Sometimes you just can’t trade a guy in your fantasy baseball league. For whatever reason, the rest of the teams don’t believe in your guy. Whether it’s someone who has been doing well who people aren’t sure if they’re for real (Ben Zobrist) or someone who has been struggling (Liriano), no one in your league will trade for them. You’ve tried to sell lower than even their value warrants, but no bites.Please, blog, may I have some more?
There’s a few people who are going to understand what FIP is. The people who scored a 2400 on the SATs. Or 1600 if you’re old school, literally. The people who use a Bunsen Burner to light their pipe. The people who know what is in a Twinkie. You know, real smart people. Me? I just know that Twinkies are delicious. Luckily, there’s people out there that figure out these highfalutin numbers like FIP and give ‘em to us plain and simple. Okay, so let’s take a Exhibit A pitcher who has an ERA of 2.75 but his FIP is a 6.75. A -4.00 difference. That means he’s been very lucky and there’s a good chance his ERA is going to go way up. So here’s a list of pitchers with the biggest difference between their actual ERAs and their FIPs.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Fangraphs, a great site to get lost in for a few hours, has this stat called O-Swing %. I don’t know if they invented it, but they probably did because they’re smarter than us. The O-Swing % is not the amount of times you can fail to satisfy a woman prior to her swinging her arm and knocking you to the floor. Repeat, it is not that. Though, if someone can come up with that stat, let me know. No, the O-Swing % is, “The percentage of pitches a batter swings at outside the strike zone.” Yes, they may as well call this the AlfonsO-Swing %. Hackers score high, methodical, patient hitters score low. Doesn’t mean high is bad and low is good. Some guys hack and have always hacked. B.Please, blog, may I have some more?
First, some history: Last season, the Baron exhibited his usual over-enthusiasm for whippet-thin outfielders who promise both power and speed, and also Matt Holliday. Coming out of a draft in which I took Holliday first (coming off 36 HRs in ’07), a still-2B-eligible BJ Upton second (24 HRs in ’07) and Alex Rios third (24 HRs in ’07), I knew I lacked a big-bopper in the Prince/Ryan Howard/Dunn mold, but figured I could count on at least 80 HRs from this trio—with a ceiling closer to a 100.Please, blog, may I have some more?
This is more of a general fantasy baseball strategy post (and aimed for Roto more than H2H). This is sort of a continuation of this morning’s roundup. Well… At least the thought process for why I’m writing it is in continuation. Do you start or sit pitchers? There isn’t an easy, broad answer to start every guy, so I understand the trepidation behind starting certain guys. You don’t want Ubaldo sitting on your team’s face right after he ate Mexican food. But you also don’t want to start a guy for all his bad outings and sit him for the great ones. In a lot of cases, Perry Mason, this comes down to over thinking. Listen, even your fearless leader sometimes over thinks his starts and misses a good one. And some guys really are for just matchups. You’re not starting “Fire Chin” Gaudin every time out.Please, blog, may I have some more?
When you’re looking at pitcher matchups for fantasy baseball, sometimes the cards just align for certain guys. On the right day, Piniero can look like Winiero. Or Jamie Moyer looks like “Play Me” Moyer. Or Carl Pavano becomes Pava-yes. *Grey groans at his own wordplay* It’s all about the matchups, right? Anyone can win against the Nats… Well, maybe. Maybe not. I decided to look at teams in general to see what their overall stats could tell us about potential fantasy baseball matchups.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Last week in a barrage of me making sense, I looked at fantasy starters whose ERAs will get worst. Well, do onto others or turnabout is fair play or some other cliché leads me to this post — the inverse of last week’s or fantasy baseball starters who will get better. If you weren’t around last week, I mentioned what FIP is; don’t really feel like going into it again and regular readers will tire anyway, so go back and read last week’s. Anyway, here’s a list of pitchers with the biggest difference between their actual ERAs and their FIPs.Please, blog, may I have some more?
Let’s see, winner of the All-Star game gets home field advantage… The WBC… Open the season in another country… Steroids testing after letting the world believe Bret Boone was good… Finally, interleague play. Selig, hang your legacy right next to the monkey carcass that helped spread the AIDS virus. Well, interleague is here whether we like it or not. I don’t, but this is only partially about me. So what can we do about interleague play for fantasy baseball?Please, blog, may I have some more?
Okay, take off your aluminum foil cap you use to get better TV reception and put on your thinking cap because we’re going into The Land of Sabermetrics with your host, me. Today we’re going to look at FIP. Stands for Fielding Independent Pitching. It’s basically ERA without those pesky fielders helping or hurting you. It’s a pure ERA. It’s like when you go to the Supercuts and then you don’t want to shower because you’ll never get your hair styled again like Jeffrey does it. It’s your hair right after Jeffrey styles it and before you wash it. That’s FIP. Okay, so let’s take a Exhibit A pitcher who has an ERA of 2.75 but his FIP is a 6.75. A -4.00 difference. That means he’s been very lucky and there’s a good chance his ERA is going to go way up. So here’s a list of pitchers with the biggest difference between their actual ERAs and their FIPs.Please, blog, may I have some more?
We all realize that a player’s lineup position will have an impact on his statistics. I’ve recently been pondering the fantasy impact of scenarios such as:
What is the impact of Russ Martin and Matt Kemp’s fantasy value if they hit 2nd vs.Please, blog, may I have some more?