If you’re familiar with Razzball, then you know about all of the handy tools. My favorite is the Stream-o-Nator (SON for short). It gives dollar values for pitchers specific to that day’s match-up and it’s the primary reason I’m recommending A.J. Burnett today against the Cubs. Burnett’s season has been inconsistent at best and he’s battling an injury that will likely last the whole year. He did however put together a really nice start his last time out and he’s a value play today at $7,700. SON likes his start $18, which ranks third overall for the day and is about $10 higher than an “average” start. The Cubs rank dead last in MLB against right handers with a 74 wRC+. Their 22.7% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching is the fourth highest in baseball. Considering the price and the opponent, I like the risk/reward you’re getting today with Burnett. Happy Father’s Day!
If you are new to DraftKings, use our promo link to get started. New players that click on that link will get a free contest ticket with a first time deposit (only new users eligible). The winner of the contest gets entry into our $500k Showcase with a $100k top prize. Also, if you haven’t tried the DFSBot via Rudy, check it out: it compares projected values to actual DFS prices for the day. Here are some of today’s other picks for DraftKings contests on 6/15/2014…
Ian Kennedy, SP: $9,100 – Speaking of the Stream-o-Nator, it smells another valuable start in Kennedy’s match-up against the Mets. Ranking fifth overall at $15, this could be an opportunity for Kennedy to bounce back from a lackluster performance in his last outing. The Mets sport a subpar 84 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season (25th in MLB) and they are striking out at almost a 21% clip against righties. Kennedy should continue to limit the walks (2.08 BB/9 this year) and rack up a few strikeouts in this one. Pair him with Burnett and you’ve got some nice upside under $17K.
Jay Bruce, OF: $4,000 – Bruce gets the platoon advantage against Marco Estrada. Estrada’s rotation spot is in jeopardy as he continues to give up too many home runs. His 2.28 HR/9 is the worst in baseball among qualified starters. That rate is better at home (1.71) but it doesn’t stop me from wanting Bruce in my lineups against the right-hander today.
Josh Willingham, OF: $4,800 – Spending a little more coin lands us Josh Willingham, who will face Rick Porcello today. Granted it’s a small sample size, but the outfielder is 7-for-18 with two home runs and a 1.37 OPS against Porcello in his career.
Alexei Ramirez, SS: $3,700 – I like the value here with Ramirez at under $4K. James Shields is a tough draw, but Ramirez has handled him in his career. Against Shields, the shortstop is batting .422/.458/.622 with two home runs in a relatively large sample of 45 at bats.
Manny Machado, 3B: $3,400 – I’ll warn you going in that I love Manny Machado. His DK price doesn’t yet reflect the fact that his bat is starting to warm up. He’ll have the platoon advantage at home against a mediocre J.A. Happ today. Despite all of his struggles, Machado still has an above average 132 wRC+ against lefties at Camden Yards this season.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Doing Lines In Vegas (5-13)
I will take the unders in New York (N) and Philly (both 7 1/2).