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The Midsummer Classic.  Just such an eloquent sounding event.  If you watched last night’s game, I’d be surprised if you’re not still sleeping.  Ok fine, it wasn’t that bad, but I was texting friends that if Mariano Rivera got the save, the All-Star Game is scripted.  And what do you know he pitches in a 3-0 game in the… 8th inning?  Oh c’mon Jim Leyland and your “I wanted to be sure he pitched.”  Have him be the AL starter then!  Sheesh.  Or be the first replacement pitcher in so he can get the win.

Another thing spawned on us while bantering during the game, and that was there needs to be more fantasy evens surrounding the All-Star events.  Our ideas were one-time immediate payouts from our long-time dynasty league dues for the team with the HR Derby winner, and the winner of the most points in either a points league calculation or a DraftKings calculation from their players in the All-Star game.  We think we’re on to something for next year.

For DraftKings, they’ve already got this all worked out with their own huge Midsummer Classic $500,000 contest going on Friday.  Yes I know, this means no Razzball contest this week (sadface), but if you haven’t won a ticket through our exclusive contests, you can still get one for FREE.  All you have to do is refer five friends THROUGH THIS LINK, and a ticket is yours!  Not only do you win a ticket into the Midsummer Classic, but you earn commission based on bringing in your friends to play.

Taking a Midsummer stroll to last week’s picks:

SP – Corey Kluber 7.2 IP 3 H 3 BB 0 ER 8K (33.65 Pts)

CI – Edwin Encarnacion 2-5  1 HR  1 RBI  2 R  1 BB  (19 Pts)

MI – J.J. Hardy 1-3  1 HR  3 RBI  1 R  (18 Pts)

OF1 – Nick Markakis 1-4  1 R (5 Pts)

OF2 – Nelson Cruz 0-4  1 BB  (2 Pts)

UTIL – David Murphy 0-5

TOTAL – 77.65 (Previous weeks’ finishes – 61, 34, 40.15, 47.65, 54.3, 93.85, 76.9, 68.8, 47.7, 67.3, 92.4, 75, 83, 96)

A great return to form in my article picks, leading this team into a third place finish less than three points out of first last week.  Dammit Murphy!  Kluber was picked by nearly half of teams, so it’s a good thing I pimped him up!  A last second decision for my team was switching out Stephen Strasburg for Patrick Corbin to save a little money to help my offense which proved critical.  All-in-all a great week, and with the big tamale this Friday, I’m hoping all the picks below come through for Razzball winners (SPECIAL EDITION – Since I’m not going to be in the contest, I’m going to list what my full line-up would be to see how I would’ve done – but only the players denoted with their positions in parentheses will be scored for my normal article scoring):

SP1 (SP) – Jered Weaver ($8,700) - It’s going to be an interesting night of pitching in the Midsummer Classic, as the only real ace going is Strasburg and he’s off a brutal blowup against the Marlins.  Then the next highest priced pitcher is, wait for it, Kyle Lohse.  Yikes.  It’s been said numerous times by me and in the comments that pitching wins you the $ in DraftKings, so I’m going with a solid pitcher, who was rolling in Seattle last time out before a rough 6th inning.  He’ll be at home vs. Oakland, who he’s got a 2.36 ERA and 1.04 career mark against.  Given that’s in 24 starts with a lot of different hitters, but Oakland hasn’t seen him yet this year and I think Weaver will come out of the ASB steady.  Solid value for a solid pitcher.

SP2 – Scott Kazmir ($7,200) – Owned the Twins last time he faced them, K upside.

C (UTIL) – Mike Napoli ($4,400) – Sorry to be convoluted, but wanted to show the line-up in order.  Napoli is my article’s “UTIL” pick and my fake team’s catcher for the Classic.  He’s a career 7-15 (.467) hitter off of Andy Pettitte, who is struggling to pitch effectively while in his 40’s.  Shocker!  Hitting in Fenway, I expect some good classic rivalry magic from Napoli.

1B (CI) – Prince Fielder ($5,000) - With Weaver a slight discount, I’m spending pretty big on Fielder, who absolutely crushes Ervin Santana with a career line of 6-10 3 HRs 1 2B and two walks to only one whiff.  Santana is coming off a brutal start at Yankee stadium heading into the break, and after showing impeccable control this year, has multiple walks in his last five games.  Santana’s got some waffling command issues, and hopefully Prince hits one another 480 feet like he did in the derby.

2B – Nick Franklin ($3,600) - Value pick, hope Bud Norris is his usual terrible self, but it is in Houston where he’s more effective.

SS (MI) – Jimmy Rollins ($3,700) – A fantastic value play, Rollins’ price must be so low due to hitting in Citi Field, but it’s tough to get a player of his pedigree at such a discount.  Not to mention he’s a lifetime .455 (5-11) hitter off of opposing pitcher Jeremy Hefner.  Two of those hits were doubles, and hitting near the top of the Phillies line-up as opposed to a lot of other MI options hitting low in their respective team’s line-ups, Rollins is a no-brainer.

3B – Matt Dominguez ($3,300) – 3-6 off Joe Saunders and cheap power upside.

OF (OF1) – Giancarlo Stanton ($5,100) – Spending big again, but I’ll make this work!  Hitting in Miller Park instead of Miami will be a blessing for Stanton, as he needs only 50% of his normal contact to connect on some homers – and he’s a career 6-12 against Kyle Lohse with two solo bombs already.  Stanton is on a short list of players that you’d pick to hit a homer on any given night, and I love the prospects here.

OF (OF2) – Domonic Brown ($4,600) - How can a hitter be perfect?  Well, you can start by hitting against Jeremy Hefner, and go a career 4-4 with a homer, 5 RBIs and two walks.  That’s six plate appearances and Hefner hasn’t been able to get him out!  Pretty impossible not to play Brown on Friday with that track record.

OF – Alejandro De Aza ($4,100) - He’s never faced Tim Hudson, but going with a hot bat heading into the ASB, as he was hitting .480 with two homers and four RBIs in the last week.

 

And with $100 to spare, that would be my lineup.  Shoot your DraftKings questions below or tweet me @jbgilpin – good luck in the Midsummer Classic and win that big pay day!

REFER 5 FRIENDS FOR A FREE MIDSUMMER CLASSIC TICKET WORTH $200!

From Around The Web

  1. Bryan says:
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    McClouth or Eaton ROS?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bryan: I’ll still lean McLouth

  2. CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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    I’m freaking out man! With the pitching being slim pickings, I know the cheap SP’s I’m taking and it’s freeing up enough money to start an entire lineup like STL against Marquis or Colorado at home which might be safer than cherry picking random guys. Have you gone that route before? I haven’t.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole: Not entirely, I did start a bunch of Brewers a few weeks back and it paid off well. Only it’s a lot of risk should there be a rain delay or like Marquis walks everyone, gets chased out, and the bullpen mows everyone down.

      • CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Oh I’ll be sitting in front of my lineup right up until the games lock. I’ll be damned if I miss out due to a postponed game.

  3. Clint says:
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    Hey JB! Took your advice to deal Heyward and a SP to upgrade my 5th starter and here’s what I did: dealt Heyward and Samardzija to get Kemp and Iwakuma.

    That leaves me the following:

    OF’s: Braun, Harper, Bruce
    Util: Kemp, Ellsbury
    Bench hitters: Aoki, Leonys Martin
    SP’s: Scherzer, Price, Hamels, Iwakuma, and Gallardo

    Here’s hoping Matty rebounds for a huge 2nd half and Iwakuma recaptures his early season form I guess.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Clint: nice! Love that deal. Kemp has a lot more upside than Heyward and I think Iwakuma will be solid.

  4. Queso Grande says:
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    How much value does De Aza lose with Rios probably leaving an already weak offensive team. Coco, Reddick or Rasmus a better pickup?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Queso Grande: Not that much, I think I would’ve gone Coco first either way, but like De Aza over the other 2

  5. Pacochu says:
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    I did not win an entrance into the Midsummer Classic from Razzball, so I rolled the dice and entered a Mega Qualifier on Saturday and finished fifth of 97 teams to snag one a ticket. It did cost me $27 though. I won some of that back by finishing well in a couple other games that day.

    I haven’t looked at my lineup yet other than to pick a quick random one just to get my entry in. A quick look has me liking Anibal Sanchez ($9,600) against an often punchless KC team.

    • CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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      @Pacochu: Nice. What’s your handle? I’ll keep an eye out for you.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Pacochu: Cool nice work! Yeah Anibal is nice, still a little worried with the shoulder though, I know his last start all 4 ERs came on a late grand slam, but he was already over 100 pitches with one out in the 6trh, I just worry he could get knocked around or not go very deep. Good luck guys!

  6. The Dredd Pirate says:
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    I traded Billy Butler and Jordan Zimmerman for Au Shizz! what do you think?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @The Dredd Pirate: Ummm, you definitely swindled like a PIrate!

      • The Dredd Pirate says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Thats what I like to read sir thanks for the confirmation!

  7. Art Vandelay says:
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    Hey JB, the Hitter-Tron is pretty down on some of your guys (Rollins, Franklin, and even Dom Brown at least compared to his price). Do you not trust the machine (i.e. you prefer the subjective judgment because the Hitter-Tron is overlooking certain things), or is this a function of the Draft Kings scoring format vs. standard fantasy scoring?

    • CramYourCatcherQuestionsUpYourCramhole says:
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      @Art Vandelay: Brown is 4-4 and Rollins 5-11 against Hefner. That’s hard data, which is what he’s looking at, as he said….more telling than Hitter-tron.

      • Art Vandelay says:
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        @CramYourCatcherQuestionsUpYourCramhole: Is that sarcasm? 4 at bats is about as small a sample size as you can get, so I’m not sure that’s indicative of anything. The hitter tron is based on a players entire body of work, splits, park factors, etc. That seems like a much more objective measure. That said, when you are talking about one game, baseball is quite a crapshoot, so the subjective stuff may be more important. Hence my question to JB.

        • CramYourCatcherQuestionsUpYourCramhole says:
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          @Art Vandelay: Well JB cited 4-4 so I’m gonna go ahead and say that was a factor. I don’t know if you’ve played baseball, but 4-4 off a guy is enough of a sample size when you’re facing him again. I don’t think Hiiter-tron is more accurate than batter v. pitcher. Did Harold Finch create it? I’d like to know the accuracy rate of that thing before following it verbatim.

        • CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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          @Art Vandelay: Marco Scutaro is is -8.6 for friday against Kennedy. But he’s 7 for 16 against him in real life. Bet your ass I’m running him out there if he plays. Hitter-tron be damned.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Art Vandelay: @CramYourCatcherQuestionsUpYourCramhole: Hey guys, yea I like batter vs. pitcher stats, then weigh in park factors and also line-up spot factors. Hitter-a-Tron looks more at in depth splits, which I use more for players with no track records against specific pitchers. I like Hitter-A-Tron but that’s been Rudy’s main tool and it hasn’t gone so hot. I don’t know how heavy/if Hitter-A-Tron weighs batter vs. pitcher, but I like to look for that, especially when a batter puts up great stats and doesn’t strike often against a particular pitcher – means they see the ball well.

        • CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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          @JB Gilpin: Bingo. Thank you.

        • Art Vandelay says:
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          @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB. I’ve found the Hitter-Tron to be useful in identifying guys that should be expected to have nice games that might be slightly undervalued. I’m not sure of it’s track records overall, but anecdotally it’s been pretty good to me. On the other hand, to your point, I’m not so sure that guys that Hitter-tron does NOT like are necessarily more likely to do poorly, and if there are good reasons to expect them to outperform the Hitter-tron, I’m certainly open to it. The Rollins pick is a head scratcher for me, if only because he’s been pretty mediocre all year and is hitting in Metco.

          Some guys I like: Juan Francisco, Nelson Cruz, Chris Carter, Victorino. I’m struggling with the middle infield slots. Considering the guys going in Coors (e.g., Starlin Castro), but haven’t made up my mind.

          I like your Kazmir call, as I had identified him as one of my possible plays. What do you think about Doubront on friday? As a Yanks fan, I can attest that their lineup is bad, and especially terrible against lefties. I feel like Doubront has some K upside. Weaver is a fine choice, too, but pricier, and I don’t fully trust him this season.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Art Vandelay: Understandable, I like Rollins because of his price, track record against Hefner, and as stated above, hitting either 2nd or 3rd which may get one more at bat vs. some other MI in his price range that hit deeper in their lineups. And to your point, the MI spots are tough this Friday. Not in love with Doubront, he pitches well vs. the Yankees in his career and they are indeed bad vs. lefties, but I see more risk there in a better park to hit in than some other cheap options like Kazmir. Yea Weaver is pricier, but again good park and isn’t that much more at $8700 vs. $7500 for Doubront for a safer pick, IMO

  8. Dominican Power says:
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    Trade Trumbo for Desmond Jennings?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dominican Power: Sorta depends on needs, if you don’t need a CI, don’t mind getting DJ

  9. CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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    T-Storms forecasted from Chicago to the north east tomorrow. Gonna be some last second scrambling! I think I need to prepare a nice weather backup lineup…

  10. CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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    Jason Kubel is 9-13 with 2 HR’s and zero K’s against Gaudin. You think that’s TOO good?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole: Haha not at all too good, sounds like a great play! It is in SF though, might sap a little power from it, but to have that many PA, no K, love that pick.

  11. Pacochu says:
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    Here is my current lineup. This is of course subject to change based on weather, lineups and whims of fancy.

    Weaver – Like the price and point potential
    Holland – Still mulling this. SoN likes him, but the park and opponent (Bal) give me pause.
    Zunio – Cheap and a starter probably. A Little low in the lineup. VMart was my second choice.
    Pujols – A bit spendy, but had a few bucks to spare.
    Uggla – Price is good and was hitting nicely before the break.
    Ransom – Filler/Cheap pick and based on Hitter-Tron
    Segura – Just like the kid
    Stanton – Going with Big Biscuit on this one.
    Gomes – Cheap filler, will probably change
    Chris Carter – Have a feeling here.

    I’m sure I’ll make changes tomorrow. This is just my current idea.

    • CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole says:
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      @Pacochu: I’ve changed mine like 14 times already, except the pitching. And it will certainly change again when I freak out that certain games will get cancelled (even though they won’t). I’ve been stoked and stressed since Tuesday. I’m such a head case.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Pacochu: Looks good to me! @CramYourCatcherQuestionUpYourCramhole: And yea looks like scattered storms everywhere… Hopefully only delays and no cancellations, has me liking Weaver even more pitching west coast and no getting rained on are 3 innings then comes out

  12. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    how much of a value increase does Rios get by being traded to any sort of decent offense? I’m likely to try trading choo/perkins for rios/janssen, rios/choo are almost identical on most raters right now, but choo is better overall against righties, and absolutely terrible against lefties, basically necessitating a backup OF who is at least decent, as lefties come up often enough.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Aubrey Plaza’s Pillow: Not too much more, I think he could struggle moving too, but I still like your trade

  13. valaona says:
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    I won two tickets through the Play with Rudy Contests, I’m having a hard time deciding how to play this. Should I be afraid if my lineups look too similar? I don’t want the same guy to hurt both my teams.

    For example, I somehow ended up with Bud Norris starting on both teams

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @valaona: Yikes yea I definitely would have one without Norris. I think your pitchers should be different but an overlap of hitters isn’t a bad thing

    • Pacochu says:
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      @valaona:

      There are two schools of thought. If you hit on the right players, two similar lineups will win you more money. However, if they miss, then you are out of luck on two entries. I usually mix up my pitchers and keep similar sluggers. If you go with two different lineups, you have a better chance on hitting on at least one group.

  14. Art Vandelay says:
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    JB and company, I think this is the lineup I am rolling with. I could be persuaded otherwise:

    SP: Bud Norris (SON likes him, has been pretty solid at home)
    SP: Kazmir (
    C: Gattis
    1B: Chris Carter
    2b: Kinsler
    SS: Castro
    3B: Francisco
    OF: Cruz
    OF: Moss
    OF: Victorino

    I know I differ from you on almost all of these, but I was wondering what you thought anyway. The big decision is whether to go with Weaver. I ultimately am leaning towards spending the cash on my hitting, because I just don’t see the upside with Weaver. He’s safer, probably, but has been mostly unspectacular this year. I think the added cost might not give me enough marginal benefit. I don’t see Weaver coming out with some sort of amazing, world-beating outing, and I figure lots of people will be drafting Weaver, so why not go big or go home? I’m mostly spending big on hitters where the hitter-tron really likes them and/or they have nice matchups.

    What do you think?

    • Art Vandelay says:
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      @Art Vandelay: Looks like Cruz is not playing, so I will likely slot in Giancarlo there.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Art Vandelay: Obviously like Giancarlo, like Kazmir, just don’t trust Norris, I know he’s a good home pitcher but meh… Good luck tonight! I picked my team in a cheap contest so I can follow how I woulda done…

    • Pacochu says:
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      @Art Vandelay:
      I like to use the SoN, but I try not to rely on it too much. Norris looks great on paper, but I’ve been burned every time I used and Astros starter. I like to focus on pitcher with big point upsides and good recent performance. They tend to be the most consistent players. Hitters are very hit and miss. It’s easier to guess on 20+ points from a pitcher than hitters.

  15. JB Gilpin

    JB Gilpin says:
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    Rollins early!

  16. Pacochu says:
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    Here was my final submission –

    Weaver – 30.2 pts
    Price – 16.95 pts
    VMart – 0
    Chris Carter – 5 pts – Burned yet again by an Astro. So much for supporting the local team
    Matt Carpenter – 23 pts – He always produces for me.
    Rendon – 0 pts – Value is no good if the points aren’t there
    B. Miller – 39 pts – Picked because of top of the order, playing Astros and $3,1000. Big hit!
    R. Ibanez – 3 pts – Grrrr…
    Jonny Gomes – 23 pts – Hitter Tron paid off here.
    G. Stanton – 0 pts – I was Gilpin’d. I shall now refer to him as Lucy VanPelt.

    Total was 140.15 points. That was good enough for 217th place and $325. I might get that garage TV after all.

    The lineup I listed above earlier would have came out to 127.4 points, good enough for 433rd place and $275.

    JB VanPelt’s lineup came in at 112.7 points to finish 754th and out of the money.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Pacochu: Yup, I played in a $1 contest and that was my score, still not bad though. Brad Miller was huge. Nice job finishing with some $! Stanton hit a moonshot that was caught on the track, so it was close… Still I VP-ed though haha sorry man…

      • Pacochu says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Had I stuck with Zunio instead of VMart at catcher, I would have won another $200 though the various contests. Of course, I would have spent the extra roster money on another player, potentially lowering my score. Or, I could have afforded Bautista instead of Stanton and finished even higher. Hindsight is 20/20.

  17. Frank White says:
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    Morning JP… Yesterday I asked If I should replace Miley and Gaudin and you said Yes, for Porcello and E Jackson.. I think I’m gonna hold onto Gaudin especially after last night.. You agree?? He won his last 4 with 25K/5BB’s and only 5 ER’s in his last 4 outings. 3 in his last 3 outings.. Idk if you know something I don’t that’s why I’m bringing it up but I’m always dropping guys like this then somebody else grabs him and after he absolutely kills it!!! LOL. Anyway, when I drop Miley I should grab Porcello right??

  18. Frank White says:
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    Basically I’m making that Porcello move. Then dropping Ike Davis for Luke Scott then Dropping C-Mart like you said but instead of Gregg do u think I should grab Uehara or Chris Perez?

  19. Frank White says:
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    I have a question about draft kings and streaming hitters. I’m trying to pick a team today on draft kings and I’m trying to use the hitter tron to pick my hitting. What categories should I be looking at to pick my hitters??? Do you use the stream o nator to help u pick? I always lose this shit so its worth a try doing it this way

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Frank White: You’ve been reading/commenting with me for a year and can’t get my name right? Hah… I never said E Jax, I can’t remember last time I ever said I wanted him that musta been Grey, hold Gaudin, like getting Porcello, grab Uehara, I like Batter vs. Pitcher – check out the Matchups link in Rudy’s new article http://razzball.com/updated-rest-of-season-stats-lineups-and-batter-vs-pitcher-matchups/

      and find hitters that do really well vs. today’s pitcher.

      • Frank White says:
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        Nice JB JB JB JB.. LOL sorry dude! Hey real quick, Someone just dropped Cosart. Is he a better Pickup then Porcello? Or even is he worth making room for?? Oh and I cant BELIEVE they took Gaudin out with 2 innings left about to pitch a shutout!!! I mean fantasy that really sucks but even for him pitching a shutout woulda been nice for him ya know. Like that one dude said. It was probly to keep him out of the news cause of the groping charge.. Lol

    • Pacochu says:
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      @Frank White:

      The Hitter Tron is only a rough tool for DraftKings in my experience. I use it to find value picks, but then look up Batter vs. Pitcher stats, their position in the lineup and their ballpark. I also click on the player’s name at DraftKings to see how he has been scoring.

      The Hitter Tron may show a player to be ranked high, but if he is 1 for 20 against a pitcher or on a streak of single digit or zero scoring games, I pass. I like to find dirt cheap guys that hit at the top of the lineup. If I can land a guy at $3,000 or less that is in a good lineup, hitting at the top of a lineup or going against a bad pitcher, I’ll all over them. Brad Miller last night was a prime example. Hitting at the top of the Seattle lineup against Bud Norris in a dome and only $3,100.

      Hitting for extra bases and getting steals are big in Draft Kings scoring. A steal is 5 points, as much as a double. Rbi’s, runs and walks are only 2 points. Going for speedsters or power guys (bonus for a combo of the two) are your best bet.

      • Frank White says:
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        Thanks!!! Yeah I just started and only doing it a dollar or 2 at a time an still getting my ass wooped.. That’s why I wanna use that Hitter vs batter thing.. I never thought to use the stream o nator. If you click on the players, wouldn’t it take all day to pick your lineup??

        • Frank White says:
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          Do u also when your on the, pit vs bat, when your looking at the averages make sure they have a good amount of AB’s so it’s more of an accurate read?? Does Draft Kings put the best guys at more money or do they also rate the guys that are better vs the pitchers that day??

          • Pacochu says:
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            @Frank White:

            I tend to look at the Hitter Tron first to get an idea for a guy. I then click on his at Draft Kings to see how he is doing. Or, I’ll look at PvH first, then check Draft Kings for pricing and past performance. I’ve also look at Draft Kings for cheap players, then look at the other tools. I do like to see a larger sample size (15 AB or so) to get an idea how a hitter does against a certain pitcher.

            As far as DK pricing goes, I do not know how they do it. I think they factor in opposing pitcher and park factors though.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Pacochu: @Frank White: Yea they use some sort of algorithm with those factors, as there are price adjustments done to players every day

  20. Frank White says:
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    Would you trade Latos and Holliday for Harvey, Beachy and Rizzo??

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Frank White: Probably not

Comments are closed.