Thanks for the help!

I actually see Latos, Garza, and Sanchez as very similar pitchers. They all have 200 K / Low 3.00 ERA potential. None of them will be WHIP beasts, but they have solid enough command not to hurt you there either. They all have some minor question marks (Latos=ballpark change, Garza=sustainable performance and lousy team, Sanchez=sustainable performance and lining up his ERA and DIPS), but should be very good values at their prices and are guys I prefer to most of the guys going directly ahead of them.

I’m definitely not entirely comfortable with a strategy that has Strasburg alone the top of my pitching staff. I do have that situation in the RotoAuthority league, but that’s because I drafted and dealt Kershaw, figuring I could get more value doing that in the draft than by blowing a late second round pick on Andrew McCutchen. So now my offense looks fantastic–slightly weak at first and second base, but a ridiculous outfield/third base/shortstop/MI setup, but my pitching is really hinging on Stras unless I can find an SP upgrade. I was working on SP and first base, but of course, I had Madson (and Marshall was drafted), so now I have one more issue to worry about and have to be a bit finer in how I use my tradable assets.

Still, I have Strasburg, Latos, Garza, Anibal, and Niese, which I don’t hate as far as a pitching staff goes. I really need one more solid guy and I’m happy, but right now my other pitching roster spots are occupied by relievers I’m gambling on.

In the THT league I’ve got Strasburg, Hanson (who fell into me dirt cheap), Latos, Beachy, Anibal, Minor, and more closers than I know what to do with, so I’m a bit more comfortable there. I feel like the biggest difference is that Hanson is basically a freeroll gamble compared to the RotoAuthority staff, as Beachy and Minor is pretty similar to Garza and Niese.

In a vacuum, I’d have to go Dunn too. Concussions are just too odd of an injury to predict so I can’t buy in on Morneau at this point.

i have a Q. who’d be better pick, Adam Dunn or Justin Morneau?

i’m considering to pick one of them for my last spot.

our league counts OPS cat. so, i also like Dunn for now if he can bounce back. give me a wise advice

Thanks!

Strategy-wise, quality over quantity but it doesn’t necessarily require a change from Grey’s ideas. Zimmermann, A-Sanchez, Bumgarner, & Greinke all go far enough apart you can get them and all have 3+ K:BB ratios in 2011. Doug Fister/Brandon McCarthy become interesting in your league setting.

dude , (yep , i called you ‘dude’) , throw in the towel now .

Got Cueto in the 14th. He’s my 5th starter. Thinking of using him to upgrade at MI since those rate stats sure are perty. I currently have Aaron Hill slotted in there.

OBP league rather than AVG. QS rather than W’s

What do you think of Cueto/Hill for Ack? Would grab Nicasio off waivers to fill in for Cueto.

The other thing I’d mention is that ALL the algorithms see Strasburg in that neighborhood, which is telling. Of the three I tend to rely on most (Steamer, Oliver, ZiPS), not one sees Bumgarner matching a hybrid Strasburg/Streamer line unless the replacement level is very low. 

I actually didn’t go into the year targeting Strasburg, but I wound up with him in two leagues, the RotoAuthority Gold league and the in house THT expert league, because I think he’s someone MORE likely to get undervalued by experts than by your average roto-o-phile. The experts have so much information to anchor on, they’re much more likely to overweight the risks involved, whereas a more typical fan isn’t as inundated with that information and therefore less likely to put as much weight on it. Strasburg is a popular “expert avoid” guy, and I think he profiles perfectly as a guy experts are likely to misunderstand.

Also in leagues with timing dynamics like H2H, the situation is different and you have to account for it, so yeah I’m basically just talking Roto.