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There is something to be said about doing your job, and then saying “good job but the regular guy is back, and he’s taking your job back.”  Mark Melancon filled in swimmingly for the injured Jason Grilli and his line is better than most closers in the F-tier of my rankings.  To his dismay, Grilli is back, and is being eased back into his role.  Is it fair? Probably.  Does it suck for Melancon stat vultures? Most definitely. Going back exactly one year, when Melancon became a fantasy stalwart on our rosters, he has an ERA under 2, 25 Saves and 17 Holds.  That’s all after Grilli went down last year. Besides the K factor, which is in Grilli’s favor, Melancon is basically being grounded for getting only an A- in English class… but but but it’s still and A!, I’m sure he’s muttering.  But, I’m rooting for Grilli, dat journeyman done good, saved all those kids from dat thang. Whatever that thing was. You know the story. No? Well make one up, tell your friends it happened, and let’s start a rumor. So good luck Jason Grilli, just make sure to look both ways when you cross the street. Oh, we totally forgot about your 3 BS in April. Cause you’re back here forever.  Subliminal message: Hold onto Melancon.

  • I am truly liking what I am seeing from Huston Street, and it may not be a fluke.  Smokey did some digging…o k I actually hired someone to dig for me.  Since last year on this date, he has 37 saves and only 1 blown save. Last year was lost, because he decided to not strike anyone out. This year, the number has spiked to 10+/9, which is on par with his career average.
  • The Hawk named LaTroy was taken out of a critical game last night so someone else could blow the lead for him.  So Boone Logan did, and LaTroy bought him a new pair of spats.   Hawk’s K rate is a desperate cry for attention or a babysitter.  Ottavino and Brother’s should and could be next up.  Roster plan accordingly.
  • Maybe it’s coincidence, maybe it’s just that North of the border flair, but since Casey Janssen returned from the DL on May 11th, the Blue Jays are 13-2. Casey Has 7 saves and a unscathed ERA. Now it may mean nothing, but they also have 23 holds as a team in that same period.  So the stats are warm and cuddly right now in the town vacated by Nick the Podcast Radio Host… (Also, if you haven’t check out Razzball Radio, you should.
  • Tommy Hunter went on the DL and Zach Britton has jumped and said “I can do it coach!” It may be a joke, but everytime he gets a save, I hear that the Oriole’s pen calls them Kapowski’s. I guess they forgot all about the summer it was all Carosi. In a non-saturday morning note, Hunter is already throwing and ahead of schedule, so Buck may go hunting again.

Marry

What’s better than having the comfort of having a great stand-by at home? Nothing. It helps you, it lives for you and gosh darn’it, you can do with it as you please, under the jurisdictions of the law. It’s got a nice pre-kids body and a penchant for baking. So we have the roster stalwarts that you want to have and hold for this season forward.

1. Craig Kimbrel – (David Carpenter, Anthony Varvaro, Luis Avilan)

2. Kenley Jansen – (Chris Perez, Brian Wilson)

3. Greg Holland – (Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, Aaron Crow)

4. Koji Uehara – (Edward Mujica, Jinichi Tazawa, Andrew Miller)

5. Aroldis Chapman – (Jonathan Broxton, J.J. Hoover, Manny Parra)

6. Glen Perkins – (Casey Fien, Jared Burton, Caleb Thielbar)

7. Joe Nathan – (Joba Chamberlain, Al Albuquerque, Ian Krol)

8. Sergio Romo – (Santiago Casilla, Jeremy Affeldt, Jean Machi)

9. Trevor Rosenthal - (Jason Motte, Pat Neshek, Carlos Martinez)

10. Huston Street – (Joaquin Benoit, Dale Thayer, Nick Vincent)

 

F#ck

These guys are fun, and maybe some day you’ll want to marry them, but right now they have their flaws and you’re not sure if you wanna take them home to mom. So you give them the special booty-call ring designation on your phone, and you get everything that marriage can’t give you. Stats are the important thing here, and lots of them, no obligations. No alimony attached, just straight unadulterated stats.

11. Jonathan Papelbon – (Antonio Bastardo, Mike Adams, Jake Diekman)

12. Rafael Soriano – (Tyler Clippard, Drew Storen, Aaron Barrett)

13. David Robertson – (Adam Warren, Dellin Bettances, Matt Thornton)

14. Francisco Rodriguez – (Brandon Kintzler, Tyler Thornburg, Will Smith)

15. Steve Cishek – (Mike Dunn, A.J. Ramos)

16. Addison Reed – (Brad Ziegler, Randall Delgado, J.J. Putz-DL)

17. Fernando Rodney – (Danny Farquahar, Yoervis Medina, Tom Wilhelmsen)

18. Casey Janssen – (Steve Delabar, Aaron Loup, Brett Cecil)

19. Joakim Soria – (Alexi Ogando, Neal Cotts, Jason Frasor)

20. Jason Grilli – (Mark Melancon, Justin Wilson, Tony Watson)

21. Grant Balfour – (Joel Peralta, Jake McGee)

 

Kill

Should be self-explanatory. There is no comfort in this grouping, along with the fear of looking suspicious when buying a new shovel and some lyme when all that you wanna do is plant a new butterfly bush. The jib? The newly injured replacements are here or just they’re just the unproven. All should be laid to rest, unless desperation or injury becomes you. Don’t get comfy, death or stat-suicide may be closer than it appears.

22. LaTroy Hawkins – (Adam Ottavino, Rex Brothers, Boone Logan)

23. Sean Doolittle - (Luke Gregerson , Jim Johnson)

24. Zach Britton – (Darren O’Day, Ryan Webb)

25 Joe Smith / Ernesto Frieri - (Michael Kohn)

26. Bryan Shaw / Cody Allen – (John Axford)

27. Chad Qualls – (Anthony Bass, Paul Clemens, tony Sipp)

28. Hector Rondon – (Neil Ramirez, James Russell, Justin Grimm)

29. Jenrry Mejia(Vic Black, Jeurys Familia)

30. Ronald Belisario - (Daniel Webb, Scott Downs, Jake Petricka)

  1. PK says:
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    New avatar week at Razzball!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @PK: maybe I’ll do a new one every week. Pull some goodies out da closet

  2. Chris says:
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    Sean Doolittle below LaTroy Hawkins? Really? Since you forgot a #11, maybe that’s where Doolittle belongs? I’m taking him over all the ones you’d f#ck.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chris: rapid climb coming for the slingin ginger. Just want some more time in the driver seat. Continues what he does he will be in the Cishek territory.

  3. Lil B says:
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    Where’s K-ROD?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Lil B: fixed sorry I suck.

  4. RBG says:
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    Where’s K-Rod? Did he get lost in the beat-your-girl’s-dad tier?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @RBG: we settled out of court and I decided to put I’m back in.

  5. JImmy says:
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    How do you leave K-Rod off this list? Sacrilege!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @JImmy: sacrilege wasn’t that a song by the Bee Gee’s. Fixed sorry.

  6. alex says:
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    My only RPs are K-Rod and Melacon. Thoughts on K-Rod ROS? Also should I keep holding Melancon or drop him for Belisario or another White Sox RP? Qualls is also still sitting in FA …

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @alex: melancon gives you better stats and less worry them the sox closer shituation

      • ebudz says:
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        @Smokey: good point! i did forget to mention it’s a 12 team standard 5×5 yahoo league with no points for holds.. does that change your opinion?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @ebudz: I hate the sox situation it’s awful and looks to be a roster doom. If want to have the comfort of a true saves guy Qualls isn’t awful and Astros are improving.

  7. Peter says:
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    Hey, who do you see as having a better season (deep 5×5 NL-only): Mark Reynolds or Juan Uribe? Would be trading my Uribe (and Antonio Bastardo) for Reynolds… Fangraphs has Uribe with many fewer plate appearances, is why this intrigues me…

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Peter: find a canyon and ride the HR train on the mini donkey

      • Peter says:
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        @Smokey: Thanks, hard to trade for a guy I avoided in drafts, but you’re probably right.

        Also: “find a canyon” — help me, I’m new, is this some Smokey lingo I should be aware of?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Peter: his nickname is mini donkey. You ride donkeys down the Grand Canyon. Explaining jokes is awful. Haha

          • Peter says:
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            @Smokey: Ha, no, no, I’m just an idiot. Thought it was a fantasy term, what do I know. Keep it up, and thanks — here’s hoping for at least a .230 avg for my Grand Canyon steed…

  8. Phil says:
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    Give one closer that is not the closer right now that will be the closer real soon?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Phil: ottavino or brothers would be my gamble

      • SportiveTricks says:
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        @Smokey:

        Any idea on which of the two? It’s driving me nuts. If baseball managers did things that made sense, it would definitely be Ottavino. Right? (and then there’s the fact that they don’t do things that make sense)

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @SportiveTricks: brothers has been used quite a bit much earlier in games lately, i’d go ottavino.

  9. The Thumb says:
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    Hey Smokey, I’m looking for buy low candidates. Any idea whats up with Gerrit Cole?

    I’m offering EverCab and Eovaldi. Would you do that trade?

    My staff is: Teheran, Gray, Cobb, Keuchel, Eovaldi, Heaney (N/A)
    And my SS/MI are: Andrus, EverCab, Alcides, Baez (N/A)

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @The Thumb: what is eovaldi giving you that cole is. Think cole is getting more cause of the expectations of spring. I would hold tight.

  10. SabathiaWouldBeGoodAtTheEighthToo says:
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    Should I get ahead of the curve and drop Ventura now, or wait until they announce his surgery?

    Waiver options include Eovaldi, Beckett, McHugh or Vogelsong. I also have Taijuan, Pineda and Gio coming off the DL sometime (maybe? hopefully?)

    Same idea with Cingrani…hold or make a move before he gets AAA’ed?

  11. Charles says:
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    What’s the concern on Rondon? He’s been lights out so far.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Charles: the Cubs are terrible

  12. Mike says:
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    “Cause your back here forever.” You’re…c’monnnn mannnn

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Mike: That one is on me. Fixed.

  13. geegee says:
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    would def marry robertson

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @geegee: he could definitely date my sister.

  14. gareth says:
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    Best reliever to stash out of this group for prospective saves / nice ratios:

    Joe Smith, Danny farquar, David carpenter, Jonathan broxton, Santiago casilla?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @gareth: Smith and Carpenter

  15. No Soup for Yu says:
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    Hey Smokey- Do you see the Yankees putting Betances in a position to be an elite setup man and get some holds? Add Betances, Cecil, or Clippard in S+H league? Thanks!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @No Soup for Yu: I do but the Yankees have been so desperate at times for quality multiple innings from their relievers that moving him will leave a void in the 6 and 7th innings. I would want Clippard for a few weeks then recheck on Dellin.

  16. Lville Jim says:
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    What do you make of the mess in Cleveland? Been holding Allen since last year in an all keeper no cash values points league. Assumed he’d get a shot at closing then they sign Axford, Ax sucked as should had been expected then Allen fumbles the ball and Shaw runs with it. Allen has had ample opportunity to excel and hasn’t, damn frustrating.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Lville Jim: Allen’s K rate has bottomed out and his BB rate has climbed way up. I think he is a little overused and might be gassed or dead armed. His stuff is better than Shaw but maybe just not there on a used everyday situation. Shaw is the guy to own for now until Codcy gets second wind.

  17. KillerB says:
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    Pretty sure you want to fuck Sean Doolittle. That is if you don’t want to marry him also.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @KillerB: I want him to buy me dinner first, than maybe a movie. I said above in another comment that give me one more week of top notch stat stuff and he is in the Cishek neighborhood.

  18. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    hey Smokey I need saves real bad in an RCL – veras and johnson royally eff’d me. currently, I’ve got Cishek, Rondon, Qualls, webb and axford.

    Joe Smith, Carpenter and Shaw are all available. who would you switch out amongst my guys? I’m also dying in era and whip..

    thanks man

  19. dubjay says:
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    would you drop Hawkins for Mejia?

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @dubjay: do it!

  20. goodfold2 says:
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    what’s the story on why you have ogando higher than anybody else does (including TEX)? He’s been mostly horrible all year. Frasor/Cotts are def used later in games and/or higher leverage spots. Before today (when Frasor came in earlier, and Cotts got the first out of the 9th,possibly due to Soria being somewhat tired) Frasor was clearly ahead of Cotts also. which leads me to
    1. 20 team H2H keep 25 per year with net saves / holds/ k per 9/ RW where i have this bullpen:
    melancon/soria/cotts/ogando/qualls/d.webb/m.adams and walden/kelley on DL. when either of those come back (esp if it’s Walden first) i’m thinking Ogando is the drop, since he’s been much worse than any other RP i have. sound about right?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @goodfold2: sounds right.

  21. tank1 says:
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    For holds and ratio help, who would you pick of the following? Thanks.

    Carpenter, Cecil, Delabar or Chamberlain

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @tank1: joba

  22. JFK says:
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    Great post, Smokes!

    In a 12-team H2H 7×7 league, I’ve got the following guys to help with holds, ratios and saves with 3 SP, 3 RP and 3 P slots:
    Belisario, Britton, Brothers, Davis, Mejia, O’Day, Qualls

    A few guys I’m curious about/intrigue me are:
    -Smyly – has been killing me as a starter; how many more bad starts do you think he gets, before he’s moved back to the ‘pen?
    -Javy Guerra – Belisario was doing great as a setup man, and has been the complete opposite as a closer; with Javy having the most experience in that role, and Webb obviously being held back to keep his pricetag down, do you see Javy taking over the 9th?
    -Machi – has been lockdown most of the season; do you see him keeping this up, or is he due for regression?
    -Oviedo – outside of last night’s gaffe (he obviously doesn’t do his best work on his knees), he’s been pretty solid and seems to be working his way up the ladder; do you see him becoming a strong holds option, with the potential to supplant Balfour given his past success as a closer?
    -Vic Black – has come on strong since being brought back up – what do you see his role being if he continues to throw solid innings?

    Brothers and Belisario have been killing me, but I’m holding Brothers until Ottavino supplants LaTroy, and Belisario is still the closer…technically.
    Ideally, I’d like to drop both of these bad (read terrible) boys and possibly Smyly if he’s going to stay in the rotation and just suck, for a couple of the flyers above, but need reasonable justification for doing so.

    Sorry for the long post; thanks!

    • JFK says:
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      @JFK: Throw in Sipp in the Machi/Black vein – does he keep this up, and if so, what’s his holds potential? Thanks!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @JFK: I hate that Smyly sucks too, think he gets shifted eventually to pen

      I like a switch of Machi for O’day only cause hunter is coming back and will be in a role better than his.

      Keep Brothers. Still think there is hope there.

      Belisario is better suited for setup. Webb should be the guy next but money gets in the way as you said. So Guerra could get the off chance save but I wouldn’t roster him.

      Same with Oviedo. McGee and Peralta are clearly ahead if him if Grant stumbles

  23. Nico says:
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    Hey Smokey! These posts are great. I don’t comment on them much, but they’re always a must-read bc they usually tip me off to bullpen info that league-mates only find out a few days after. Anyway, I have Nathan and Doolittle (literally! When is this guy gonna get another save!) in my closer spots, but for the first 6 weeks of the season I had Jim Johnson as my 2nd closer. Needless to say, they are fuggin destroying my ERA. Worst ERA in the league, and on paper, one of the better rotations. I’m thinking about sitting Nathan and potentially Doolitte, and going long reliever in those spots. Also, my innings are down, so I could use the Low-ERA, High-K, innings eaters. What 2 relievers would you recommend in this situation? Will Smith would be one? Thanks!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Nico: Bettances and Smith.

      • Nico says:
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        @Smokey: Thanks, Smokey! New sign around the corner from my house… Smokey the Bear. It was like fate! Not really, but it was weird.

  24. GT says:
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    Mejia…buy buy buy

    This dude is going climbing over the next few weeks. The thing I like most about him is that he seems to love the new closer role. Dude is pumped

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @GT: I agree. I like his charisma. Reminds me of Valverde oh wait that may be a bad thing.

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