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If you’re playing in a 50/50 league it’s best to play it safe.  Take a flyer or two, but make sure you have guys who won’t burn you.  That was probably the best play through the first month of the season too.  A month does not a season make, but at least now we have enough data to see microcosmic trends, which sounds either scientifically arousing or hands-in-your-pants naughty if you’ve had anything to drink.  *Removes hands from pants* I love talk-to-type software!

Now may be the time to start looking at how to dig a little deeper.  The onset of big boy tourneys at DraftKings offers up playboy type dollars with the $500k Fantasy Baseball Showcase and the $3.3 million Fantasy Baseball Championship.  Today’s matchups spotlight ways you can distinguish your squad from the status quo because if you have the same roster as your competition you can’t do much better than tie.

Old men and pirates are very right about one thing—it’s all about finding the booty.  We’ve got this new fandangled robo predictor in the DFSBot that you gotta check out guys and gal.  It’s gonna show you where the hidden booty is.  But don’t get too excited to chase a mythical golden nugget when there’s plenty of treasures available right in front of you all along.  For those, my friends, remember to look at the tried and true Steam-O-Nator and HitterTron.

Robbie Erlin, P: $6,400 – Yep, that’s what I’m leading off with today.  I’m not gonna ride the Kershaw train on his first start back at $12,000 and I’m certainly not comfortable enough with the other $10-$11k options to spend on them.  Especially not with the hitting conditions that are out there today.  The Royals are worst in the bigs vs. LHPs and he averages a strikeout per inning and he’s in Petco.  And stats.

Seth Smith, OF: $3,400 – Another Padre.  You should probably write me off from this point forward.  I’ll keep talking-to-type just in case you listen/read… He smokes righties and inhales.  Guthrie puts away lefties about as well as 3 year olds put away toys.  The 15 mph wind blowing out to right should neutralize Petco effect for him.  That price tag tho.

Jhonny Peralta, SS: $4,200 – And then an over-the-hill overpriced SS!  He’s hit him the only time he’s seen him and Peralta already has 7 jacks this year.  I’d be really surprised if Gavin Floyd has much going on in his first start back.  In fact, I’m tempted to go stack against him with the wind blowing out at Turner Field.  But, the Cards haven’t been raking as of yet so I won’t recommend it, but I did mention it just in case you are so inclined.

Jean Segura, SS: $3,400 – He may have just broken the seal last night.  You probably won’t find him at this low of a price for the remainder of the season.  Unless, Braun keeps hitting him in the face with bats, of course.

Angel Pagan, OF: $4,600 – Yeah so they say that under 80-100 ABs in a BvP matchup doesn’t mean much.  Ok, well argue against 9-12 such as Pagan is vs. Up-Chuck Morton.

Those are the treasures.  Now go get yourself some scenery.  Me and my boy Tron love the stack in Coors like a 30 rack of C-.  Rockies RHBs look real nice vs. RR Jr.  I like Mitch Moreland as a value play here too.  Hell, everyone looks good in that game if they carry a bat.  LHBs at Fenway look pretty tasty too.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

Only real issue may occur in Chi-town as the White Sox and Cubbies square off.  Only a slight chance though so don’t run away.  Should probably avoid the starters, but the bats should still be in play.

Doing Lines in Vegas

FYI Vegas predicts a ton of games at 8 or under today with only 4 games going over that number.  In my mind, that means it’s a good day to not pay for pitching.

SD -101 vs. KC – It’s not usually a good bet to take the Pads, but today’s matchup looks nice for the Friars.

SEA @ OAK O/U 7.5 – Two extremely overachieving pitchers so far this year that could very well continue to impress.  However, they don’t have much of a track record to instill confidence and these two teams seem to adjust to guys they’ve seen recently very well.  Gale force winds blowing out may aid in the over here.

  1. Hawk says:
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    Great call on Erlin. Pitchers in San Diego are like hitters in Coors. You should seriously consider any of them at all times.

  2. Chad says:
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    Thanks for the write-up! What are your thoughts on Robbie Ray today?

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Chad: Hold your nuts tight if you start him. Nothing hurts worse than getting burned vs. the Astros. He’s underdeveloped and had control issues in the past though he’s improved that to start the year in AAA. Normally I’d say a first start is a good thing because big league hitters haven’t seen him. The ‘Strom however are mostly AAA hitters. Springer time anyone?

      • Schlurricane

        Schlurricane says:
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        @Schlurricane: *Stros* my naturally speaking software is dumb

  3. Clint says:
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    Wasn’t Robbie Ray a character edited out of Talladega Nights?

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Clint: shoulda been

  4. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    What are your thoughts on Pena at catcher tonight, taking advantage of the switch hitting and the winds out to left at Fenway? He’ also been on fire the last week hitting over .400 with 3 homers.

    Also if given the choice between Estrada and Wilson who do you like?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: out to right, my thought to typing is dumb

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: Pena isn’t starting. Estrada could implode. CJ owns yanks bats besides Soriano. I don’t like many facing Goldschmidt

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Schlurricane: Yeah I saw the lineup right after I posted the comment. Who do you like at Catcher then? Would you give the left handed hitting AJ a whirl?

        • Schlurricane

          Schlurricane says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: I do like AJ Alphabet. Also like Castro and Lucroy. Yadi should be good too if you have the keesh

  5. allen says:
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    Deduno for twins will be a steal for $5000. My indians stink

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @allen: True. Deduno is kind of a fart monger as well…

      • Lville Jim says:
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        @Schlurricane: They both are farting in your general direction.

        • Schlurricane

          Schlurricane says:
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          @Lville Jim: sweet sulfur… thank you

  6. Nick says:
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    I’m big on fantasy baseball, but have only played for fun in standard Yahoo leagues. Is this whole DraftKings situation worth getting involved with?

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Nick:
      1. You sound like a plant
      2. In case you aren’t here’s my answer:

      DFS is worth it if you win. It’s fantasy baseball style gambling. It’s daily so it’s really fickle. Give it a shot for a small buy in and decide if you like it. You get to “draft” every day.

      • Nick says:
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        @Schlurricane: Not a plant, just haven’t played for money outside of leagues with friends, and don’t know if I trust online gambling. I might give it a shot though, thanks. And thanks for calling me a plant, if I were one, I hope it would be ivy.

        • Schlurricane

          Schlurricane says:
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          @Nick: Haha. Ivey is gangsta. Yeah give it a shot see if it’s your beverage. They are legit entities… for now at least.

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