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The job in Tampa isn’t as pretty as it used to be, as the team is super underachieving, and not in a superhero-footed pajamas kinda way. Joe Maddon looks like he needs an executive parachute, even though he is a hoot to listen to during an interview. I think he is waiting for someone to jump and run with the job. Jake McGee, Joel Peralta or even the artist formally known as Leo Nunez may be the most obvious and experienced options, but I have another one for ya: Kirby Yates.  I didn’t make that up. He reminds me of what Jim Henderson did two years ago with the Brewers. Career journeyman, decent, but nothing stands out about his minor league numbers… then boom. K -ates in the minors are above 12 for the last 3 seasons, and he has over 50 saves during that same time.  Tampa is the place to rehab relievers, and Korean War shrapnel wounds, so crazier things have happened.  Kyle Farnsworth, Fernando Rodney, Troy Percival, Danys Baez, Lance Carter, Al Reyes…. you get the point. The rule with closers is: It’s better to be first then not at all. So if time and space are in alignment and Rod Serling is already taken, pounce. Stick around, it’s a good week to speculate on saves and save-nots.

  • I’ve been trying to figure out what has been going on with Joe Nathan, since his awfulness finally hit the fan, knocked it out the window, hit ole man Peabody on the noggin’ and then rolled to the gutter to be laughed at by the pre-school kids who walk on a big rope with huge handles. The problem here is– he is sitting on some prime real estate. A closer on a team with decent starting pitching is good for business when it comes to saves. So after scouring through a decade of videos that I stole from Hollywood Video, one of which was Pootie Tang, it seems that he is old. No, but in all seriousness, he is old and his arm is dragging.  Velocity is off, and he is just relying on pitching the way he is used to without having the same stuff to back it up.  It sucks getting old, it really does. I need drugs that kill my brain cells just to remember to take my Metamucil. So here is the dilly with Nathan, who by all purposes has Ausmus’ approval. He hits the disgraceful list with arm fatigue, comes back after a week of shuffleboard with Gopher and Doc, and he turns his ERA from 7 to 5.  That’s the best case scenario I can see.
  • Tommy Hunter returns from the DL to find Zach Britton there.  Hunter was shaky anyway before getting dinged up so the shakes continue, just don’t hand him a can of soda.  Britton continues to man the job because Buck hates change.  It scares him, like trying to tie a double-windsor when he only wears bow ties.

 

 

Marry

What’s better than having the comfort of having a great stand-by at home? Nothing. It helps you, it lives for you and gosh darn’it, you can do with it as you please, under the jurisdictions of the law. It’s got a nice pre-kids body and a penchant for baking. So we have the roster stalwarts that you want to have and hold for this season forward.

1. Craig Kimbrel – (David Carpenter, Jordan Walden, Shae Simmons)

2. Kenley Jansen – (Chris Perez, Brian Wilson, J.P. Howell)

3. Greg Holland – (Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, Aaron Crow)

4. Aroldis Chapman – (Jonathan Broxton, J.J. Hoover)

5. Koji Uehara – (Junichi Tazawa Edward Mujica, Andrew Miller)

6. Glen Perkins – (Jared Burton, Casey Fien)

7. Trevor Rosenthal – (Jason Motte, Carlos Martinez, Pat Neshek)

8. Sergio Romo – (Jean Machi, Santiago Casilla, Jeremy Affeldt)

9. Huston Street – (Joaquin Benoit, Nick Vincent, Dale Thayer)

10. David Robertson – (Dellin Bettances, Adam Warren, Matt Thornton)

 

F#ck

These guys are fun, and maybe some day you’ll want to marry them, but right now they have their flaws and you’re not sure if you wanna take them home to mom. So you give them the special booty-call ring designation on your phone, and you get everything that marriage can’t give you. Stats are the important thing here, and lots of them, no obligations. No alimony attached, just straight unadulterated stats.

 

11. Francisco Rodriguez – (Will Smith, Brandon Kintzler)

12. Fernando Rodney – (Danny Farquhar, Yoervis Medina, Charlie Furbush)

13. Sean Doolittle – (Luke Gregerson, Danny Otero, Ryan Cook)

14. Rafael Soriano – (Tyler Clippard, Drew Storen)

15. Steve Cishek – (Mike Dunn, A.J. Ramos)

16. Addison Reed – (Brad Ziegler, J.J. Putz)

17. Joakim Soria – (Jason Frasor, Neal Cotts)

18. Casey Janssen – (Steve Delabar, Brett Cecil, Aaron Loup)

19. Jonathan Papelbon – (Antonio Bastardo, Justin De Frautus)

20. Jason Grilli – (Mark Melancon, Tony Watson, Justin Wilson)

21. Cody Allen – (Bryan Shaw, John Axford)

22. Ernesto Frieri – (Joe Smith, Fernando Salas, Cam Bedrosian)

23. Chad Qualls – (Kyle Farnsworth, Josh Fields)

 

Kill

Should be self-explanatory. There is no comfort in this grouping, along with the fear of looking suspicious when buying a new shovel and some lyme when all that you wanna do is plant a new butterfly bush. The jib? The newly injured replacements are here or just they’re just the unproven. All should be laid to rest, unless desperation or injury becomes you. Don’t get comfy, death or stat-suicide may be closer than it appears.

24. LaTroy Hawkins – (Rex Brothers, Adam Ottavino)

25. Zach Britton – (Tommy Hunter, Darren O’Day)

26. Jenrry Mejia – (Jeurys Familia, Carlos Torres, Vic Black)

27. Hector Rondon – (Neil Ramirez, Pedro Strop)

28. Ronald Belisario – (Daniel Webb, Jake Petricka)

29. Joe Nathan – (Joba Chamberlain, Al Albuquerque, Ian Krol)

30. Jake McGee / Joel Peralta / Kirby Yates / Juan Carlos Oviedo – (Anyone but Grant Balfour)

 

 

  1. FBV says:
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    Is Axford going to get his job in your opinion?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @FBV: No I don’t barring an injury

  2. Steve says:
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    In a world where your crystal ball works perfectly, do you see Hanrahan in the mix for saves in Detroit when he’s activated from the DL?

    Think he’s worth stashing with an available DL spot?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Steve: Def worth a stash on the DL, it’s possible if he pitches well enough

  3. Mr. Tibbs says:
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    Enjoyable write up as always. Two Questions:

    1) Do you think Walden, health permitting, gets primary setup duties back from Simmons?

    2)Do you like the Cesc signing? (fellow blue here)

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Mr. Tibbs:1. I do because of experience for now
      2.I do and they paid less for him then United paid for Fellaine. It will be interesting to see how all the pieces move around for Chelsea, Ramirez, Hazard, Oscar, Schurrle, Matic and Cesc would be a great MF combo to mix and match with.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Smokey: what sport is #2 about?

      • Mr. Tibbs says:
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        @Smokey:
        I think that will be the case with Walden. Looks quite rusty at the moment though. I will admit coming off the DL, as a pitcher, at Coors is far from ideal.

        How will we fit him in: that’s the thousand dollar question w/ Fabregas. I’d still like us to add some steel to the midfield. A Matic type player.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Mr. Tibbs: with champions league they need 2-3 extra usable guys to rotate everyone will get there fair run i am sure

          • Mr. Tibbs says:
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            @Smokey: I meant more in a tactical sense. Even partnered with Matic, I think our MF will be a bit shaky.

            • Smokey

              Smokey says:
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              @Mr. Tibbs: I don’t think so, with Costa up front and Oscar and Hazard playing off him in wide roles allows Ramirez, Cesc and Matic to control true midfield. It definitely makes us a deeper team, which for Champions league play you need.

  4. Birrrdy says:
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    Thoughts on who the Mets should turn to if Mejia falters vs. who you think they’d pick?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Birrrdy: I hope Black, but prolly will be a mix and match with Familia in there as well.

      • birrrdy! says:
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        @Smokey: Thanks, I have both Black and Mejia in my NL-only 5×5 keeper. Sounds like it would not be safe to drop either one, especially given Mejia’s back injury yesterday.

      • birrrdy! says:
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        @Smokey: Sorry, meant to say I have both Black and Familia. Don’t have Mejia.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @birrrdy!: think you’re covered in the best case scenario

  5. FunkyTown says:
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    Closer guru Smokey – Need a solid reliever and have too many 1b/3b ‘s – Goldschmidt, Pujols, Frazier, Longoria and Howard. I’m sitting Howard most of the time unless he’s on streak – Are there any closers worth a straight up trade or is Howard too much? The guy who is offering has Aroldis, Grilli and Holland and is throwing out Grilli for Howard. He has Matt Carpenter (2b) also and i could use an upgrade from Gordon Beckham (slight) – would a combo of a reliever and Carp for Howard and Beckham be any better?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @FunkyTown: I like Grilli for Howard, or anyone plus or minus 3 from Grilli would do if you’re desperate.

  6. Oz says:
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    I know neither is likely to close this year for my Angels but who do you like long term more as a future closer? RJ Alvarez or Cam Bedrosian?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Oz: I like Cam of the two

  7. Worried About Walden in BumFook says:
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    got walden (stashed him whole injured time in most of these leagues). he’s now been horrible twice in a row. i’ll give him a little leash here due to being so damn good before, but if he continues to pitch like this, who do i drop him for
    1. 20 team with holds/net saves/ RW/K per 9. this is my bullpen here: soria/cotts/qualls/walden/kelley/melancon/putnam (who is lately actually getting the leverage innings and 8th ahead of belisario, plus has way better stats than webb, who i used to own)
    available guys: defratus/morris/edgin/wright/fields/quackenbush/leone/thielbar/hoover/d.webb/schlitter/wooten/salas
    2. 12 team with same stats except no total K’s (just k to bb) and no RW. staff is walden/mejia/fien/robertson/betances/rosenthal.
    in this one with such good free agents i could just drop now?
    a. if so for which one of otero/leone/putnam/j.smith/ramirez/dunn/schlitter/both webbs/warren/frasor/kelley/ramos/fields/de fratus?
    3. NL only (def held him here, and probably still should for a bit). holds/net saves/RW.
    staff is carmart/walden/m.adams (Dl stash)/ramirez/chapman/ramos/a.wood
    available guys are bastardo (he was much worse a few weeks ago)/wooten (lot of holds lately)/grimm/hoover (better lately)de fratus (no holds yet, but probably will get them with adams out)/c.torres.

    • Worried About Walden in BumFook says:
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      @Worried About Walden in BumFook: in 2 cecil and delabar also available. don’t know how i missed them first time. they both have a lot of holds but their overall numbers are much worse than last year, dropping their overall ratings into the 400’s.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Worried About Walden in BumFook: 1. Defrautus and Leone
      2.hold
      3.like those guys for now, Ramos hasnt been electric lately but is a better stash than say a Wooten.

  8. goodfold2 says:
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    1. in 30 man league with holds i have defratus/burton/wooten (in minors, could bring up)/edgin (i can waiver him). who’s worst 2 going forward out of those 4?
    2. to replace liriano i’m attempting to grab nuno (road starts he’s ok). if i miss him would i rather have stammen or jeenmar gomez? i never have a good waiver number since i’m always between 10th-12th overall.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @goodfold2: Edgin and toss up between Burton and Wooten

      Ugh not great options, Stammen

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Smokey: 1. good news is i could not get nuno (guy with higher waiver claim), and had stammen lower than getting brad snyder who’s now a starter at 1B at TEX. got snyder and ended up with jeenmar, but then noticed i’d rather have dana eveland (at least based on his short time up this year), so i grabbed him (he also qualifies at SP, so i can play him everyday). also i’ll be able to attempt to get worley over eveland if/when he gets called up. only shitty thing is from last night till end of sunday it’s first come first serve in this league when it comes to call ups. and fantrax is hours behind the news cycle usually, so even if i notice it first, i have to keep updating the page and stay at a computer to beat 29 other guys. could’ve had stammen instead of snyder, but offensive starters don’t just come around often. edgin’s now gone too, so glad he was one of the worst options.

  9. The Fantasy Dick says:
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    Is Ken Giles a good stash for next season in a NL only keeper league? When will he get save ops?

    Any chance Fiers gets a look at closer in Milwaukee? Or is he headed for the rotation? He was k’ing a ton of guys in triple a

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @The Fantasy Dick: I like Giles, throws a heavy ball. I don’t think so, most likely a stretch out candidate once a spot opens

      • The Fantasy Dick says:
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        @Smokey: Any predictions on when Giles starts to get saves?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @The Fantasy Dick: will get the glory look this year in Sept and next year will be setting up. Consistent saves will need an injury or trade of paps. Best case scenario next year some point

  10. Chris says:
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    Just traded Matt Adams for Doolittle.

    Lets hope Brandon Belt and Jon Singleton can hold down the fort at 1B.

    Cheers!

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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      @Chris: when belt was healthy he was better than adams anyway, right? good job, nice show!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chris: i like it, good trade

    • ram says:
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      @Chris: winning. Doolittle is impressive.

  11. Clint says:
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    IF only Joba the Hut could’ve used the crappy Nathan opportunities to seize the moment after all these Yankee years of overhype but nooooooooooo, he had to throw the Jedi into the Mancore pit & get choked out due to his fatness, ruining any chance he had at stealing the gig. One more reason for this Brewer fan to hate big, bloated payroll teams and the media hype that comes with them. Chamberlain went from Joba Fett to Joba the Hut in just one night.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Clint: he will most be remembered for getting eaten by bugs against cleveland in the playoffs

  12. beardawg says:
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    you are crazy low on Britton, dude’s been one of the best relievers this year

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @beardawg: Hunter just came back I wanna make sure that Britton stays there for a bit, I like Britton quite a bit so an inflation in ratings will come

  13. ram says:
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    I have Joba on my team…..picked him up about a month ago when I saw what Nathan was up to. I also knew/know he would be a terrible closer. That save he blew against Sox where Ortiz hit 3 run bomb was great!!! That being said, how do you see Joba’s stats in closing role?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @ram: Well until he gets there its all well and good to think he would do great, but he isn’t yet. He is a lower F candidate if he had the job to himself

  14. barker says:
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    12 team h2h

    i give cobb teheran rrodney i get springer tavaras price

    my of mccutchen morse pagan willingham dl myers
    SP cobb ventura teheran kluber wheeler eovaldi lackey dl walker na heaney

    • barker says:
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      @barker: closers rodney mejia soria rondon
      league also counts hlds

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @barker: hope that’s a keeper, otherwise don’t trade for taveras now, not giving up 2 high end pitchers.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @barker: lots of SP given up, i hope its a keeper or dynasty

  15. chisoxx22 says:
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    Rather have rodney or grilli?

  16. chisoxx22 says:
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    I have jansen, robertson, rodney, grilli and frieri. 5×5 roto im winning saves so figure I offload one of the middle tier and a sp for a better sp. And belisario is available to make sure I hold on to top saves

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