On Saturday, we closed down the Holds store, although will still field some inventory questions that some may have. Today is the last day only for my weekly advisory role in the cheap saves/steals-AGNOF type stuff. This year was fun doing this post, it incorporated something I already covered here at Razznation and mixed it with some track and field with bats. This year, I covered everything from the decline of stolen bases as a whole stat, the decline of the elusive fantasy 20/20 players, pitching metrics of stolen bases allowed, and even some catching metrics. Wrap all that up and after I am done patting myself on my own back with my baby T-rex arms, I think I did an okay job for someone thrown to the fantasy wolves of conveying good info. Some will disagree, others will hide in the shadows with their slings and arrows, but I am satisfied. I stole Grey’s journal and he said it on three separate occasions that he thinks my penmanship in regards to SAGNOF is worthy of a cookie or something like that. I was too teary eyed to actually read it. So with just over one week to play, it is an “all hands on deck” affair for saves, stolen bases, or hell, even at-bats from non contending teams. So when searching for moves to make and not make use the first instinct and ignore the other rules like don’t get high on you’re own supply stuff. You know the Biggie song, so just ignore those and go with common sense. As always, it has been my pleasure and good luck the last week of the year. Cheers!Please, blog, may I have some more?
It’s never too late to start talking about next year, is it? Well, that is the direction I am heading. I don’t know if anyone has noticed, but second base, and for that matter middle infield, is going to be an interesting position come draft time or even for some keepers. This is the first time in a few years that there will be a dearth of players with a value at the position, so I am personally sorta excited, about as excited as getting a onion ring in my french fry order. The middle rounds for these second base eligible guys is going to be an interesting pecking order of who covets who more, and what we have seen this year steers them. Now, this is a steals post and most of the guys I am talking about are going to have value there and in some ancillary stat contributions, I am not talking about the over-drafting of Brian Dozier, and to some extent, Robbie Cano. Steals only guys, they in this case, have faces until at least your draft or keepers are pot committed. So this week, I am looking at some second sackers that will shine for you next year based on the second half stats. For giggles afterwards, since the season isn’t over, some two-week guys that will help you down the stretch and of course some save stealers…Please, blog, may I have some more?
Yeah, it is sort of a play on words for the band Journey, so what? The “so what” is that if you ever want a whole-hearted laugh to yourself, go watch Steve Perry sing the seventh inning stretch. It is fitting because the postseason save aftermath that is happening is coming from San Francisco, the home of the band Journey. See what I did there…? A huge cartwheel. The removal of Santiago Casilla, because he was a little save chilly has thrown the usual or at least semi-stable job into a committee situation. Never fun for anyone. Hunter Strickland got the first save chance post Casilla castaway. Bochy is a finicky beast, if he was a cat owner, never married, and possible a 50year-old scorned woman, it would make sense, but he isn’t, he is a manager that flies by the beat of his own drum. I usually have dynamite steals info, but since this happened in between my closer/reliever post on Saturday, you get a double dip of save-ness. The adds for me are Strickland, Romo, Cory Gearrin, a hold on Casilla and unless the inning is straight LOOGY’d up, Javier Lopez could be a factor. That is how I see the saves getting divvied up. That is a cavalcade of names to chase for saves, but if you wanna bank on one guy getting a mass majority I would look for Hunter to be that guy. So continuing on with the S part of the AGNOF, let’s see what has happened around the baseball fantasy universe over the past week in thievery.Please, blog, may I have some more?
The Royals are fun, no gimmick team to watch. They aren’t really mashers, and they aren’t really a base-to-base team. They are a cross of both, and masters of none kinda thing. With the recent injury to Cain, who has been nursing a wrist injury, Jarrod Dyson has found himself a regular seat at the big boy table. He always had the ability to steal bases, and by what we are witnessing as of late, it is that if given the opportunity for regular at-bats those SB numbers could blossom into something actually useful. Over the last 30 days, he has more at-bats than any other 30-day span this year and the SB tally is a complete reflection of it. He had 13 steals in the first half in 172 plate appearances, and in the second half, with more starts, he has 12 in 95, The falloff in production, who could expect a lot from Paulo Orlando and the injury to Cain, seem to have cemented him in the top of the lineup for at least the next few games. If nothing else, he is a pinch-run threat and with 25 total steals to date, could be an asset for a spot play down the stretch as we should be maximizing every angle or roster spot possible. Available in 94% of RCL leagues and currently not just rewarding with steals, as he has 4 runs and 3 RBI’s over his last seven. Not a true one-trick pony, sorta like the Royals. Let’s see what else is on the get down with the Saves/Steals Ain’t Got No Face department…Please, blog, may I have some more?
He was well hyped in advance of his final promotion, so much so that Prospector Ralph’s pleated khakis looked like a circus tent. To his benefit, Trea Turner deserved the hype in preseason, he had the youthful vigor and the stats to back it up. Alas, he wasn’t ever promoted and we played the waiting game while cursing the very existence of Danny Espinosa. Then he got promoted and it was for a two game stint, sadness for all parties involved. So the waiting continued, and what we were so patiently awaiting for has been a 39-game stretch by the youngin that has him slashing .341/.366/.548, good for .914 OPS. To me, this is going to be one of the lads next year that is completely over-drafted and at the same time under-drafted, but next year is next year. What we want from him is everyday line-up ability and to continue to be the steal every fourth time on base and 7-over-the-last-15 type of hitter. That is impressive in itself, now take the fact that he is in a stacked RBI producing line-up and over the last 30 games or so could be a top 2-3 option at his position adding his speed into the equation. His 26 runs scored over the last 30 games played trails only Bryant, Blackmon, Dahl and Brian Dozier. He still needs to learn how to take a walk, but even at less then 3%, his OBP is sexy. I can keep spewing details that you can just easily look up yourself, but it’s fun to point out how good someone is now and will be next year. So SAGNOF away, and if by some oddity of the world he is available, go say hi and invite him on your roster. Be weary that rosters expand midweek and some situations will change for some teams out of the race…Please, blog, may I have some more?
I love this time of the year, the opportunities for fleeting teams to make a splash fantasy wise gets really fun. Guys pop up here there and everywheres. Young guys looking to plant the next year seed in their clubs minds is a great thing for all of us. This week, we focus on the go-go Brewers. Yeah… them. My apologies to the 50’s White Sox, but there wasn’t fantasy back then or I would be waxing poetic about Hall of Famer Luis Aparicio. Alas, a different era and a completely different town. Same like for beer, which automatically makes me a fan of either. So we shine the LED spotlight this week on Keon Broxton. The evictor of everything Niewenhuis. Over the past 14 days of games, he is flashing an OBP of .447, with 8 steals and an almost crazy 19% BB rate. Those are all things we look at from a straight SAGNOF contributor, but throw in the .320 batting average and a run every 6.5 plate appearances and he is a swoon for the stretch run of cheapie SB’s. Best part is he has only gotten two games off this month, minus the PH appearances for one quality AB in the stat column. Ownership is the key here, and he is being carried in just over 16% of ESPN RCL leagues, That, my friends, is probably a tad low for the ones surfing for pre-September goodies. The Brewers are most likely going to give him the go for the final 40 games, which should net him 130-140 at bats. So go use those stimulating numbers I gave above and extrapolate those over those games. If all stays the same, he should get you 10-12 Sb’s and 15-18 runs. Good for a regular team not a team cruising 20 games under .500. Lets see what else is going down in the world of cheap SAGNOF-dom…
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Come on in and talk it over. So many the Erie warriors would want to say, but I think the platoon is very much over. So Jose Ramirez has embedded himself in the land where former Chisenhall’s roamed. Who, by happenstance, is playing here, there, and most left of nowhere… which is left field. Jose is getting all the good spot-stuff you need for a guy to be rostered, and I am not just referencing the SAGNOF love. He is hitting .431 over the last 15 games with 10 RBI’s 15 runs scored, 4 home runs, and the salt on the rim of the margarita glass is 6 steals. If you wanna lump in the fact that he is eligible in most formats at four positions… This is Hernan part deux the redux of multi-eligible position players with Latino descent showing out. He is currently, over the last 15 games, in the top-2 of all players in the ESPN database. Only Mr. Blackmon can hold sway over him. Now the ownership has spiked and he is currently in the 80’s, but hey, some leagues are dumb and slow, so just in case, he is there, which he shouldn’t be (just check). Worse comes to worse, he makes for an interesting guy to trade for down the stretch because his name isn’t sexy and could probably be involved with a bigger name with some draw. SAGNOF report is incoming with some players to look at and some saves ups and downs from the three days that you missed me so…Please, blog, may I have some more?
I remember years ago the gold standard for fantasy goodness was getting 20 home runs and 20 steals. That trend is unfortunately not in our favor anymore. As I have waxed poetic before about the growing trend of the stolen bases laying by the roadside and becoming less of an accumulated stat across baseball… This year, we roughly have 50 games to go and we have one player that has just accomplished the feet, and if someone would have guessed that it would have been Wil Myers in preseason, I would have spit out my grape Fanta. With other players on pace to eclipse this mark, the number is still trending in a bad way. In the last six years, the number was the highest in 2011 with 12 players making the 20/20 barrier. Since then, it has reduced every year, 9 in 2012, 8 in 2013, 5 in 2014 and 4 just last year. With Myers, there is some hope that a few other players get there, but the numbers are not in the stats favor to be opposite of what they once were, and there is no way that I can see it getting up to double digits again. This tells me a few things about rostering SB guys, first, the elite are more coveted. Players like Jose Altuve to me should be a top-5 player next year because he basically wins you, or at least is the reason that you win two categories. Second thing is that grabbing players that are steal-only guys is probably not worth the chase, and the punt of the category is most likely the best strategy. But hell, what do I know, I have only been here since forever and a day.Please, blog, may I have some more?
I have waxed poetic about him for three straight weeks and still have never given him the lede. Well, Travis is the pure definition of what SAGNOF is. It’s Grey’s term, but next to it in the glossary of Razz-terms, there should be a picture of Mr. Jankowski drinking a mai-tai while laying around on one of those full size ab-machines that he uses as a lounge chair. All the dude has done is have basically half the plate appearances of a regular over the past 30 days, post a near .400 OBP, and have one less steal in that time than MLB leader Starling Marte (with 12). Now, I am no numbers genius, I am a realist, and I really like the low-cost ability that he has for a team that has no other real choice but to play him, if he continues to do what he do. In all seriousness, where are the Padres going? No wheres is the answer. Guy is a newly minted 25, has shown decent enough OBP skills and prowess for thievery, that he may be wax-penciled into their lineup next year as someone they should try and build around and play smaller ball with. I mean, they could do worse… they could sign Melvin Upton. Oh, wait, that turned out good. They can see if Wil Myers can play first base on the regular, yet again something else that went right. For the small things, maybe the Fathers are starting to get things in the right direction, and instead of spending crazy stupid money for free agents and trading assets, they should start modeling themselves after what A.J Preller knows best. They are a small market club with big club aspirations, start acting like it. Just my two cents. Let’s see what else is going down on the 90 feet thieves and sneaky saves department…Please, blog, may I have some more?
On this high holy season of fireworks and excessive drinking, it all unfortunately comes to an end on a Monday. Today. July 5th shouldn’t be a day of the hangover and partial powder burns… So in honor of our noble sacrifice, let’s touch on some chaps that have some steal value. We will attack it slow so you can read this, and in between flip the burgers and dogs on the grill. The steals game is slowing down. Look at the numbers we expected from guys this year based off last years stats. Guys like Rizzo, and Goldy, and even Ryan Braun all down. The expectations across the board have to be lowered. It should be lowered enough that we open the window and chuck it out that same window. Unfortunately, we can’t, because counting stats are counting stats and it is still a whole category which we must choose to score points in. The days of steals being a reliable category are long gone. The “punt a position” for SB’s is a mythical lore of the whole Pegasus persuasion. It exists only because we remember the days that it actually happened. The weekly guys for the leaders in the category read like an extra list for a CSI episode, it is not fun, but we get drawn into the allure of the chase. The chase is fun, the end result is just a let down like an aerial photo of your upcoming date from Tinder. So here is the week ahead, behind and below SAGNOF targets and guys that are contributing for their teams that will make you give a second look if chasing that SB fix. Cheers!Please, blog, may I have some more?