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As of right now, Dan Straily is in the 2013 Oakland rotation. That is what I’m going off of for this post. So, if you’re coming from Google in three months wondering if Straily will be in the rotation, the answer is “I don’t know, but in November he was.” For more information on the question, click the “Home” tab on the top, go to my newest post and ask if my Dan Straily fantasy post from November still makes sense. This could also be considered “Chekhov’s gun.” It is not foreshadowing that I think Straily is going to make ricin out of castor beans, but it is foreshadowing that I think Straily may not make the rotation.  Right now, he’s in it.  Moving on!  Straily was never a huge prospect, but size doesn’t matter or at least that’s what I tell my lady friends.  Baseball America-loves-me-or-not aside, he still tore through the minors last year. In 2012, he was the minor league leader in strikeouts before being called up.  To put that in proper perspective, Darin Ruf led the minors in homers.  Darin Ruf also prays to a clay statue of Matt Stairs. Either way, what can we expect of Dan Straily for 2013 fantasy baseball?

91.3 MPH was his average fastball after his call up. To put that into clergyman’s terms, holy crap, that’s just above average. Pitchers with a 91.3 MPH fastball don’t overwhelm major league hitters with their fastball. Another warning sign is his 9.2 swinging strike percentage. That is just about average. To give you an idea of some other pitchers with an average swinging strike percentage:  Tommy Hanson, Wei-Yin Chen, Ivan Nova. It’s not the kiss of death. If you can get batters to swing outside of the strike zone, or nail lots of first pitch strikes…Well, he was about average in those respects too. He looks a lot more like a 7-ish K-rate guy than a 11+ K-rate guy he was in the minors. He does have solid control, sporting a mid-two walk rate in the minors. For 2013, I’ll give him the line of 9-7/3.85/1.28/155 in 24 starts. That’s a solid end game flyer, especially with the chance he replicates his minor league success and really clicks ass, as they say at NSFW sites. Just don’t expect him to mow the league down. Since “Chekhov’s gun” isn’t mentioned in the 1st paragraph without a callback, twenty-four starts feels optimistic.  Colon has re-signed with the A’s and like a fantasy baseball Davy Crockett would say, “Remember the Brad Peacock,” i.e., there’s no guarantee Dan Straily is in the rotation all year.

  1. T Moore says:
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    Straily was no surprise in terms of his mid level heat to the A’s when they brought him up… They knew for sure – and the fans had been informed as well as to – what to expect.

    It was all the writers and touts who rely on stats only that were suprised by his stuff.

    He has very good control with a multi pitch arsenal. He should do fine.

    Yes, he is not the staff stud some painted him to be. But, he could have some good years ahead of him.

    Wonder, what the A’s will do with him? Trade him? Don’t think so. They have striped the shelves in their farm system of SPs bare.

    There is always that offer that can’t be refused though.

    Expect at some niggling injuries (at least) from one or two of last year’s super young staff this year. So, he’ll work out in Sacto until his time comes again and it will come.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @T Moore, Seems like we agree… He should do fine, just not spectacular… Yeah, on that staff someone’s always getting injured…

  2. royce! says:
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    Yeah, seems like Colon is the big question mark here. I wonder how long of a leash the A’s will give him. There’s a decent chance that he won’t pitch anywhere near as well without his drugs, but the A’s are sinking 3 mil into him, which for them is like 90% of their team salaries.

    But on to more important things. I’m gonna try to use “Chekhov’s gun” in a sentence, just to make sure I understand it right: “After watching season two of Lost, I wanted to shoot JJ Abrams with Chekhov’s gun.”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @royce!, Hahaha… Yeah… Straily’s got a pretty solid shot of making the rotation, just shouldn’t expect the world… Chekhov’s gun was my first allusion to Breaking Bad, don’t Google anything in this post and “plus Breaking Bad”… Not really major plot points though either… How about this for usage “We’re going on a camping trip and we made a list… Beans? Checked off… Franks? Checked off… Hunting gear? Chekhov’s gun…”

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey, Well that just confuses me…who needs to hunt when you’ve already gathered beans and franks? I think you’re overpacking.

        Kidding, of course. That is a very good usage.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I like to eat my franks between to slabs of venison…

          • royce! says:
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            @Grey, You could feed the franks to a deer and then immediately roast it on a fire… do I smell a new Top Chef challenge?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Sounds like when Top Chef goes to Denver….

  3. Sean says:
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    McCarthy is leaving and Griffin could be the one to implode instead/worse (league seemed to be figuring him out toward the end). Tyson Ross leaving town for Andrew Werner is probably a push. I like Straily’s chances of starting in the rotation and with that home park, he can be adequate. Depth of the league probably determines whether “adequate” is acceptable.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Sean, Yeah, agreed…. Plus, the A’s always have injuries, as a commenter above said…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hahaha… I was expecting the crazy Hot Dog Vendor from Reading to be involved…

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey, That’s a great marketing idea. Crazy Hot Dog Vendor should battle Stevedore Steve for the ridiculous minor league character championship. It might take a while, considering that their weapons would be hot dogs and asparagus… though I suppose Crazy Hot Dog Vendor’s ostrich could be pretty vicious.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I could see it ending with CHDV turning Asparagus Man into a Veggie Dog and eating him…

          • Steve says:
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            @Grey, I LOVE me some asparagus, but of all the places I expected to see it, being part of a baseball team’s logo is easily the least likely.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, seriously, it’s like remaking The Birds with doves or ducks…

            • royce! says:
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              @Steve, Exactly. It’s not menacing in the slightest and there’s no way you could use it as a bat. I always seem to overcook asparagus, but I don’t think that cooking it properly would render it able to compete with ash or maple.

              Plus it makes me think that the bathrooms at their stadium must smell especially terrible…

              • Steve says:
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                @royce!, Oh, yeah. There is that downside to asparagus.

                If you’re blanching it, I find 3 to 3 and a half minutes is about right. Grilling it on the BBQ is nice too.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I think you inadvertently hit on a menacing mascot… An asparagus with arms and legs (check Mr. Peanut) and he’s peeing on opponents…

  4. Jon says:
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    Grey, you’ve already previewed my 4 rookie keepers (Jackson, Olt, Skaggs, Straily) so you rock. Good to have some perspective. Not a great crop but since I’m not counting on any of those 4 in any way, if someone steps up and contributes it’ll be gravy.

    Which of those 4 turns into the best long-term keeper, though? Olt once he has a starting job somewhere?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      There’s chance for all of them to step up, so that’s good… Olt with a starting job would be the best… Skaggs without the Olt starting job…

  5. Jon says:
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    Unrelated to rookies, can you rank these OF for me?

    Jennings, Marte, Rasmus, LoMo, Victorino

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Rasmus, Jennings, Victorino, LoMo…

      • Jon says:
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        @Grey, I’m pretty sure you think better of Rasmus than most other fantasy baseball guys, and I can understand why many are down on him: low batting average and the fact that he stopped stealing bases. 2010 looks a bit like the outlier. I bought into him last year, loved his first half and then soured on him a lot with how terrible he was down the stretch.

        What reasons do you like him for ’13? What line are you expecting?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He’s only 26 years old, he can easily steal 10+ bases and hit 25+ homers…. Even if he “only” gets 23 homers and 6 steals again, he’s easily more valuable than Victorino and LoMo…Him and Jennings are close…

          • Jon says:
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            @Grey, got it. I’m not disagreeing and I could definitely see him putting together a big season. The potential has been there for a long time.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, it’s good potential when a go can hit 25 homers and steal 10+ bases… That’s top 20 outfielder if things break right…

  6. Scooter Jacobsen says:
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    In my Dynasty league we keep 25 out of 42 players. Instead of naming all my keepers…I will just name my keepers with less than one year experience. So Grey my question is…would you keep Straily, Julio Teheran, or Devon Mesoraco instead of any of these guys? Jarrod Parker, Billy Hamilton, Jedd Gyorko, Delino DeShields, Shelby Miller, Anthony Rendon, and Leonys Martin.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wouldn’t…

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