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Is it just me or does the pitcher we’re talking about need to work in showbiz?  Particularly as some sort of game show host and even more particularly, the Love Connection.  Yeah, lets bring that back, put a 2010s spin on it where all the first dates are just two people standing next to each other at a dance club, smiling at their phones as they’re sending private snapchats back and forth.  That’s riveting television people!  And later on, JFOH sexted me that he wanted his P in my V, F me in the A and then J off on my T’s and I totes said yes!  Magical…true modern love in the making there.  He even wrote a song about it.  Just an FYI, ICYMI that vid is probably NSFW given context…m’kay.  But of course you didn’t come here to find out about JFOH’s creative, more gentle musical side, you came to talk about the man, the myth, the emoticon: Drew SmylyYeah, I called him emoticon.  I think we should call him that together.  It’s better than calling him the Smyly Faced Killer.  That’s just morbid.  In the end, there’s a lot to like about Drew for the 2014 season and I have a few good reasons why…oh, you wanna know what they are I see.  Well then follow me on a magical journey to a distant land by clicking on the title of this post if you’re on the homepage and just seeing this paragraph and see why Smyly is a good get in deep leagues for the 2014 Fantasy Baseball season…

I have it on very good authority that Smyly won’t be sniffing anywhere near the ‘gotta draft’um’ section of your leagues this year.  The authority of course is me as I wielded my trusty weapon google, typed ‘Drew Smyly sleeper’, and came back with a ton of articles…from January of 2013.  Somehow the whole ‘Doug Fister was traded to the Nationals and Smyly will get a shot as a starter’ is going over a few heads.  Of course, being declared a chance at starter isn’t what gives him value.  Jeff Weaver was once given a chance to start, too.  That’s what they call in the business ‘the opposite of what you’d want from a starter’ and I don’t think Smyly will be anywhere near that.  The big thing to realize with Drew is this starting role and trying to extrapolate what he can do isn’t a blind faith jump.  We got to see Smyly over 95 innings in 2012 as a starter (18 games).  During that stretch, we saw excellent K/9 rates (8.34), a very solid BB/9 rate (2.46), a manageable WHIP (1.21), all of which lead to a great K:BB ratio of 3.38 and a reasonable ERA of 3.79.  Now let’s just say for scientific control group reasoning that Smyly didn’t pitch 2013, meaning he made no strides or improvements since 2012.  You think those pitching stats don’t play well on your team now?  Rhetorical!  That stat line over a full – or at least fuller – season would put him in at your SP3 with a K-rate higher than most you’d see in that range.  Though he may only see 160 innings, it’s always hard to tell how those innings will be deployed and given the Tigers still have playoff aspirations, you might have to either skip a few starts from him over the course of the year or deal with an early shut down.  Whatever the case may be, you’re not overspending to find out if his 2012 can repeat itself or as JFOH’s GF would say, It’s totes amazeballs where he’s going.  I’d S that D.  I’m starting to think you have a nympho on your hands there JFOH.  You lucky bastard…so if you’d like to um…S a D in the late rounds, you can Smyly a Drew to your hearts content.

Sky Sperling is a contributor for Razzball Football and Razzball Baseball. He’s also a lover of fine beer, fine women and fine-toothed combs. You can follow him on twitter @Sky_Razzball and in your most sweetest of dreams.

From Around The Web

  1. Prez!! says:
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    Tehol is on you with the full comment section lately… Maybe you should sit on baseball cards in the nude and talk about how great your pecks look glazed with apple sauce…

    Just a suggestion…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Then you wouldn’t want to come read my cooking blog, now would you? I ain’t giving you the milk for free, you greedy bastards!

      • Prez!! says:
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        @Sky: if you had a cooking blog… Id tots read that shizz bra… Like forrealios..

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          You have to read it in a Julia Child’s voice or it’s not as good. JFOH tried to read it like Guy Fieri, almost set his kitchen on fire.

          • Prez!! says:
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            @Sky: that flamer sets everything on fire! I inviting him to my trailer one time, needless to say… Im now homeless.. errr, tralierless..

    • Tehol Beddict says:
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      @Prez!!: maybe I should sit on your Moms face

  2. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    SKY: You may be taking this William Blake ID thingy a wee bit too far with this Free Love & Drew Smyly RB Show.

    But, when you think about it, Drew Smyly does have the ring of a LGBT adopted name. Has he Come Out???

    Smyly is intriguing I wonder where he goes in the AL Only Deep League I follow – He is available.
    He most likely will go $11 to $8 dollar range that pitchers tend to fall into – even in this highly inflation impacted league – 50% of the money left at auction with 67% ot 75% of player real value held going in.

    DS: He must be stretched out and there is the risk of late season blahs out of him..

    He is a goodie and he has been rated and hyped to a degree too… It is not like he is an unknown.

    eSPN has him ranked at 202 so he will start the rostered in RB leagues… He ain’t that deep.

    USA TODAY Auction value = $12

    *******I Watched one of those LARD AL auctions and they are a joke. There is no bottom The lads spend all their money 15 picks in. Where is the true weighting of values there??? DUMB!!!

    Did you see Jay’s show today… It is a whole NEW form of Art. From the new “Frost Bitten Brain” school…

    Take it in and be prepared to hold your breath a long time. It’s wonderful.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      They ranked Liriano 197 so I’ll take that with a grain of salt. Overall I’ve stated before when doing a deep league post, there is no such thing as a deep league pitcher. I’m just highlighting guys going later than they should. There aren’t many Tyson Ross’ to write about, unfortunately.

      The stretch out issue might be important if it’s H2H. I doubt that affects the roto game. He’s a starter out of Spring Training as of this typing. If they try and do an innings limit per start to make up for it, then I could see it creating havoc.

      He told me Tehol modelled for it. I was scared to read it for that reason.

      • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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        @Sky:

        Liriano is an NL pitcher… Think that is enough to rank him ahead of a AL DH encountering SP of similar status IMO

        This Tehol (had to google) connection to RazzBall is rather disturbing —- I guess, that is why, I keep coming back and long for the JW shows the most.

        On Google-ing many of your replies – It only points to what a dinosaur I am and how far off from the edge of modern Amerikan culture, I have drifted.

        This may partially explain, my growing urge to tour local cemeteries for plot packages lately.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I don’t think Liriano is ranked properly in that he’s ranked too low. Way too low. That’s why I was saying I take ESPN’s rankings with a grain of salt. They put a guy that was part of the cy young voting last year near a guy who hasn’t pitched a full season as a starter in the majors.

          If it makes you feel any better, I’m pretty sure most kids nowadays don’t have a fully functioning memory bank either. Google is their mental hard drive.

          • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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            @Sky:

            Hey, that Tuhol fella on RB is certifiable. A good thing…. He fits right in.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              We let him write when he’s not throwing poo from his cage.

              • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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                @Sky: HAHAHAHAHAHAHA

  3. shibboleth says:
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    Really high on Smyly, too… He was a loogy last year but still effective against righties. The skills should play no matter the role, but 160 IP with that K rate is mighty nice!

    Sky, need your help with a keeper question. 12-team roto, QS instead of W. I’m keeping Anibal Sanchez (rd 16) and Gerrit Cole (rd 29) but need to pick one of the following in round 20: Tony Cingrani, Michael Wacha, Patrick Corbin. 1-year contract, so I’m looking maximize value this year.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Agree, glad to have you on board with the Emoticon.

      Wacha all the way for me there. Good/smart org behind him with a history of success with young pitching. Not entirely sold on Cingrani having long term success unless he works on a couple of show me pitches to go with the fastball. Corbin profiles as an SP3 to me, long term, and it may even happen this year.

      • shibboleth says:
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        @Sky: You da man, thanks Sky

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          No prob glad I could be of help.

  4. Wilsonian says:
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    Here’s my lineup going into the first round (after keepers). Just wondering your opinion on what you would target with your first two picks – 7th and 10th pick overall?

    C –
    1B – Davis
    2B –
    3B – Longoria
    SS – Hanley
    IF – Prince
    OF – Jones
    OF –
    OF –
    OF –
    UTIL –
    UTIL –

    SP –
    SP –
    SP –
    RP –
    RP –
    P –
    P –
    P –
    P –

    6 BN Players

    8 Team H2H. Stats: H, R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OB+SLUG, W, QS, SV, Ks, Ks/9, WHIP, ERA.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Haha, hey Wilsonian. Hard to know what you don’t know. Who’s available?

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Sky: I’m not sure, draft isn’t for a couple of weeks. Just curious as to what positions you would target or any specific need.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          If you don’t know who’s being kept, there’s not much we can discuss in terms of positions to target. You don’t know what’s scarce or not, I can’t either. With 5 hitting keepers, it’ll depend on what gets thrown back. You’re basically selecting in the 6th round. Reasonable to look at a pitcher if a good one is available. I don’t buy into positional scarcity so it’s best bat available if pitching isn’t the answer.

          • Wilsonian says:
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            @Sky: yeah, that’s more or less what I was looking for. Probably going for best bat then SP as it’s nice in the shallow league to have at least one stud. I was really just wondering the strategery there. I know no one has any clue as to what is available. I know a few other names that are off the board, but it’s next to impossible to know for sure for at least a couple more weeks.

            Thanks for humoring me at least.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Ha, wish I could be more help but like I said, unknown unknowns. When the keeper veil lifts is when a better conversation can be had.

              • Wilsonian says:
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                @Sky: Oh yeah, no worries at all. Just wondering on some semantics. We just upped the rosters by a few positions this season, so it’ll be a little different than years past, so just looking for a little discussion about it. I’ll provide more info when I can. Thanks again.

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  The one thing I can say is I’m going to be very selective at 2B this year. Don’t feel like there are many valuable pieces and there’ll be a lot of overpriced ones on draft day. Target your guys and draft accordingly. If you miss them, cobble it over the course of the season and wait for a young pup or surprise bat to emerge.

  5. Count de Monetball says:
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    Oh my gosh sky and the Count agree on a player!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Internet jump chest bump!

  6. Hy Sky!

    Yn honer of Smyly, Y will replace all I’s with Y’s. (Except that one, so Y can explayn yt).

    Y am yn a standard 5×5, 14 team, $260 league and have to decyde on my last two keepers.

    Eyther Trumbo for $22 or Wong for $1. Who would you take?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha! Quyte an honor to bestow. Gymme Trumbo.

  7. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    SKYL Using the Limited Selection Scale For Deep Picks (now, don’t go off throwing poo in anger here)

    Can you give me your take on ESPN a rough #200 EPSN Murder of SPs report relative to Smyly.

    Estrada – Tout Bounce candidate

    Parker – Who I think is damaged goods – with no proof other than his increasing spottyness.

    Burnett – Old Timer who threw well last year – can he again?

    Lincecum – a little deeper – who didn’t throw well all year, again – but, who has the KKKKKKKKK appeal and the remembrance of what once was.

    Gods!!! That poo sticks – they should change the buckets out in those cages…

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Estrada – http://razzball.com/deep-league-thoughts-marco-estrada/

      Parker – Not my type. K-rate is too meh to support a 2.88 BB/9 ratio for me. Too many glaring areas of concern to get interested.

      Burnett – He went from one of the best IF defenses to one of the worst. The best thing about his profile was his high GB% while in Pittsburgh. That’s not gonna help him as much in Philly. Draftable for sure but not a guy I have high on my radar.

      Tiny Tim – He’s intriguing given his price but I’d ignore previous accolades when drafting him. He needs to become a better pitcher now that he’s not just throwing gas by everyone. His xFIP says unlucky, I just say he’s throwing watermelons up at the plate to those hitters. Amazing what the loss of 2 MPH on a fastball can do to a guy.

      Now if you’re looking at ESPN as the barometer – which no one should. Ever. Unless drafting with Ruprechts – there are a lot of late goers worthy of drafting, depending on league size:

      Brandon Beachy – P110; Absurd

      Alex Wood – P101; given that Beachy has proven himself and Wood is actually higher, Wood is both overrated and underrated at the same time.

      Dillon Gee – P106; If he can regain his K form from 2012, his other peripherals are dandy.

      Corey Kluber – P129; again, absurd. I wrote about him as a deep league thought when Grey had him as SP45’ish. ESPN went off the deep end here.

      Yordano Ventura – P149; Underhyped rookie pitcher that is in the shadows of Salazar and Wacha this year.

      Felipe Paulino – I gave up trying to find out where he’s ranked. Just like the guy. Pitched really well in 2012 before getting hurt and pitched reasonably well for a guy adjusting to a new coaching staff in 2011 via the Royals. May become something, may not. Extreme deep league special.

      • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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        @Sky: I was not using ESPN – how could you say such a thing… Just trying to get a feel within their rankings – where you were at.

        However, it is my experience folks and the drafts are driven by the site’s posted ranking board – See Jay’s posted RB draf just int. Some selections are rote to ESPN’s chart – almost auto – drafted like. Maybe some were???

        The BIG Board has a great influence IMO. I use it exclusively during drafts – so I can follow the draft flow – I keep my weighted rankings and picks in me noodle. The ever changing cusps for a player’s availability is found in the Site’s Board’s flow.

        I like ESTRADA – won’t own him… He will be gone by the time I take my 3rd or 4th SP in the last couple rounds.. No reason to draft more IMO..

        I do like Lincecum on a flier this year though – little harm can he do you – if he is on a thin perch on your roster … But again, he will be gone.

        I could wind up with just 2 anchor SPs at the end – with no worries…

        It is my thought that you really do better when the pitchers start going longer after the 3rd start in April.. There are so many match up starts and pitchers chucked from teams available then… I will have no problem rounding out my staff to kept 4 SPs for the first couple 2 months… With a floater slot “match up” SP position getting 3 to 4 starts a week to stay in sight of a 180 + GS ending.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I was merely stating we were having an ESPN rankings conversation in conjunction with Smyly and whether or not he was a deep league sleeper option. The you was the royal you, not the royal Ghost.

          I agree that one of the best times of year to be shopping for those SPs in RCLs is April. Lot of roster movement and jostling. But of course if you nail a few good ones late and don’t have to make said moves, more power to you. That’s my yearly goal, anyways, is to be self-sufficient after the draft but it rarely comes to pass. I just hope one or maybe two of my late fliers pan out a la Cobb did last year.

  8. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    And stinks…

  9. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    Sky: Here is a deepy this year. And might provide a healthy road kill result when on the road at BB friendly altitudes.

    Matt Anderson #553. I believe, he will start at least as a swingman. He targets well as a puddle poached battery choice in ESPN IMO

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Gonna have to fill me in on who Matt Anderson is. Not seeing anyone by that name.

      • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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        @Sky: Oopsies, My synapses weren’t synapse -ing right there… Brett Anderson…

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Ah, a pitcher that can’t stay healthy and has half his games in Colorado…gonna have to pass there. Not many successful arms go through there. Love the talent and he is a GB pitcher but I try and minimize my exposure to Rockies pitching.

          • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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            @Sky:

            With you there on the drafting of Rocky arm

            Have had luck when they come down nearer to sea level with some plug on plug off starts though. Think, Anderson has something left in the tank… His last injury was leg related… Hardly, anybody will have their eyes on him. But I will.

            • Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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              @Ghost of the Disappeared:

              Sorry for all the posts today and I’m getting FBB and real BB fever, bad…

              The rain here did help either.

              • Sky

                Sky says:
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                How dare you read my work and comment in the comments section, sir. HOW. DARE. YOU.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              Very true, but he just can’t avoid the injury bug, leg injury or no. I could see maybe a few spot starts in season but he’s not on my draft radar, personally.

  10. Ghost of the Disappeared says:
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    Sky: Here is a deepy this year. And might provide a healthy road kill result when on the road at BB friendly altitudes.

    Matt Anderson #553. I believe, he will start at least as a swingman. He targets well as a puddle poached battery choice in ESPN IMO

  11. gareth says:
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    I feel bad for Smyly. He lives in the shadow of fister. Its already been panned, but If he sucks in that 5th spot the tigers will get some serious backlash for that trade.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      It was an odd trade to begin with. I’m sure Smyly will be fine. He’s been successful as a starter before. More likely they’ll take it out on Porcello if he doesn’t take another step forward.

      • gareth says:
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        True. I really dont get the porcello love. I think its refracted greatness by being in the same rotation as verlander, scherzer, anibal and fister.

        Sure hes still young and gets ground balls. But if you own him its maddening. He’ll have a few nice starts to lull you into thinking hes good, then he suddenly gets shelled in a game, bloating your era.

        You could argue that this was homer Bailey at one point, so who knows? I just dont trust porcello. And hes a tiger to boot. Boo!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I have no problem with Porcello. He’s still only 25 through this year, raised his K/9 over 7 and has a miniscule BB/9 ratio. He nudges his K/9 closer to 8 and keeps his walks and such, I’m on board. Just don’t think he’ll go late enough to try enjoying the experiment. For that reason, i’d rather look elsewhere. He actually reminds me a lot of your boy Masterson in terms of not feeling trustworthy until it’s too late to know he was. Though your Homer Bailey comp isn’t terrible at all.

  12. J-FOH says:
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    Is anything sacred between us?

    when I made that video I was inspired by the kimono you wear everywhere

  13. Frank White says:
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    Yeah I won the baseball league last year!! I Thanked you guys individually after I won including you. I couldn’t have done it without you buddy!! You to Cram IT!! Lol

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Haha, nice! I don’t remember that conversation. Congrats, grand champ.

      • Frank White says:
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        Thanks… So as of now I forgot all about strategy and I need help for the draft. I’m in a 10 team H2H points and Pitchers are huge in our league with 20 points a win and a point for each K & inning. Where can I find the rules on how to draft for my kinda league.. Also, last year was my first year playing Fantasy baseball and I didn’t know how much pitching impacted so I drafted a pitcher 3rd round. The rules last year said no pitcher in first 2 rounds but I feel like I’ll miss out on a lot of Ace’s if I don’t grab one in the 2nd round. What you think and can you help me with your opinion on how I should draft??

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I do believe we have a points league writer though I’m uncertain of when he will be coming out with his work. To be fair, I haven’t and don’t play in points leagues so I’d be parroting someone else’s advice if I gave you any. I don’t think you need to draft a pitcher that early unless you see a huge surge on pitching by your league. Pitching is still deep. Last year if you avoided the top 10 pitchers, you could’ve landed a guy like Matt Harvey or Max Scherzer or Chris Sale. Stud pitchers are out there outside of the top ones, you just have to be diligent in your research and target them in the draft.

          • Frank White says:
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            Thanks!! Your opinion, I Usually buy the fantasy baseball magazine to study from ontop of what info I get from you guys but do you think I should buy the magazine?? After all these other fantasy sports I do, by the time baseball comes around I forget all the strategies and names of guys that I researched last year.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              The only money I spend for my baseball draft is on the beer I drink during it. I don’t buy magazines or subscriptions. There’s too much free data and information out there available to spend money on that.

              • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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                @Sky: see, RAZZBALL.

Comments are closed.