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I told ya I’d take it deep! Wait, that doesn’t sound right…strike that, reverse it, scramble to the sidelines, get dropped before you’re out of bounds and call a time out.  Yeah, yeah I mixed sports metaphors but what do you expect from the guy who also works over on the Fantasy Football side of Razzball?  As my wise friend Tehol once said, just as a leopard can’t change it’s spots, a guy in a leopard thong can’t change his ways just because he’s on the fantasy baseball side of the world.  So pardon me while I limber up for some lumber talk and take a little peek at a guy who was a surprise call up after Giancarlo went down last year and who did very little with his time before being sent down and finishing the year with season-ending thumb surgery…hrm, coulda sold that better, methinks.  Let’s have a do-over, shall we?  Here’s my excitement in doge format.  Marcell Ozuna!  Much excite!  Many power!  Such amazing!  There, much better.  I should work for Apple.  But now that we’ve underlined and highlighted what we came to talk about, I guess we should get to it.  So here’s why you should target Ozuna in your deeper leagues for the 2014 Fantasy Baseball season…

So, I guess I should start off by saying in deep leagues, you see a guy going this late and is declared the starter, you just kinda have to pick him up.  You’re sitting there in the 26th round saying to yourself ‘is Ryan Sweeney the starting right fielder for the Cubs this year?  Yes?  Well, I need a 7th OF…I’m sold!’  I agree with you, even in deep leagues that’s not exactly the best strategy going late but when you’re in the ‘I need to put together a starting lineup’ mode, it happens.  The key at this point of the draft I always remember is to aim for upside, not whether the guy is starting or not.  And when you get both?  Well, smiles all around and I think Ozuna is going to be that draft day afterthought that could pay big dividends for where you get him.  As of this typing, the 49ers are playing the Panthers to get to the NFC championship, I’m butt-naked in front of my computer, and Ozuna is the starting center fielder for the Marlins.  Clearly, some parts of that last sentence are more relevant than others so let’s discuss that.  What I’m trying to say is it’s early and I can’t provide a 100% guaranty that Ozuna will keep his job.  He is competing with plenty of other young guys for OF playing time like Grey’s Christian Yelich and even who may take over if Marcell falters in Jake Marisnick.  But given that he’s the favorite and played winter ball in center field as asked, I think that gives us a good chance to look at what he brings to you and me: power.  Yeah, I know you just went and looked  at his 291 plate appearances last year at the MLB level.  I know he only had 3 HRs and slugged .389.  I see your beef with my stance and it’s valid.  But looking over Ozuna’s minor league track record, last season looks to be more of an outlier to his trends as Marcell already has two 20+ HR seasons under his MiLB belt at the young age of 23 and last year was his lowest ISO he’s had with at least 50 games under his belt at a particular level.  Marcell has 20/10 potential and if he needs more seasoning and you lose him early, at least you didn’t have to take him very high to find out.  Besides, you really gonna be happy with your Sweeney end line if he’s the starter for the Cubs?  Rhetorical!  Deep League Drafts!  Many upside!  So sleeper!  Must Ozuna!

 

Sky Sperling is a contributor for Razzball Football and Razzball Baseball. He’s also a lover of fine beer, fine women and fine-toothed combs. You can follow him on twitter @Sky_Razzball and in your most sweetest of dreams.

  1. The Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    Sky: I rode him for awhile … In fact, I rode him a little too long after he had done so well by me at first… He was a dead horse when I finally got off of him…

    What do you think… low DDs for taters.. high single digit SB and a 260 BA.. Best case in 2014

    He is a keeper player in NL only leagues..

    Hope, you don’t mind me writing to you… Hate to have what has happened to Mr Jay Wrong to happen to you. Life in the Razzball NFL Gulag

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Low DDs usually don’t set in until you’re 40. 35 if you don’t take good care of them. Ozuna’s still young – won’t turn 24 until November – so there’s still room to improve. I like him as a guy who could go 20/10 with your suggested BA but has room for more power than that. His minor league stats to his major league stats almost mirror eachother minus the ISO. I doubt he forgot how to hit a HR and think we’ll see more of what he did in the minors this year than what we saw last year. Whether his potential expands beyond the 20/10 is TBD but for now in deep leagues, I’m intrigued.

      Jay brought it upon himself by being a talented writer. Grey only fingers the best for his site when becoming a lead writer…that doesn’t sound right…

      • The Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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        @Sky:

        HAHAHAHAHAHA:

        You meant gives them the little birdie by “fingers”???

        I had no idea, The LE was that kinky…

        LE opens his office door and shouts, “””Hey, _____????? Step into my office for a sec – would ya?”””

        The” best” writer shoulders immediately drop, he turns pale and defeated says to the rest of the office staff,””””Does anyone have an extra condom and a couple of disposable rubber gloves with some love lube? “””

        The office staff breaks into mean snickers and shout out, “””Take it like a RazzBall man”””

        Do you really think 20/10 might happen this year??? A decent BA would make that do-able bench carry… But, his Hysterical MiLB BA does not bode well for him to approach even MLB average BA soon… He could turn out to be a BA hammer if he gets 500 plus ABs

        I’m leaning towards HR Carter of the Stros, Garcia of the Pale-hose (break out fella) and Old “Nullification” Calhoun of the Angels BA/SB as my late benchy types now… Must put Ozuna on ST watch list.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Haha, that’s exactly how it happens!

          I do think 20/10 is possible this year but those guys you mentioned I like as well. Calhoun I do question, though, if only for Scioscia. I don’t like his managing style in terms of how he plays his players. Feel like Calhoun is also a guy who feels ‘safe’ when he shouldn’t, similar to the Blue Jays left fielder Eric Thames from 2012. I think he’s better than that but he also wouldn’t surprise me if he were waiver wire fodder by May.

          I like Carter only to a certain level. I worry too many young bats will be coming up and I’m not sure how committed the ‘stros are to him. If he goes cheap enough, though, I’m in. I’m keeping Avisail in my deep keeper league so I’m with you there.

          • The Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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            Sky: Garcia CWS is the fella who is getting the most love. Maybe too much. His problem is the log jam/s there… Viciedo, Danks (AAAA), Dunn (in a pinch) Eaton, Garcia and De Aza

            That is not so bad… But, the real problem that exacerbates the PT/ABs for these OFers is the long jam at 1st/DH with Pauli, Abreu and Dunn..

            The OFers won’t get many semi days off at DH..

            They need to deal someone IMO

            It is possible Garcia see 500 ABs – but not much more – unless he forces it with his bat. Eaton’s and De Ana’s bats will have a lot to say as will Viciedo’s

            I’m staying clear outside of late in a mixed 12 team online league before the 20s rds

            His positive side is his BA potenial

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              You’re on target. For some reason, the Sox seem intent on moving away from De Aza when they should be moving on from Dayan or Dunn (mainly Dunn due to similar skillsets and the separation by age). It doesn’t sound like Garcia is in trouble of losing his job in RF. Dunn/Konerko shouldn’t be on the roster anymore, IMHO, but they seem to be rooted there.

              Garcia’s swing is sweet and he’s still just 22. I wouldn’t write him off as just a BA asset just yet. He’s a big kid and with a swing like that could grow into power pretty quickly.

              • The Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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                Sky: Carter is going earlier than most expec. Based on his power numbers alone… Some owner will be desperate and they might get rewarded..

                He will go around 200th pick in many drafts as owners try to repair a drafted power outage. He will not be on the boards in the last round or 2 this year IMO … There is no one else on the board with his potential. His positional flex is solid this year. So why not take him out for a spin… The rewards maybe really high for a late round flyer.

                The Stros have DFAed Wallace. Thereby, opening Carter’s only real MLB position for him = DH – He can make that a solid AB spot for himself.

                He is not a bad hitter historically for Average. His power is not matched by many… If… IF… IIIIIIIFFFFFF, he can hit over 250 he will be more than serviceable…

                Calhoun is being talked about as a lead off option for the Angles… Aybar sucks at lead off… The Cast Iron Nan is a fine batsman with a better chance to have an excellent OBP… I could see a 290-15-15 with a bunch of BBs season in the offing for him… The Angels want runners on base in front of the BIG 3… Trout has been moved back to 2 in the order.

                Calhoun is not as sexy as the other 4 mentioned ( to include Arcia of Minn)… But, he may have as good of year as any of them. Think Darrin Erstad here… Really!!! A little less speed, yes… But it does seem to fit for me.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  Yeah, I have no problem with what he does but he is what he is in my opinion: he can hit 30 HRs in his sleep but he’s not gonna sniff .240 without some major BABIP luck due to his contact rates. It really just comes down to if the value is there to take him if I dive in. I’m the guy who wrote a sleeper post on him last year so trust me when I say I’m well aware of the big man :)

                  http://razzball.com/discount-double-check-chris-carter/

                  Wasn’t poo-poo’ing Kole himself. I agree with you regarding what he can/should be able to do. Just a matter of me trusting Mike to do him right. I love a guy who has a high BB rate. Plate discipline is key and I rostered him on a lot of teams late last year. I don’t mind the stats, just don’t trust the man telling him when/if he can play.

  2. centerfield _ ballhawk says:
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    Ozuna or Arcia… or both?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ooph, truth be told, Jay Wrong actually asked if he could have Arcia so I gave it to him – how can you say no to that man? – and scoured for another guy I liked and Ozuna came up. I’d put Arcia ahead because his minor BB% peripherals better fit a typical power hitter than Ozuna, at least at this time. They’re both so young, though. Plenty of room for growth.

  3. J-FOH says:
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    What’s up Marcia?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Hi Alice!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Sky: what’s Guru?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          My Brady lore may not go deep enough for that. Bertram Grossman?

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Sky: hahahaha, he might actually remember that…he’s older than us

            • The Guru

              The Guru says:
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              I’m more George Glass than anything.

  4. ¿WhoAmI? says:
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    I love these little private conversations in the “sky” posts.

  5. Wallpaper Paterson says:
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    I liked Ozuna last year. He does hit the ball hard and will hit homers. It just didn’t happen last season
    season. It took Kirby Puckett a few years before he started hitting homers. It doesn’t always happen right away.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Definitely, I’m with you there. I think the thing people need to consider sometimes with these guys is how young they are. Kid’s 23 (!?!). That’s young enough to where he still has growth and potential. At the very least, seeing a display of talent on par with his minor league numbers is a reasonable expectation.

  6. The Thumb says:
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    Hey Sky, for 2014 alone Tanaka or Salazar? And how close? Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ooph. I tend to lean towards players who’ve at least played in the majors a bit. Not sure I’m willing to crown Tanaka just yet. I’ll take Salazar. Salazar I have circled in my drafts and I’m not going near Tanaka so it’s not close for me but it’s a preference/mindset.

  7. J-FOH says:
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    So is poweracolypse over?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Thankfully. Ended last night. I finally have a shaved face and a washed ass. I’m almost as happy as my co-workers.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Sky: You only shave once a week anyway. have you cut that ridiculous hair yet?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Not yet! Waiting till it gets long enough to braid so I can mail it to you.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Nah, I’m giving it all to you. You can make your very own Sky Chia pet

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Sky: BTW, have you heard from Turd Ferguson lately?

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              He turds here and he turds there, I just try and stay away from his shit.

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Sky: Do you watch the walking dead?

                • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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                  @J-FOH: yep.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  I have. Series has had too many ebbs and flows for me. Really liked the first season but got bogged down with a buncha weird drama that removed my enjoyment. Plus AMC are a bunch of twats (if you’re not familiar, look up what happened with the show’s first ‘director’).

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: I started it on Netflicks this past Sunday. Season 2 got bogged down a lot but the last two episodes of the season and season three has really picked up. I got past the lul of season 2 and it was worth it. not sure where you stopped

                    • CJ says:
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                      @J-FOH: maybe exchange phone numbers?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Season 3 still dragged a bit for me, personally, but agree it picked back up a bit. The first season held so much of what I like about the zombie genre: it’s a peak at humanity more than it is about the dead.

                      AMC started cutting funding and pushed the lead director – the one who brought the project to them AND who was basically the integrity of the show – away because, well, money. Basically they diluded the product hoping people would stay around so I kinda give the show a general middle finger.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: if it wasn’t for Daryl and Hershel I might be less interested, but I’m also marathon watching so I haven’t had to wait week to week. I am more tolerant of the flaws when I watch like this. At least I’m past the whole “you’re a f**king idiot moments”

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Yeah I actually watched seasons 1 and 2 just like that. I was able to remember how good season 1 was and trudge through but when I had to wait for season 3 I started thinking how bad it was. Marathon watching is the best though. It didn’t save me from hating the last 2 to 3 seasons of Dexter though. What a pile of shit

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: Never liked dexter.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Started great and slowly dissolved into sloppy dramaville. Could’ve used being a bit more poignant and ending quicker like Breaking Bad. Go out on top

                    • Jay

                      Jay says:
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                      @J-FOH: Dexter was one of the best shows until season 4.

                      Honestly, whenever people get into, I tell them to stop watching after Lithgow.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Agree there. It got so convoluted at the end. Five million underdeveloped dramatic plots swirling around in the turd bowl by the end. It was ridiculous.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: I love John Lithgow!…but I’ve never seen him in Dexter.

                    Breaking Bad was a show I watched when it first came out and never fell in love with it in season one, at least the first couple of episodes. It’s on my Netflix show bender list. I’ll get there, but after the build up, it has a lot to live up to.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      @J-FOH: Breaking Bad has a slow build. You’ll get into it, you have to give it time. Holly didn’t like it at first either but I kept watching it. Then she had me start it over with her. Then she zoomed ahead of me in the series. Then I secretly flipped her the bird and vowed to never watch a series with her again. She’s a series cheater.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: and she drinks bud light too….women!…am I right?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Except for the Bud Light part…yes!

  8. Kent says:
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    Hey Sky – I’m drafting in a super deep league right now (6×6, 20 teams, Roto, dynasty, 30 man MLB roster, 20 man MiLB roster). It’s my pick – round 15.8 (288 overall). I’m really taking best available at this point since I have all my bases covered, but could use some power – and youth/upside is always nice as well. I’m staring at guys like: Marlon Byrd, Lorenzo Cain, Junior Lake, David Freese and Marcell Ozuna. Do you take Ozuna there hands down? Or maybe I’m missing someone better that could be there?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Those are some monster rosters my man. Sorry if this isn’t a slow draft and I missed it. I don’t trust Byrd/Cain/Freese. I’d lean towards the young guns there and Ozuna would be my choice. It’s hard to say with regards to others. So many names, hard to spitball who would and wouldn’t be available. Sounds like everyone is still kicking around starters. I want Baez of the Cubs worse than you could imagine. If he’s available, I’d circle him.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Sky: i would think baez would’ve gone earlier in that kind of league. I’m in one exactly like that but it’s 30 teams.

  9. Loria's Lies says:
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    Fish fan here, CHRISTIAN YELICH will be the CF to start the season mark it down!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @The Guru: @Loria’s Lies: ha I’d be surprised if that were the case considering they wanted him to play winter ball to get CF down. They’re gonna need a hefty haul for Giancarlo who’s still very young. I’d be surprised if they move him. I do think you’re right that Yelich and Ozuna will be out there over Marisnick

  10. Loria's Lies says:
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    With yelich, ozuna and marisnick its conceivable to believe this summer is Giancarlo’s great departure and if they trade him for trash I might just hang myself from the pukey crayola statue out in center field. Personally I’d love to see ozuna yelich Stanton start the season which is probably going to happen

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