Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (14) | 2010 (24) | 2009 (21) | 2008 (10) | 2007 (30) | 2006 (24)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [80-81] NL East

AAA: [66-74] International League – Syracuse

AA: [80-62] Eastern League – Harrisburg

A+: [68-71] Carolina League – Potomac

A: [75-64] South Atlantic League – Hagerstown

A(ss): [45-30] New York-Penn League – Auburn

The Run Down

There would’ve been a few more guys to discuss here, had the Nationals not gutted their system in acquiring Gio Gonzalez.  Their top two pitching prospects (Brad Peacock & A.J. Cole) were shipped out along with top catching prospect, Kerek Norris, and big-league-ready LHP, Tom Milone.  Prior to the trade, Baseball America had this Nationals system ranked #1 overall.  GM Mike Rizzo drafted some high-ceiling types in Anthony Rendon and Matt Purke, and the organization still possesses baseball’s top prospect.  Regarding that top prospect:  he’s got the tools and makeup to be a perennial All Star, but his mustache could use some work.  It’s flat and whispy, but not pathetic enough to be making a comedic statement a la Derek Holland.  Harper needs to add significant volume to his 6^th tool in order to complete the package.  Perhaps Grey could lend some advice?

Arizona Fall League Players – Scottsdale Scorpions

Pat Lehman (RHP); Rafael Martin (RHP); Sammy Solis (LHP); Derek Norris (C); Bryce Harper (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Danny Espinosa (SS); Wilson Ramos (C); Yunesky Maya (RHP); Ryan Mattheus (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Bryce Harper | OF:

Grey previews Harper here.  And while I tend to agree with the guarded outlook, the Nationals have been adamant about not counting their prized prospect out of a Major League role when camp breaks.  Grey noted that this could simply be a ploy to stir fan interest, which seems plausible.  Lately, though, I’m wondering if the Nats are sincere about promoting Harper sooner rather than later.  This, of course, is a situation worth watching closely as it develops this spring.  My best guess:  Harper will be called up in June.

Chris Marrero | 1B:

Marrero collected 100+ AB’s as the Nationals’ primary first baseman this past September.  Unfortunately, the 23-year-old did not impress.  His 2011 Triple-A figures (.300/.375/.449), however, are his best to date.  Blocked by Michael Morse and Adam LaRoche, Marrero should return to AAA, but he’s right on the cusp of breaking through as another rather boring NL first baseman.

Steve Lombardozzi | 2B:

Lombardozzi is one of those scraptastic guys who you probably don’t want anywhere near your fantasy roster.  Not very toolsy, but oozing with baseball acumen.  You know the type.  He’ll likely make the Nats as a utility infielder, but shouldn’t see regular time unless Danny Espinosa or Ian Desmond goes down to injury.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Anthony Rendon | 3B:

The sixth overall selection in the 2011 draft, Rendon signed late and is yet to make his pro debut.  He brings a polished approach to hitting and is discussed in the same light as Evan Longoria and David Wright.  Washington will be careful with him at first; a strained throwing shoulder hampered him in his final season at Rice.  Rendon has a Major League contract so he’ll be in camp with the big club this spring, but I expect him to make his pro debut in Potomac.  The Nats may have to consider shifting him to second base while Zimmerman holds down third.

Pitchers

Matt Purke | LHP – SP:

Purke signed too late to gain any professional experience last year, but he has the potential to climb quickly through the Washington farm system.  The lefty went 16-0 with Texas Christian in 2010, but didn’t pitch in 2011 due to a shoulder ailment.  The condition didn’t require surgery, and the Nationals feel they got a steal in drafting Purke in the third round last June.  Until he proves his health on the mound, it’s fair to be skeptical, but Purke is armed with a filthy fastball-slider combo, and projects as a frontline starter.

Cole Kimball | RHP – RP:

Kimball was off to a nice start to his Major League career before his season was cut short to injury.  In 12 appearances with the Nats, the righty posted a 1.93 ERA.  This was after Kimball put up a 0.00 ERA in 12 appearances as the closer in Syracuse.  Rotator-cuff surgery is cause for concern, but the Nationals hope to have Kimball back in their bullpen for the second half.

Sammy Solis | LHP – SP:

Solis projects as a mid-rotation, innings eating type.  His repertoire features a mid-90′s fastball with movement, a decent curve, and a work-in-progress changeup.  Solis posted a 2.72 ERA in 10 starts at High-A to round out his 2011. He’ll ride that momentum into Harrisburg for 2012 and could progress quickly from there, given his solid mechanics and fundamental approach.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (15) | 2010 (2) | 2009 (1) | 2008 (4) | 2007 (28) | 2006 (16)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [96-66] AL West

AAA: [87-57] Pacific Coast League – Round Rock

AA: [79-61] Texas League – Frisco

A+: [72-67] Carolina League – Myrtle Beach

A: [79-58] South Atlantic League – Hickory

A(ss): [35-41] Northwest League – Spokane

The Run Down

Being that we’re discussing fantasy baseball here, I feel compelled to focus on the measurables of the players I highlight, and justifiably so; the game we’re playing is based entirely on these calculable elements, after all.  This group of Rangers prospects, however, is difficult to calculate.  We’re dealing with a first-year guy out of Japan, a second-year guy out of Cuba, an 18-year-old, and a handful of promising arms who’ve yet to pan out, production-wise.  There are, of course, some exceptions.  Both Mike Olt and Jurickson Profar impressed in A-ball.  Neil Ramirez had nice marks, too, and De Los Santos struck out, like, everyone.  But for the most part, the numbers here aren’t the attraction.  The potential is the attraction.  That’s not to suggest that I’m not excited about these Texas Rangers prospects.  Actually, I really look forward to tracking this system and I believe it’ll produce significant fantasy value in years to come – 2012 included.

Arizona Fall League Players – Surprise Saguaros

Miguel De Los Santos (RHP); Ryan Kelly (RHP); Neil Ramirez (RHP); Johan Yan (RHP); Elio Sarmiento (C); Leury Garcia (SS); Mike Olt (3B); Ryan Strausborger (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Craig Gentry (OF); Yoshinori Tateyama (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Leonys Martin | OF:

Martin played at four levels in 2011, from rookie ball to MLB.  The 23-year-old Cuban will be competing for the Rangers’ center field job this spring.  If he wins the job, his immediate value will be mostly defensive.  The Rangers are confident he’ll blossom into a quality leadoff hitter, but I haven’t seen enough to endorse that sentiment.  Certainly keep an eye on him this spring.

Pitchers

Yu Darvish | RHP – SP:

Grey offers his thoughts on Darvish here.  Erik, too, has posted regarding Yu.  Hype abounds.  Darvish won’t go cheaply, but he’ll be very productive for fantasy purposes.  I’m intrigued.  I think I’ll be in on the bidding.

Martin Perez | LHP – SP:

Perez features three plus offerings, including a mid-90′s fastball, a changeup and a curve.  Command, it seems, is the only thing holding the 20-year-old back at this point.  After struggling in 10 Triple-A starts last season, Perez is in line to return to Round Rock for 2012.  The Rangers have pushed him along rather quickly thus far, and there’s no reason to believe they won’t continue to do so.  Provided he shows improved consistency, he’ll be a nice candidate for a midseason call up.

Neil Ramirez | RHP – SP:

While his stuff isn’t quite as impressive as Perez’s, Ramirez might be a safer option if the Rangers need a starter at any point.  His command is Major League-ready and he’s added a changeup to his repertoire.  Texas might choose to use him in their bullpen to begin with, but Ramirez projects as a mid-rotation starter.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Jurickson Profar | SS:

At 18 years old, Profar is very young, but he’s a guy you’ll want to keep an eye on as he climbs the ladder.  With 57 XBH in 516 trips to the plate in 2011, it’s clear that he’s ready for High-A, perhaps more.  It’ll be interesting to see how the Rangers handle Profar’s development, with Elvis Andrus occupying shortstop for the foreseeable future.  Regarded as a top-ten overall prospect, Jurickson is a name to remember.

Mike Olt | 3B:

Here’s another guy who is currently blocked at his natural position.  With Adrian Beltre holding down third, Olt, too, is in line for a position change if he is to arrive in Texas any time soon.  Perhaps more likely, the Rangers will look to use Olt as trade-bait.  In which case, the 23-year-old could be manning 3^rd for a team like the Cubs come August.

Pitchers

Tanner Scheppers | RHP – RP:

Scheppers features a filthy fastball that touches 100, but his command has struggled along the way and there are health concerns.  With his stuff, though, he’s not far from the Major League bullpen.  Unfortunately, the Rangers have quite a few impressive arms ahead of him in their pen.  Fantasy relevance is a ways away at this point.

Miguel De Los Santos | LHP – SP:

A 13.5 K/9 in 2011 is certainly worth noting.  A 5.04 ERA is less so.  He needs to maintain command of his fastball if he is to be effective at higher levels, but ridiculous strikeout numbers stand out.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (15) | 2010 (26) | 2009 (25) | 2008 (11) | 2007 (4) | 2006 (4)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [86-76] AL West

AAA: [62-82] Pacific Coast League – Salt Lake

AA: [68-69] Texas League – Arkansas

A+: [69-71] California League – Inland Empire

A: [61-68] Midwest League – Cedar Rapids

R: [46-30] Pioneer League – Orem

The Run Down

Unfortunately for the likes of Mike Trout and Garret Richards, the Angels spent big this offseason, and in turn, they seem to have clogged up any prospect throughways.  Barring injury, I don’t see much opportunity in 2012 for this Los Angeles farm system.  Trout is a top overall prospect and anyone drafting in keepers should definitely consider him.  Richards will compete for the fifth starter role, and there are a handful of arms who could get a chance in the bullpen, but beyond that, there isn’t much fantasy relevance just yet.  Looking a little further ahead, the Angels’ system could yield quite a bit of fantasy production, as Trout and Richards settle into regular roles along with Jean Segura and 2010 first-rounder, Kaleb Cowart.

Arizona Fall League Players – Scottsdale Scorpions

David Carpenter (RHP); Chris Scholl (RHP); Daniel Tillman (RHP); Jean Segura (SS); Mike Trout (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Mark Trumbo (1B); Hank Conger (C)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Mike Trout | OF:

Quoting Grey Albright: “I’m afraid to report to you, Mike Trout’s not seeing time until 2013.  My Mike Trout 2012 fantasy is missing one caveat — what happens if they sign Albert Effin’ Pujols?  My guess is their outfield is gonna be Hunter, Bourjos and Wells with Abreu platooning in the outfield and at DH […] To recap for fantasy, Pujols is fine, Bourjos is fine, Trumbo is fine if he can play 3rd which seems unlikely, Kendrys is fine if he’s healthy, Abreu is not fine, Mike Trout is not fine.”  After the Pujols acquisition, the Angels appear too crowded accommodate a promotion for their top prospect.  Trout skipped Triple-A entirely and he won’t be 21 ‘til August, so keeping him back seems justifiable.

Alexi Amarista | 2B:

Amarista collected 33 XBH in 396 PA at Triple-A and stole 15 bags along the way.  He’s a slick-fielding second baseman and he’s hit fairly well at every level, aside from a small sample in the bigs.  He shows occasional gap power, but he needs to develop more patience at the plate before he’s ready to contribute in the majors.  Amarista should return to Salt Lake to begin 2012, as the Angels are well equipped at middle infield.

Jeremy Moore | OF:

Moore has the tools, but he’ll need to improve vastly on his plate discipline.  His 4.6 BB% at Triple-A is concerning, but if he can improve on that, he could make a nice third or fourth outfielder down the road.  Moore has 15-20 potential and the Angels have an aging outfield.  Do keep an eye on him.

Pitchers

Garrett Richards | RHP – SP:

Richards’ numbers at Double-A weren’t overly impressive, but in 143 IP he did manage a 3.15 ERA and surrendered just 10 homers.  He earned a late season call up but was forgettable in seven appearances (three starts).  Richards throws a mid-90s fastball, a 12-6 curve, and an occasional changeup.  He’ll need to improve the change before he can truly be effective at the Major League level, but Richards will likely compete for starts at some point this year.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Jean Segura | SS/2B: 

Segura’s development has been slowed by injury, but he’s produced while healthy.  Stephen’s outlook a year ago still holds, although it seems Segura is in line to begin in Double-A this year.

Pitchers

John Hellweg | RHP – SP/RP:

Hellweg posted a 2.12 ERA as a starter in the hitter-friendly California League.  The 6-9 23-year-old throws fastball in the high 90s and counters with a low 80s slider.  The combination draws plenty of strikeouts.  He’ll begin 2012 in Arkansas, but he’ll rise quickly if his dominance continues.

Dan Tillman | RHP – RP:

Tillman sports a similarly devastating fastball-slider combo to Hellweg, however he projects more as a late innings reliever than as a starter.  Perhaps the system’s most promising relief arm, Tillman is a non-roster invitee to big league camp, but he’ll likely begin 2012 in the minors.  Should the Angels’ pen need help at any point, he’ll be among the first considered.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (16) | 2010 (14) | 2009 (27) | 2008 (18) | 2007 (18) | 2006 (15)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [71-91] NL Central

AAA: [66-77] Pacific Coast League – Iowa

AA: [83-57] Southern League – Tennessee

A+: [76-61] Florida State League – Daytona

A: [60-79] Midwest League – Peoria

A(ss): [36-40] Northwest League – Boise

The Run Down

The Cubs’ MLB-ready talent doesn’t extend too far beyond Anthony Rizzo and Brett Jackson.  A few relief prospects and a backup catcher could crack the big league roster, but there aren’t a slew of guys here who are ready to contribute in the majors.  Even so, Rizzo and Jackson alone are sufficient to generate fantasy buzz.  And behind them, the Cubs have youthful types like Matt Szczur, Javier Baez and Dillon Maples.

Of all their additions this offseason, none is more important than Theo.   The Cubs are finally setting smart, long-term goals through emphasizing scouting and player development.  They’ve partnered with Bloomberg Sports, who will develop custom information systems and support data-driven decision-making.  They’re dumping Major League dead weight and they’re building from within.  They seem to be heading in the right direction.

Arizona Fall League Players – Mesa Solar Sox

Jeff Beliveau (LHP); Chris Carpenter (RHP); Andrew Cashner (RHP); Marcus Hatley (RHP); Trey McNutt (RHP); Junior Lake (SS); D.J. LeMahieu (2B); Josh Vitters (OF); Brett Jackson (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Darwin Barney (2B); Tony Campana (OF)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Brett Jackson | OF:

Although Soriano and Byrd remain, it seems only a matter of time before one (or both) is shipped elsewhere, making room for Jackson in the Chicago outfield.  Grey previews Jackson here.  It’s a great write-up mostly because of the dong joke (dong jokes get me every time), but I tend to agree with the non-dong-related content.  I just used the word “dong” four times while discussing Brett Jackson.  That places me second all-time behind Phil Rogers.

Anthony Rizzo | 1B:

Grey discusses Donkey Kong Jr.’s 2012 outlook here.  Rizzo, of course, now has a new team, a new ballpark and new teammates.  Long-term, the new environment certainly helps Rizzo.  But for 2012, I don’t think much needs to be changed from Grey’s projection, although 25 homers is probably a fair assessment, now.  Rizzo will likely begin 2012 in Iowa.  Bryan LaHair will hold his place in Chicago in the meantime.  I expect Rizzo up by midseason.

Welington Castillo | C:

There’s a good chance he’ll serve as Geovany Soto’s backup in 2012.  .238 ISO at Triple-A in 2011 reflects nice pop for a catcher, even in the PCL.  Soto, like many other Cubs regulars, is a trade candidate and Castillo would step into a starting role should a trade occur.  He’ll be worth adding across all formats if he’s ever getting regular AB’s.

Pitchers

Rafael Dolis | RHP – RP:

I suspect that Theo will, at some point, be shopping Marmol.  That is, if he isn’t already.  And if the Cubs are so lucky to unload their closer, Dolis seems like a good candidate to take on the role, as his high 90s sinking fastball can be utterly unhittable.  He’ll likely start 2012 at Triple-A where he’ll work on secondary pitches and overall command, but he’ll be up before long.

Chris Carpenter | RHP – RP:

Carpenter is a power righty who projects as a setup man.  When his command is with him, he’s tough to hit, but he has struggled in that regard.  Carpenter is pretty much a two-pitch guy with a high 90s fastball and high 80s slider.  He should be ready to join the Cubs bullpen full-time in 2012.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Josh Vitters | 3B/1B:

Vitters moderate improvement at Double-A in 2011, slashing .283/.322/.448.  But it’s still hardly the production that the Cubs would like to see out of their 3^rd overall pick in 2007.  At just 22, there is still time for him to polish his tools and start progressing, but he’ll need to begin doing so quickly.

Pitchers

Trey McNutt | RHP – SP:

McNutt struggled at Tennessee in 2011 and is probably in for a return to Double-A in 2012.  For a power pitcher with a plus fastball and plus curve, it’s concerning that his strikeout ratios aren’t at all impressive (6.2 K/9 in 2011).  A prospect with this kind of stuff shouldn’t be ignored, however.  If he can improve his command, the ratios will fall in line and he could find himself pitching at Wrigley come September.

Jay Jackson | RHP – SP:

Jackson’s had a rough couple of years at Triple-A, but the Cubs haven’t yet lost faith.  An initiative of Epstein’s has been to glean his rotation from a hoard of Major League-caliber pitching.  Jackson still has the stuff to be included in that hoard.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (17) | 2010 (5) | 2009 (13) | 2008 (2) | 2007 (9) | 2006 (8)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [90-72] AL East

AAA: [81-61] International League – Pawtucket

AA: [59-83] Eastern League – Portland

A+: [64-75] Carolina League – Salem

A: [78-62] South Atlantic League – Greenville

A(ss): [29-45] New York Penn League – Lowell

The Run Down

The Red Sox pipeline, as usual, is flush with talent.  And although its most exciting prospects (see Middlebrooks & Barnes) are probably a year away from arriving at Fenway, the system features a decent amount of MLB-ready talent.  Unfortunately for those ready to make their marks with the big club, Boston’s MLB roster doesn’t seem primed for much turnover:  The opening in right field will most certainly be filled with a free agent, and I’m thinking they’ll do the same to round out the rotation.

If you’re wondering why I didn’t list Lars Anderson, it’s because he kinda stinks.  And until we’re all in leagues that factor UZR, don’t bother worrying about Jose Iglesias, either.  But please keep an eye on youngsters like Xander Bogaerts and Blake Swihart – both will be exciting prospects to watch develop.

Arizona Fall League Players – Scottsdale Scorpions

Caleb Clay (RHP); Brock Huntzinger (RHP); Jeremy Kehrt (RHP); Will Latimer (LHP); Dan Butler (C); Ryan Dent (SS); Alex Hassan (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Josh Reddick (RF)*; Drew Sutton (3B)**; Michael Bowden (RHP)

*Now with Oakland

**Now with Atlanta

Players of Interest

Hitters

Ryan Lavarnway | C:

The original thought on Lavarnway was that he’d never be able to stick at catcher, given some defensive shortcomings.  Thanks to an impressive work ethic and general baseball acumen, however, the 24-year-old hasn’t yet been supplanted at his post behind the plate.  The Red Sox have Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Kelly Shoppach ahead of him for the time being, but Lavarnway has great power potential for a catcher-eligible player (.317 ISO at AAA).  He’ll be worth adding in all formats upon arrival.

Pitchers

Alex Wilson | RHP – SP: 

Profiling as a backend-type starter, Wilson could be a safe option for the BoSox should the rotation suffer injury at any point. A 3.43 K/BB ratio at Triple-A is certainly promising, though the sample is very small.  Wilson should begin 2012 in the Pawtucket rotation, and it won’t be long before he’s ready for action with the big club.  Unfortunately, his arrival as a starter is unlikely, barring injury, and he might ultimately debut in a relief role.

Kyle Weiland | RHP – SP:

Like Wilson, Weiland profiles as a back-of-the-rotation starter.  He had his chance at the big league level last year, where in five appearances he posted an ugly 6.55 FIP.  He throws a low 90s fastball along with a cutter, a curve and a changeup.  Also like Wilson, Weiland’s best shot a resurfacing is probably with the bullpen.

Felix Doubront | LHP – SP/RP:

Doubront seems like a likely candidate to break camp with the Red Sox bullpen.  Projecting similarly to the aforementioned Wilson and Weiland, I give Doubront the better shot to crack the opening day roster simply for his lefthandedness.  He could be in the mix for starts if there’s a need.

Junichi Tazawa | RHP – RP/SP:  

Tazawa made the transition from starter to reliever in 2011 and the switch seemed to suit him.  His high 80s fastball showed increased velocity in shorter stints of work and only served to magnify the effectiveness of his splitter.  Tazawa could surely work his way into the Red Sox pen this spring.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Will Middlebrooks | 3B:

Middlebrooks will likely need a full season at Triple-A, where he managed only 2 XBH in 60 trips to the plate in 2011.  The 23-year-old projects wonderfully at third, though, and he should replace Kevin Youkilis at the hot corner in 2013.  Until then, it’ll be fun to track Middlebrooks in Pawtucket as he works on refining his plate discipline, which, at times, is overly aggressive.

Bryce Brentz | OF: 

Brentz slashed .306/.365/.574 between Low A and High A in 2011, and should be ready for Double-A in 2012.  The Red Sox have a void in right field that they’ll likely opt to fill via free agency.  At 23 years old, though, Brentz is poised to progress quickly through AA and AAA.  With a strong arm and power bat, he profiles perfectly for right field, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Brentz is up and playing somewhat regularly come September.

Pitchers

Anthony Ranaudo | RHP – SP: 

In his first year of pro ball, Ranaudo pitched 127 innings between Greenville and Salem.  Standing 6-foot-7, the righty has no trouble generating velocity:  His fastball ranges from 91-97 MPH.  The heavy workload in his first year caused a bit of regression in that area, however, and Ranaudo spent the final two months of the season working in the low 90s.  He features a plus curve and decent command.  Past elbow injuries are cause for concern, but if he can stay healthy, he’ll be pitching at Fenway by 2013.

Matt Barnes | RHP – SP:

Barnes is my favorite of the Red Sox’s pitching prospects.  The first-rounder out of UConn signed too late to pitch in 2011, but he shouldn’t require too much time in the minors.  Perhaps not as imposing as the 6-7 Ranaudo, Barnes (6-4, 205) produces similar velocity with an effortless delivery.  His arrival is on a similar timetable to Ranaudo’s, but I have a hunch that Barnes will pitching at Fenway first.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (18) | 2010 (12) | 2009 (24) | 2008 (12) | 2007 (24) | 2006 (27)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [67-95] AL West

AAA: [70-74] Pacific Coast League – Tacoma

AA: [68-72] Southern League – Jackson

A+: [59-81] California League – High Desert

A: [63-76] Midwest League – Clinton

A(ss): [37-39] Northwest League – Everett

R:  [32-36] Appalachian League – Pulaski

The Run Down

The spacious Safeco Field is a wonderful ballpark in which to begin a pitching career.  The Seattle farm system is deep with pitching, and it’s not difficult to envision a handful of prospects making an impact on the mound this year.  Beyond the names I’ve noted, keep an eye on relief arms like Stephen Pryor and Erasmo Ramirez – both could occupy roles in the M’s pen.  Also, Mauricio Robles will be back from elbow surgery and could be ready for Major League duty before long.  Offensively, the Seattle farm system took a tragic hit with the murder of Greg Halman.  But with youthful infield prospects like Nick Franklin and Francisco Martinez, in addition to some big league-ready talent (Liddi, Catricala, Chiang), Mariners fans have reason for hope in the coming years.

Arizona Fall League Players – Peoria Javelinas

Steven Hensley (RHP); Danny Hultzen (LHP); Brian Moran (LHP); Forrest Snow (RHP); Adam Moore (C); Nick Franklin (SS); Chih-Hsien Chiang (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Dustin Ackley (2B); Mike Carp (1B); Kyle Seager (2B/3B); Trayvon Robinson (OF); Carlos Peguero (OF); Michael Pineda (RHP); Blake Beaven (RHP); Charlie Furbush (LHP); Tom Wilhelmsen (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Alex Liddi | 3B:

Liddi has Mark Reynolds upside. By that I mean:  .225 AVG, 30 + homers, and a shizzload of strikeouts.  At just 23 years old, there’s still time for him to improve on his plate discipline and cut down on the K’s.  Scouts like his glove at third, too.  With his power potential, if he’s getting regular AB’s Liddi will be worth consideration in most formats.

Vinnie Catricala | 3B/1B/OF:

In 600 PA between High A and Double-A, Catricala posted 2011 slash line of .349/.421/.601.  With 17 stolen bases, he also showed a little speed.  His 77 XBH, including 25 homers, are good indicators that Catricala is at least ready for AAA, if not for MLB.  Provided he can fit in somewhere defensively, I expect him up by September, at the latest.

Pitchers

Danny Hultzen | LHP – SP:

Hultzen won’t require much time in the minors.  Seattle’s first selection (second overall) from the June Draft pitched professionally for the first time in the Arizona Fall League, where he posted a 1.40 ERA over six starts.  The consensus on Hultzen:  he’ll be an effective Major League starter very soon.  Ultimately, though, he lacks the dominant offerings of an ace, and probably projects more like a number two starter.  Regardless of all that, Hultzen seems like a can’t-miss guy.  He’ll absolutely be worth owning as soon as he’s called up, and he might even make the rotation out of spring training.

James Paxton | LHP – SP:

As a lefty, frontline starter, Paxton projects similarly to Hultzen.  After collecting 131 K’s and a 2.37 ERA in 95 IP between Low A and AA in 2011, it seems he won’t need much more time in the farm system.  Given the whole Safeco Field thing, Paxton will be a smart addition to any fantasy roster as soon as he’s up.

Chance Ruffin | RHP – RP:

Acquired in the Doug Fister swap, Ruffin should break camp with the big club and immediately fit into a late-innings relief role.  The 48^th selection in the 2010 Draft pitched in only 44 games before Seattle obtained him and promoted him directly to their big league bullpen.  In those 44 minor league games (48.2 IP) Ruffin posted a 2.03 ERA, 60 K’s and 19 saves.  The righty features a mid-90s fastball and counters with a slider and the occasional curve.

Dan Cortés | RHP – RP:

Stephen describes Cortés accurately in his M’s piece a year ago, “…appears to be a high-risk, high-reward late innings reliever. Throws a 96 to 98 MPH fastball, a ‘hammer 12-to-6 curve’ and a sharp slider with work in progress changeup… Beyond control and command issues, Cortes has a lot of upside.”

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Nick Franklin | SS:

Arguably Seattle’s best hitting prospect, Franklin will be 21 in March and will likely return to AA to begin 2012.  The M’s are surely eager to replace Brendan Ryan’s bat at shortstop, but Franklin is still probably a year away from taking over.  Barring a setback, he should be in line for a late-season call up and ready for regular action in 2013.

Chih-Hsien Chiang | OF:

Seattle acquired Chiang as a part of the Erik Bedard trade with Boston.  Although his post-trade line in the Southern League wasn’t so impressive (.208/.255/.262), his Eastern League numbers while in the Red Sox organization were tremendous, and his overall 2011 reads:  .302/.361/.537 with 66 XBH (18 HR) in 499 trips to the plate.  Chiang likely starts 2012 in Tacoma, but he’ll be in the discussion for playing time in centerfield if The Big FraGu isn’t healthy.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (19) | 2010 (15) | 2009 (18) | 2008 (26) | 2007 (19) | 2006 (19)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [72-90] NL Central

AAA: [76-68] International League – Indianapolis

AA: [64-77] Eastern League – Altoona

A+: [74-63] Florida State League – Bradenton

A: [69-69] South Atlantic League – West Virginia

A(ss): [31-44] New York-Penn League – State College

The Run Down

With the first overall pick in the June draft, the Pirates selected Gerrit Cole and gave him $8 million upon signing.  Although I’m partial toward Trevor Bauer – Cole’s teammate at UCLA and third overall pick in June – Cole is probably a safer option, given his projectable frame and mechanics.  And while I doubt he’ll arrive before 2013, it’ll be fun to watch him destroy batters in Double-A (Cole was clocked at 102 MPH a month ago in the Arizona Fall League).  In addition to Cole, the Pirates’ system has quite a few high-ceiling arms:  James Taillon, Luis Heredia, and Stetson Allie all profile as frontline starters.  Unfortunately, though, they’re rather far from arriving in Pittsburgh.  Offensively, the Pirates’ system doesn’t have too much to be excited about for 2012.  Starling Marte has great potential and could yield some fantasy value, but I’m afraid we’re still a year or two away from him being viable option.  Josh Bell is probably Pittsburgh’s most promising offensive prospect, but the 19-year-old switch-hitting outfielder is a long ways off.  Until Cole arrives, there’s no one draft-worthy here.

Arizona Fall League Players – Mesa Solar Sox

Nathan Baker (LHP); Gerrit Cole (RHP); Mike Colla (RHP); Jeff Inman (RHP); Jarek Cunningham (2B); Brock Holt (2B)

Graduated Prospects

Alex Presley (OF); Josh Harrison (3B); Michael McKenry (C); Chase d’Arnaud (SS); Tony Watson (LHP); Chris Leroux (RHP); Daniel Moskos (LHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Starling Marte | OF:

Marte spent all of 2011 at Double-A Altoona, slashing .332/.370/.500 in 572 trips to the plate.  What’s exciting to note, here, is that he seems to be developing the kind power that he’ll need as an outfield regular in the big leagues:  after posting a .121 ISO in 2009, followed by .141 2010, he continued the upward trend with a .168 ISO mark in 2011.  Marte is a fabulous defensive outfielder with a strong arm and good speed.  It’s likely that we’ll see him up with the Pirates by midseason.

Jordy Mercer | SS:

With 51 XBH (including 19 homers) in 551 plate appearances in 2011 between AA and AAA, Mercer has definitely surfaced on the Pirates’ radar.  The fact that he can play comfortably at short, second and third should also make him an attractive option for the big club.  Based on that versatility, along with a capable (although, not spectacular) bat, I expect Mercer to contribute in 2012.

Pitchers

Jeff Locke | LHP – SP:

Locke earned a September call up, which resulted in four big-league starts for the lefty.  Being that those starts weren’t particularly impressive (0-3, 6.75 FIP), and also that he has only five starts at the Triple-A level, I expect to see Locke back with Indianapolis in 2012.  Mixing a high 80s fastball with a curveball and changeup, he relies on plus command and overwhelms no one.  He definitely needs more work in the minors, but should a spot open in the Pirates’ rotation, Locke might get the first look based on his big-league experience.

Kyle McPherson | RHP – SP:

McPherson had a bit of a breakout year in 2011, posting a 2.96 ERA in 28 starts between Altoona and Bradenton.  The 24-year-old righty shows nice command of a fastball that touches 95, and counters with a tricky changeup that often misses bats.  Profiling as a third or fourth starter, McPherson will open 2012 in the Indianapolis rotation, and could be up with Pittsburgh before long.

Bryan Morris | RHP – RP:

Morris made the transition from starter to reliever in 2011 and performed well in his new role.  He features a nice curveball to pair with a power sinker that touches 95.  Depending on what the Pirates need at the top level, Morris has a chance to be in a Pittsburgh uniform out of camp and could be competing for saves at some point, provided Hanrahan struggles.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Tony Sanchez | C:

The outlook on Sanchez isn’t quite as hopeful after his production slipped – both offensively and defensively – at AA in 2011.  However, it’s still safe to assume that the catcher will make it to Pittsburgh based simply on the merit of his defense.  While earlier projections saw Sanchez arriving in 2012, his struggles at Altoona have knocked him off that pace.  Don’t expect to see him behind the plate in the Majors until 2013.

Pitchers

Justin Wilson | LHP – SP/RP:

Wilson’s fastball, which consistently sits at 93-95, warrants excitement.  Lousy command, though, has tempered most expectations.  With quite a few promising arms competing for starts at the Triple-A level, I suspect Pittsburgh will move Wilson into more of a permanent relief role.  Improved command might elicit another look as a starter, but his quickest (and perhaps only) route to the big club is via relief.

Rudy Owens | LHP – SP:

After a tremendous 2010 in Double-A, Owens disappointed in 2012 at Indianapolis.  His 4.11 FIP in 2011 reflects slightly better than his 5.05 ERA, but these clearly are not numbers of a MLB-ready prospect.  If Owens cannot get back to his 2010 form, he’s looking at another full year in Triple-A.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (20) | 2010 (25) | 2009 (17) | 2008 (28) | 2007 (13) | 2006 (28)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [77-85] NL East

AAA: [61-82] International League – Buffalo

AA: [65-76] Eastern League – Binghampton

A+: [72-68] Florida State League – St. Lucie

A: [79-60] South Atlantic League – Savannah

A(ss): [49-29] New York Penn League – Brooklyn

R:  [39-29] Appalachian League – Kingsport

The Run Down

In their acquisition of Zach Wheeler from San Francisco in the Carlos Beltran trade, the Mets bolstered their farm system, tremendously.  Wheeler possesses multiple plus offerings to devastate AA hitters in 2012.  He’s probably a year or two away from the big leagues, though, so don’t bother queuing him in your standard league auctions.  The Mets do, however, have a couple pitchers worth noting for 2012 fantasy purposes (see Harvey & Familia).  And it might be interesting to keep an eye on Jenrry Mejia, who should be back from Tommy John surgery by June.  Their system also features a handful of hitting prospects (Havens, Flores, Lagares, Puello) who’ll make nice regulars in the near future.  I’m skeptical that any of them will arrive before September, though.

Arizona Fall League Players – Peoria Javelinas

Robert Carson (LHP); Collin McHugh (RHP); Erik Turgeon (RHP); Taylor Whitenton (RHP); Juan Centeno (C); Wilfredo Tovar (2B)

Graduated Prospects

Justin Turner (2B); Lucas Duda (1B); Fernando Martinez (OF); Dillon Gee (RHP); Pedro Beato (RHP); Ryota Igarashi (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Kirk Nieuwenhuis | OF:

Stephen noted Nieuwenhuis’s struggles at AAA in his 2010 Mets Review.  But before labrum surgery ended his 2011, the outfield prospect was doing a fine job of quelling any skepticism regarding those 2010 numbers.  In 221 plate appearances with Buffalo in 2011, Nieuwenhuis slashed .298/.403/.505 in 221 trips to the plate, including 25 XBH.  His K% (26.7%) is still concerning, but his BB% was much improved, and along with it, his OBP and SB.  We’ll see how long it takes him to get back on track following surgery.  I do anticipate Nieuwenhuis to arrive at some point in 2012, though.

Pitchers

Matt Harvey | RHP – SP:

In his first year of pro ball, Harvey totaled 156 K’s in 136 IP between High A and AA.  He’ll begin 2012 in AAA.  With a high 90s fastball and a filthy slider, he projects as a frontline guy.  Harvey could certainly get a shot if the Mets’ rotation isn’t healthy.

Jeurys Familia | RHP – SP:

After a shaky 2010, Familia corrected himself in 2011.  He’ll be pitching in the Buffalo rotation to begin 2012, but if he can command his impressive fastball against AAA hitting, I suspect we’ll see Familia up with the Mets before long. Whether that will be as a starting pitcher or as a late-innings reliever remains a mystery.  I’m thinking the latter is more likely.

Chris Schwinden | RHP – SP:

Until he incorporated a cutter into his repertoire in 2010, Schwinden was a rather boring pitching prospect.  If you ask me, he’s still pretty boring, but that doesn’t change the fact that he earned four starts with the big club in 2011, and given that experience, he’ll be back up if needed in 2012.  Mixing four pitches (FB, CT, CB & CH) with decent command, Schwinden, I suppose, could be worth a look as a spot-starter or as a two-start plugin in weekly formats.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Reese Havens | 2B:

The 2008 first round pick is yet to play a full season.  Injuries have been tough on Havens.  A protruding rib caused him to miss almost all of 2010, and a back issue kept him out for extended stretches in 2011.  When healthy, though, Havens has always hit, and his career AA line (.301/.379/.505 in 317 PA) provides a glimpse at his potential.  The Mets are surely guarding their expectations until they’ve seen he can play a full season.  But provided he can stay healthy, Havens seems to be New York’s best long-term option at 2B.  I’m thinking a 2013 arrival is most likely, here.

Wilmer Flores | 3B/SS:

In a full season at High A, Flores posted a .689 OPS.  Unimpressive, I know.  Scouts love the kid, though, and at 20 years old he’ll be one of the youngest AA players in 2012.  Flores profiles at 3^rd better than he does at short, and he should make that transition this coming season.  A nice year with Binghamton could warrant a September call up, but don’t expect to see much of Flores in the big leagues until 2013 or 2014.

Juan Lagares | OF:

An impressive 2011 earned Lagares a spot on the Mets’ 40-man.  Between High A and AA he slashed .349/.383/.500, including 44 XBH and 15 SB in 505 PA.  A long, athletic frame should allow Lagares to develop more pop.  Like Flores, he’s young and he might still be a year or two away, but I fully expect Lagares to be a regular corner outfielder at the big league level.

Cesar Puello | OF:

Here’s yet another extremely talented and extremely young Latin hitting prospect.  Perhaps the brightest in the group, Puello should be joining both Flores and Lagares in Binghamton to begin 2012.  With good range and a strong, accurate arm, he profiles in right.  And with 20-homer-a-year power potential, it’s no wonder that Puello’s been tabbed as the Mets’ right fielder of the future.  2012 should be a good indicator as to how far off that future might be.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (21) | 2010 (8) | 2009 (9) | 2008 (14) | 2007 (17) | 2006 (12)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [69-93] AL East

AAA: [56-87] International League – Norfolk

AA: [75-66] Eastern League – Bowie

A+: [80-59] Carolina League – Frederick

A: [55-85] South Atlantic League – Delmarva

A(ss): [24-51] New York-Penn League – Aberdeen

The Run Down

With guys in their system like Manny Machado, Jonathan Schoop and Dylan Bundy, Baltimore is not without exciting prospects.  Unfortunately, though, the aforementioned are a bit too far from their MLB debuts to garner fantasy consideration for 2012.  That leaves us with a bunch of fringe-types to discuss.  Sure, a few of these names will blossom into regular roles, but I find it unlikely that any of them will reach significant fantasy value.

Arizona Fall League Players – Mesa Solar Sox

Steve Johnson (RHP); Casey Lambert (LHP); Cole McCurry (LHP); Brian Ward (C); Joe Mahoney (1B); Xavier Avery (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Zach Britton (LHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Ryan Adams | 2B:

Adams should see plenty of playing time in 2012 and could end up being Baltimore’s regular at second.  He has a solid approach to hitting, with quick hands and above average power potential at 2B.  Adams isn’t among the most exciting prospects for 2012, but assuming he earns a starting role, he’ll be someone to consider for deep leagues and AL-Only.

Matt Angle | OF:

Angle is likely the Orioles’ fourth outfielder on opening day.  Thanks to his glove, he’ll get an occasional start and see the field often in 2012 as a defensive replacement. Stealing 11 bags in just 95 PA with the O’s in 2011, it’s clear that Angle can run.  Unfortunately, though, he has no power.  Zero.  And that will ultimately render him a 4^th outfielder.

Joe Mahoney | 1B:

At 6’6” 240 lbs, Mahoney is a big dude.  He battled injuries in 2011, but while healthy he slashed .294/.354/.508 between High A and AA.  Included in his 2011 line are 42 XBH in 367 trips to the plate.  As his frame suggests, Mahoney has power that profiles appropriately at first base.  He needs to cut down on the K’s, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see him up with the O’s at some point in 2012.

Pitchers

Tsuyoshi Wada | LHP – SP:

The O’s inked Wada yesterday to a two-year deal worth $8.15 million, and it looks as though he’ll immediately fit into their rotation.  Forgive my lack of enthusiasm over this 30-year-old, soft-throwing prospect.  His JPPL stats are impressive, but not necessarily indicative of what Wada will do in Major League Baseball.  He’ll need to show supreme command in order to overcome a sluggish fastball (85-87).  Expect his K’s to drop considerably (career 8.3 K/9).  Wada’s ceiling is probably somewhere around Bruce Chen.

Robert Bundy | RHP – SP:

His younger brother, Dylan, is widely considered Baltimore’s top pitching prospect, but Bobby should arrive a bit sooner.  He profiles as an innings eater at the back of the rotation, and could be an attractive option in 2012, given the inconsistency of 2011 O’s rotation.  Bundy is still a long shot to make the big club next year.

Oliver Drake | RHP – SP/RP:

Drake will likely end up in Baltimore’s bullpen, but his size (6’4” 210 lbs) and durability (162+ IP in 2011) could render him as that workhorse, backend starter that could help stabilize this Orioles rotation.  There’s nothing too flashy about him, but should Drake work his way into a starting role, he’ll be worth monitoring.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Kyle Hudson | OF:

Hudson played at four levels in 2011, beginning with High A and finishing with Baltimore.  He was able to rise quickly thanks to a sound understanding of the strikezone and outstanding athleticism.  Hudson was a wide receiver and kick returner for the University of Illinois before taking his talents to pro baseball in 2008.  He’s a similar type outfield prospect to Angle, though, and behind him in terms of development.  Don’t expect much from Hudson in 2012.

L.J. Hoes | OF/2B:

A tremendous contact hitter, Hoes should eventually find himself in the big leagues.  He’s another guy with nice on base skills but almost zero power (.107 ISO at AA in 2011).  His bat profiles much better at 2B than in the outfield.  Unfortunately for Hoes, though, after promotion to AA he only saw six games at second, opposed to 78 in the outfield.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (23) | 2010 (28) | 2009 (26) | 2008 (20) | 2007 (3) | 2006 (1) | 2005 (13) | 2004 (13)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [94-68] NL West

AAA: [77-67] Pacific Coast League – Reno

AA: [84-54] Southern League – Mobile

A+: [63-77] California League – Visalia

A: [67-72] Midwest League – South Bend

A(ss): [33-43] Northwest League – Yakima

R:  [41-35] Pioneer League – Missoula

The Run Down

Jerry Dipoto’s recent success as Arizona’s GM is well noted by now, as is his new gig with the LA Angels.  Dipoto leaves the Diamondbacks farm system flush with promising pitching talent.  The system that already featured frontline arms like Jarrod Parker and Tyler Skaggs bolstered their starting pitching even further by nabbing both Trevor Bauer and Archie Bradley in the first round of June’s draft.  Bradley is a couple years away from the majors, but Bauer is ready to make an impact in 2012, and should be on your mind come draft day.  The Arizona hitting prospects aren’t nearly as exciting.  Matt Davidson is a quality third base prospect, but he needs more time to develop and likely won’t see any time with the big club for a year or two.  Beyond him, the D-Backs feature a handful of okay-ish outfielders.  I’ll be surprised if any Arizona hitting prospect is fantasy-relevant in 2012.

Arizona Fall League Players – Salt River Rafters

Charles Brewer (RHP); Kevin Munson (RHP); Eric Smith (RHP); Bryan Woodall (RHP); David Nick (2B); Ryan Wheeler (3B); Adam Eaton (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Juan Miranda (1B); Paul Goldschmidt (1B); Josh Collmenter (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

A.J. Pollock | OF:

After losing 2010 to elbow surgery, Pollock had a strong 2011 at Mobile, slashing .309/.359/.445.  He’s not your prototype outfield prospect, but he’s an outstanding contact hitter who reaches gaps regularly and he’s a heady baserunner (36 SB without impressive speed, mind you).  Scouts love his intangible baseball qualities.  Pollock will get to the big leagues based on that merit, and he might even stick as a third or fourth outfielder.

Collin Cowgill | OF:

Here’s another “intangible qualities” guy.  Cowgill has a head start on Pollock, though, compiling 100 Major League PAs in 2011.  At AAA in 2011, he slashed .354/.430/.554 with 30 SB and 45 XBH in 456 trips to the plate.  Like Pollock, Cowgill projects as a fourth outfielder.  But given the right situation, he could see regular playing time.

Pitchers

Trevor Bauer | RHP – SP:

Stephen ranks Bauer at number 26 in his Top 50 Prospects for 2012, noting some mechanical and college workload concerns.  Those concerns are warranted, given his frame and his unorthodox delivery.  But with an approach rooted deeply in biomechanics, it might not take long for the young righty to squash those worries, ala Tim Lincecum.  Bauer profiles as a top-of-the-rotation starter with an upper 90s fastball and a devastating curve.  The third overall selection in June’s draft should earn a spot in the D-Backs’ rotation out of spring training.

Tyler Skaggs | LHP – SP:

Skaggs should begin 2012 at Reno, which is quite an accomplishment for a 20-year-old.  His fastball is still adding velocity, and his curveball is a definite plus pitch.  There are some concerns regarding dropping his arm slot on off speed pitches, though.  It’ll be interesting to see if that becomes a problem for Skaggs in AAA.  He could be with the Diamondbacks for the second half, if things go nicely.

Jarrod Parker | RHP – SP:

After missing 2010 to Tommy John surgery, Parker threw 131 innings with Mobile in 2011, plus one start with the big club.  With a plus slider and a plus change to compliment a fastball that touches 100, I’m surprised that Parker’s 2011 K% (20.4%) wasn’t more impressive.  Solid mechanics and ace-type stuff should help Parker get back on track and earn a starting role in 2012.

Wade Miley | RHP – SP:

After starting seven games for Arizona in 2011, it seems likely that Miley will make his way into the bullpen for 2012.  As a starter, he profiles at the back of the rotation, but with the D-Backs’ surplus of frontline arms, plan on seeing Miley in middle relief.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Adam Eaton | OF:

Eaton ranks behind both Pollock and Cowgill on the organizational depth chart, but he’s likely the best hitter in the bunch.  His on-base skills are fantastic (.456 career OBP) and he has ample speed.  For now, the major knock on Eaton is his size (5-9, 180).  It might not happen in 2012, but I have a hunch that he’ll emerge as the best of the Diamondbacks’ mediocre outfield prospects.

Pitchers

Pat Corbin | LHP – SP:

Corbin is a similar lefty to the aforementioned Tyler Skaggs.  He’s lanky, athletic, still adding velocity to his fastball, and he should be pitching alongside Skaggs at AAA in 2012.  Corbin falls short of Skaggs in that his secondary pitches are not as far along.