There are several aces on the mound today including Chris Sale, Max Scherzer, and Stephen Strasburg. If you’re looking for a value play Trevor Bauer is the man for the job. His last outing was a rough one, giving up five earned runs in just under five innings against the Twins. Today he’ll face the Astros and their 91 wRC+ against right-handed pitching which ranks 20th in the majors. Houston also strikes out a lot. In fact, only the Marlins have a higher strikeout percentage against righties. So while Bauer carries some risk compared to some of the other options today, he’s also one of the cheapest at $5,900. At that price you can certainly pair him with one of the more expensive aces. Bauer’s previous start against the Diamondbacks was eight innings strong with nine strikeouts. That’s the upside we’re gambling on, as Arizona’s wRC+ is only five points lower than Houston’s.
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Ian Kennedy, SP: $8,500 – Kennedy isn’t as great a value as Bauer in terms of his price, but he’s still less expensive than the aces. As you’ll see from the hitter’s picks, that extra money will come in handy. Kennedy faces off against the Diamondbacks, who sport a 86 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. That’s tied with the Red Sox and Braves for 23rd lowest mark in baseball.
Andrew McCutchen, OF: $5,000 – McCutchen came back from the rib injury and promptly went yard on Friday. In just eleven at bats against Mike Fiers, the Pirate centerfielder has taken him deep four times with nine runs batted in. Look for him to do more damage against the Brewers today.
Nolan Arenado, 3B: $5,100 – It’s hard not to like this Marlins-Rockies series in Coors. Arenado had 12 hits in his last 24 at bats entering Saturday’s games with a homer, five runs scored, and three runs batted in. He should continue to feast against left-hander Brad Hand.
Christian Yelich, OF: $5,200 – Another expensive Coors pick, Yelich had a ten-game hit streak entering Saturday’s games. Seven of those ten were multi-hit efforts. He has the pop to go yard, but even if he just tallies a couple hits, a couple runs, or a steal he’ll provide valuable points for DFS. Yelich has the platoon advantage against right-hander Christian Bergman today.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
We’re in the clear! Enjoy it.
Doing Lines In Vegas (15-13)
I’ll take the under in Arizona (8).