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It may only be for two games, but Dee Gordon draws a nice match-up against the Tigers to start the week. Gordon is already in mid-season SAGNOF form, hitting over .400 with 3 steals entering Sunday’s game. Alex Avila can’t catch a cold. In 2013 he caught base stealers at a 17% clip. That was well below the 28% league average. Word on the street is that he spent the off-season catching up on Breaking Bad and True Detective instead of working on his times to second base, so here’s hoping the good times continue. Tuesday’s probable starter Anibal Sanchez gave up a steal every seven innings pitched last year and the battery should be an easy target for a speedster like Gordon. I found the info on Sanchez using the new SB Rates vs. SP tool here at Razzball. It’s a big help when deciding which pitcher’s to target for stolen bases in your daily match-ups.

There was a tear in the fabric of the SAGNOF universe during Opening Week. Pedro Alvarez stole a base off of Yadier Molina while Billy Hamilton was caught. Black is white. up is down. We’ve gone through the looking glass, folks. Seriously though, Hamilton looks lost. Good thing we have SAGNOF options for all of us schlubs who didn’t draft him in the first five rounds. Here are this week’s steals plays…

Outfield

David Lough – (@NYY, TOR)

Toronto has given up seven stolen bases entering Sunday, which is the most in the majors. Showalter has stated that he’d like to see Lough in the leadoff spot as much as possible. This would obviously really help his value if it’s indeed the case. He already has two stolen bases this year in 16 plate appearances.

Rajai Davis – (@LAD, @SD)

Rajai continues to do Rajai things (a homer and a steal in three games) and judging by his low ownership numbers he’s going to be available on the wire in a lot of leagues throughout the season. Ausmus has used him pretty selectively to start the year, but keep your eye on him if he starts get more consistent plate appearances even as a pinch runner/bench bat.

Lorenzo Cain – (TB, @MIN)

We won’t get trampled racing to pick up Cain off of the wire, but he has two steals already this year. He hits in the bottom half of the lineup but has the potential to swipe 15-20 bags on the run-happy Royals this season.

Alexi Amarista – (@CLE, DET)

Amarista is like Emilio Bonifacio in that he’s eligible at both middle infield and outfield postitions. He isn’t guaranteed playing time, but he’s made the most of the time he’s had with two steals and a homer against the Marlins. For steals, there’s a favorable matchup against Detroit later this week.

Middle Infield

Adeiny Hechavarria – (@WSH, @PHI)

Hechavarria is competing with Jeff Samardzija for the top honors in world’s hardest name to spell. Washington and Philly are both good match-ups for steals, and even when Adeiny isn’t getting on base, he’s been hitting the ball on the nose. There’s rain in the forecast in Philly, but he should still see A.J. Burnett at some point this weekend. Burnett is notorious for giving up stolen bases. Don’t expect big numbers across the season (18 SB was the most he ever had in the minors) but for this week it’s a decent match-up in deep leagues.

Chris Owings – (@SF, LAD)

It’s probably unfair to list Owings in a SAGNOF post since he’s actually a good offensive player all-around. He’s stolen three bases already and could be well on his way to a 10-15 or even 10-20 type season for owners who scooped him up off of the waiver wire. He hit 12 homers with 20 steals last year in Triple-A. The steals might dry up temporarily this week with two tough match-ups against the Giants and Dodgers.

Emilio Bonifacio – (PIT, @STL)

So I’ve seen trade offers and massive amounts of FAAB dollars being spent as folks try to acquire Bonifacio. Hes’ great. He could steal 30-40 bases even with limited playing time, and that’s what SAGNOF is all about. I’m just not sure I see him keeping it up and he’ll be more of a match-ups play again in the near future. He had some success against Russell Martin last week, but it doesn’t get any easier this week as he’ll draw Martin again along with Molina. One matchup I would look at though is Charlie Morton on Tuesday. According to the SB Rate vs. SP tool, Morton allowed a steal every seven innings pitched last year (similar to Sanchez mentioned above).

 

Mike’s on Twitter @643ball

  1. Chris says:
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    I’ve got Billy Hamilton and Angel Pagan as two of my OF’s. I picked up Pagan while Kemp was on the DL. Kemp’s back so I need to drop one of the two. Like you said Hamilton looks lost while Pagan has been on fire. I know it’s very early but unless Hamilton can start stealing first I’m not sure what value he’ll have. Who should I drop? 10 team H2H points league.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d still keep Hamilton. It’s too early to let him go.

  2. Ty says:
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    I’m currently stuck with Dustin Ackley. Both Kolten Wong and Neil Walker were dropped over the weekend. Should I stand with Ackley. I was leaning toward Wong but can’t decide.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Ackley’s been decent and I used him to replace Profar in one league, but I’d go with Wong of those three.

  3. Sky

    Sky says:
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    Hey Mike, I’m curious. What writer took Dee in the draft in that Writer’s League thing we did? I can’t seem to remember…

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Tipping my cap in your general direction sir…

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Ha! Took him everywhere. I’m in 7 leagues, only don’t have him in one. The price vs potential was perfect with him. Billy Hamilton without the price tag.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Nice. Yup 30-40 SBs from your MI without having to pay for them is pretty shweet.

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            You multiply those numbers by two right now mister!

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              Ha! I really love the first week of April.

              • Sky

                Sky says:
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                Oh yeah, me too. It’s the best of times and the worst of times, really. Guy starts great, he’s going to be a stud for the year. Guy starts cold, he’s crap, get him off my team!

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
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                  Haha. I am lucky to enough to be in firstafter week 1 in a keeper. So of course I get a trade offer from a guy who wants me to clear out my entire farm to “seal” my championship. Long way to go folks. Long way to go.

                  • Sky

                    Sky says:
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                    That is really my favorite part about baseball is it’s correlation to stocks. Over time, the good ones do what they should.

  4. Joe G says:
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    Mike would you trade tim lincecum and Zack wheeler for wilin Rosario ?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Yes I would.

  5. Rob says:
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    Drop Yelich for Gordon? Cargo, Braun, Hamilton, Coco for OF; Sandoval and Frazier backing up Longoria at 3b. I only have Chris Owings at ss.
    Thank you.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I could see that if you really need the help at MI. Yelich has some speed though and he’s a better all-around hitter IMO. Coco will get you steals and I’m assuming that’s Josh Hamilton in your outfield. If it’s Billy there’s no need to chase any more speed.

      • Rob says:
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        @Mike: whoops, sorry, it is Billy not Josh. I’m good on speed and all, just worried about only having one player with SS capability, especially when I have two backups in some places. .

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          I wouldn’t sweat it then. Owings and Yelich will help you more across the board.

  6. King felix says:
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    Would you drop yelicb for dee brown, or hold on to Yelich?
    We start 4 of’s others are Harper, Matt Holliday, Hunter pence , Martin prado , I know brown is a 2b but on ESPN he’s listed at SS, my other sS ‘a are Alexi Ramirez & Andrelton Simmons
    My 2b is pedroia . Unfortunately, I’m in a weekly lock league, so if I do add brown I wouldn’t be able to use him til next week, but I could still drop Yelich because he’s on my bench .

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’m assuming you mean Gordon. If your team needs steals add Gordon. Otherwise, Yelich will help you more across the board as the season progresses.

      • King felix says:
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        @Mike:

        Yeah I may hold onto Yelich then, I could use some steals but being so early on the season kind of want to wait it out on some players. I forgot to mention I dropped Grady Sizemore & added Nolan arenado for this week, I’m starting Nolan at utility & moved prado from utility to fourth OF slot , mainly because I think the sox will continue to ease Sizemore in/ keep fining days off, I also added Alex wood and put him at RP (on ESPN he can do both SP/RP) I wanted to have an extra starting pitcher because I saw my opponent has two RP’s (grilli & tazzawa if it’s spelled right reliever from sox)

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          I like both of those moves.

          • King felix says:
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            @Mike:

            Thanks mike!

            I find it funny how people are freaking out if there team didn’t do well week 1, lol it’s a long season

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              yup. It’s a marathon.

  7. AJL says:
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    Long-term is Gordon’s value limited because of the acquisition of Guerrero?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Yes. I do think Guerrero is going to factor in at some point. It won’t take much for that scuttlebutt to start considering they were battling in the spring.

  8. Clint says:
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    I’ve got the King (Rajai) and Prince (Gordon) of SAGNOF on my Roto team yet I’m somehow behind in steals, and overall ranking, yet at 9th out of 12 teams. I guess I need to yank Gyorko and Coco Crisp to get these two in my lineups from now on, Mike? I’m having trouble figuring out which guys should stay in my lineup beyond Pujols/Longoria/Desmond/Adam & who needs to ride the pine more. My hitters look like this:

    C: Montero
    1B: Pujols
    2B: Gyorko
    3B: Longoria
    SS: Desmond
    OF (3): Adam Jones, A. Gordon, Crisp
    Utility (2): Adams, Rizzo
    Bench: Aoki, Rajai, Fowler, D. Gordon, BJ Upton
    DL: Machado
    NA (prospect): G. Polanco

    Thanks as always!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      anytime. eh, I wouldn’t sweat it. I’d rather have Gyorko and Crisp in the lineup. Plus you have Aoki for some steals. I do like the matchup for Gordon against Detroit though.

  9. Jim says:
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    Hey man — Please help me figure out who to drop in an NL-only 5×5 roto league, would you prefer keeping Ishikawa or Overbay (avg is a bigger concern than power). Another choice would be dropping Brandon Kinzler, who is helping with ratios but the occasional vultured win/save is also helping my beleaguered pitching. Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d drop Ishikawa.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Mike: overbay is platooning though, ishikawa is starter.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Fair enough, he started the first few games, but I’m not sold he doesn’t also end up in a platoon.

  10. Tehol Beddict says:
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    Hey Mike, WTF is wrong with Eric Young Jr. this season? He’s proven that he can get on base in the past. Do you think this slump will ever end? #DoubleDisgrace

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      ha, yeah, I think he’ll come out of it as long as the Mets keep trotting him out there. It’s early yet.

  11. Game of Throws says:
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    Dee Gordon over Rollins? I only have 40 moves in this league. So everyone counts. Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Nah, I’d rather have JRoll

      • Game of Throws says:
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        @Mike: Thanks!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          anytime. thanks for reading

  12. Billy Buckner says:
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    Mike, great posts!! Would you add jimmy Rollins by dropping Andrelton Simmons? I can’t drop my starter because it’s a weekly lg , I was debating before rosters locked, I still can but just can’t of course use Rollins until next week, wanted to see what Alexi Ramirez (not manny) can do In Colorado

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks man! That’s kind of a toss-up for me, but I would give an edge to Rollins.

  13. Comment on my sad pitching staff. Could Estrada , Ventura or Nova help. Remove whom?
    SP Gio González
    (Was – SP)Player Note
    SP A.J. Burnett
    (Phi – SP)Player Note
    RP Trevor Rosenthal
    (StL – RP)New Player Note
    RP Joe Nathan
    (Det – RP)Player Note
    P Jason Grilli
    (Pit – RP)Player Note
    P Jeff Samardzija
    (ChC – SP)Player Note
    P Lance Lynn
    (StL – SP)Player Note
    P –empty–
    BN Ryan Braun
    (Mil – OF)Player Note
    BN Christian Yelich
    (Mia – OF)Player Note
    BN Nolan Arenado
    (Col – 3B)Player Note
    BN Matt Garza
    (Mil – SP)Player Note
    BN James Paxton
    (Sea – SP)Player Note
    BN Francisco Rodríguez
    (Mil – RP)Player Note
    DL Doug Fister
    (Was – SP)DLPlayer Note

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      That’s not a bad staff. Keep the faith bro. If I had to add one it would be Estrada and the drop for me would be Paxton, but I don’t think you have a lot to be concerned about there.

      You do have four closers in what looks like a 2 RP slot league. Maybe explore a trade to improve a bat with one of them?

  14. Al koholic says:
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    thanks for the info,awesome

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks Al!

  15. Ryan says:
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    I’m torn Venable just hit the wire and Gordon is already there but i put a claim on Miller who is available on Wed. and already have A.Ramimirez and Altuve starting as well as Lowrie on my bench who I like because of his multi eligibility. So i’m starting to get heavy on my middle, who do you think i should be dropping from that list? Also what are your thoughts on BJ Upton, does he ever get it together or is he done??? Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I like Miller over both Alexei and Lowrie. Lowrie would be the drop for Miller IMO.

      I’m exhausted after owning BJ Upton last year, so I am admittedly biased, but I don’t own him anywhere this year and I’m not a believer.

      • Ryan says:
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        @Mike:@Mike: Cool thanks for the reply Mike I agree with you about BJ he’s gotten to the point where the risk outweighs any reward he may bring.

      • Fish says:
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        @Mike: @Mike:

        Ohhh, shiny new toy (that I somehow missed previously)!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Haha yup. It’s really cool (and new). ;)

        • jal179 says:
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          @Fish:

          that is sweet. u guys have too much time on your hands and we love it

  16. hudson says:
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    Hey Mike, in a 9 team standard 5×5 mixed league (somebody dropped out last minute) and both Gordon and E Young Jr are available. I have Matt Carpenter, Zobrist and Lowrie in MI. My OF is currently Beltran, Moss, Leonys Martin, Yelich and Morse. Smoak and Gattis on my bench for hitters currently. Add one or both?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d swap Lowrie for Dee. Don’t really need both.

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