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KNOCK, KNOCK!  Who’s there?  CarGo!  CarGo who?  CarGo vrooooooooom!  That made absolutely no sense.  Did it need a prop to explain it?  Who’s writing your standup, Carrot Top?  It’s true, my stand-up goes over about as well as Michael Richards’ did back in the day.  I’ll never look at Cosmo Kramer the same way again…but enough about maniacal, racist tirades, come join Sky from Razzball fantasy football as we look at Carlos Gomez and whether his current ADP of 224 is appropriate or if we’ve got a discount on our hands for 2013 fantasy baseball…

So in all truthiness, the lead in knock, knock joke did have a purpose but I did what I’m best at: getting myself off track.  Now that we’ve Thomas the Train’d this mo’fo back into shape, let’s get to the dealio.  There’s more than one CarGo in the fantasy baseball but only one that you really know.  His name is Carlos Gonzalez.  He plays for the Colorado Rockies, is a perennial threat to go 100/25/100/25 while batting .300 if he stays healthy, likes walks on the beach and Long Island Ice Teas.  So with that out of the way, let’s take a look at what CarGo did in the second half of last year: 46/14/33/26 with a .278 average in 252 at-bats.  Yeah, not bad, a little low on the average and RBIs for a typical CarGo year but the other numbers are in range…wait, I’m looking at the wrong CarGo.  Someone needs to label their freights better!  That’s Carlos Gomez’ second half slash line which he did in 74 games.  Prorate that over 74 more games (which just means times it by two; we aren’t just fantasy sports experts, we’re math experts as well), you get 92/28/66/52.  That’s a pretty sweet end line when you consider Justin Upton finished 19th in the Top 20 Outfielders For 2012 Fantasy Baseball.  He did that with 17 homeruns, 67 RBI, 107 runs and 18 stolen bases to go with a .280 average.  Looks like that CarGo part deux line could easily find it’s way into the cockles of Grey’s Razzball ranking heart by the end of the year if it happened.  Of course, no one expects that line from Gomez in 2013 and I won’t either.  But what I can see is a 80/15/60/25 season with a .260 average with plenty of room to go boom like he did in the second half of last year.  In the end, in terms of discounts, most fantasy outfields are works in progress all year unless you draft the studs in the earlier rounds so it’s hard to say he’s discounted, per se.  Personally, if I’m in need of steals with a little pop, CarGo2 gets interesting as a late OF nab, especially in deeper leagues.  Now if you’ll excuse me, I need to go work on my stand-up routine.

19 Responses

  1. Ryan says:
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    Happy Hungover Sunday, everyone!
    And as Jesus once said, “I’m sooo fucking horny for baseball!”
    Let’s kick this winter crap in the ass and get on with April already!

    • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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      @Ryan: Jesus Alou?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Ryan: Ha, let’s kick it! Old school even!

  2. Powerslave says:
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    ADP 125 in NFBC, not sure where you got the “224″ from, if you’re in 5 OFs League the possibility of 20/40 = no discount….

    • Allan Brownridge says:
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      Nobody in their right mind would take him at 125………people pay big bucks to enter the NFBC and that’s their strategy? wow.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      At the time I wrote this, that was his ADP on mock draft central. I personally wouldn’t be taking him that high, his first half was a peak at what you could also get

  3. Big AL says:
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    Interesting late round pick for a OF with pop and steals. That combo is hard to find in the 2oo’s. I’ll pick him up for a #5 outfielder if he’s available. Thanks for the heads up.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Big AL: No prob, he had quite an amazing second half, truth be told. If I draft him, I’d really just hope for a 15/30 and a .260 average but there could be more there. He has the pedigree to be something bigger.

  4. Stooler says:
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    What’s stopping him from higher value? There are countless other players that if they had that type of second half they would rocket up the adp charts.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      It might just be a timing issue. I really worry he’s going to ge hyped to another level by the time drafts start happening. He should be a late no risk gamble but he might start soaring up the charts. Keep it on the Down low as best you can!

      • Powerslave says:
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        @Sky: , my point is about the ADP position , NFBC vs MDC, in NFBC there’s consensus in real leagues(not Mock) about him being a 20/40 possibility, also with Hart being out for a few months, the chance of him being benched(Hart going to OF) in favor of Gamel is gone, even if he starts slow(like last year), the leash is way longer, specially after the second half. Guy’s 27, was a highly touted prospect and showed a lot last year.., Also @ least 2 Fantasy Sites(ESPN/CBS) have him very high in their rankings, Cockcroft has him 98 overall and Nando Di Fino has him @ 114, there’s also the fact that all of Serius/XM Fantasy shows are binging up the NFBC ADPs and people are catching up with players a lot faster, if you want the guy, you have to invest a higher pick…..

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          All fair and good. Sounds like he’s getting hyped out of his reasonable price range.

  5. Stooler says:
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    Keep up the good work.
    Don’t worry about the word getting out. With that standup routine, it won’t.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha!

  6. TheNewGuy says:
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    Looks like a great gamble Car-Go lite. Those 2nd half numbers are insane, almost Mike Trout territory! Are they what he did in the whole of last year, was he injured 1st half?

    Looks like an ideal 4-5 OF target to me. Can understand your conservations (big word!) re his power, what makes you think only the 25 swipes though? Is it moreso concerns with his playing time, as the dude can flat out fly.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      No injury, just a first half that was probably two things: inconsistent playing time and also it was more in line with his career numbers.

      Steals are usually a product of where you bat in the lineup and I feel I’m calling out his floor if he gets starter ABs. He could also give you a 20/40 but that’s almost what he gave you last year and just might be his ceiling.

  7. Randy says:
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    Gomez has better second half numbers because he wasn’t a full-time player in the first half. But he became so valuable that they gave him the starting job after the all-star break. He is a gold glove worthy outfielder. I don’t doubt he will hit 25 HR and steal 40 bags next year. I really don’t; he is nasty fast and has power. The problem with Gomez is his OBP. He swings at everything; his OBP will be right around 300. He has no batting eye at all but his average is reasonable because of his BABIP; like I said he is nasty fast. So, the question isn’t will he help you in the number categories the question is can you absorb the hit you will take with your OBP. That will differ from team to team depending on who else you have in your line-up.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Or if you play in an average league or an OBP league but I hear ya.

Comments are closed.