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First off: Poop joke.  Secondly: next poop joke.  Good, now is it out of your system?  Well if it ain’t, pinch it off we’ve got to keep dropping these DraftKings posts like they’re hot.  Alright, alright, we can’t get things moving with you so backed up on this topic.  Here, have some yogurt.  Better?  Good!  Now I have to ask you to draft a guy who’s only $6,000 on DK and is pitching in Petco and he’s not a Padre pitcher.  In fact, he’s playing for a team that could actually get him a win.  You interested?  Me too!  His name is Rick Porcello.  He enjoys going six to seven innings, loves ground ball outs, and can probably K about five or six guys today given that his opponent is the Padres who have scored 20 total runs in nine games to start the year.  For you non-math majors, that’s 2.22 runs per game.  You don’t even need to look at the Hitter-Tron to know these Padres won’t help your hitting lineup.  I would’ve said just 2 runs since you can’t actually score .22 runs but I didn’t wanna make the lovers of San Diego cry more than their team has already made them.  But of course, I’m just a man with an idea.  What say you, Stream-O-Nator?  Only the 11th best pitcher tomorrow?  Balderdash!  Oh wait, tons of aces on the mound tomorrow.  I mean, Jose Fernandez is the 6th best pitcher tomorrow on there?  Well that changes things now doesn’t it.  Considering he’s about half the price of the big arms taking the mound, you can take him, buy an ace, and still have room in your budget for more Activia.  Seriously, go talk with your doctor, you’ve got a problem.  But enough about that, let’s do a few more quick DK pimpings and then move on.  We’ve mentioned it a few times but there’s a little game we like to call the Sweet Spot on DraftKings.  That’s a $400,000 pot.  The cool thing about the link I just gave you?  You sign up for the first time to DK you get a free ticket which you can turn into a ticket in the Sweet Spot.  How often do you get to tell your wife you actually WON money playing fantasy sports (we’re friends here, you don’t need to lie to me).  In either case, if you want in on this DK fun, that would be a great way to start.  With that, let’s get on with it.  Here’s the Razzball slant on the 4/11/2014 slate for your DraftKings lineups…

Chris Sale, SP: $11,600 – Pick an ace, any ace.  I selected Sale because Cleveland’s offense has been a Cleveland steamer of late and they’ve got Carrasco going opposite of him.  A win coupled with 8 K and 7 innings wouldn’t surprise me.  But you know what would surprise me?  Killer Bees from Outer Space.  I’d love to see that in a Rom-Com.  Hollywood, make this happen.

Joe Kelly, SP: $5,900 – Somehow, Joe beat out Carlos Martinez for the 5th starter job in St Louis.  I mean, it’s not like Carlos choked his chance.  Who knows.  And apropos to nothing, why is it that we all inherently know guys look at illicit materials and ‘go about their business’ but once we find out what the material is, we freak out?  I still have much love for you, Pee-Wee Herman.  Just put down the popcorn please.  Oh, guess I should talk about Joe…eh, he sucks but the Cubs aren’t really good themselves.  I’ll say 6 IP with 5 or 6 K and a win seems plausible.  I should work in sales!

Devin Mesoraco, C: $2,200 – Hot Schomato?  Post-post-post hype sleeper?  Does it matter?  Daily Fantasy, baby.  You’re not making a commitment here and at his going price, he’ll leave plenty for you to fill other areas.

Jose Abreu, 1B: $4,400 – I’m torn here, y’all, I really am!  I love the matchup and the price but I’d also hate to see him 50% owned in my tournament.  I mean, yay, I beat half the field and gained zero ground on anyone else if he succeeds and I suck with 50% of the field if he fails.  I’m leaning towards fading him.  Even a mouth-breather knows a guy with back to back 2 HR games is good.  It might be a good night to sneak by with a similarly priced like Prince Fielder or Adrian Gonzalez.  Want cheaper?  How about two Adams, Lind at $3,200 and Matt at $3,300.  Now can we stop talking about first basemen?  K, thx.

Donnie Murphy, SS/2B: $2,700 – I don’t know what type of dark, desperate, sick individual you’d have to be to want to get Murphy in your lineup but the Hitter-Tron likes him at 2nd.  It didn’t like him at short but that’s because he doesn’t have SS eligibility at Yahoo or ESPN.  You so cray cray, DK.  Just giving out eligibility as you see fit.  Could you put Miggy at catcher while you’re at it?  Would appreciate.

Matt Kemp, OF: $4,300 – No, he’s not all the way back.  But he doesn’t need to be.  He just needs to live up to part of his career .333/.373/.565 slashline against the D-Backs to give you positive value.

Shin Soo-Choo, OF: $4,700 – Seems to have settled into a nice little groove and the ‘Tron has him in the top 10 hitters for the day.  Don’t argue with the HT.  It’ll ask for make-up sex later.  And by ask, well…I don’t wanna talk about it…

Pedro Alvarez, 3B: $5,000 – He has crept up in price over the last few days and for good reason.  The guy has 5 HRs in his last 7 games.  And yet yesterday in the 5K Moonshot he was less than 10% owned.  That tourney had over 2,000 players in it.  I’m willing to pay for full price of admission on El Toro for Friday.

Jonny Gomes, OF: $3,200 – Gomes has, to put it mildly, not been good.  But with a lefty on the mound, the Sox have put him at leadoff in the past.  If he gets that chance on Friday in Yankees stadium – weather permitting – he could give you positive value on the day with a double, walk and a couple of runs.  And if he doesn’t, at least he can still make you smile.  Oh Jonny, your disregard for social norms is so fun!  Never change.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

BALvsTOR, NYYvsBOS, and PHIvsMIA all look pretty sketch with their rain chances tomorrow.  If you plan on playing guys from these teams, make sure you have a backup roster you can quickly import if you hear news that Noah’s Ark is on it’s way in from the Eastern seaboard.  How Darren Aronofsky goes from Requiem For a Dream to a POS Russell Crowe blockbuster is beyond me.  I know, I know, bygones.  CINvsTB could also get dicey but the weather looks like it’ll hold just fine.

Doing Lines In Vegas

ARZvsLAD at 8 1/2 looks like it could be a game that just hands us the over with Brandon McCarthy taking the mound.

NYYvsBOS and BALvsTOR both look ripe at 8 1/2 but again, Noah alert!  If the games are a go, an Orioles stack so high that it could reach the heavens would be on the docket.  Don’t think stacks make sense?  Well take a looksee at Wednesday’s $100K winner from the Walk Off contest.  Hrm, looks like they work fine to me!  Given the weather concerns, an LAD stack seems more in line.

  1. Big W says:
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    Hey Sky,

    unrelated, but…

    In a keeper 12 team Sal based mixed roto 6×6 with OPS… Had J Hamilton and Avisail go down and I dl’d them and picked up Melky and Pagan. Do you think I’ll get similar production from the replacements, less production or more production? Hamilton got off to a great start and Avisail was just starting to heat up… FML

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Big W: You’re gonna get less production. Nature of the beast. If it makes you feel any better, have Avisail in a lot of places this year, even in my keeper league. It hurts.

      • Big W says:
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        @Sky: yeah… I feel like i can’t drop him and i’m going to have to carry him on my team all season and hope for the best for next season… I can’t drop him, right?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Big W: This is a keeper? If its a keeper, I’m inclined to hod onto him if I have the DL space. I’m doing so in my league but it’s 12 team, 30 man roster, 2 at every IF position, 2 UTIL,LF, CF, RF, OF, OF and 3 DL spots so there’s value in holding on for me.

  2. AJ says:
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    Need some advice:

    Only have one RP (Rodney) on my roster, leaving another spot open. Do you have a group of closers that are likeliest to lose their jobs soon? Or should I fill the spot with a MRP, also whichever names you can throw at me would be greatly appreciated.

    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @AJ: You should hit up or Closer Report guy for this as he’s more plugged in. That said, likely to lose their job…tough. Lindstrom, Veras, Valverde fit the bill but I doubt Strop is out there. Germen is a good ratio guy for now who could weave his way into the picture. Webb in Chicago has a potential shot but he has to perform well first. Abad in Oakland could be the dark horse for saves if this closer carousel goes on long and assuming Gregerson/Doolittle/Cook are all owned.

      • AJ says:
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        @Sky: Thanks for your help!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          No worries

    • Red Barons says:
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      @AJ: Waiting for Hawkins to crash and burn—Brothers will be next in line. Grilli hasn’t been looking the sharpest lately, so Melancon might be worth a stash. These are two solid backups (no committees here), and even if they don’t take over, they’ll help with K, ERA, and WHIP.

      • AJ says:
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        @Red Barons: Thanks for your help!

  3. Keithkinkade says:
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    I’m just curios, but if you’re using the stream-o-nator, what value would be your cutoff for a possible pitching spot start? Thanks.

  4. Red Barons says:
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    Streamer says Liriano is a sit today… do you concur?

    • Nico

      Nico says:
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      @Red Barons: SON also says his opponent is worse…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Red Barons: If we’re talking Daily Fantasy, I think there are safer options. If you’re talking regular fantasy, I’m still starting Liriano in all leagues I own him

  5. Phil says:
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    Want to pick up Porcello. Should I drop Dickey, Nova or Henderson?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Phil: Dickey or Nova. Toss up, I’d drop Dickey.

  6. elipitt says:
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    I am new to daily fantasy and enjoying it so far. How do you all keep track of lineups to make sure your roster is all playing? That has been driving me nuts lately.

    How far ahead of game time are rosters announced?

    ThanksQ

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @elipitt: I’ve been cheating on Razzball using Rotowire because the format is clean but there are plenty of sites that provide the service. Just google ‘mlb lineups’ and see which one tickles your fancy.

    • Pacochu says:
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      @elipitt:

      I typed MLB Daily Lineups and it took me to a page that I bookmarked. It even links back to Razzball player pages.

  7. Nico

    Nico says:
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    Hey Sky! I’m hittin you up on a format where I can type more than 140 characters, but it just doesn’t have the same appeal… Anyway, I kind of like Chen today as a cheap pitching option. What are your thoughts? I know he’s only pitched 6.1 innings, but he utilized his changeup last game A LOT more than usual, which might be why his K/SwStr% was up. Also, love to see zero walks. Not to mention he’s playing the Twins AND he has a solid chance to snag a W considering his opposing pitcher.. Again, I know it’s early, but I wanted your take. Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Nico: Well, it’s really company policy to direct people to the site for questions (I even say that in my twitter bio). It helps the site.

      I called Chen a sneaky play last week on here so he’s still in that column. Just don’t know if the K’s will be there like they were last week is all. Liked the other options I mentioned more but he’s definitely in the Joe Kelly range.

      • Nico

        Nico says:
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        @Sky: I can respect that. I actually prefer commenting on here, but at the time, I didn’t want to find one of your old articles and make irrelevant comments on it. As you can tell, I’m a windbag, so 140+ character formats work better for me haha

        Make sense. I’ll be honest, I’m awful at daily fantasy. It’s a completely different strategy, and I can’t quite figure it out. I’ve been enjoying these articles though. Thanks again.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Nico: you’re good, for a Windbag! I keed. I answer at times o twitter but I try not to make it a habit just because it sets a precedent don’t want to set.

          Daily Fantasy is much closer to Vegas than it is to Fantasy Baseball. I talked with J-FOH about it: You’re literally trying to make 8 near perfect batty calls and 2 perfect stream calls (though aces are more available of course). It’s a learning process. Stacks for tourneys and safe, non-stacks for 50/50s and H2H.

          • Nico

            Nico says:
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            @Sky: I think the Vegas side helps me figure out some of the advantages/disadvantages because I like analyzing games from that perspective (dabbler), but the hitter have me completely lost. Thanks for the info. I’m definitely going to tailor my lineup to the type of game played. Typically, I was doing safe/matchup-based hitters in tourneys… Never had much luck.

  8. Zach says:
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    I’ve got Teheran, Bumgarner, Skaggs and Porcello going today but can only start 3, who sits?
    Stream-o-nater would have me believe Porcello but…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Zach: I’ll take the NL ballpark game and go Porcello, personally.

  9. Ron says:
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    In an OBP Roto league Seager AND P. Alverez were dropped after week 1. I had my choice and grabbed Seager off the wire.

    How bad will I regret that decision??

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Ron: Pedro hit 36 HRs last year with a bad avg/obp. Seager hit a boring’ish .260-.270 and most of his counting stats came from batting 3rd in that lineup. I would’ve preferred Pedro, personally.

  10. costaricanchata says:
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    @ Sky :

    seems like most people are off-topic ,
    so , i’ll ask a few :
    a) out of every dollar taken in ,
    what percentage does draft kings return to the customers ?
    b) any chance that we can get some real life testimonials ,
    including winning and losing rosters , personal experiences
    from players other than employees of this site ??

    thanking you , in advance .

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @costaricanchata:

      a) I haven’t crunched the numbers on bigger tourneys but if you played a $1 H2H with someone and win, you get $1.80, meaning that .20 cents (10%) goes to DK.
      b) Maybe as the year rolls along, I’ll have a guest writer on. @RotoHobo has already mentioned such an idea to me and I know he plays frequently. I’ll keep it in mind, good idea!

    • Pacochu says:
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      @costaricanchata:

      I’ve been playing since last year. If you click on one of the contests, you can see the payouts. You can also multiply the numbers of entrants by the entry fee to get the total cost, then subtract out the prize pool value that is listed to get the “rake”.

      I’ve been playing since last year and have won $500, $400, and $250 a couple times. Each time, it was a very simple matter of clicking the withdrawal button. It showed up in my PayPal account quickly with no fees taken out. Their help and support staff is tremendous. Any questions that you may have are very quickly answered.

      As far as winning and losing rosters, three really isn’t one. Pitchers with high k-rates always tend to score higher since it is 2-points per k. When looking at a player, clicking on their name will pull up their player card where you can see scoring stats for that player. I like to use that to quickly see if a guy is on a good hot streak.

      I posted this in yesterday’s DK post, but I personally like to look at guys that bat high in the lineup and are cheaply priced (less than $3,000).

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Haha, I seriously wish those Activia commercials just ended like we all wanted them to end. With Jamie Lee Curtis looking into the camera saying ‘Activia: It helps you poop!’

  11. J-FOH says:
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    Yeah, i played Porcello today before I read your article….oh wait I’m an expert daily player too, nevermind

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      You dissing me, son?

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Sky: no i was agreeing with you, please don’t hit me…..again

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @J-FOH: But you said you liked it last time…

  12. elipitt says:
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    Anybody else think A.J. Burnett could be a steal against the Marlins at $7,600?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I don’t think Miami’s offense has looked that bad to start and Citizen’s bank is a band box. I know his GB/FB rates are great but that Phillies infield is a butcher. Could get ugly quickly, he’s not on my radar personally.

  13. Hawk says:
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    Forgive my newb question here but…

    what does “fading” mean?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      No worries, it’s borrowed from gambling. It means to bet against a player. By not putting money into Abreu today, I’m saying I think he’ll be overly owned and could turn in a lukewarm performance given his recent streak. He’s a hot name that probably gets overplayed today. Jose Bautista slowly played himself into a similar setting. He was owned in 37% of my tourney yesterday. A guy who’s hot is great but if he’s getting overplayed, you’re not getting much back. For example, Josh Donaldson was 9.9% owned yesterday as was Pedro Alvarez. Given the price bump, I’m hoping people avoid Alvarez but jump in on Donaldson whom I don’t think has as good of a day.

  14. Pacochu says:
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    Man, it was tough to come up with a lineup today. The rain looks like it will hit right at game time in Baltimore and that eliminates some great Jays value. The aces are all playing as are their high prices.

    Some random picks from my roster for tonight.

    Julio Teheran – $8,000 seems a fair price for him against the Nats

    Everth Cabrera – $3,900 for a guy that has scored double digits two of his last three.

    JB Shuck or Colin Cowgill – ($2,500 and $2,200) One should play tonight. Calhoun will probably lead off against the righty Gee, but one of these cheap guys will slot in for Hamilton and maybe sneak you out some points.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’m guessing Shuck will be in since it’s a righty on the mound. I think Cowgill will be vs LHP only. Personally, my cheap play for one of my lineups is Travis Snider. Two bombs in his last two games and hitting second and they’re in a hitter-friendly park. A mini-Buccos stack makes sense to me there. Like your picks but because I’m avoiding all the weather problems, I find my night filled with LAD, PIT and TEX players.

  15. MattH says:
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    I was thinking the same about Abreu and going with Dunn. Does Fielder come alive tonight or would you pass on him until he shows some life? Choo Fielder could be lively.

    • MattH says:
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      @MattH: Missed the part where you suggested Fielder in the post. Got it.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @MattH: Rios has great batter vs pitcher numbers against feldman

      • MattH says:
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        @J-FOH: Thanks JFOH. I’m going to use Rios too.

  16. Lville Jim says:
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    Rolling Porcello tonight in three leagues, hopefully he gives me a westcoast chubby.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Lville Jim: Chubby like Sir Mix-A-Lot is what I’d like.

  17. Andre says:
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    10 team H2h keeper league….I’ve got Castellanos and Boegarts at 3b….so I’m looking at dropping Arenado as well as one of my 4 closers for more SP depth. On the wire are Paxton, Hammel, Straily, Leake, Kelly, and Kennedy. Where should I clip for more P depth? I’m thinking of cutting 2 and picking up Paxton and Straily? Standard categories.

    C-posey
    1b-Craig
    2b-Rendon
    3b- castellanos
    Ss-segura
    If-Hosmer
    of-Braun
    Of- McCutchen
    Of- Heyward
    UTL-pagan
    UTL-Boegarts

    Bn-d. Gordon

    Sp- Fernandez
    Sp- Ryu
    Sp- Gallardo
    RP- Nathan
    RP- Soriano
    P- Kazmir
    P- Ventura
    P- Archer

    Bn- E. Santana, Papelbon

    DL-Iwakuma, Robertson.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Do you have a DL spot for James Paxton? I’m not sure you need depth. I’d be more inclined to try and sell Gallardo or Santana, maybe two for one them. Probably shouldn’t be cutting saves or Arenado, IMHO. Straily is a stream pitcher. Wouldn’t be looking to pick him up for long term.

      • Andre says:
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        No DL spots available. Iwakuma and Robertson are my only available spots. Not sure I need 4 closers but were limited by a moves limit. Should I make a move on Paxton then? Who would you sell Santana and /or Gallardo for?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Sounds like if you’re in a limited moves league you should hold for now. Staff looks fine. Couple Gallardo or Santana with a closer and aim for a starting SP. I’d prefer to keep Santana over Gallardo.

  18. schtickball says:
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    sky your post made me so happy for rostering the likes of pork-cello.

    do like mesoraco over yanni?? also you see neftali coming back to take over the closer role in the near future??

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @schtickball: Hahaha, there’s always room for Pork-cello!

      We talking daily or season fantasy with Yan vs Devin? I’d still lean Yan for season, personally, but they’re both still wildcards at the moment. Devn for DFS tonight. I don’t think Soria has done anything to destroy trust so I’d be inclined to say no. Think it’ll take an injury to make that happen.

  19. mcdizzle says:
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    rick porcello….gosh come on man. i’m sooo sick of this guy. So his defense or lack there of it contributes to the nice 6.1 ip and 5 runs. nice inflated whip oh and i got him for the win too…oh wait no i didn’t. thanks rick. same old d-bag

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @mcdizzle: No kidding. So frustrating

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