.

  2. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Where do you get the best information regarding wind directions? Is there a baseball specific site or do you look at your basic weather station and figure it out?

  3. Lville Jim says:
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    Hoping the Rays open a can on Nolasco, made Joyce a three league battycall tonight.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Lville Jim: me too. lets go lady first name last name!

      • Lville Jim says:
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        @J-FOH: 2-3, 1 R, 2B, 1RBI, and a SB. Was lifted for a pinch hitter late. I’ll take it.

    • Deck says:
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      @Deck: I would be short on closers, with my only real one gone, and Machado is my only keeper next year, we get two and I would have him at 15th round value.

      • Deck says:
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        @Deck: Well, point of no return, trade accepted

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Deck: I just looked and I like it for you for a few reasons
          1) chisek could be trades
          2) gives you options to trade later for need
          3) those were my first two picks in the the fcl

          • Deck says:
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            @J-FOH: Good call in Cishek being traded, that makes me feel even better, and now I know I have someone who will be living the ups and downs of my stars.

            • Deck says:
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              @Deck: That and I only had 2 spots for Hosmer, Rizzo, Cespedes, also was going to have to make a drop to activate Machado.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Deck: misery loves company…and beer

  4. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    What do you think about Lough as a cheap outfield option tonight in DK? I spent a grip on my pitchers with Kazmir and Zimmermann, so I need something cheap in the 2500 range.

    BTW the Hittertron loves Juan Francisco like it loves vacuums and blenders huh?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: I like Francisco tonight. Lough only if he pkays

  5. Richard says:
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    I don’t know if this is on topic, but I am thinking of moving Pedro Alvarez (not hitting above the Mendoza line; too many strikeouts and outs between his HR) straight up for Aaron Harang who has gotten hot. I’ve already got Aramis Ramirez to move over to 3rd full time (and I still have Pujols, Tulo, Molina, Napoli and Blackmon for power). Your thoughts are appreciated.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Richard: I wouldn’t. Harangue could fall off a cliff anytime. Find an opponent in need of HR then try to get one of their proven solid arms

      • Richard says:
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        @J-FOH: He also has Ervin Santana. I don’t think he’d part with Anibel Sanchez.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Richard: id go after anibal. Hes been pretty meh. Alvarev homers makw him attractive. That would be a fair one for one.

  6. de nachos says:
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    Hey you put your huevos out there on a lede with a much maligned pitcher and you get 6 innings 7 K and a Win for it. If there’s a bustle in your hedgerow don’t be alarmed now. Well done, sir.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @de nachos: I’ll be showering in about an hour….my stalker

      • de nachos says:
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        @J-FOH: FYI you’re running low on Suave conditioner.

  7. Dave says:
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    Is it okay if I love Kazmir?

  8. Ron says:
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    In full disclosure, I really like to get multiple opinions from you guys cause you all bring something different to the table that makes me think before I act.

    My H2H points league is -1 for strikeouts and I have two offers on the table.

    Trade #1: Cargo/Harper for Freeman/J. Upton
    Trade #2: Cano for Freeman

    These are my bats:
    C: Perez
    1B: Freeman
    2B: Gyorko
    3B: Longoria
    SS: Everth
    OF: Trout, J. Upton, Werth
    UTIL: Pujols, A-Gon
    BN: B. Moss, Rizzo, Walker
    DL: R. Zimmerman
    NA: Baez

    Which one of these trades would it be better for me to take? Or could I be better to just HOLD for now and decline both?

    Thanks for the input!

  9. Matt P says:
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    Just realized your picture is Davey. Old school Simpsons is probably still king for me, but AT is def a close second for fav cartoon of all time.

    If Finn played baseball, would he be pitcher or positional player? I think he’d have to be a catcher, he’d get too bored playing any position that isn’t constantly involved in the game lol

Comments are closed.