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We’ve already looked at some 2009 rookies for fantasy baseball, such as Travis Snider, Matt Wieters, Killa Kahula and Brett Gardner. Now we turn our monocled eye towards David Price. It took some time for the Rays’ farm system to pay dividends, but, now that it has, it’s a doughy bagel. (A doughy bagel is a situation that is very good for its kind; eminently good. I’m trying to get “doughy bagel” to catch on so use it whenever you can. Thanks!) The best thing about this doughy bagel farm system is they are stacked right now in the majors and they have prospects in the minors. And the Jewel of the Tampa Nile is David Price. He’s bona fide as a character in a bad Coen Bros film might say. Aw, look at Grey, he watched the World Series and now he’s hyped up on David Price for 2009. God, random italicized voice, I hate you. Yes, there’s a chance that the World Series will have people overrating David Price for 2009. But there’s a chance he can be as good as the hype.

When he was at Vanderbilt (Did you know Grey almost went there for undergrad? You did? Stalker!), Price was some kind of dynamo. Price’s numbers are those of legends. Then the Rays took him from High A to Double-A to Triple-A to the Majors in 2008 as they boosted his Frequent Flyer miles and primed him for 2009. Between those Minor League stops he went a cumulative 12-1/2.30 and 109/32 K/BB ratio in 19 starts. He suffered his only loss in his Triple-A debut. Not necessarily a terrific sign, but it might have been nerves. In 2009, I predict the Rays will try and get Price at least 20 starts. This could mean he starts the season in the bullpen and waits for an injury to a starter cough Kazmir cough. This will shake out more in spring training. If you’re drafting for 2009 before spring, grab Price like a third or fourth fantasy starter. Think Gallardo going into 2008. Yes, I used one of the biggest busts of 2008 on purpose because drafting Price means embracing risk. Anyway, Price should go in mixed leagues some time around draft pick 130 to 140. In AL-Only and keeper leagues, you obviously need to be much more aggressive.

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  1. big o says:

    nice read .
    any opinion on what gallardo might toss at us this year ?
    if favorable , would you suggest a draft position (pick#) as well ?
    thanks .

  2. Wombaty says:

    @Grey: Loving these outlooks on young players so I figured I’d throw another name at you: Edison Volquez. Are you buying the breakout (or rather, to what extent are you buying the breakout)? If you have already discussed him and I missed it, my apologies.

  3. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:

    So you’re saying that I could get a discounted Price?

    Is he a bargain at any, um, you know…?

  4. Freak says:

    @IowaCubs: I know the word you’re looking for.


  5. Jimmy ray says:

    You know some bozo will draft price in the 3rd or 4th round. I saw an “expert” draft that had Dustin Pedroia taken in the 2nd round, that is crazy!! Price shouldnt be drafted before the 12th round!!! He would be a great 4th or 5th starter and a rotton 1rst or 2nd starter…..where do you take Dustin Pedroia? I say the 4th or 5th at the highest

  6. Eric W says:

    I expect price to have alot of problems with the increase in innings especially against top level competition. Carrasco is going to be my late round young arm i am going to go after will be able to get him much later then price and dosent have to pitch in the al east

  7. Grey

    Grey says:

    @big o: I like Gallardo for 2009. I’d say 160 IP at a 3.75 and 170 Ks, but his WHIP might be a bit touch and go at times. I’d draft him prolly around a third starter or near 130 and could see him falling even further because people will forget about him.

    @Wombaty: I haven’t discussed Volquez yet, but he’s going to regress on his ERA this past year. In 2009, I’d proceed with some caution, but he can still K people which makes him valuable.

    @IowaCubs: Drafting no pitchers for the first 12 rounds — ulcer. Drafting closers early — headache. Drafting a young Rays starter in the 14th round? Priceless.

    @Jimmy ray: Yeah, prolly around the 5th round in 12 team leagues. I was actually in a ‘pert mock draft where someone took Dusty in the 2nd round — baffling.

    @Eric W: I like Carrasco as well. And will be looking at him in the coming weeks.

    BTW, I’m finally back from my Thanksgiving. It’s good to be home.

  8. Baron Von Vulturewins

    BaronVonVulturewins says:

    @Jimmy ray: 9th round feels about right for Price this year. It’s worth going up a round or two (or three) — think what would have happened if you’d reached (or, at least, outreached that other guy) for Lince last year.

  9. Steve says:

    @Grey: East is East, but West is best?

  10. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BaronVonVulturewins: Yeah, but Price won’t be able to put up quite the same innings as Lincecum.

    @Steve: Ah, yes. Definitely.

  11. BSA says:

    @Grey: Lucky you – another Sawx fan in Big O ala WEEI radio fame here in CT and MA.

    Big O – nice username in that it instantly made me wonder if you were another Sawx fan that listened to EEI religiously in the care while logging on to Razzball at home.

  12. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BSA: I have no idea what you’re talking about, but I do now officially love Cosi.

  13. big o says:

    @BSA :
    i do life in ct and listen to weei .
    but the real big o is a craps floorperson @ mohegan sun , and is an A ‘s fan , baby !!
    sorry , i’m not THAT fat bastard .
    (well , not really .)

  14. Steve says:

    Javy Vasquez to Braves according to ESPN. Jo-Jo and Lillibridge among those going the other way.

  15. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Steve: Thanks for the heads up. I liked Vazquez for 2009 and now this trade will only help. As Arte Johnson would say, “Verrrry interesting…”

  16. BSA says:

    @big o: Now I have to go the Sun just to see a fat bastard who listens to EEI, lives in CT, and IS NOT a Sawx fan.

    Too bad I don’t frequent the Sun or Foxwoods.

  17. BigFatHippo says:

    @Grey: A bad Coen film? There is no such thing my man, especially that one. OK, maybe Miller’s Crossing but they made that pre-barmizva didn’t they?

    @BSA: @big o: Can’t wait to see the youtube of your bumfight in the back alley of the Sun. My money’s on the fat guy. Call a Coen to film it.

  18. big o says:

    @BSA … out until january with shoulder operation .
    come find me .

  19. BSA says:

    @BigFatHippo: How’d you know I was skinny?

  20. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BigFatHippo: I didn’t like O Brother at all and wasn’t crazy about a few others. Though Burn After Reading was surprisingly watchable.

  21. Steve says:

    @Grey: On unrelated (isn’t it always?) cultural note , I am about one-fifth of the way through Kavalier & Clay. Doesn’t feel like it has really got going yet, but really enjoying it all the same. Love Chabon’s style.

    In other news, a work colleague of mine (who is currently in England but will be back for Xmas) has a complete collection of The Wire on DVD. Oh happy day!

  22. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Steve: re: The Wire DVD — Sheeeeeeeet! That’s great news, looks like you got your Xmas present.

    re: Chabon — I only (started) reading The Yiddish Policemen’s Union and I didn’t like it to the point where I put it down and never finished it. So I wouldn’t say on just a fan of his style. I enjoy plot and AA of K & C had it from what I remember.

  23. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:

    @Grey: @BigFatHippo: If No Country was done by anyone other than a Coen, There Will Be Blood would have won the Oscar.

    It’s going to take a long time for a movie to come close to the sheer awesomeness of TWBB. DRRRRAAAAAAAAAAAAINNNAGE!!!

  24. Grey

    Grey says:

    @IowaCubs: @BigFatHippo: TWBB is one of the best movies of the last ten years. Boogie Nights is potentially in that ten too.

    Also, don’t get me wrong, I love the Coen Bros, but The Man Who Wasn’t There, O Brother, Barton Fink — eh.

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