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On Razzball Radio last week, where you finally got to see my perfectly circumferenced face, that looks like almost any chubby latino catcher that you can think of (to name a couple: Ramon Castro, Josmil Pinto), I got into my win-now approach. I traded high impact prospects (Gregory Polanco and Anthony Rendon) for a more immediate influence, (Robinson Cano).

I often wind up with no top prospects by year’s end, but still wind up with a sundry of “B” prospects that turn into more i.e. Mookie Betts and Joc Pederson last year for nothing! It’s about this time of the year that I start delving into C prospects in dynasty leagues for warm bodies to displace my empty prospect slots. Often, guys that come up will have initial contact problems, so I look for guys that can elevate their BABIP through both power (ISO) and speed (SPD). An extreme example is Yasiel Puig. He had contact problems last year, but he’s a monster in the power and speed departments ensuring an elevated BABIP. This year he’s put that together with a rational HR/FB ratio and a really nice contact and discipline jump. He’s elite.

It seems like I’m always seeing current and former Mets when I do this. This year is no different thanks to Andrew Brown and Eric Campbell (current Mets) as well as Nick Evans and Mike Jacobs (former) – all on this list due to their wOBA’s and ISO. While we might find more eventual, longer-term impact in AA, for this post, let’s look at the AAA minor league leaderboard (as of 5/30), including the Mexican League ranked by wOBA combined with BABIP (weighed by ISO and SPD)… just trust me:

1)   Joc Pederson (Dodgers/PCL) – Age 22

2)   Andrew Brown (Mets/PCL) – Age 29

3)   Alberto Carreon (Mexican/Mexican) – Age 26

4)   Jon Del Campo (Mexican/Mexican) – Age 26

5)   Chris Taylor (Mariners/PCL) – Age 23

6)   Gregory Polanco (Pirates/PCL) – Age 22

7)   Jose, not Jesse, Aguilar (Mexican/Mexican) – Age 24

8)   Mike Mahtook (Rays/International) – Age 24

9)   Adam Duvall (Giants/PCL) – Age 25

10)   Chris Dickerson (Pirates/International) – Age 32

It’s no surprise we see a sundry of PCL guys as BABIP’s tend to be elevated in that league.  Take this with a handful of salt. I’ve included ages since we need to omit guys like Andrew Brown and Chris Dickerson in dynasty leagues.

It’s for this same reason that Gregory Polanco and Joc Pederson are so darn elite. They’re 22 when the average age from the leaderboard that I am using is 26.33 (I removed everyone older than 27 in the Mexican league).

I know you want to see where other high impact prospects are based on these rankings so here you go:

33) Jon Singleton (Astros/PCL) – Age 22

35) Arismendy Alcantara (Cubs/PCL) – Age 22

38) Oscar Tavares (Cardinals/PCL) – Age 22

45) Kyle Parker (Rockies/PCL) – Age 24

62) Jesus Aguilar (Indians/International) – Age 24

And the guys that would ideally have been higher up on this list:

117) Javier Baez (Cubs/PCL) – Age 21: contact issues dragging down wOBA but still a monstrous ISO

118) Stephen Piscotty (Cardinals/PCL) – Age 23: below average ISO with just above average SPD

119) Jake Marisnick (Marlins/PCL) – Age 23: below average ISO with discipline problems

140) Garin Cechhini (Red Sox/International) – Age 23: on base monster but currently sporting a horrendous ISO

141) Jesus Montero (Mariners/PCL) – Age 24: SPD and approach killing his BABIP but still a .200 ISO

149) Brian Goodwin (Nationals/International) – Age 23: at least I thought he would take a step forward based on the potential power-speed combo

157) Tommy La Stella (Braves/International) – Age 25: think Garin Cechhini but at 2b with even less power and speed

182) Maikel Franco (Phillies/International) – Age 21: give him a break: he’s 21.

201) Ryan Wheeler (Rockies/PCL) – Age 25

210) Matt Davidson (White Sox/International) – Age 23

Now to the deep impact: I’m filtering out Mexican leaguers, players beyond 27 and those with flagrant issues such bad contact or being quad-A Mets even if Andrew Brown, Mike Jacobs, and Nick Evans are all in the top 15! Even Allan Dykstra and Zach Lutz make the top 30!

Let’s look at some warm bodies with potential impact beyond the names we actively monitor based on age, wOBA, BABIP and ISO:

5) Chris Taylor (Mariners/PCL) – Age 23

9) Adam Duvall (Giants/PCL) – Age 25

13) Randal Grichuk (Cardinals/PCL) – Age 22

15) Eric Campbell (Mets/PCL) – Age 27

26) Domingo Santana (Astros/PCL) – Age 21

76) Ramon Flores (Yankees/International) – Age 22

5) Chris Taylor worked his way from the rookie league to AA with a sense of urgency and success (building contact and discipline along the way) with a 43:7 Stolen Base ratio at a premium position (SS).  I’m a fan and would roster this guy in uber deep dynasty leagues despite the 80 point PCL inflation – still, that would be a .360 BABIP and a .290+ AVG. Brad Miller and Nick Franklin are no locks.

9) Adam Duvall – similar to my post on an another Rice-a-Ronian, Andrew Susac last week, it would take an impact injury (to Kung Fu Panda) to open the door for Duvall. He’s posted monster ISO’s throughout the minors, but would need lucky BABIP’s to post usable batting averages. Between this and San Fran knocking his power down, I wouldn’t jump on him.

13) If it wasn’t for Oscar Tavares, RG15 (Randal Grichuk) would have had a bit more of an opportunity based on his mashing in Triple-A along with his defensive capabilities in center while Peter Bourjos hovers around .200. Ah well. I think the PCL inflated his value anyways, but at 22, there’s still some long-term potential here. Jon Jay has to be traded for me to roster him.

15) The above names are all under 26 except Eric Campbell who I’ve watched some being on my Mets. I like his approach and positional flexibility so if a spot opens due to injury or he becomes more super at being utility then he could be an NL-only asset.

26) Domingo Santana certainly has some contact issues, but he’s only 21, walks a decent amount and already put up (2) 20+ HR totals. It took a relatively unlucky BABIP last year to drop him down to .252 and he’s back up to .295 this year. He’s a poor man’s Jon Singleton but in the outfield with a bit more BABIP potential. Let’s hope he takes a big Triple-A step forward next year like Singleton did.

76) This is for you Yankees fans. Ramon Flores is not a real burner or slugger, but Ziolo Almonte is struggling so far, Beltran and Ichiro are aging while anything could happen with leg-assets Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner. This is a deep deep option for you to at least note. Ziolo Almonte wound up at #97 on this list with a better ISO, but I like Flores’ contact rate.

 

Follow Dano on Twitter @Rotobanter or at disgruntledmetsfanslivinginminnesota.com. For reference, stats & leaderboard pulled from FG. He’s willing to furnish any matrix/list he puts together, so comment away with your emails and he’ll send ‘em.

  1. Dan says:
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    Do you see Soler playing in the MLB at end of year? Better stash for my N/A spot in my dynasty…. Soler or Maikel Franco?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Dan: @Dan: id rather stash Franco: Phils will prob have him up quicker, he’s a 3b w/ more power potential…only 21.

  2. Rags says:
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    Drop Ervin or Trey Ball for Chris Taylor?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Rags: based on near term impact and performance to date incurring he’s a pitcher that anything can happen to, sure I’d roster Taylor over ball if I could use the obp/sb at mi. Hopefully he’ll provide value by next year esp if Miller and Franklin still don’t trnslate

      • Rags says:
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        @dano: Points league with heavy emphasis on hits, so I’ll make that move. Thanks for the help!

  3. Barenrewn says:
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    So do you like Polanco better long term than Oscar Taveras?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Barenrewn: it’s a great question. iiiif Oscar had any contact problems I’d say yes and even though he doesn’t walk a lot he will put the ball in play a lot meaning ton of counting stats. I think polanco can have better inflated babips meaning he could outvalue Oscar with SB’s but I guess power is still at a premium and Oscar is more impactful. If I had good balance already and didn’t want to draft a sb-only guy, I’d say f it, I’m going with another 90/20/90/20/285 guy in polanco.

  4. MB says:
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    We have an NA spot to stash guys. Polanco currently is in mine. Once he gets called up, if i need offense more than P, cool to stash joc or bryant ahead of noah and heaney? Or will the Ps just contribute more in 2014?

    Thanks

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @MB: I mean heany will provide value this year but Bryant is a musttttt stash. Jump on him if u can keep him for next year followed by peds, he any & syndy

      • Alex says:
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        @dano: Thanks. Any chance I should risk stashing buxton or bryant in a league where 11 teams keep five players each. 7×7 obp slg.

        • Dano

          dano says:
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          @Alex: yeah Bryant should have immediate Zimmerman/longoria-like impact next year. Buxtons too far for me to keep if you can only keep 7.

          • Dano

            dano says:
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            @dano: oh only 5 keeepers? It’s gotta make sense. Ideally you can trade 2-3 keepers for 1 big upgrade to open a slot for Bryant ie freeman + gomez for trout. Just a random big idea

  5. Steve says:
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    When do you see Joc Pederson having an impact in MLB? I have one bench spot left, do I use it for Archie Bradley or Joc?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Steve: Keeper league? Either way I might say joc…ideally they trade ethier/kemp or both and eat $ but not likely otherwise Pederson would be up already if not soon.

    • daddyO says:
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      @Steve: wow indepth long list, how about converted pitcher, David Peralta

  6. daddyO says:
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    lol thought i was commenting on the list, sorry dano & steve for jumpin on. btw Joc over Bradley

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @daddyO: no worries. Joc over milton Bradley? Yes ;). Jackie? Yes. Archie. I would b/c it’s an elite bat over an arm.

  7. MB says:
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    Think Heaney can be better than marco this year?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @MB: Estrada? Yes b/c of eatradas hr issue. Like Estrada otherwise

  8. Yescheese says:
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    Ok Dano let’s dig deep – any of these bats fantasy relevant in a deep dynasty? I’ve ranked them based on my thoughts. Lots of Undervalued farm systems last fall… MIL especially

    3B Kaleb Cowart (LAA)
    3B Rio Ruiz (HOU)
    OF Aaron Judge (NYY)
    OF Victor Roache (MIL)
    OF Tyrone Taylor (MiL)
    2B Micah Johnson (CWS)
    OF Steven Moya (DET)
    C Clint Coulter (MIL)
    2B Devon Travis (DET)
    C Max Stassi (HOU)

    • Dano

      Dano says:
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      @Yescheese: right now, none of them would be up that high on my list but a few could turn into impact by next year (Roache, Ruiz, Stassi on a nice 2015-2016 astros team) but even these first two guys i referenced are a ways away. I probably wouldnt have any of these guys in my dynasty leagues right now. I’d rather shorter term impact. Coulter’s mashing but its his 2nd go-round in A and he has to stick behind the plate (I do technically own just him from this list in a uber deep dynasty league: 20 teams, 15 minors).

      • Yescheese says:
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        @Dano: thanks man. I’m new in an established dynasty, similarly deep, and have to gamble in Rookie/A ball to find real future talent. Nice work on these articles!

  9. KillerB says:
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    everyone is sleeping on domingo santana. glad to see one of you guys finally give some dap. i brought it up to evans a week or two ago and he said the dude hasn’t had a sexy streak. i’d say 50 games of .295 and 10+ homers and 35+ rbi is sexy enough at AAA

    • Dano

      Dano says:
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      @KillerB: …for a 21 year old! If he was 25, it’s a different story.

  10. Ben R says:
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    Javier Baez does have a nice ISO. ;) September call-up? Or earlier?

    • Dano

      Dano says:
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      @Ben R: probably – started off slow and still a gross k-rate but exciting counting stats.

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