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So apparently as of this writing, Draftkings just doesn’t want us to have a full day of games.  I went to check and see if I could build a lineup with Max Scherzer, but then I’m stuck with only three or four games to choose from.  But when I pick the bigger slate, we’re stuck with good but not the best options on this fine baseball day.  What’s a player to do?  Well, adjust sucka!  Sorry, that was out of line.  I try and avoid short slates as it leads too weird lineups winning out, especially in big GPP leagues.  So I’m gonna take my 11 games and stay sad I can’t get in on Mad Max while I do it.  Tears…oh well, there are still some good things to find.  And one play that I’ve been trumpeting since I wrote a Fantasy Sleeper post on him would be Tyson Ross.  Said Ross has a few things going for him.  One, he’s pitching in a pitcher friendly park.  Deux, he finished 2013 looking downright sexy.  Thricely, the Dodgers and Padres have combined to score nine runs in two games.  That’s runs total for both teams if you’re having a hard time picking up what I’m putting down.  So while I can’t promise you a win, the runs should stay low and hopefully the K’s get high and for the fun low price of $7,400, you don’t have to break the bank to get in on it and go buy Scherzer!  Damn, forgot…Y U NO ALL GAMES, DK?!?  Oh well, just like you can’t hug every cat, you can’t get all the games you want on DK sometimes.  C’est la Daily Fantasy Baseball I guess.  Speaking of full slates, don’t forget to reserve your spot for the Razzball Draftkings Contest this Friday.  Now I WOULD put a 50/50 here for everyone to hop in on but yesterday…well let’s just say that Razzball Nation let me down.  It’s no biggie, clearly you don’t need me anymore.  You’re all grown up…fly away, lesbian seagulls *sniffs*.  Wow, that got emotional.  Let’s not do that again.  Instead, let’s get to picks for 4/2/2014 for Draftkings Daily Fantasy Baseball…

Dan Haren, P: $8,800 – No reason to fight the trend here.  Same great ballpark but for a bit more money out of pocket.  It actually wouldn’t be THAT crazy to double down on this game with your pitchers given that wins are fickle and only four points.

Bartolo Colon, P: $6,900 – It’s definitely not the best pick due to low K rates but if you’re in a pinch…well get unpinched.  Colon shouldn’t be on your radar but given his home ballpark and good control, I felt he deserved a bit of a spotlight.  And now I’m shutting that spotlight off.  G’night!

Angel Pagan, OF: $3,900 – Cahill is, for lack of a better three words, a dumpster fire.  He’s somehow found a way to get worse each year.  Hard to do when you move from the AL to the NL but he’s worked very hard at it.  He’s also known to get off to bad starts in games.  Pagan could serve up a couple of hits and runs before Trevor is treated like Old Yeller and put down.  Yes, I’m really just pointing out one SF player.  Consider this a suggestion to go Giants-heavy today.

Rajai Davis, OF: $2,700 – This is me throwing you early birds a bone…or worm.  Whatever, Davis takes lefties to task and with Vargas on the mound, a couple of hits, a steal and a run or two are well within reach.  And of course Tyler Collins is starting today.  Who’s Tyler Collins you ask?  I’d guess it’s Tyler Colvin in disguise.  He’s gonna hit 40 HRs still, right?

Chris Davis, 1B: $4,300 – Had himself a snoozer for an opening day going 0/3 with two strikeouts and left all his owners a fat donut in their lineup.  No matter, Lackey and Crush just haven’t gotten along over the years as Davis owns a .367/.406/.667 career slashline against him to date which includes 2 HRs and 3 doubles.  Oh and if you’re looking for steals, Baltimore might be the lineup to pick from; Lackey gave up an MLB high 36 stolen bags last year.  Wonder where I pull this knowledge from?  Directly from my a…stute co-workers here at Razzball who put this SB Rater together for ya.  Enjoy.

Mitch Moreland, 1B: $3,200 – Wanna be supercheap at 1B, eh?  Well the Phillies are bringing Kyle Kendrick down to Texas.  Yes, the 4.70 ERA in 2013 who’s an NL pitcher in an AL ballpark going against a strong lineup Kyle Kendrick.  And before you ask, a lineup of mostly Rangers isn’t crazy at all to me if the weather is right.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

Well, we lost what would’ve no doubt been a glorious start by Corey Kluber yesterday to the rain.  Guess we’ll just have to watch from afar unless we play the early slates, right?  There are multiple places threatening with precipitation but none moreso than CINvsSTL where there’s a 60% chance of rain and tears from DFS’ers who don’t take heed while TEXvsPHI has a moderate 30% chance to do the same.

Doing Lines In Vegas

When you have guys like Robbie Ross and Kyle Kendrick pitching, it’s no wonder the game holds the highest expected run total for the day at 9 1/2.  I mean, look at that consonance!  That’s worth three runs all by itself.  Right behind it we have ARZvsSF at 9.  It’s clear Vegas thinks Cahill will give up at least half those runs by himself in the first alone.  A sneaky all Brew-crew stack could be of service as well with an 8 1/2 spread and Aaron Harang on the mound.  Yes, he’s still getting paid to pitch and yes it baffles me too.

From Around The Web

  1. J Money says:
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    Does SON not liking Ross today affect your call on him at all?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @J Money: It’s too early for SON to get its mojo going, IMHO. It’s based on last year’s data right now and some assumptions overall.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Sky: Rudy said somewhere today it’s based on 3 years of data now. of course Ross is young.

  2. Shake N Bacon says:
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    Stacking the Rangers lineup sounds like a good call to me. Good ol’ Donnie Murphy manning the keystone or what?

    I think one of the hardest things to deal with is the weather when making your DK lineup. It can really jack up a beautiful lineup, when you have to scramble and swap out a bunch of guys.

    Better to scramble than lose your dough.

    No I’m hungry.

    • Shake N Bacon says:
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      No = Now

      Evidently I also need coffee.

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        @Shake N Bacon: I was boned over by the Kluber PPD last night. Had to do some major rearranging. Twas not cool.

  3. de nachos says:
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    Thanks (not really thanks) for the ear worm…now Englebert Humperdinck in my head for the rest of the afternoon.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @de nachos: Next time I’ll make it Burt Bacharach

  4. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Ross is gonna deal. 6IN 4H 1ER 1BB 8K W. Book it!

    • Chicken Dinner says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: Robbie Ross that is.

        • Chicken Dinner says:
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          @Sky: I’m starting him and rocking out the positive energy. IT WILL WORK.

  5. Pacochu says:
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    I started Max and Garza in the early games. Unfortunately, none of my offense save Alexei Ramirez is doing anything.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Yeah, it’s been an ugly morning for offense with these games. Salvi double is leading my charge.

      • mauledbypandas says:
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        @Sky: Worry not. Klubes is here to stimulate offenses everywhere! (actually only the A’s for today!)

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I am nonplussed by these things!

          • mauledbypandas says:
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            @Sky: I dunno, he looked awful. No command, no movement on this fastball, kept hanging breaking stuff.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              And as we all know, one game decides all. Drop Ellsbury! Grab Callaspo!

              • mauledbypandas says:
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                @Sky: cool. hope he turns it around.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  I hope the same for Cliff Lee, et al. Just saying, it’s early.

  6. Gene Parmesan says:
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    I like the Stream-O-Nator as a tool to use when looking at potential pickups, but as you mentioned before, it’s too early in the season to blindly go with whatever the S.O.N. says at this point. With regards to the aforementioned, I had a more holistic question with regards to it’s functionality and use. I understand all the peripheries, but am wondering if there’s a tried-and-true formulaic analysis of the S.O.N.? For instance, the “Nator” is saying that Hector Santiago is the 5th best pitcher to throw out on the mound today and is valued at $14. However, I don’t personally see the difference between Santiago’s start against the M’s, and say, Felipe Paulino’s start agains the Twinkies seven slots lower. Now, the $ value is not all that significant (i.e., 3.5 points or so) so perhaps that gives me the answer I’m looking for, but I’m curious if either you (Sky), or, the upper brass at Razzball has a dollar value window where they like particular starting pitchers more than others?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’d probably look at it like it were tiers, personally. Think in terms of value at the auction table. You can get MadBum for around $20 in an Auction. So if there’s a pitcher going at that price for the day, that’s a way to evaluate where they’re ‘weighted’ in terms of expected production. If there’s three pitchers weighted around that price, give or take a buck or two, there’s your tier. In an auction, I’d see Paulino and Santiago in different tiers. But of course, back to what we initially discussed: SON is in its 2014 infancy and the Mariners have straight killed the ball to start the year. Hard to agree w/SON on the Santiago front for that reason.

      If you want more in-depth on this, I’d hit up Rudy or reply directly on the Stream-O-Nator at the bottom as I am definitely not the creator of this cool tool and am merely speaking from how I view the data myself.

    • @Gene Parmesan: I consider anything above $10 a no-brainer streaming opportunity. Those starts – over the long run – are going to return the equivalent of a $10+ starter. SoN isn’t perfect and there’s no reason to just stream a guy if you don’t want to. But realize that SoN is taking a number of factors into account. For Santiago/Paulino, the biggest difference is that CHA is a much worse pitching park than LAA and the Mariners offense is predominantly lefty which gives Santiago the platoon advantage whereas Minnesota has several solid lefties (Mauer, Arcia, Kubel).

      Please note that SoN isn’t going to get much smarter as the year goes on. It just will incorporate in-season stats. But in-season stats max out at about 1/3 of the past data that goes into Steamer projections (the rest are previous years). It’s fair, though, that once a guy has thrown a few starts, we have a better feeling about his velocity, health, etc.

      Hope that helps…

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Thanks Rudy!

      • Gene Parmesan says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: I genuinely appreciate the response(s), Sky and Rudy. Although the S.O.N. undoubtedly gets more accurate as the season progresses, I thought along similar lines with regards to overall value (i.e., +10$ is more-or-less a quality streamer, maybe go down to $8 depending on need). As Rudy, alluded to, we’re talking about odds of a quality streamer start based upon splits, ballpark and previous statistics.

        Appreciate both of the work the two of you do. As an aspiring fantasy baseball prognosticator myself, everything the both of you churn out is awesome. Thanks. Grey is okay as well:)

        P.S. Grey is going to get pissed about that huh?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Hey, watch it, Parmesan!

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            Don’t go threatening my readers! You stay on your post, I’ll stay on mine…*draws imaginary line with finger across carpet*

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Glad I could be of any help, my man.

  7. Cram It says:
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    You have a tough hill to climb getting out of the “but I swear he’s good” doghouse. *ahem, Kluber, ahem* Good luck!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I’ll start with Ross tonight!

      • Cram It says:
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        @Sky: Oh God, you’re making it worse. What, that poop sandwich wasn’t good? Here, chase it down with some piss tea.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          It’s warm, come hop in after Yordano Ks 10 in 5 innings.

          • Cram It says:
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            @Sky: Ha. I have this unicorn I want to sell you. His name is Yordano.

            Kluber has just as much to make up for those who put faith in him. I’m not talking about one start. I fear he’s not going to be the darling we hoped. Thankfully, I only own one share of him. He’s a curious case to me. Hope he pans out.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              That’s ok, I could’ve had him for free because someone dropped him. No need to pay for the horn when you can get the Unicorn for free!

              In the end, we’re talking about a pitcher that was going in the, what, 18th? 20th? Late round picks pan out and sometimes they fail. I still see a guy who had just one bad outing. Not like that doesn’t happen to good pitchers now and then. I’m sure the Cliff Lee owner isn’t exactly the happiest man alive right now and he was taken in the first 6 or 7 rounds. But freaking out about a 35 year old pitcher sucking opening day is crazy talk. Maybe I should’ve posted a sleeper pick on Aaron Harang instead, haha.

  8. Chico Escuela says:
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    The A’s be berry berry bad to Corey Kluber today…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Painfully so. At least the bullpen is keeping the fun rolling.

  9. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Anybody worried about the rain in Cincy?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I mentioned I was in the article

  10. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    Texas and Detroit are in tough spots. Nunez is headed to the highest bidder, I would think. Nunez fits in Texas better

    Drew makes more sense for Detroit – if Drew will budge on his contract demands – I think, he will
    and he signs a 1 year now. $$$ is another question, Detroit actually has a young man in Hernan Perez they could give a shot at the job.

    This is a mess and you have to throw Toronto into the mix.

    There will be trades in the next few days in MLB.

    Clevland is loaded with just a little too young gaggle of shortstops Jose Ramirez might be on the block for the right price.

    Stay tuned.

    END TECHNO FBB!!! PUT PEOPLE BACK IN IT!!!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I could see it. I’m surprised Drew isn’t in Detroit right now, all things considered. They’re a team you could say is built to win now. Not spending when they need it most would be foolish.

      Techno forever!

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