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So I’m writing this prior to Oakland even taking the field for the first time this year which worries me.  Baseball is all about streaks.  No, no silly, I didn’t need to see the inside of your undies (and gross, BTW).  I mean hot and cold streaks.  But we’re at the start of it all, so it’s hard to get a grasp on whether you’re hot or you’re cold, or if you’re yes and you’re no…sorry, started thinking about Katy Perry there.  You know, for her singing skills…yeah, that’s it.  But more on point, maybe Oakland has a huge game to start the year off and feels hot and bothered about playing Corey Kluber.  If that’s the case, mea culpa.  But I swear by my Corey Kluber Sleeper post that I do believe you get a good outing out of him today and at a dirt cheap price of $7,800.  May God remove it from the interwebs if he fails…oh what am I saying, nothing ever leaves the internet!  Keep that in mind as JFOH will never live this one down.  But as promised yesterday, we’re gonna be a bit more lightning round’ish around here on our Draftkings writeups.  That last link, BTW, is your gateway into the DK world care of Razzball.  It’s a way for you to show us you love us without having to actually physically touch us.  It’s the best of both worlds!  And after you’ve signed up?  How about another 50/50 Razzball Jamboree League?  It’s just a buck.  That’s less than a King Size Snickers!  And if you win, guess what?  You can now afford said King Size Snickers.  Wow.  But for realsies, let’s move on…to another link!  Yeah, yeah it’s the first week, gotta make sure you guys still get in on the Razzball Draftkings Contest this Friday.  Go reserve your seat and get your lineups going when they open.  Ok, now really let’s move on.  Here’s Razzball’s Draftking picks for April 1st, 2014…no foolin…ok I was.  Three more important plugs.  One is the Stream-O-Nator.  Two is the Hitter-Tron.  Three is…well, I can’t really tell you about that plug.  But I hear Cougars everywhere love it!  Now on with the show.

Scott Kazmir, SP: $7,600 – I told you yesterday to spend big on pitchers.  Now I’m telling you to avoid the big names day two.  What’s with me, right?  I just don’t like the high end pitchers for day two is all I can say.  I think Grienke is extremely overpriced and Sabathia is being treated like 2013 never happened.  Fine, fine, if you’re twisting my arm I’d go CC but it’s all about the K’s and not much else there for me.  Cobb also a reasonable go but I don’t think we see the same poor outing from the Toronto lineup as we did yesterday on day two.

Brian McCann, C: $4,100 – Yeah, he’s not coming at a discount.  He’s a Yankee.  Don’t like that?  Well…Speaking of Yankees, could be a reasonable game to stack in.  I mean, it’s full of old guys.  They all wanna pad their stats in April and May before they’re on the DL in June.  Oh and there could be some SAGNOF action if last year’s SB Rates stay similar as runners on Feldman had a 93% SB success rate last year.

Chris Carter, 1B/OF: $3,700 – This is me saying Hitter-Tron has Carter as the 30th ranked hitter overall for today and the last time I argued with it I found out what type of plugs Cougars like.  The answer: spark plugs!  Of course, the question is where do they go…

Dee Gordon, SS: $3,400 – Look I know it’s a scary idea.  They batted him 8th on Sunday night after saying they’d give him a go in the 9th spot.  But we’re talking wheels here and Ian Kennedy has had a messy Spring Training.  All Dee needs to do is get on base, steal a bag and score a run and you’re probably getting return value here.

Kelly Johnson, 2B/OF, $3,000 – I’m just gonna put this here and run screaming to the next guy.  Seriously, even I scare me with this pick even moreso than I do with the Dee pick.  But it fits with my Yankee-centric suggestion so there’s that.  Still…running…

Nolan Arenado, 3B: $3,300 – So he did nothing opening day.  So what.  So he hit 7th in the lineup just ahead of DJ Lemahieu.  Big deal.  So I drafted him in every league and I’m praying that his opening day isn’t the sign of things to come.  But I’m cool.  I’m not gonna, ya know, just, FLIP OUT over here….for cereal, though. forget about my fretting.  You wanna go cheap at 3B, Arenado ain’t a bad go.  I’d suggest Asche again but, yeah, after you score 32 DFS points, you kinda get noticed the second go around.  Perhaps too noticed…this is what we call ‘fading a player’.  Get used to it, it will serve you well.

Marlon Byrd, OF: $2,900 – Granted, Martin Perez is no Tanner Scheppers but we’re still in Texas and last year Byrd was a lefty killer with a .344/.376/.583 slashline to go with 8 HRs in 121 at-bats.  My only concern is he might get a tad over-owned after the Phillies owned Scheppers.  Oh who am I kidding, no one is gonna scroll down for a 36 year old guy at this price.  Enjoy.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

It looks like there’s a chance for rain for the LAAvsSEA matchup as well as the SDvsLAD game.  And for a special treat, OAKvsCLE might have a thunderstorm.  Really sucks when your 1B gets turned into a crispy critter before he even gets a hit.  That’ll ruin almost any lineup for the day.

Doing Lines In Vegas

The odds of TEXvsPHI being another high scoring matchup are…uh…high at 8 1/2 runs expected.  Get in on that action when and where you can.  Similar action can be found in ARZvsSF, HOUvsNYY and MILvsATL is sitting at a cool 8.  Given the pitchers involved, I like the matchup in Texas the most but with a chance that hitters from SF and MIL fill the box score as well.

  1. Ron says:
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    I’m first!!!

    F-Rod or Valverde?

    Thanks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I don’t trust either but Valverde gets the longer leash, IMHO.

      • Preziiiiiiiiiiii says:
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        @Sky: im 24th!! Blowjobs from chloe!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Preziiiiiiiiiiii: That better not b the side eye one! That’s gross!

  2. J-FOH says:
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    I will never drink Absinthe and play truth or dare again

  3. gareth says:
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    Oakland now have the dubious record of losing 10 consecutive opening days, Scoring a total of 12 runs.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @gareth: Indubitably!

      • Preziiiiiiiiiiii says:
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        @Sky: funniest word ever..

  4. Pacochu says:
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    I got killed in early Draft Kings action on Opening Day by going for the big value is Peppermint Schnappers. But, McGheheehahahoho and Abraham got me back into the black in late action. I found that playing with the limited player pol of the late only games or early only games gets me better results.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Pacochu: Yeah, you never wanna go with that much of a value play at pitching. It anchors your scoring most days.

      Depends how big your tourney pool is. Wouldn’t wanna play them as heavily when the number of DFS’ers is that large. Smaller schedules lead to finding ‘the perfect lineup’ a bit easier and also lends itself to some craziness tha wouldn’t normally be drafted.

      • Pacochu says:
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        @Sky:

        In the past, I’ve done well with the occasional bargain pitcher. I placed a bit too much faith in the futility and age of the Philly lineup. Some of my other big names were also a disappointment like Miggy, Joey Bats and McCutchen. Grady was actually a surprise that worked out.

        It will take a week or so to get my DraftKings strategies back.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Yeah, there’s always a breaking point with those. The big thing to me is that your pitchers should get you a large portion of your points. Bargains are one thing but Scheppers…woof. Sonny would’ve been a nice one, though. Masterson’s lack of K’s was a bit frustrating, no doubt.

          Get your groove back, Stella!

          • Pacochu says:
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            @Sky:

            I had Sonny in my late games lineup, so I was happy.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Nice

  5. Bob says:
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    10 Team ML Head to Head Roto Categories. 6X6 K’s for hitters and QS for Pitchers the extras

    Would you trade
    Matt Moore
    Papelbone
    Dee Gordon
    For
    Jose Altuive
    Coco Crisp (OF/DH)
    Will Veneable or Doug Fister

    Would Solve 2b with just the kind of hitter my team needs. Low K Steals Guy. With a Safe/Secure Job. And Add some speed potentially to DH. Where we have to have someone DH eligible. Depending on the matchup/injuries

    Current team
    C-Posey
    1b-Goldy
    2b-Lowrie
    SS-Hanley
    3b-Beltre
    OF-Braun
    OF-Myers
    OF-Werth
    DH-Edwin Encarnacion
    B-Arenado
    B-Bogaerts
    B-Nelson Cruz
    B-Dee Gordon
    P-Bumgardner
    P-Anibal Sanchez
    P-Tanka
    P-Zimmerman
    P-Moore
    RP-Robertson
    RP-Papelbone
    B-Salazar
    B-Bucholz
    B-Ventura
    B-Dillon Gee
    B-Soria
    DL-Josh Johnson
    DL-Tijuan Walker

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Bob: Reasonable to me. Not a huge Moore fan so I’d take the Altuve side.

      • Bob says:
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        @Sky: Fister or Venable is your preference?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Prefer Venable. Never like to take the hurt pitcher. Can’t tell what I’m getting.

          • Bob says:
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            @Sky: Appreciate it!

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              No prob Bob!

  6. Joe says:
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    I know he is starting in the minors, but is vic black the name to keep an eye on behind valverde?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Joe: I’d go after Germen & Familia in that order for now. Until Vic is up, he doesn’t have a shot.

  7. Gene Parmesan says:
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    TEX/PHI game is at O/U 8.5 which is too high for my wallet. Don’t see it being high scoring again with Burnett and Perez on the mound. I like over 7.5 for the SEA/ANA game and over 6.5 for the LAD/SD game. Good stuff Sky!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha, thanks Gene. Definitely not following Vegas odds for the gambling side. Just trying to point out the games that are expected to score some runs so we can target bats in those lineups. I doubt we get a similar result in Texas today but still think there’ll be value in the bats available. Not sure I believe in Burnett outside of Pittsburgh overall even with his improved GB rates.

  8. ithrowplastic says:
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    Saw your thoughts on cobb……put this in for my lineup today. Any suggestions?? Tanks
    Cobb
    Kazmir
    Buster
    Freeman
    Zobrist
    Longoria
    Tulo
    Myers
    Stanton
    J-Upton

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      It’s reasonable though I’m not very aggressive about getting Braves hitters. Will be interesting to see how the rookie Hutchinson responds to his first MLB start. Might be a little deceptive for him and I’m not starting many Rays because of it either.

  9. Gene Parmesan says:
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    I see what you’re saying with regards to the Rangers bats. Not sold at all on Burnett outside of Pittsburgh as well. I could easily see Texas putting up 4-to-5 runs on him early on, but have a feeling that Perez is going to pitch well against the Phillies as they’ve barely seen him.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Gene Parmesan: I think the main concern would be that Perez is a lefty; Scheppers had deception on his side too and…well… It’s early in the season, being old is just a number until the year really gets rolling, IMHO.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Sky: GENE!

  10. Shake N Bacon says:
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    Last night was my worst Draft Kings showing…of all time. Ugh. I hate it when bad weather jacks things up. But really, I just chose poorly.

    Just signed up for the $20 tournament. Should be a fun one!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      I assume you mean the Friday one. My 50/50 ain’t filling! Which is fine, of course, but wanted to give people a shot at playing for a small pool for fun.

      I didn’t actually play any MLB last year and last night came in 6th in that 10K kickoff via a free ticket. I’m pretty much set for the year in terms of bankroll. Thanks Asche and Rollins! Or should I thank the Rangers for thinking Scheppers on opening day was a good idea?

      • Shake N Bacon says:
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        @Sky: Oh sh!t, you got 6th in a big 10K tournament? Damn! Nice job!

        Yeah I typically “stack” with two lineups and pay top dollar for pitchers, but I decided to go with cheaper pitchers and good matchup guys from different teams yesterday. I failed miserably.

        I don’t know why I didn’t think to choose Asche.

        I’ll join the 50/50 one too, but yet I meant the Friday one. Do you know when they’ll allow us to choose our lineup for that one? Do we need to fill it or it won’t happen? The payouts for it are awesome!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          It should open on Thursday night would be my guess. My understanding is it’s a GPP so there’s no ‘filling’ per se.

          Yeah, I surprised myself. Figured Scheppers would be bad but that was a surprise and a half being that bad. Hopefully our 50/50 fills!

  11. Pacochu says:
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    I completely missed the two Razzball games in the post. I really should work on my reading comprehension. I did pop into both leagues.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha you’re good. 50/50 might not fill though

  12. mattH says:
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    Nice picks yesterday, Sky! I noticed you were in 1st for a long time. I got a 29th finish in that one thanks to Rendon. I’ll sign up for the your Razzball games when I get a chance.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Thanks man! Yeah I knew Aoki and Ramos couldn’t hold down 1st for long

  13. Frank White says:
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    Morning Sky.. Hope your around this morning, Everytime a closer hits the wire he gets taken quick and I only have one closer, Perkins, as I told you before. The thing is when you saw my lineup you didn’t see anyone I could drop for another closer. Valverde and Henderson are on the wire right now. I just wanted to see if you think I should maybe drop Gee for one of them??

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Frank White: Hey Frank, go with Valverde. Losing Gee is fine.

      • Frank White says:
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        Thanks!!! Also I have one batter on the bench, Leonys Martin, and he’s been killing it and the only guy right now I can bench is Cuddyer. Which one should I start tonight??

  14. Ghost Face Miller says:
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    Need a temp replacement for Kershaw..
    Avail:
    Mejia, Eovaldi, C Morton, Buehrlie ….

    Or do I stick with these guys and pick up another bat?

    Scherzer
    Sonny Grey
    Lester
    Tillman
    Smyly

    thanks guys!

  15. Regan says:
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    Kluber is about to take a giant shite on my ratios. I have this guy on like every team.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Join the club, my friend. Just one start, hopefully not the trend.

      • Regan says:
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        At least he made it out of the 2nd inning!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Baby steps! (sighs)

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