Don't be shellfish...FacebookTwitterGoogle+

Well this pick is a little strange.  After covering guys that probably won’t get drafted in most regular leagues this year, I’ve come back to a guy going in 13th round currently in mock drafts with Kendrys Morales.  I could lie to you and say I like a guy like Brandon Belt more because he’s going so cheap but until he hires a professional make-up artist that makes him look 35, he’s going to have a hard time staying on Bruce Bochy’s good side and away from Huff’s rally thong.  I’m suggesting we take a look at whether or not Kendrys is a discount seeing as first base isn’t all that deep.  Scoff all you want but I suggested Allen Craig to you last year when he was merely a pipe dream.  Yes, that’s a picture of Jay ‘Bones’ Buhner and yes the writer calls himself ONC.  Well that was me before I went Red Dragon on y’all and ‘transformed’.  You see, I’m that dude Sky from the fantasy football side of the Razzball world but I cut my teeth on the baseball side by dropping helpful preseason nuggets to you last year and one of which is the aforementioned Craig.  The same Craig who’s now going 7th in mock drafts over at MDC amongst first basemen.  For such a power-heavy position, doesn’t 22 HRs in 514 PAs scare you a little with where he’s going?  Exactly.  So with that, I think it’s time we take a look at why you might be paying less for more with Morales for 2013 fantasy baseball…

Morales has had an interesting career to date.  Pre-’S', Kendry came out of nowhere in 2009, hitting 34 HRs while batting .306 and was a draft day or waiver wire steal for anyone who got in early on him.  And then ‘the leap’ happened.  The fated grandslam victory lap ended with a broken ankle that ended a solid year (11 home runs in 51 games, well on pace for 30 home runs again) and what looked like ended a promising start to a career.  You see, he didn’t play in 2011.  That in and of itself is a nail in the fantasy coffin for most fantasy players.  ‘Who’s this Adam Wainwright guy? He wasn’t in the player pool in 2011.  Is he in the family business of wagon repair, my Amish neighbor could use some help.  Maybe he could help him with his lights too.  Is he just not paying his electricity bills?’  With all that said, the Angels slowly brought Morales back around to full time player last year and I’d say they did a fine job.  He played in 134 games and hit 22 HRs in the process, garnering about 522 plate appearances.  Hrm, that line sounds eerily similar to what Craig did last year.  I knew there was a reason I brought him up!  As it is, Grey already projected for Kendrys Morales here and I can’t say I have any huge quibbles with him but I will say this: 14 of Morales’ 22 HRs last year came in the second half and he had 4 more doubles.  Though the average dipped during that stretch, the PA were nearly identical to his first half.  That could be a sign of renewed health and we just might have a 30 HR season coming from Morales yet again if he can garner enough at-bats in that slugfest of a lineup in Seattle.  If you read the last part of that sentence in sarcasm font, it makes more sense.  All this to say, Morales has his issues but from Craig on down, so does 1st base.  In terms of discounts, Morales is getting the ‘first base is deep’ treatment.  Don’t buy into that nonsense and definitely don’t fall asleep on this sleeper from Seattle…yeah, I shouldn’t end on that but I’m gonna.

22 Responses

  1. royce! says:
    (link)

    Also nice for Morales, and the Mariners offense generally, is that they are bringing in the fences at Safeco… while they’re doing so most significantly in LF and center-left (and Morales’ HR are mostly to center-right), it should help nullify the expected offensive reduction from moving from LAA to SEA.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      @royce!: Yeah, agreed. What I find funny is everyone expecting the offensive pullback in production due to the lineup/stadium. Not a murderer’s row up there but that nets Morales more days on the field. And considering LAA wasn’t exactly a hitter’s haven itself, the move should really be considered null. I really do think he has a legitimate shot at 30+ HRs and 550 ABs considering the competition. Way better value play at this point than a guy like Freeman.

  2. Big AL says:
    (link)

    I agree there is some upside to Morales and he is defintely going to be my back up 1B this year on as many teams as I can draft him.Not a bad DH also when they play in Texas and Houston.
    I’m a cardinal fan and after what I saw in 2011 especially in the post season you could just see that Allen Craig could just flat out rake the ball.I had him on all my teams and didn’t have to draft him till the 200′s.He was still getting over his knee injury and he was my 2nd best steal last year.I also picked up E5 on early waivers in 3 teams last year.Rode those 2 guys like a cougar with two 2o year old’s to two championships.
    You mentioned Wainwright and I know this sounds like a Cardinal pep rally ,but he’s going to have a great year.I’m going all out for him this year.Good luck this year my the force be with you.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      @Big AL: Yeah, I don’t mind taking Wainwright this year if he falls to me and don’t get me wrong, I like Craig. I just worry the value isn’t there with where he’s going by comparison to Morales and a few other guys.

      E5 took forever and a day to finally give us last season. I should know, I drafted him multiple times and then avoided him like the plague in 2012. Yay me!

  3. Jake Stone says:
    (link)

    Does Yahoo or ESPN carry more minor league players? We wanna do a keeper league that includes prospects.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      @Jake Stone: I’ve heard in the past that ESPN carries more players to start the year but I know yahoo has improved theirs. I don’t play many ESPN leagues so my level of comparison would be minimal.

      • Collin says:
        (link)

        @Sky: I’m in a league at Fantrax and all minors players are in it. Have gotten used to it and prefer it over my 3 Yahoo leagues due to that feature. Allows for a minor league system as well. Love the site.

        • Collin says:
          (link)

          @Collin: Mean I really like Razzball, sorry a bit generic. I am also a big fan of Morales, I had him in most leagues last year and just picked him up in a slow keeper league draft at player slot #238 (20 teams in league). His only downside is having a low rate of walks.

          • Sky

            Sky says:
            (link)

            @Collin: Well we don’t offer any league services so you ain’t offending us. Do they charge a fee to run things on their site? I’m pretty cookie-cutter when it comes to who I do my leagues through. Not much for the pay to play sites, personally, but I have nothing against them. They have their niche.

            Morales’ walk rate isn’t great but it’s not really harmful either (career 6.6%). It’s been Sciocia’s MO since forever that any of his players be aggressive at the plate and on the basepaths. Josh Hamilton fits right in.

  4. Zeke says:
    (link)

    Hey Sky. Good to see you over here on the baseball side. I managed to survive ginormous injury problems and place 3rd in my football league, largely because of your wisdom. So, thanks for that. Anyway, do you see Smoak or Carp eating into Kendry(s)’s AB’s at all, or will the M’s just kick those guys to the curb or send them back to Tacoma? I know there has been talk of trading Smoak.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      @Zeke: Hey cool man, glad to be of service. Here’s to taking gold next Fall.

      I wasn’t really high on Carp coming into last season and even without the injuries, he’s not all that exciting. He seems like OF/1B bench help to me. Smoak looks like a lost cause at this point. I’d be surprised if either really cause issues for Morales, playing-time wise, over the course of the season.

      • Zeke says:
        (link)

        Thanks, Man.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          @Zeke: No prob and good luck this season!

  5. DansUggla says:
    (link)

    Nice addition to the Baseball side of Razzball. Thanks Sky.

    Early-early-season trade help:

    Standard12 team 5×5, h2h, $260, C,1b,2b,3b,ss,CI,MI,OF,OF,OF,OF,OF,Util, 9 P, 3 Bench (With 6 held on a minor league roster)

    Which Side: (Keeper Price for THIS year)

    A. Gets Goldschmidt ($14) and Gerrit Cole

    B. Gets Votto ($37) and Jackie Bradley (OF, Bos)

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      @DansUggla: No prob and thanks, Uggla! You’ll be really thankful later (spoilers!).

      It’s A for me.

  6. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    look what the cat dragged in, gray must be slumming to outsource to canada these days.

    I like kendry’s, was going to draft him universally, until now. i guess the secret is out, he was going to be my boring producer and now everyone knows, well at least everyone who is anyone because they read razzball. It’s like the new tiger beat!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      @Jack Full of Hate:

      Yeah, Grey smuggled me out under his tuque and took my passport so I’ve got to work for this hoser to get it back, eh?

      Ha, we should have a page of heart-throb fantasy players in that cut and paste style. Giancarlo Stanton’s head would probably be superimposed onto Kate Upton’s body by Grey.

      I’m pretty sure your secret is still safe with us. Two straight years of limited production from him, don’t think people are going to be clamoring to get him, especially after becoming a Mariner. Always a good rule of thumb: Yanks/BoSox go too high in drafts and M’s/Pad’s go too low in drafts.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @Sky: I like the cut and paste idea… when I think of canada i think anything norh of sants barbara is a foreign country.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          @Jack Full of Hate: Coincidentally, anything south of San Fran I usually just call Arizona Bay.

          The cut and paste would be funny. It would help Grey not have to keep so many trapper keepers with names of fantasy baseball players and hearts drawn all around them.

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
            (link)

            @Sky: i told you razzball was the tiger beat of fantasy baseball…… ooohh we can have the razzball tiger beat generator where you can create your own team image using photos of your favorite player with hearts and kisses inserted around them.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
              (link)

              @Jack Full of Hate: Ha, that would be awesome! Indeed an idea to pimp to Grey at the very least.

              • Jack Full of Hate says:
                (link)

                @Sky: make it happen sky man, i’ll also bring it up to him

Comments are closed.