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The week was going swimmingly, with inflatable swim muscles, I may add, then Kevin Gregg showed up and said “Oh, I thought everyone wore these glasses now.”  I don’t trust Kevin for 2 reasons, closers come and closers go (Kyuji is coming back) so add that into your closer entree like a good splash of adobo. The second reason is he has two first names, I’m sorry, it’s a phobia of mine ever since I went to school with a kid named Ferris Ferris. No I didn’t stutter, that’s a true story. Next we move to Boston, where Joe-L is returning from the DL; John Farrell has said what is typical, we will see what happens. My 2 cents is that Bailey keeps it until he falters or Hanrahan whines enough to make a stink. If I could call Joel, this is how the convo would go. Sup Joel. Who is this? Then I would hang up and not answer when he star 69’s me. I do that cause I don’t like people messin’ around on my phone. Lastly this week, I have moved Jim Johnson, minus his cult following, into the top tier. He has shown me enough to warrant a bump up. The games he pitches in are showing the confidence that Buck has in him,  like a great illegitimate dad would in his Maury Povich type son. The bump over Papelbon is based purely on stats and accumulation right now, Paps just isn’t seeing the chances that some other closers are seeing and that inevitably hurts my feelings and his stats/value. Enjoy the week as if you were listening to the soundtrack from Rocky 4, what could get better than that? If you said that talking robot Pauly got, then we are on the same page my friend.

$12 Salads

You know that restaurant your girlfriend/wife/what-have-you likes to go to that charges, like, $12 for a salad? Every time you go there, you have a thoroughly solid meal. No complaints, except you just paid $12 for a salad when you could’ve went to McDonald’s and stuffed you and your woman for ten schmools and had $2 in quarters left over to make the hotel bed vibrate. These closers are $12 salads.

1. Craig Kimbrel (-) (Eric O’Flahery, Luis Avilan, Jordan Walden)

2. Aroldis Chapman (+1) (Sean Marshall, Jonathan Broxton, Sam LeCure)

3. Joe Nathan (+2) (Tanner Scheppers, Joe Ortiz, Robbie Ross, Jason Frasor)

4. Mariano Rivera (+2) (David Robertson, Boone Logan, Joba Chamberlain)

5. Rafael Soriano (-1) (Drew Storen, Tyler Clippard, Ryan Mattheus)

6. Jim Johnson (+3) (Darren O’Day, Brian Matusz, Pedro Strop)

7. Jonathan Papelbon (-4) (Mike Adams, Antonio Bastardo, Phillipe Aumont)

Donkeycorns

Imagine you’re following a donkey, who’s wearing a wool cap, through a desert for 1700 miles. Why are you following a donkey? Because he promises you something wonderful and you just need to trust him. Does the donkey talk? Yes. Yes, he does talk. So when you and the donkey in the wool cap arrive at his destination, he removes the wool cap to reveal a horn. The donkey is a unicorn and his gift to you for your trust is saves. These closers are Donkeycorns.

8. Tom Wilhelmsen (-) (Carter Capps, Charlie Furbush, Yoervis Medina)

9. Addison Reed (+1) ( Jesse Crain, Matt Thornton, Nate Jones)

10. Jason Grilli (+2) (Mark Melancon, Tony Watson, Justin Wilson)

11. Sergio Romo (-) (Santiago Casilla, Javier Lopez, George Kontos)

12. Rafael Betancourt (+4) (Matt Belisle, Rex Brothers, Wilton Lopez)

13. Casey Janssen (+4) (Steve Delabar, Brett Cecil, Esmil Rogers)

14. J.J. Putz (-4) (David Hernandez, Matt Reynolds, Heath Bell)

15. Ernesto Frieri (-2) (Scott Downs, Sean Burnett, Dane De La Rosa)

16. Glen Perkins (-) (Jared Burton, Brian Duensing)

17. Fernando Rodney (+1) (Jake McGee, Joel Peralta)

18. Greg Holland (+3) ( Kelvin Herrera, Aaron Crow, Tim Collins)

19. Huston Street (-5) (Luke Gregerson, Joe Thatcher, Dale Thayer)

20. Brandon League (-1) (Kenley Jansen, Ronald Belisario, Paco Rodriguez)

21. Chris Perez (-1) (Vinnie Pestano, Cody Allen, Joe Smith)

22. Grant Balfour (-) (Ryan Cook, Sean Doolittle)

Brain Freezes

I’m going on a picnic and I’m bringing apples, bananas and Carlos Marmol– Wait, he just gave up 12 earned runs and hit Castro in the head with a pick-off throw. Brain freeze! Make it stop! Use the following closers at your own risk.


23. Andrew Bailey/Joel Hanrahan
(+2) (Junichi Tazawa, Koji Uehara)

24. Edward Mujica (+3) (Mitchell Boggs, Trevor Rosenthal, Randy Choate)

25. Jim Henderson (+1) (Jon Axford, Brandon Kintzler, Tom Gorzellany)

26. Jose Valverde (+4) (Joaquin Benoit, Phil Coke, Al Alburquerque)

27. Kevin Gregg (+2) (Carlos Marmol, Kyuji Fujikawa, James Russell)

28. Bobby Parnell (-4) (Brandon Lyon, Scott Atchison, Frank Francisco)

29. Steve Cishek (-6) (A.J. Ramos, Jon Rauch, Mike Dunn)

30. Jose Veras (-2) (Hector Ambriz, Travis Blackley, Rhiner Cruz)

From Around The Web

  1. Moose Out Front says:
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    So you’re saying you don’t like my closers… least I got 5 of ‘em!

    Perkins
    Mujica
    Bailey
    Cishek
    Valverde

  2. papasmurf says:
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    Good observation on the O’s pen. Strop was not as good as O’Day to begin with last year, and this year, his mediocre nature finally shows up in the headline ERA number. Matusz has very quickly leap frogged Patton to be the top lefty.

    I liked Matusz a lot before the year and was praying he would lose the #5 spot. People who play in HLD leagues that have P slot limits should definitely consider him to be the best reliever that you can put into a SP slot this year.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @papasmurf: agree. Buck is getting the most out of him so far.

    • Ben says:
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      @papasmurf: Totally agree. I was saying that 2 weeks ago here. In some leagues these guys seem insanely valuable. I’m currently trying out Joe Kelly and dropped Hector Rondon who barely pitches and is not doing well.

  3. mcBlunty says:
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    with josh johnson hitting the DL my current DL consists of Tex and Beachy, out of those 2 who is a better stash to hold on to so i can place JJ on the DL

    • Philly says:
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      @mcBlunty: Drop JJ, brah

  4. Dingbat says:
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    Why can’t Parnell get any respect? Lower than Gregg, who had a 4.95 ERA last year? Lower than Valverde, who wasn’t even in the majors two weeks ago? Parnell’s pitching well, and once the Mets start giving him more save opportunities, his saves totals will go up.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Dingbat: anyone in that last tier is meh. Its a tier with a lot of questions or new to the role. Personally I don’t like/trust Parnell.

    • poo says:
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      @Dingbat: i concur

  5. poo says:
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    “he removes his the wool cap”

    fix!

    • VinWins

      VinWins says:
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      @poo: Thank you, it has been changed.

  6. Deck says:
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    Hey Grey what are your thoughts on this from Fangraphs? I know you have been crowing about Moore so far and rightly so with his stats but this has to be concerning right?

    “Matt Moore makes for a perfect sell high candidate. He has benefited from an absurd .149 BABIP and a LOB% of, wait for it…100%! His strikeout rate is up, yet his SwStk% is way down and his F-Strike% is significantly below the league average. Basically, all his advanced metrics would suggest an ERA well above 4.00.” http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/2013-al-starting-pitcher-tier-rankings-may-update/#more-45562

    • poo says:
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      @Deck: SIERA is 3.39. that’s a very good pitcher, but not kershaw. BB% is up. regression coming. 3.5/1.25 9.5 K/9 at season’s end.

  7. elaw77 says:
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    3rd in saves with these guys:
    Holland, Street, Henderson, Gregg, Valverde. Kujikawa on DL.

    Not bad for a someone who drafted closers late. Although I did get burnt by Boggs early and I dropped Bailey before the extent of Hanrahan’s injury was known (I’m still steaming from that)

    A SP question. What do you guys think about Marco Estrada vs. Shelby Miller ros? I’m thinking very hard about this because Miller was just dropped in my league( dude had too many SPs…also I think he reads this blog…Wassup ‘Brownie’)

    There was mad love for Estrada preseason. Will he turn it around? When will Miller get innings capped? Should I hold or drop/add? Thanks!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @elaw77: if lean Miller right now. His cap is prolly in the 170-180 range.

  8. OaktownSteve says:
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    Someone said in the comments a couple weeks ago that his dad, avid baseball watcher, said something doesn’t seem right with Kenley.Jansen. I saw him and his velocity was down. His K/9 are down. He looks like he’s gone to 100% cutters a la Rivera. Anybody want to weigh in on his outlook?

    • SteveNZ says:
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      @OaktownSteve: I’m angry at him for yesterday’s nonsense and he cost me an H2H matchup in week 2, so I hope the outlook is for some improvement…

    • Ben says:
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      @OaktownSteve: People have been saying that about Jim Johnson this year, who is throwing his 2seamer at near Rivera rates.

      • Smokey

        Smokey says:
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        @Ben: well throwing one pitch isn’t all bad as long as it relates to success. Location with the pitch is key. All three guys mention, ( Johnson, Rivera and Jansen). All have Great K/bb rates.

  9. Goose says:
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    What’s wrong with Jake McGee?

    Got yakked to the tune of 5 R last night. Play-by-play reads like he got a bit unlucky (and one error was changed to a hit, so he took the full 5 ER) – but still, something ain’t right.

    He’s walked 7 guys when he walked 11 all of last year. His ERA is 11.00, his WHIP is over 2.00.

    Even though his FB speed is there and he has a lower LD% and high BABIP, here’s where I think the culprit really may lie: He’s throwing a new pitch, a cutter, 9.1% of the time – and he’s pretty much abandoned the slider/changeup combo he threw 12.8% of the time last year. So he no longer has that offspeed pitch to drop on hitters after his upper-90s gas.

    Someone tell this dude to go back to what was working!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Goose: I think you hit on it perfectly the mix of pitches is off and the speeds between pitches is too close. Making him a little more predictable. Great point.

  10. Anthony says:
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    Long term pick a player..Butler or Hosmer? H2h most categories with ops added! Thanks man!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Anthony: I’m not a Hosmer fan. With Ops it’s easy to take Billy for me.

  11. Dan says:
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    12 team points league, not sure what to do with Melky Cabrera and dealing with some injuries. Worth dropping him for a Nava/Belt/Quentin/Alonso?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Naqva

  12. Andrew says:
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    start Carpenter at utility or go with the best free agent option (dropping someone else) Hafner, V. Wells, Arenado, Moss, Moustakas

    who is the best of those free agent options? and would you hold on to Moustakas over Rutledge as a roll of the dice bench slot?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Andrew: gotta like Hafner as long as its purely for util spot. Moose and j-rut should bothe be roster able depending on league size.

  13. LT says:
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    Is Matt Moore and Aramis for Bumgarner and Heyward the right move? I have Miggy at 3rd and Frazier to back him up. Roto 7×7 keeper. I just assume if Moore is about to blow this is the move.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @LT: I like it

  14. Clint says:
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    So, here’s who I’ve got at RP: Romo, Perkins, Henderson, and Veras

    Here’s my SP’s: Gallardo, Shelby Miller, Lester, Morrow, Maholm, CJ Wilson, Hammel

    Here’s the RP’s on waivers: Hanrahan, Fujikawa, and Madson

    Given Hanny’ s save last night and what you said about Mount Fuji my add finger is getting itchy but should it be and if so, who meets The Lopper in the dark alley of roster space?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Clint: job or no job Hanrahan is a better pitcher then Veras

  15. Tarzana Orange says:
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    Damn mediocre relievers…. I have a pocket full of brain freeze. Any moves to be made here?

    My RPs: Mujica, Cishek, Veras, Fujikawa, David Hernandez

    Available RPs: Madson, Benoit, Tazawa, Uehara, Herrera, Casilla, Benoit, David Robertson, Melancon, O’Day, Storen, Clippard, Broxton, Matt Reynolds, Santos, Crain… and what about this Carlos Martinez kid in St Louis? Is he worth a damn?

    12-team H2H – It seems to take 6 or 7 saves/week to win the category.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Tarzana Orange: Madson On speculation but I would hold who you have right now.

  16. Alex says:
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    Marshall > Tazawa?

    Doolittle or Tazawa?

    Seems like tazawa regression coming

    Holds league

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Alex: marshall over Tazawa, Tazawaover Doolittle. Tazawa’s role is oing to become less important but still will see plenty of leads in the 7th.

  17. Xanxu says:
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    do you think Fujikowa gets the closer role back for the cubs? he seemed like he sucked, but it could have been the injury.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Xanxu: Before I wrote this I thought it was a possibility, then I read an interview that Sveum did and all signs point to Gregg being the immediate solution until he falters. Then it will fall on Fuji, Marmol(again), Camp etc.

  18. g-stav says:
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    i think holland might be ranked a little too high on this because his team doesnt get enough save opps seeing as they always get rained out…

  19. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    it was actually snowing when they canceled it a few days ago, yes in K.C., yes in may. And since this snow will continue into july we all should lower the projections for gordon/holland and all other K.C. players by around 33% until, say mid july. To a lesser extent we need to look at who would’ve played there over the next 2 months or so and get ready to bench them as well. Snowpocalypse is here to stay.

  20. SteveNZ says:
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    Hey Smokey – hope you’re still checking in here. I’ve gone relievers only in my H2H league which counts Holds. I’ve drafted a bunch of Holds guys but am driving myself crazy trying to decide which ones to roster on a given day.

    For example, I don’t have a single Hold this week, and have left 3 on the bench :-(

    Starting to think it might be best to be a little more consistent with the guys I roster. Can you please give me a steer on which 2-3 guys you’d just leave in your lineup? My Holds guys are:

    Robertson
    Jansen
    Hernandez
    Scheppers
    Peralta

    I also have Duensing and Cecil but I just leave them in my SP slots.

    Thanks!

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