Marcus Stroman | RHP, Duke

Gifted pitchers tend to arrive in the majors a bit more quickly than the hitters.  2011 first-rounders like Trevor Bauer and Danny Hultzen are already on the cusp of breaking through in the bigs, and they’ll be making impacts in fantasy ball this year.  Marcus Stroman, a starting pitcher out of Duke, could find himself in a similar position a year from now.  At 5-9, 180, Stroman isn’t your prototype pitching prospect, but he’s strong and athletic and can bring it at 98 with his fastball.  He counters with a plus changeup and a filthy slider, giving him a three-pitch repertoire that’s not far from big league-ready.  His ceiling as a starter is that of a #2, but many think he’d make an outstanding high-leverage reliever.  Either way, Stroman will go in the first round and he’s well suited to climb the ladder quickly.

Richie Shaffer | 3B, Clemson

It’s extremely rare that a college hitter would be ready for for MLB action within a year of being drafted, so you need a more patient outlook when considering the position players.  Richie Shaffer is likely no exception, but he’s advanced enough to put on your fantasy radar.  Out of Clemson, Shaffer is a slugging 3B and he’s put up some impressive figures this year in collegiate play:  .344/.470/.590.  At 6-4, 195, Shaffer figures to fill out nicely and many project him as a 1B in the bigs.  There is serious power potential here.  Shaffer could put up 30+ homers annually in the majors, but he’ll need a couple years of seasoning in the minors first.  Look for for him to go mid-late first round.

Kyle Zimmer | RHP, San Fransico

Standing 6-4, 220, Zimmer is a more typical power pitching prospect than Stroman, but in terms of development, he’s not likely to move as quickly.  With a mid-90′s fastball that touches 99 to go along with a steeply breaking curve, Zimmer features a couple of outstanding offerings.  But his third pitch, a change, is more of a work-in-progress.  Scouts see that pitch developing into a plus weapon, but it’s clear that the repertoire as a whole is in need some refining before it’s ready to face MLB hitters.  As a fantasy-minded fan, I’d love to see Zimmer sign early and get some pro experience this year.  I suppose I’d love to see all the highly touted prospects sign early and start playing, but Zimmer in particular.  Should he get some time at A-ball under his belt in 2012, he’d be on pace to reach Double-A in 2013, and for arrival early 2014.

Matt Adams | 1B, Cardinals – There was plenty of buzz around Adams during Spring Training as the 23-year-old slugger was murdering the ball in big league camp.  Despite the impressive audition, St. Louis sent him to Triple-A Memphis where he’s hit .338/.373/.597 with 9 HR through his first 150 plate appearances.  After Lance Berkman’s injury on Saturday night, however, Adams is on his way to Los Angeles in time to join the Cardinals for their Sunday contest versus the Dodgers.  With an advanced approach, solid on base skills, and plus power, Adams has a chance to do damage in the bigs right away.  He’s worth an add in most formats.

Danny Hultzen | LHP, Mariners – After a rough debut, Hultzen has settled in and is now cruising through the Southern League.  After eight Double-A appearances, his ERA sits at 1.81 and his WHIP at 0.99.  No one thought he’d need much time in the minors and he appears to be validating that sentiment.

Anthony Rizzo | 1B, Cubs – He’s up to 14 homers and his OPS sits at 1.122.  Maybe the Ricketts would like to see him defame Obama before they feel comfortable with the call up.  Did things just get uncomfortably political here at Razzball?  Grey Albright for prez!

Zach Wheeler | RHP, Mets – Through 37.2 IP at Double-A, Wheeler’s posted a 2.15 ERA while whiffing 45.  The feature piece in the Carlos Beltran swap last summer, Wheeler has been excellent during his first stint at Double-A.

Noah Syndergaard | RHP, Blue Jays – Syndergaard has been destroying Midwest League hitters, striking out 38 batters through his first 28.2 IP.  I expect a breakout campaign from this wonderfully athletic 19-year-old as he pushes toward High Class A.

Nick Tepesch | RHP, Rangers – Combined with teammate Jimmy Reyes to no-hit the Wilmington Blue Rocks in Carolina League play on Saturday.  Tepesch was impressive, sitting at 92-95 with his fastball, but he still has a ways to go before he’s taken seriously as a prospect.

Wil Myers / Jake Odorizzi | Royals - I wrote about both these dudes last week, as the two were blazing hot at Double-A.  Well, the pair was bumped up to Triple-A Omaha this week and the countdown to their respective arrivals has begun.

Trevor Bauer | RHP, D’backs - Bauer, too, was promoted to Triple-A this past week.  His first Pacific Coast League start looked like this:  8 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 11 K, and most importantly, just one walk.  Bauer surrendered a solo bomb, but he seems to have sorted out the control issue, which was really the only thing holding him back from a gig in the majors.  Expect his arrival in Arizona any week now.

Tyler Greene was the 30th overall selection in the 2005 draft.  It was the Cardinals second pick that year; they took Colby Rasmus two spots earlier.  At this point, both players appear to be busts, really.  I suppose St. Louis fans can take solace knowing that the Cards flipped Rasmus for important pieces in their World Series run.  But there’s little consolation on Greene’s side of things.  He’s awful, and it’s clear that he’s not a long term option as an everyday 2B.  There is hope for St. Louis, however.  Kolten Wong is officially the Cardinals’ 2B of the future.  He took that right after being drafted 22nd overall a year ago, and his performance in the minors has only solidified his position as such.

Out of the University of Hawaii, Wong made his pro debut at Low-A Quad Cities where he batted .355/.401/.510 over 222 PA.  Most had him pegged for High-A to open 2012, but the Cardinals chose to move him along more aggressively, sending him to Double-A Springfield out of camp.  The 21-year-old has responded by hitting .305/.381/.441 through his first 32 games in the Texas League.  At 5-9, 190, Wong is small, but he can handle the bat and he can provide some pop too.  His advanced approach to hitting has allowed for an easy transition to Double-A and it will surely shorten his path to the bigs.  I expect an arrival sometime early in 2013, but if Wong continues to get on base while increasing his XBH production, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him at Busch Stadium this September.  Once he’s settled in the majors, look for Wong to post a .300+ average along with 15 homers and double-digit steals.  He’s my favorite 2B prospect in the minors and he’ll be valuable in all fantasy formats.

Robbie Erlin | LHP, Padres | Born:  10/8/1989

In my 2011 Padres Review, I noted that for fantasy purposes Joe Wieland and Robbie Erlin were essentially the same dude.  Wieland had a bit more polish, and that earned him some starts earlier this year in the San Diego rotation, but now he’s on the DL and the Padres are starting 37-year-old Jeff Suppan.  Sure, Suppan’s been serviceable through his first few starts, but it won’t last and neither will he.  And if Wieland doesn’t rebound quickly from his elbow ailment, the Padres could certainly look to Erlin for help.

Procured in the Mike Adams swap last year, Erlin has been at Double-A San Antonio ever since.  Through his first 34 IP in 2012, he’s struck out 45 and earned a 2.67 ERA.  The only thing holding him back for now is command.  His BB/9 sits at 2.7 on the year, as opposed to the 1.0 BB/9 mark he posted over 147 innings of work in 2011.  He’s always been a plus command guy, which is why the slip in that regard is so perplexing.  This early in the season, I like to blame the sample and assume that Erlin will sort out the issue.  Once he does, he’ll have a fairly clear path to Petco.  Erlin should put up nice ERA and WHIP in the bigs, and his changeup could draw plenty of K’s too.   Of course, any pitcher throwing at Petco is worth fantasy consideration.  Erlin will certainly be no exception.

Christian Yelich | OF, Marlins – I covered Yelich a couple weeks back in a Scouting the Unknown post.  He began 2012 a little late due to an elbow injury, but he’s really gotten going recently.  In 111 PA, he’s up to five homers to go along with an OPS over .900 at High-A.  There is enormous power potential for Yelich.  It’ll be fun to see what he can do at Double-A later on this season.

Jurickson Profar | SS, Rangers – Profar has now hit safely in 21 straight games.  And by “now” I mean Saturday afternoon, in case he effs it up tonight.  The 19-year-old phenom is having little trouble adjusting to Double-A as he’s batting .273/.329/.492 after his first month in the Texas League.  I only expect those figures to rise as he gets more comfortable.

Jake Odorizzi | RHP, Royals -  In my 2011 Royals review, I noted that Odorizzi needed some more time at Double-A to refine his secondary stuff.  Well, after posting a 3.32 ERA and an 0.97 WHIP while whiffing 47 through 38 IP, it doesn’t seem much more time will be necessary.  He’ll be joining Mike Montgomery in Omaha before long, and given Monty’s early struggles, it’s fair to speculate that Odorizzi will arrive in KC first.

Wil Myers | OF, Royals – After a frustrating 2011, Myers has officially re-emerged as an elite hitting prospect.  He’s hitting .339/.413./.712 at Double-A.  He’ll be at Omaha by midseason.

Dellin Betances | RHP, Yankees – In last Sunday’s post I wrote about how awful Betances had been.  Then on Wednesday Betances pitched eight innings of two-hit baseball.  He walked just two batters and allowed only one run.  We’ll see if he can build from that positive outing and get himself back on track with Triple-A Empire State.

Jameson Taillon | RHP, Pirates – Taillon has posted a 36/7 K/BB through his first 36 IP at High-A Bradenton.  He’s developing alongside 2011 No. 1 overall pick Gerrit Cole, and he’s outshining him so far.  Taillon is the younger of the two and he’s shown outstanding command in the early going, helping him to a 1.47 ERA.

Cory Spangenberg | 2B, Padres – After a dreadful start at High-A, Spangenberg has finally started to catch his stride in the California League, now hitting .303/.338/.401.  He’s baseball’s second best prospect at 2B behind Kotlen Wong of the Cardinals, and he’s definitely someone to keep an eye on for fantasy purposes.

Miguel Sano | SS, Twins – The 18-year-old hit his 10th homer for Low-A Beloit earlier this week.  It was a game-winner and his admiration for the bomb nearly incited a Midwest League brawl.  Here’s the story on that.

Matt Barnes | RHP, Red Sox - It was clear after his first Low-A start that Barnes was too advanced for the South Atlantic League.  Well, Boston promoted him to High-A Salem not too long ago and the results are still impressive:  20 whiffs and one walk through his first 12 IP.  He could be on the fast track if this keeps up.

The Double-A Jackson Generals have quite an impressive rotation.  With Danny Hultzen and James Paxton alone, it’d be among the best rotations in Minor League Baseball.  Toss in Taijuan Walker, however, and now we’re looking at a truly special Double-A collection of arms, the likes of which doesn’t come around very often.

Both Hultzen and Paxton qualify as top-level pitching prospects, but Walker is the trump card in this group.  He’s the prized piece of the Seattle farm system.  The M’s chose to skip Walker past High-A and promoted him directly to Jackson this spring.  It was a bold move, considering he’s only 19-years-old and struggled with command at times at Low-A in 2011.  But Walker has been brilliant thus far in the Southern League, especially in regard to command.  Scouts have noticed a more consistent arm slot in 2012, which has rendered his mid-90′s fastball, his plus-plus curve, and his filthy changeup virtually indistinguishable upon release.  The result is a 2.6 BB/9, down from 3.6 a year ago.  The improved walk rate comes with a 1.30 ERA and a 9.1 K/9 through his first five appearances.  With ace-like stuff, improving command, tremendous athleticism, and advanced mental makeup, Taijuan Walker appears to be a sure-fire fantasy ace.  Throw Safeco Field into the mix, and the ceiling is sky-high.  Do keep in mind that he’s just 19, though.  There’s plenty of time for things to unravel.

Yasmani Grandal | C, San Diego | Born:  11/8/1988

With Jesus Montero and Devin Mesoraco graduating their prospect status here shortly, Yasmani Grandal joins Travis D’Arnaud and Gary Sanchez as the catchers of note in Minor League Baseball.  Funny to think he was buried behind Mesoraco in the Reds’ system just six months ago.  Now he’s off to a solid start in the San Diego minors, hitting .317/.453/.512 at Triple-A.  Grandal, a switch-hitter, projects to hit for a .290+ AVG and bring decent pop for a catcher.  His bat is, by all means, above average with regard to his position, and that’ll make him a hot fantasy asset when he arrives.

If there is a concern here, it’s on the defensive side of things.  Grandal allowed 19 passed balls last year, and while his bat may be big league-ready, his glove is far from it.  The Padres feature a young rotation at the Major League level (Suppan excluded) and it’d seem less than prudent to allow an inexperienced (and arguably inept) receiver to handle their staff.  San Diego has shown no signs of shifting Grandal in the field, however.  They’re intent on bringing him up as a catcher and they’re confident that he’ll suffice defensively.  In 10 games behind the dish this year, though, Grandal has thrown out one of four attempted thefts while already allowing four passed balls.  The sample certainly isn’t significant, but even so, he’ll need to show improvement if he expects to arrive in San Diego this year.  His bat is ready and fantasy owners are eager to see his name hit waivers.  Alas, we’re at the mercy of the Padres, and they could not care less that Arencibia is killing your team.

Travis D’Arnaud | C, Blue Jays – The Blue Jays’ top prospect has effectively turned things around after an extremely slow start.  He’s riding a 13-game hitting streak at Triple-A, which has brought his AVG up to .279.  A late season arrival still seems in order for D’Arnaud.

Oscar Taveras| OF, Cardinals – I covered Taveras a couple weeks ago in my first Scouting the Unknown of the season.  The 19-year-old has done nothing but mash since then, and he’s now hitting .324/.365/.648 with 7 HR through his first 27 games at Double-A Springfield.

Nick Castellanos| 3B, Tigers – Castellanos leads the minors in AVG at .423 through his first 116 PA.  The future Detroit 3B is having no trouble with High-A pitching and it’ll be interesting to see if the Tigers choose to promote the teenager to Double-A if his impressive start continues.

Alex Castellanos | OF, Dodgers – It’s important to note that a dude by the name Castellanos currently leads every major hitting ratio category in MiLB.  While Nick has AVG covered, Alex leads in OBP and SLG, with a Triple-A line that looks like .366/.477/.746.  LA acquired Castellanos from St. Louis as a PTBNL in the Rafael Furcal swap and they must be pleased so far.

Miguel Sano | 3B, Twins – The Twins top prospect is adjusting nicely to full-season baseball.  Through his first 28 games with Low-A Beloit, Sano has hit .310/.439/.660 along with 8 homers.

Andrew Chafin | LHP, D’Backs – While Trevor Bauer and Tyler Skaggs capture most of the D’Backs prospect chatter, both have been outperformed by Chafin.  He’s perhaps a bit behind developmentally, but Chafin has looked sharp at High-A, posting a 3.03 ERA while whiffing 46 through 32.2 IP.

Dellin Betances | RHP, Yankees – You’ll remember that the Yankees used Betances late last season and had many wondering in the off-season if they’d pitch him at the major league level again in 2012.  Well, they haven’t yet, and barring a major turnaround, it doesn’t look as if they will.  Betances has posted a 6.35 ERA along with a 1.94 WHIP and an ugly .78 K/BB through his first six starts at Triple-A.

Tim Beckham | SS, Rays - The former No. 1 overall pick put up his best numbers as a pro in 2011, and had many wondering if he’d finally tapped into his vast potential.  Seems like a futile pondering now, as Beckham has been suspended by Minor League Baseball for 50 games – the result of a second violation of the MiLB drug policy.  Details of the violation aren’t exactly clear, but it looks as if the drugs in Beckham’s case are of the recreational variety.

The Rangers are flush with high ceiling prospects.  At every level you’ll find top-round draftees and highly touted Latin ballplayers, all of whom signed for big money.  Perhaps the most glaring example of this impressive collection of youthful talent lies with Double-A Frisco, and more specifically, with the left side of the Roughriders’ infield.  Frisco SS Jurickson Profar currently occupies the No. 1 spot in my Top 25 Fantasy Baseball Prospects for 2013 & Beyond, and deservedly dominates the Texas prospects chatter.  Mike Olt, however – Profar’s neighbor as a third baseman for Frisco – is No. 19 on that list I just referenced, and he deserves his fair share of praise too.

Patience and power are Olt’s undeniable tools.  He brings a savvy approach to the plate, waiting for his pitch, and when he gets that pitch he can drive it anywhere.  His 28 homers across three levels in 2011 are exemplary of plus-plus power potential, and he’s already blasted six through 23 Double-A games in 2012.  That power is a product of a big swing, though, and that big swing tends to whiff.  Olt’s impressive .381 career OBP is offset by a plump whiff rate and a career batting average which sits at .274.  Scouts doubt he’ll ever be able to rid himself of the poor average, but 35 HR potential still makes him extremely viable as a future fantasy 3B stud.  The major problem here is that Adrien Beltre is sufficiently blocking Olt’s arrival.  There’s been some discussion about shifting him to 1B or OF, but he’s a plus defender at the hot corner, and so far in 2012 he’s only appeared at first base once.  Texas’ reluctance to move him in the field has many speculating that Olt will be used as trade bait, which certainly seems plausible.  And given a different environment, Olt could be primed for his big league arrival late this season.

Tyler Thornburg | RHP, Brewers | Born:  9/29/1988

I’m perpetually fascinated by the tiny pitcher who throws 98.  There’s something about 5-11 dude on the mound who brings it like he’s 6-4 that captures my attention.  It’s why I’m rooting for Tim Lincecum to get back on track, it’s why I’m anxiously awaiting Trevor Bauer’s arrival with Arizona, and it’s why I’m drawn to Milwaukee pitching prospect, Tyler Thornburg.  At 5-11, 185, the 21-year-old Thornburg relies on an unorthodox delivery to generate velocity in the mid-to-upper-90′s.  He counters the heat with tricky plus changeup and a slurvy curve.  The arsenal has helped him rack up some pretty impressive numbers to this point in his pro career.  Through 2010 and 2011, Thornburg posted 198 K’s in 160 IP across rookie ball, Low-A and High-A.  His 2.48 ERA and 1.11 WHIP during the same window ain’t bad, either.  Skeptics consider him too slight to carry a full workload in the bigs.  Some think his arm will end up in the ‘pen.  But Thornburg is back at it in 2012, striking out 33 through 28 IP, while posting a 1.91 ERA at Double-A.  Perhaps it’s time to start considering the possibility that these numbers are no low-minors fluke.  Being that Milwaukee is riding with an iffy back-end to their rotation, it’s not out of the question that Thornburg could be used later on this year.  It’s rather unlikely, though.  But do expect to see him pitching in the bigs at some point in 2013.

Mike Trout | OF, Angels – Trout, too, was called up from Triple-A and he’s in left field and leading off for the Angels on Saturday.  Given his hot start in the PCL, it seems Trout is a safer bet than Harper to produce immediately.  He’ll be in the lineup everyday going forward, so pick him up if he’s somehow still available in your league. 

Wil Myers | OF, Royals - After struggling in Double-A last season, Myers is off to a blazing start at the same level in 2012.  He’s already blasted six homers and knocked in 14, stealing three bags in the process.

Leonys Martin | OF, Rangers – Back in February, I voiced my uncertainty regarding Martin, claiming I hadn’t seen enough from his bat to endorse him as a quality fantasy option.  Well, he’s finally shown me something, as he’s already hit three homers while slashing .329/.409/.524 through 94 PA’s at Triple-A.  That’s quite the turnaround when you consider his production at the same level last season:  .263/.316/.314, 0 HR in 192 PA’s.  Martin could be occupying center for the Rangers for the second half if his hot start persists.

Will Middlebrooks | 3B, Red Sox – Middlebrooks has a .416 ISO through his first 20 games at Triple-A, which is ridiculous.  It’ll be easy for Boston to pass on Youkilis’s option at season’s end if their 3B of the future keeps up these unreal numbers.

Dylan Bundy | RHP, Orioles - Here’s another dude with unreal numbers.  Through four games and 13 IP, Bundy has stuck out 21 batters.  The 19-year-old is yet to allow a hit in his pro career, while walking only one.

Jonathan Singleton | 1B, Astros – With 12 XBH through his first 79 trips to the plate in the Double-A Texas League, Singleton is making a push to reach Houston this year.  Those who thought his 2011 line was inflated by the hitter-friendly Cali League are surely starting to be swayed.

Trevor May | RHP, Phillies - After posting a 12.10 K/9 in 2011 at High-A, May is back to his filthy self in 2012, this time at Double-A, where he’s already struck out 26 batters in 23 IP.  Once he’s able to hone his command, May shouldn’t need too much more time in the minors.

Brad Peacock | RHP, Athletics – I highlighted Peacock’s hot start in last week’s Minor Accomplishments.  He followed up my endorsement with a Monday start that looked like this:  4.1 IP, 10 H, 7 ER.  That’ll be the last time I say anything nice about that jerk.

As I’m writing this, Matt Barnes is on the bump for Low-A Greenville versus Delmarva, the Orioles South Atlantic League affiliate.  Delmarva is starting Dylan Bundy.  It’s a matchup of 2011 first-rounders and one could not handpick a better pitchers duel from SAL rosters.  Now, Bundy is the more highly touted prospect of the two, and I’m not disputing that.  But while Bundy already registers on fantasy radars, it’s about time we note Matt Barnes.

The 19th overall pick out of UConn, Barnes shouldn’t need significant time in the minors.  The Red Sox have started him a level (or two) below his skillset in order to work on some technical aspects and also with the intent to ease their $1.5 million investment into pro baseball – Barnes held out until the signing deadline and missed his chance at a 2011 pro debut.  Already, though, Barnes has Boston pondering a promotion as he’s posted a 0.00 ERA and a 14.06 K/9 through 19 innings of work (that doesn’t include the 9 K’s he’s posted through four innings of scoreless baseball this evening, in case you’re wondering).  At a lanky 6-4, 205, Barnes generates effortless velocity and he’s able to command his fastball into the mid-90′s.  No wonder Low-A hitting can’t touch him.  He also features a sharp curve, which he’s refining during his time in the low minors.  The development of that offering will prove crucial to his ability to climb the ladder quickly.  It won’t surprise me if Barnes finishes 2012 in Double-A, and should his dominance continue as he pushes through the next couple levels, it’s not unfathomable to think he could reach Fenway this September.  Realistically, though, look for Barnes to join the Boston rotation for the second half of 2013.

Christian Yelich | OF, Marlins | Born:  12/5/1991

We go from a South Atlantic Leauge noob to an SAL grad.  Miami has moved Christian Yelich up to High-A Jupiter to open 2012 after he tore apart the SAL in 2011.  And following a brief hiatus due to an elbow ailment, Yelich has responded to the promotion by hitting .429/.543/.857 during the early going in the Florida State League.  Regarded as one of the best minor league bats in baseball, he’s the prized piece of the Miami farm system and he’s already been tabbed as their future No. 3 hitter.  His uncanny feel for hitting separates him from the hoards of 19 and 20-year-old prospects in A-ball – there simply aren’t many hitters at that level who display such an advanced approach at the plate.  A selective hitter, Yelich knows what pitches he can drive and knows what to leave be.  He hit 15 homers in his first full season as a pro and he’s already blasted two this year.  Only expect his power production to increase as his 6-4, 189 frame fills out.

The drawback here is defense.  A weak arm and so-so speed will ultimately render Yelich a left fielder.  Good thing fantasy baseball doesn’t count defense.  Miami, though, isn’t in a rush to have Yelich in their lineup and they’ll likely take a patient approach with their top prospect.  He should reach Double-A by year’s end, putting his ETA somewhere in the late 2013 to early 2014 timetable.  When he does arrive, think young Matt Holliday from the left side, and expect him to be productive early on in his big league career.

Danny Hultzen | SP, Mariners – After a rough debut, Hultzen has bounced back with two nice starts, bringing his season marks to 2.81 ERA and 11.81 K/9 at Double-A.  I touched on James Paxton’s hot start in last week’s post, and it should be noted that Taijuan Walker is off to a great start at Double-A, too.  Hutlzen’s progress, though, is emblematic of the polished approach that had many thinking he’d land a rotation spot in the bigs out of spring training.  Back on the right track, Hultzen still figures to reach Seattle first among their big three pitching prospects.

Matt Barnes | SP, Red Sox – Through 11 IP at Low-A Greenville, Barnes has allowed just four baserunners while posting a 0.00 ERA along with 16 K’s.  I suppose the 21-year-old is ready for High-A.  Expect to see him there soon.

Evan Gattis | C, Braves – His line through 62 PA:  .431/.500/.863, 6 HR, 21 RBI.  I suspect his .400 BABIP is more a product of a guy who’s absolutely murdering the ball, rather than a guy who’s getting lucky.  The drawback with Gattis is his age.  At 25-years-old he’s a little old to be farting around in A-ball, but the circumstances around his arrival in pro baseball are less than ordinary – he spent some time in rehab prior to being drafted… yada, yada, yada…  now his OPS is 1.363.  I imagine the Braves will move him along at an aggressive pace going forward.

Will Middlebrooks | 3B, Red Sox – Middlebrooks is killing it at Triple-A, hitting .377/.406/.721 with 6 homers through 64 trips to the plate.  Red Sox fans and fantasy owners can look forward to his full-time arrival in 2013.  For now, it’ll be fun to see if he can keep up the impressive power production in the International League.

Nolan Arenado | 3B, Rockies - With Anthony Rendon shelved due to a fractured ankle, Arenado emerges as the undisputed premiere 3B prospect in baseball. The 21-year-old is hitting .353/.450/.529 through 60 trips to the plate at Double-A Tulsa.  I think the Rockies would like to see a bit more from him in the XBH department, but there’s truly no one blocking Arenado from taking over at third in Colorado before this year is through.

Brad Peacock | SP, Athletics – Prior to March, most thought it’d be Peacock occupying a role in the A’s rotation out of camp rather than Tommy Milone, who’s been pitching rather effectively for Oakland so far.  Peacock, though, has been impressive through his first three starts at Triple-A, posting a 1.42 ERA through 19 IP.  It shouldn’t be long before he joins Milone in Oakland if should he continue to retire hitters with ease.

Billy Hamilton | SS, Reds - Hamilton led the minors in 2011 with 103 SB and he’s at it again in 2012, already having swiped 14 bags in 15 games with High-A Bakersfield.  Clearly the dude has wheels.  The rest of his offensive game ain’t bad, either:  .386/.470/.632.  He’ll be a tremendous fantasy asset when he arrives in the bigs, although don’t expect that arrival until the second half of 2013, at the soonest.

Wily Peralta | SP, Brewers – Chris Narveson looks like he’s headed for season-ending shoulder surgery and the Brewers have already recalled their top prospect, Peralta.  He’ll pitch out of the ‘pen initially, but it shouldn’t be long before he’s worked into the Milwaukee rotation.  The power righty had been solid in three Pacific Coast League starts, allowing just four runs through 17 IP while striking out 13.  Still, don’t go too waiver-crazy for Peralta.  He’s not a top-tier talent, but, assuming he’s starting games, he’ll be worth a look in most formats.

As the first overall selection in the 2011 draft, signed out of UCLA to the Pittsburgh Pirates for a bonus worth $8 million, Gerrit Cole has arrived in pro baseball with large expectations.  The hype isn’t without merit, though.  Cole’s heater tops out at 102 mph and he counters with a deadly slider and a plus change.  His arsenal is impressive, and at an athletic 6-4, 220, Cole’s frame projects wonderfully.  He’s simply oozing with ace-potential.  Trevor Bauer, his teammate at UCLA, has captured most of the fantasy-prospect-to-watch headlines this spring, and based on his proximity to the majors, rightfully so.  Looking long-term, however, Cole figures to be the safer bet to reach and sustain fantasy ace status.  The major factor holding him back for the time being is command.

The aforementioned 100+ mph fastball isn’t quite as precise as Pirates hope it soon will be.  For now, Pittsburgh has Cole working in the mid-90′s, focusing on hitting spots while working out some flaws in his delivery.  Cole made his full-season debut last week in the Florida State League for High-A Bradenton and was impressive:  4 IP, 7 K, 1 BB, 4 H, 1 R.  The most noteworthy nugget from that start being he recorded all 12 outs via grounder or whiff – good contact was tough to come by for the opposition.  Cole’s second appearance was not nearly as successful as he surrendered four hits (two homers), walked two, and gave up four runs in just three innings of work.  He drew four more strikeouts, which is nice to see, but the outing was otherwise void of good news.  If nothing else, it serves to remind us that the 21-year-old is still a work-in-progress.  But do keep track of Gerrit Cole.  When he learns to harness his tremendous repertoire, he’ll push through the minors quickly and it won’t be long until Cole is making his presence known in the fantasy game.  A 2013 arrival seems most likely, but should he figure things out a bit sooner, the Pirates could use him in September.

Oscar Taveras | OF, Cardinals | Born:  6/19/1992

It doesn’t really get any more “unknown” than this.  That’s Oscar Taveras on third in that screencap.  But as the Cardinals’ broadcast would have you know, that’s “Minor League Guy”.  No matter what you call him, number 91 there is a damn good prospect and he should be approaching your fantasy horizons this year.  Taveras spent 2011 at Low-A Quad Cities where he hit .386/.444/.584 with 40 XBH in 347 trips to the plate.  The Cardinals chose to skip High-A and promoted their 19-year-old, Dominican-born outfield prospect to Double-A Springfield, where he’s already blasted two homers and knocked in 10 through 41 PA.  Taveras has outstanding hands at the plate.  He makes great contact and has very few holes in his swing.  With Carlos Beltran’s contract set to expire following the 2013 season, the Cardinals hope to slot Taveras in right field for full-time duties beginning in 2014.  I imagine, though, that we’ll see him up in some capacity before then.  A September call up for Taveras, too, could be in order if he’s able to maintain his hot start in the Texas League.

Mike Trout | OF, Angels - Like Harper, Trout is getting his first action at the Triple-A level.  Unlike Harper, though, Trout is off to a blazing start.  Through 40 PA’s, Trout’s posted a slash line at .389/.425/.556 to go along with three stolen bases.  If this keeps up, Trout could push his way through to the Angels’ outfield before mid-season.

Trevor Bauer | SP, D’backs – Bauer’s posted a 0.00 ERA and a 15.19 K/9 through two Double-A starts.  He’s walking a few too many batters, but he’s better than Josh Collmenter right now and I can’t imagine the D’Backs will let Collmenter linger for too much longer if he continues to get pounded.  If you have room to stash him, Bauer might be worth a speculative scoop already.

Dylan Bundy | SP, Orioles - Bundy has thrown just six innings as a pro:  six perfect innings.  The fourth overall selection by the Orioles last June is backing up the hype in the early going as he’s been utterly unhittable in his two appearances.  Some are wondering if Bundy will be ready to debut in the bigs by year’s end.  Reason tells me no.  A few more perfect outings will have me believing otherwise, though.

Matt Adams | 1B, Cardinals – Lance Berkman is no beacon of health and there’s already cause for concern with regard to his well-being early on in 2012.  Should Puma land on the DL, Matt Adams would be a candidate to fill that void.  After an impressive spring in big league camp, Adams has continued to smash the ball in Triple-A.  Through 33 PA’s he’s slashing .419/.455/.806 with three homers and a stolen base.

James Paxton | SP, Mariners - Paxton is one of a few high-ceiling arms in the Seattle system, but of that group, he’s off to the most noteworthy start.  Through two Double-A outings, Paxton has a 0.87 ERA and a 14.81 K/9.

A.J. Griffin | SP, Athletics - Griffin has allowed just four baserunners through his first two outings (11 IP) while striking out 16 and posting a 0.00 ERA.  He’s expanded his repertoire for 2012 and it’s paying dividends so far at the Double-A level.

Manny Machado | SS, Orioles – The O’s 19-year-old shortstop didn’t take long to adjust to Double-A.  Having already smacked two homers, Machado has the early edge on the Rangers’ Jurickson Profar in the battle of AA teenage shortstops.

Anthony Rizzo | 1B, Cubs – Rizzo is having no trouble with PCL pitching so far as he’s already blasted three homers and knocked in ten through 33 PA’s.  Unfortunate for Rizzo is that Bryan LaHair is off to an equally impressive start with the Cubs.  Rizzo will need to stay hot while LaHair cools off considerably if he’s to reach Chicago by mid-season.

Kolten Wong | 2B, Cardinals – After skipping High-A, Wong has been impressive in his Double-A debut.  Through 29 trips to the plate he’s hit .440/.517/.760.  He’ll have to improve quite a bit defensively if he’s to supplant either Daniel Descalso or Tyler Green at 2B in St. Louis this year, but his advanced approach to hitting should allow him to be ready for full time duties with the Cardinals a year from now.

Anthony Rendon | 3B, Nationals – The highly touted third base prospect in the Nationals’ system fractured his ankle in the first week of the season at High-A.  He’ll miss the next couple months.

2012 (3) | 2011 (1) | 2010 (16) | 2009 (11) | 2008 (24) | 2007 (11)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [71-91] AL Central

AAA: [79-63] Pacific Coast League – Omaha

AA: [73-64] Texas League – Northwest Arkansas

A+: [66-72] Carolina League –Wilmington

A: [65-74] Midwest League – Kane County

R: [33-43] Pioneer League – Idaho Falls

The Run Down

Even after graduating guys like Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas, and Danny Duffy, the Royals system is still flush with future stars.  Ownership has granted baseball development personnel a generous budget over recent years for both the draft and the international markets, and it must be satisfying for Royals fans to see those investments paying off.  Still, I doubt we’ll see the same arrival of highly touted prospects in 2012 that we saw in 2011.  It seems more likely that this group will reach fantasy relevance from 2013-2015.  I suppose Mike Montgomery has a shot to make an impact with KC later this year, but I’m confident that the Royals’ back-end starters will hold up.  Realistically, relief pitcher Kelvin Herrera might be the best positioned guy of the group to crack your fantasy roster this year.  The kid touches 100 with his heater and could certainly work his way into some save opportunities if Broxton/Holland/Crow aren’t effective.

Arizona Fall League Players – Surprise Saguros

Nate Adcock (RHP); Jeremy Jeffress (RHP); Brendan Lafferty (LHP); Bryan Paukovits (RHP); Christian Colon (SS); Clint Robinson (1B); Wil Myers (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Eric Hosmer (1B); Mike Moustakas (3B); Danny Duffy (LHP); Aaron Crow (RHP); Tim Collins (LHP); Salvador Perez (C); Johnny Giavotella (2B); Louis Coleman (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Wil Myers | OF:

After a disappointing year in Double-A, Myers will return to the Texas League, but he’ll make his Triple-A debut at some point in 2012.  And when he arrives in the PCL, expect exciting numbers.  Myers has the power and patience at the plate to post monstrous figures and he could certainly blossom into a top-tier outfielder in the bigs.  All reasons why he came in at #15 in my Top 25 Prospects for 2013 & Beyond.

Christian Colon | SS:

Colon will join Myers in Double-A to begin 2012, where he’ll hope to improve on his poor 2011 season at the plate.  The 2010 first-rounder makes good contact, and given his .271 BABIP last year, I’m thinking he’s in for much improved 2012 campaign.  With Alcides Escobar blocking shortstop, however, Colon will need to make the transition to second base if he’s to be a regular with the Royals any time soon.

Pitchers

Mike Montgomery | LHP – SP:

Montgomery should arrive in the majors at some point this year, and he’ll be worth owning in most formats when he does, but his real fantasy impact likely won’t happen ’til 2013.  A plus fastball and a plus change have him projecting as a number two starter, but if he can work out some command issues, he could be an ace in Kansas City.

Kelvin Herrera | RHP – RP:

With a filthy fastball-curveball combo, Herrera earned a spot in the Royals’ bullpen this spring.  And given the uncertainty surrounding the late-inning guys in KC, Herrera might be a sleeper to grab some saves if the others falter.  Jeff Zimmerman also thinks highly of him and noted him in his Royals preview for Razzball back in February.  Certainly a guy to monitor – Herrera, that is.  Although, Zimmerman might be a good guy to monitor too over at Royals Review.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Cheslor Cuthbert | 3B:

A lousy finish to 2011 marred what could have been an outstanding year in Low-A for Cuthbert.  He’ll move up to High-A for 2012 where he’ll look to sustain impressive figures for a full season.  Should things go well in Wilmington, Cuthbert could be making his Double-A debut before he turns 20.  With plus power potential from third base, he’s certainly a guy to keep an eye on for fantasy purposes.

Bubba Starling | OF:

I normally wouldn’t bother mentioning a guy who hasn’t yet played pro ball, especially a high school draftee.  Nonetheless, Starling is worth noting.  The Royals will be patient with him – he’s beginning 2012 in extended spring training, but he’ll likely join Low-A Kane County once the weather warms.  The ceiling here is enormous, though, which is why I ranked him #12 in my Top 25 Prospects for 2013 & Beyond.

Pitchers

Jake Odorizzi | RHP – SP:

Odorizzi has a deceptive fastball, which sneaks up on hitters thanks to an effortless delivery.  His secondary stuff, however, has room for improvement.  He’ll head back to Northwest Arkansas for 2012 to refine his repertoire, but he should reach Triple-A this year.  He’ll make for a nice number three starter once he’s arrived and settled in.

Chris Dwyer | LHP – SP:

Dwyer has all sorts of delivery concerns and he’s headed back to Double-A to try to sort those out.  After posting a 5.60 ERA over a full season in the Texas League last year, the Royals would like to see him show significantly more command before they test him in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League.  Dwyer relies on his fastball to set up a nice 12-6 breaker, but when he cannot locate the former the effect of the latter is lost entirely.  Still, the lefty could fit in as a mid-rotation guy if he can work out some kinks.

2012 (15) | 2011 (2) | 2010 (9) | 2009 (6) | 2008 (8) | 2007 (15)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [89-73] NL East

AAA: [78-65] International League – Gwinnett

AA: [61-79] Southern League – Mississippi

A+: [60-78] Carolina League – Lynchburg

A: [60-80] South Atlantic League – Rome

R: [39-29] Appalachian League – Danville

The Run Down

The Braves have maintained a top-tier farm system over the past few years, and it’s still a quality system, but it’s only a few graduates away from looking rather depleted.  Three of Atlanta’s top four prospects (Teheran, Delgado, Simmons) should push through to the bigs this year.  A couple more top ten guys should see significant time in Atlanta, too.  Teheran and Delgagdo are battling for a starting pitching role.  Both have outstanding fantasy potential.  Pastornicky and Simmons are battling for the shortstop role.  Both are rather boring for fantasy.  There’s little intrigue beyond that, for now.

Arizona Fall League Players – Surprise Saguros

Billy Bullock (RHP); Erik Cordier (RHP); Sean Gilmartin (LHP); J.J. Hoover (RHP); Christian Bethancourt (C); Phil Gosselin (2B); Todd Cunningham (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Freddy Freeman (1B); Mike Minor (LHP); Craig Kimbrel (RHP); Brandon Beachy (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Tyler Pastornicky | SS:

Pastornicky will open the season as full-time shortstop for the Braves.  But as Grey noted yesterday in his Rookies to Target post, he’s unlikely to be of much help outside of NL-Only formats.  Pastornicky is, at best, a bench player on any other major league roster.  Don’t expect too much out of him.

Andrelton Simmons | SS:

Simmons is likely the shortstop of the future for Atlanta, but he’s not quite as ready as Pastornicky.  His hitting will never be spectacular, but his glove will allow him to start in the bigs for a while.  There’s still a shred of hope that he’ll start the start the season in Atlanta, but it doesn’t seem likely.  Should Pastorinicky struggle – and I suspect he will – Simmons could be up for the second half or sooner.  Still, he won’t be an exciting fantasy option.

Pitchers

Julio Teheran | RHP – SP:

The Braves likely won’t make a decision on the fifth starter for another week as they don’t need a fifth starter ’til April 11.  It’s between Teheran and Delgado at this point, and either would be a nice SP option in any format.  Teheran is the more exciting prospect, though.  At just 20 years old, he dominated Triple-A last year and he has the potential to be an ace in the big leagues.

Randall Delgado | RHP – SP:

Delgado projects more like a second or third starter.  And although he doesn’t quite have the ceiling of Teheran, he’s still very much in the running for the available starter’s role and he could be equally effective for 2012.  Monitor this situation.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Joey Terdoslavich | 1B:

Terdoslavich posted an .867 OPS in a full season at High-A last year.  The switch-hitter will start 2012 in Double-A, but the Braves are likely to take their time with him as he hasn’t yet settled in defensively.  He projects to hit 20+ homers with a solid AVG in the majors.  If he stinks, though, his name will surely inspire much turd-wordplay.  Or turdplay.  Disgusting.  Don’t play with turds, people!

Pitchers

Zeke Spruill | RHP – SP:

2011 was a breakout year for Spruill.  He worked low in the zone consistently ended up posting a 1.01 WHIP in 130 IP at High-A.  He’ll start 2012 in Double-A.  If efficient ways continue for Spruill, he could blossom into a nice  innings-eating starter in the majors.

J.J. Hoover | RHP – RP:

Hoover should arrive sometime in 2012, but the Braves seem intent on using him out of the bullpen, effectively eliminating all fantasy value.  He projects like a backend innings-eater, but the organization is flush with young pitching talent, so the opportunity to start probably won’t come.

Arodys Vizcaino | RHP – SP/RP:

Vizcaino underwent Tommy John surgery last week, in case you hadn’t heard.

2012 (11) | 2011 (3) | 2010 (1) | 2009 (4) | 2008 (1) | 2007 (1)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [91-71] AL East

AAA: [80-62] International League – Durham

AA: [65-74] Southern League – Montgomery

A+: [64-75] Florida State League – Charlotte

A: [77-63] Midwest League – Bowling Green

A(ss): [37-39] New York-Penn League – Hudson Valley

The Run Down

It’s no secret that the Rays’ player development systems are tremendous.  And when reviewing these Rays prospects, it’s important to keep that in mind.  They’re so adept at churning out major league talent that it’s hard to imagine even the fringy guys not panning out.  It’s also no secret that Matt Moore is for real.  Of all the prospects arriving this year, I’m comfortable saying his impact will be the most profound – perhaps by a wide margin.  He makes everyone else in this post look kinda boring, but I assure you there are other bright spots in this Tampa Bay system.  As there will be next year, and the next year, and th… You get the idea.

Arizona Fall League Players – Surprise Saguros

Shane Dyer (RHP); Marquis Fleming (RHP); Adam Liberatore (LHP); Tim Beckham (3B); Tyler Bortnick (2B); Mikie Mahtook (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Jeremy Hellickson (RHP); Desmond Jennings (OF); Jake McGee (LHP); Alex Cobb (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Brandon Guyer | OF:

At 26-years-old, Guyer has little left to prove in the minors.  48 XBH (14 homers) in 443 trips to the plate with Durham reflects his readiness.  Guyer has the tools and makeup of a regular in the bigs.  It’s only a matter of time, now, ’til his opportunity arrives.

Tim Beckham | SS:

Beckham was the #1 overall selection in the 2008 draft, but he’s been a disappointment thus far.  Despite his struggles, he has been able to push his way through to Triple-A and 2011 was his best professional year to-date – still not great, though:  .271/.328/.408.  At 22-years-old, I suppose there’s still time for him to come around.  I find it unlikely, however, that he’ll ever be much more than a bench player in the majors.  Beckham will open 2012 back in Durham.

Pitchers

Matt Moore | RHP – SP:

Moore ranks as my top prospect for 2012 and you can read that post here.  Just yesterday, I happily overpaid for him in an auction for a weekly H2H.  His RP eligibility allows me to free up an extra SP slot – one which I’ll exploit with 2-start pickups off the wire.  I hate closers, anyway.

Alex Torres | LHP – SP:

Torres has already pitched some high-leverage innings with the Rays late last season and he’s ready to return to big league action for 2012.  Unfortunately, though, Tampa’s rotation is too crowded to accommodate.  Torres will open 2012 in Triple-A, instead.  A filthy fastball-changeup combo helped him lead the International League in strikeouts last season.  He’d likely be the first option if the big club has a need.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Hak-Ju Lee | SS:

I recently ranked Lee at #25 in my Top 25 Prospects for 2013 & Beyond post.  His defense is major league-ready now, and I’m confident his bat will be ready by 2013. The Rays could use help at short, so don’t expect them to be overly patient with Lee.

Mikie Mahtook | OF:

Mahtook, a first-round selection in last June’s draft, signed late and made his pro debut – an impressive one – in the Arizona Fall League.  The LSU product is advanced enough to start 2012 in High-A and he should move quickly from there.  Still, don’t expect to see him in Tampa ’til 2014.

Pitchers

Chris Archer | RHP – SP:

Archer will open 2012 with Durham and he’s widely thought to be arriving in Tampa at some point this year.  I’m a little more skeptical.  Stuff-wise, he’s certainly capable of blossoming into a frontend starter, but control issues are holding him back.  He needs to develop an improved feel for his delivery if he’s to succeed in the majors and he hasn’t shown enough in that regard for me to believe that he will.  Dangerous guy if he gets it together, though.

Alex Colome | RHP – SP:

Colome delivers an effortless mid-90′s sinker and counters with a nice change and a work-in-progress slider.  Like Archer, he can be wild at times, but the Rays are confident he’ll develop into a quality mid-rotation starter.  I believe them.  A 2013 arrival seems likely.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (5) | 2011 (4) | 2010 (19) | 2009 (19) | 2008 (25) | 2007 (26)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [81-81] AL East

AAA: [71-73] Pacific Coast League – Las Vegas

AA: [77-65] Eastern League – New Hampshire

A+: [79-61] Florida State League – Dundin

A: [77-60] Midwest League – Lansing

A(ss): [39-37] Northwest League – Vancouver

The Run Down

The Toronto system is talented and deep and surely among the best in baseball.  Most of the fantasy payoff is a year or more away from materializing, though.  Huge upside guys like Travis D’Arnaud and Anthony Gose seem primed to arrive in 2013, while Jake Marisnick and a slew of nice arms follow.  Clearly there’s reason for excitement here, but nothing immediate, so avoid these guys outside of deep keepers or dynasty leagues.  Do, however, be jealous of Blue Jays fans, as their prospects are likely much better than yours.  And this is after graduating guys like Lawrie, Drabek and Arencibia.  Jeez.

Arizona Fall League Players – Phoenix Desert Dogs

Evan Crawford (LHP); Aaron Loup (LHP); Yan Gomes (C); Adeiny Hechavarria (SS); Anthony Gose (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Kyle Drabek (RHP); Brett Lawrie (3B); J.P. Arencibia (C); Eric Thames (OF); Henderson Alvarez (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Travis D’Arnaud | C:

A year from now, D’Arnaud will carry similar hype to that which Jesus Montero or Devin Mesoraco currently holds.  I ranked him as the #5 fantasy prospect for 2013 and you can ready why, here.

Adeiny Hechavarria | SS:

Hechavarria is a defense-first shortstop, but after a strong finish to 2012, Toronto is hopeful that his bat will improve.  Surely, a late season promotion to hitter-friendly Las Vegas helped his line, but the Triple-A stint was encouraging, regardless.  He’ll return to Vegas to begin 2012 and could be up with Toronto this year if quality hitting continues.  Hechavarria’s defense would certainly be an asset in the bigs.  Not to your fantasy team, though.

David Cooper | 1B:

Cooper has a great bat, but the home run power is lacking, and that’s holding him back as a first baseman.  In that regard, he reminds me a little of Billy Butler, although I doubt he’ll ever reach that level.  Still, Cooper’s a guy to monitor in case of injury to Adam Lind.  He’s capable of putting up a decent AVG and OBP if he ever gets an opportunity.

Pitchers

Drew Hutchison | RHP – SP:

Hutchison played at three levels in 2011, posting a 2.53 ERA along with 171 Ks in 149 IP.  With a fastball in the high-80’s, he’s not blowing anyone away.  He uses it well, though, and mixes things up a change and a slider.  This polished approach should allow him to move quickly.  Hutchison profiles as an innings-eating #3 and he seems to be in line for a late-season arrival.

Deck McGuire | RHP – SP:

Like Hutchison, Mcguire is a polished pitcher with mid-rotation stuff.  His numbers don’t stand out quite so much as Hutchison’s, but at 6-6, 220, he seems better suited to take on that innings-eater role.  It’ll be interesting to see which prospect will be called upon should the Blue Jays need help.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Anthony Gose | OF:

I recently ranked Gose #24 in my Top 25 Prospects for 2013 & Beyond post.  His speed will make him a valuable fantasy piece in any format, and I’m encouraged by his power development.   Still probably a year away at this point.

Jake Marsinick | OF:

Like Gose, Marisnick has above average tools across the board.  After slashing .320/.392/.496 over a full season at Lansing last year, he’s bound for High-A in 2012, perhaps more if the production continues.  A 2014 arrival seems most likely here, but fantasy players should take note now.  This Toronto outfield has a bright future, indeed. 

Pitchers

Noah Syndergaard | RHP – SP:

At 19 years old, Syndergaard is a long ways away, but he’s primed to climb the ladder quickly if his secondary pitches progress.  His combination of size and athleticism has scouts giddy.  A fastball that touches 100 is also quite intriguing.  He’ll start 2012 at Low-A, but a breakout year seems imminent.

1. Jurickson Profar | SS, Rangers:  Profar has already put up some exciting numbers, and scouts are drooling over his physical development this offseason.  The upside here is preposterously high.  More on Profar in my Rangers post.  ETA:  2013.

2. Manny Machado | SS, Orioles:  The slugging shortstop has drawn comparisons to a young A-Rod.  The arrival of Machado and Profar will certainly aid the shortstop scarcity currently plaguing fantasy baseball.  ETA:  2013.

3. Gerrit Cole | SP, Pirates:  Cole was the #1 overall pick last June and made his pro debut in the Arizona Fall League, where he was clocked as high as 102 MPH.  He’ll start at High-A this year, but should move quickly. ETA:  2013.

4. Jameson Taillon | SP, Pirates:  Although he’s a year ahead of Cole in terms of experience, Taillon is behind his teammate developmentally.  Legitimate ace potential here.  The future is bright for the Pittsburgh rotation. ETA:  2014.

5. Travis D’Arnaud | C, Blue Jays:  Projects better than Arencibia both offensively and defensively, so it’s only a matter of time ’til D’Arnaud takes over as Toronto’s regular behind the plate.  He should be up late this season and ready for full-time in 2013.   ETA:  Late 2012.

6. Anthony Rendon | 3B, Nationals:  Rendon is a polished hitter and he could be ready for the bigs by late-season.  With Ryan Zimmerman at third for the foreseeable future, Rendon might have to arrive as a 2B.  More on Rendon in my Nationals post.  ETA:  2013.

7. Nolan Arenado | 3B, Rockies:  Arenado doesn’t impress scouts quite so much as Rendon, but he’s an impressive all-around talent and the Rockies have no one blocking him at third.  He’ll start 2012 at Double-A and try to push his way through to the big club this year.  More on Arenado, here.  ETA:  Late 2012.

8. Dylan Bundy | SP, Orioles:  An ace in the making, Bundy is looking forward to his first taste of pro ball in 2012.  He should move quickly.  Could rank higher if he backs up the hype with on-field production.  ETA:  2014.

9. Taijuan Walker | SP, Mariners:  Ace potential is even more attractive when you factor the Safeco effect.   ETA: 2014.

10. Mike Montgomery | SP, Royals:  Montgomery has a chance to gain some big league time this year if the Royals’ staff is injured and/or terrible.  More likely, Kansas City remains patient with their prized prospect and he makes his impact in 2013.  ETA:  Late 2012.

11. Miguel Sano | SS, Twins:  Sano will get his first taste of full-season baseball in the Midwest League this year.  That means he’ll make a few visits to Kane County, which isn’t too far from me.  Can’t wait to watch him live.  ETA:  2015.

12. Bubba Starling | OF, Royals:  The fifth overall selection last June, Starling is oozing with talent.  He could be playing full-time at Kane County this year.  OH HELL YEAH – when can I pre-order Beloit at Kane County tix?   ETA:  2015.

13. Carlos Martinez | SP, Cardinals:  Command seems to be the only thing holding Martinez back at this point.  He’ll return to the Florida State League to begin 2012 in order to refine that aspect of his game.  Once he can work that out, he’ll push through quickly.  ETA:  2013.

14. Archie Bradley | SP, Diamondbacks:  Bradley joins Trevor Bauer and Tyler Skaggs as three potential aces in the D’Backs system.  He’ll need quite a bit more time than the other two, however.  ETA:  2015.

15. Wil Myers | OF, Royals:  In terms of pure talent, Myers falls a bit short of Starling.  At this point, though, he’s far closer to the bigs.  Long shot to arrive late this year. ETA:  2013.

16. Manny Banuelos | SP, Yankees:  Banuelos is probably ready now, but the Yankees have nowhere for him.  Based on readiness, he’s a good candidate for a late-seasn arrival.  More on Banuelos, in my Yankees prospect review.  ETA:  Late 2012.

17. Jonathan Singleton | 1B/OF, Astros:  Singleton joined the Houston system by way of Philadelphia in the Hunter Pence swap.  He put up some outstanding post-trade figures in the California League.  A beacon of hope for Astros fans.  More on him, here. ETA:  2013.

18. Christian Yelich | OF, Marlins:  Yelich projects above average in hitting, power and speed.  Defensively, he’s just average, though.  Good thing we don’t care about defense.  ETA:  2013.

19. Mike Olt | 3B, Rangers:  He could very well be ready by the second half of 2012, but the opportunity in Texas won’t exist while Beltre is entrenched at third.  Could be trade-bait.  More on Olt, here.  ETA:  2013.

20. Martin Perez | SP, Rangers:  Three plus offerings has Perez looking like a frontline starter if he can get his command in order.  Read more on him in my Rangers post. ETA:  2013.

21. Zack Wheeler | SP, Mets:  Wheeler profiles best as a #2 starter, but he could develop into an ace if he can transform his curveball into a plus offering – his fastball and changeup are already there.  Wheeler could reach Triple-A this year.  ETA:  2013.

22. Francisco Lindor | SS, Indians:  Yet another huge upside talent who’ll be playing in the Midwest League this year.  The Cleveland system is horrendous, but Lindor provides some reason for hope.  ETA:  2015.

23. Gary Brown | OF, Giants:  Brown will begin 2012 trying to prove he can put up big numbers outside the hitter-friendly California League.  But his speed and defense will play in the bigs, regardless.  Read more on Brown in my Giants post.  ETA:  2013.

24. Anthony Gose | OF, Blue Jays:  Extremely toolsy centerfielder swiped 70 bags at Double-A.  Gose will work on refining his approach at the plate in Triple-A this year.  He could push Colby Rasmus out of center in 2013.  ETA:  2013.

25. Hak-Ju Lee | SS, Rays:  Lee, for now, is a defensive-minded shortstop, but he has all of the tools to develop into an exciting offensive player.  Shortstop is a weakness at the top of the Rays’ organization, so it wouldn’t surprise me to see Lee up at some point next year.  ETA:  2013.

Ten more, in alphabetical order:  Xander Bogaerts (SS, Red Sox); Nick Castellanos (3B, Tigers); Jarred Cosart (SP, Astros); Yasmani Grandal (C, Padres); Billy Hamilton (SS, Reds); Zach Lee (SP, Dodgers); Rymer Liriano (OF, Padres); Wily Peralta (SP, Brewers); Oscar Taveras (OF, Cardinals); Kolten Wong (2B, Cardinals)

1. Matt Moore | SP, Rays:  Immediate fantasy ace potential.  Read Grey’s Matt Moore outlook here.

2. Yu Darvish | SP, Rangers:  An argument could be made for Darvish to lead this list.  He’s a safer option than Moore to pitch a full season, but I believe Yu’s upside falls a bit short.  Check out my Rangers Minor League Review for more on Darvish.

3. Yoenis Cespedes | OF, Athletics:  He’s already impressing folks in the Cactus League.  Grey projects him at 65/20/80/.250/12.

4. Jesus Montero | C, Mariners:  Miguel Olivo is still in the picture, but Montero should take over full-time duties before long.  Grey has him as a top-10 catcher option.  I definitely agree.

5. Devin Mesoraco | C, Reds:  Like the Montero-Olivo situation, Mesoraco still needs to beat out Ryan Hanigan for the regular role behind the plate.  Nice upside here. 

6. Bryce Harper | OF, Nationals:  Baseball’s best prospect likely arrives this season.  Grey already went over Harper’s sleeper status:  he might be worth most as trade bait.

7. Zack Cozart | SS, Reds:  Cozart has the starting shortstop role effectively locked down in Cincy.  For more on both him and Mesoraco, check out my Reds post from last week.

8. Yonder Alonso | 1B, Padres:  Yes, the move to Petco hurts his value significantly.  Even so, he should be starting at first all year, making him useful in deep leagues or NL-Only.  More on Alonso in my San Diego post, here.

9. Trevor Bauer | SP, Diamondbacks:  Tim Lincecum 2.0?  He hasn’t blown anybody away this spring, but I’m excited about Bauer’s potential and I was tempted to rank him higher.  Read more on Bauer in my D-Backs post from earlier this offseason.

10. Julio Teheran | SP, Braves:  Teheran was pummeled in his spring debut, but bounced back nicely.  He has outstanding stuff and the Braves haven’t ruled him out of the opening day rotation just yet.

11. Addison Reed | RP, White Sox:  The White Sox have uncertainty surrounding the closer role and Reed could be the guy to step into that position this year.  R.J. wrote earlier this week that he expects Matt Thornton to be used in high-leverage setup situations.  That would seemingly leave Reed to collect the save opps.

12. Mike Trout | OF, Angels:  If he truly had a shot at playing this year he’d rank top five.  He doesn’t.  Still, he deserves to be mentioned here because he’s absolutely ready if there is a need.

13. Anthony Rizzo | 1B, Cubs:  The new Cubs front office has been adamant about letting Rizzo marinate for another year in Triple-A.  If that’s indeed the plan, then I should probably be saving Rizzo for my Top 25 Fantasy Prospects for 2013 & Beyond post.  Clearly that’s not what I’ve done.  I doubt Bryan LaHair can cut it in the bigs – not even on the Cubs.  I expect to see Rizzo manning first base at Wrigley for the second half of 2012.

14. Brad Peacock | SP, Athletics:  Big upside guy with a good shot at making the A’s rotation.  Grey & Rudy took him in the 22nd round of the inaugural LABR Mixed league draft.

15. Jarrod Parker | SP, Athletics:  Grey wrote about Parker after he was traded to the A’s in December.  He should be stronger than ever now, a season-and-a-half removed from Tommy John.  He and Peacock could be an exciting backend to the Oakland rotation.

16. Drew Pomeranz | SP, Rockies:  Pomeranz left yesterday’s spring start with tightness in his hip.  This isn’t good.  Two days ago he seemed like a lock to earn a role in the Colorado rotation.  Now, not so much.  The injury might be minor – certainly a situation to monitor.  See my Rockies post for more on Promeranz.

17. Jacob Turner | SP, Tigers:  Turner has struggled with control thus far in camp.  Looks like he’ll be opening the season in Triple-A, but it shouldn’t be long ’til he’s making an impact with Detroit.  Read more on Turner in my Tigers post.

18. Leonys Martin | OF, Rangers:  The toolsy outfielder is battling for a starting role in camp, and he’s been impressive so far.  He might have an edge on the competition thanks to his defense, but his offense is still a work in progress.  Read more on Martin in my Rangers post.

19. Shelby Miller | SP, Cardinals:  With Chris Carpenter’s health in question, the Cardinals are holding auditions for the fifth spot in their rotation.  After two poor outings this spring, though, it seems Miller won’t make the cut.  Should the Cards’ injury problems persist, however, Miller could be up and he could be extremely effective this year.  More likely, though, he makes his impact in 2013.  More about Miller, here.

20. Danny Hultzen | SP, Mariners: The M’s have optioned Hultzen to Triple-A, but he’s still a good bet to crack their rotation at some point this year.  The #2 overall pick last June should be added in all formats upon arrival.  Grey & Rudy recently drafted him, so you know he’s good.

21. Tyler Skaggs | SP, Diamondbacks:  Skaggs is dealing with a sore shoulder issue in camp, but he made his last appearance without issue.  The 20-year-old likely begins 2012 in Triple-A, but he’s certainly a candidate for a mid-season call up.  See my D’backs post for more on Skaggs.

22. Hisashi Iwakuma | SP, Mariners:  At 30 years old, he’s hardly a prospect in the typical sense.  Iwakuma is pretty well locked into a starting role, however, and that’s certainly valuable considering the Safeco-effect.

23. Brett Jackson | OF, Cubs:  Jackson is off to a exciting start in the Cactus League.  If he can keep it up, he’ll have a shot at arriving in the bigs sooner than I anticipated.

24. Joe Benson | OF, Twins:  The Twins’ best hitting prospect still has a chance to leave camp with the big club.  Check out my Twins post for more on Benson.

25. Lance Lynn | SP, Cardinals:  Lynn looks like the favorite to be take the fifth spot in the St. Louis rotation.  He was fantastic in relief down the stretch last season.  We’ll see if he can carry that momentum into this year as a starter.  More on Lynn in my Cardinals post.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (6) | 2011 (5) | 2010 (22) | 2009 (15) | 2008 (5) | 2007 (5)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [97-65] AL East

AAA: [73-69] International League – Scranton

AA: [68-73] Eastern League – Trenton

A+: [74-64] Florida State League – Tampa

A: [55-85] South Atlantic League – Charleston

A(ss): [45-28] New York-Penn League – Staten Island

The Run Down

The Yankees system took a bit of a blow after losing Jesus Montero, but it’s still in good shape.  Offensively, there isn’t much exciting going on at the high levels of the minors, but there are some high-upside guys (Sanchez, Heathcott) in A-ball.  The pitching side of things is a little more interesting as a number of guys are primed to push through with into the bigs.  The Scranton rotation this year will feature a group of arms, each of whom could surely occupy a major league role with a different organization.

Arizona Fall League Players – Phoenix Desert Dogs

David Phelps (RHP); Corban Joseph (2B); Ronnier Mustelier (UTIL); Rob Segedin (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Hector Noesi (RHP); Eduardo Nunez (SS/3B); Ivan Nova (RHP);

Players of Interest

Hitters

Austin Romine | C:

With Jesus Montero now out of the picture, Romine takes over as the Yankees’ catcher of the future.  The 23-year-old is praised primarily for his work behind the dish, but he’s capable at the plate too.  Romine will begin 2012 at Triple-A, but he could be in line for a late season call up.  The Yankees hope he’ll be ready to take over full-time in 2013.  Nothing terribly special here – ceiling somewhere around .275 AVG and 15 homers.

Brandon  Laird | 3B/1B/OF:

Laird, who earned some time in the bigs last season, will look to return to New York this year as a bench player.  His  .878 OPS at Double-A in 2010 was reason for excitement, but that figure regressed to .710 at Triple-A last year.  If Laird is ever to make it as a regular in the majors, he’ll need to be more selective at the plate.  He walked only 17 times last season in 489 PA at Scranton.

Pitchers

Manny Banuelos | LHP – SP:

Banuelos is the best of a handful of righthanded starters who’re on the verge of breaking through.  He’s shown glimpses of frontline-type ability, but he’s yet to put it all together for an extended period.  He’ll work on doing just that in Triple-A to begin 2012, but expect to see him pitching at Yankee Stadium at some point this year.

Dellin Betances | RHP – SP:

Betances struck out 142 batters in 126 IP before he was called up to New York in late September.  The power thrower works in the mid-90’s with his four-seamer, and counters with a low-80’s curve and a change.  He’ll work on command at Triple-A in 2012, but his stuff is certainly mid-rotation-caliber, and perhaps better.

David Phelps | RHP – SP:

Phelps projects as a backend starter and there’s little upside beyond that.  With plus control, though, he’s a good bet to reach his potential as a big league starter.  He’ll return to Scranton for a third stint in Triple-A, but the Yankees could feel comfortable using him at some point this year if he’s needed.

Adam Warren | RHP – SP:

Like Phelps, Warren projects at the back of the rotation, but he likely won’t have the opportunity to pitch in the majors this year without injury to guys ahead of him.  His stuff is probably better than Phelps’, but I’ll put Phelps ahead of him for now based on command.  Warren has the potential to be a valuable innings-eater at some point, but he needs to refine his secondary pitches first.

D.J. Mitchell | RHP – SP:

Mitchell has been able to stick as a starter to this point, but he seems bound for the ‘pen, eventually.  Good sinking action on his fastball and changeup allow him to keep draw many grounders and keep the ball in the park.  He’s probably ready for chance at middle relief should the Yankees have a need.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Gary Sanchez | C:

Sanchez is unlikely to pan out as a receiver, which is damaging to his fantasy outlook.  Regardless of that, his power production at just 18 years old in the South Atlantic League was rather impressive:  17 HR, .199 ISO.  Sanchez will likely return to Low-A for 2012, where he’ll work on his defense.

Slade Heathcott | OF:

Heathcott’s development has been slowed by a shoulder ailment, as well as some personal baggage, and he’s yet to put up numbers that match his tools.  There’s been some concern that two shoulder surgeries have sapped his power.  He’ll begin 2012 in High-A, but with all-around plus tools, Heathcott has the potential to climb the ladder quickly.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (7) | 2011 (6) | 2010 (17) | 2009 (14) | 2008 (3) | 2007 (12)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [79-83] NL Central

AAA: [73-71] International League – Louisville

AA: [53-86] Southern League – Carolina*

A+: [66-74] California League – Bakersfield

A: [83-57] Midwest League – Dayton

R: [44-32] Pioneer League – Billings

*Pensacola takes over as Cincinnati’s Double-A affiliate in 2012.

The Run Down

The Reds’ system was gutted quite thoroughly this offseason through trades.  And most of the remaining bright spots seem bound for graduation here shortly.  Included in that group are Devin Mesoraco and Zack Cozart, both of whom will carry much relevance in the fantasy game this year.  A couple more bats (see Frazier and Soto) are ready for the big leagues too. For now, though, must of Cincy’s pitching talent occupies the low level minors.  Daniel Corcino has a chance to break through in the next couple years, but there’s not much else worth excitement at this point – not in terms of fantasy, at least.  The Reds have had an impressive system for the past few years, but it’s been depleted considerably of late.  Regardless, this is certainly a group to get to know.

Arizona Fall League Players – Phoenix Desert Dogs

Brad Boxberger (RHP); Nick Christiani (RHP); Donnie Joseph (LHP); Travis Webb (LHP); Brodie Greene (2B); Cody Puckett (2B)

Graduated Prospects

Aroldis Chapman (LHP); Juan Francisco (3B); Sam LeCure (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Devin Mesoraco | C:

Mesoraco probably begins the season platooning behind the plate with Ryan Hanigan.  It shouldn’t be long before he takes over full time, though, making him worthwhile to target in drafts.  Great upside here, but it might be 2013 before we see Mesoraco blossom as a top-tier catcher.

Zack Cozart | SS:

He’ll be the regular shortstop in Cincinnati this year.  Grey ranks him 15^th among shortstops and projects him at 55/14/70/.245/20.  Seems fair.  Read Grey’s Cozart outlook here.

Todd Frazier | 3B/1B/OF:

Frazier has a shot at breaking camp with the Reds, and if Scott Rolen can’t stay healthy, he could see regular time.  The 26-year-old slugged six homers in 112 big league at-bats last year and has little left to prove in the minors.  Frazier’s defensive versatility should allow him to stick on the major league roster at some point this year.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Billy Hamilton | SS:

Hamilton had 103 stolen bases in 2011, which is absurd.  He also posted a .700 OPS, showing room for improvement, but nothing horrendous.  He’ll be tearing up basepaths in the California League this year and could reach Double-A.  Don’t expect Hamilton to arrive until 2014, though.

Didi Gregorius | SS:

Gregorious isn’t touted quite so highly as Hamilton, but he’s ahead of him developmentally and he probably has a better shot of sticking at shortstop.  He projects a little better at the plate than Cozart, and with a good year in Triple-A, Gregorius could challenge for the regular SS role in 2013.

Neftali Soto | 1B:

Soto’s .303 ISO at Double-A in 2011 stands out.  He’s still raw at the plate, but power like that is intriguing.  He’s going nowhere as long as he’s behind Joey Votto, but he’s certainly a guy to monitor in case of injury or trade.

Henry Rodriguez | 2B:

After posting an .841 OPS between High-A and Double-A in 2011, it’s clear that Rodriguez can hit.  The concern here is that poor defense will hold him back.  With Ronald Torreyes out of the picture, the switch-hitting Rodriguez could be in line to take over for Phillips at second base in 2013.

Pitchers

Daniel Corcino | RHP – SP:

Corcino is still a few years from reaching the bigs.  Corcino throws a nice mid-90’s fastball, and counters with a slider and a change, both of which could use some work.  He draws comparisons to Johnny Cueto, though his secondary stuff will need to improve considerably if he’s ever to be frontline guy.  For now he projects more like a number three.

J.C. Sulbaran | RHP – SP

Sulbaran posted some impressive ratios in 2011 at High-A, though his 4.60 ERA doesn’t reflect it.  Like Corcino, he profiles as a number three starter, but his ceiling isn’t as high.  Sulbaran will join Pensacola’s rotation for 2012, where he’ll work on his secondary pitches.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (29) | 2011 (7) | 2010 (3) | 2009 (7) | 2008 (19) | 2007 (10) | 2006 (9)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [80-82] AL Central

AAA: [88-56] International League – Columbus

AA: [73-69] Eastern League – Akron

A+: [76-62] Carolina League – Kinston

A: [53-86] Midwest League – Lake County

A(ss): [41-34] New York-Penn League – Mahoning Valley

The Run Down

A lot has been made out of how horrendous the White Sox farm system is, how there’s a sizable gap between them at #30 and the systems ranked ahead of them.  And while I would by no means rank Cleveland’s system beneath that of the White Sox, I don’t necessarily think they’re too far apart.  And from a fantasy perspective, the Sox probably have more pieces who’re ready to contribute.  Certainly the Tribe’s woes in this regard can be attributed to their having graduated a nice crop of guys last year, as well as a few trades (Pomeranz to Colorado).  But the upper levels of the Cleveland farm system are almost entirely void of genuine big league talent.  For chrissakes, their top two prospects – Francisco Lindor & Dillon Howard – have only five games of pro ball experience between them.

Arizona Fall League Players – Phoenix Desert Dogs

Cory Burns (RHP); Preston Guilmet (RHP); T.J. McFarland (LHP); Tyler Sturdevant (RHP); Roberto Perez (C); Jesus Aguilar (1B); Chad Huffman (1B); Tim Fedroff (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Lonnie Chisenhall (3B); Alex White (RHP); Jason Kipnis (2B)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Cord Phelps | 2B/SS:

Phelps has surprising pop for a scrappy second baseman, and I think that given the opportunity, he could suffice as a regular in the bigs.  Unfortunately, that opportunity won’t arise in Cleveland as Asdrubal Cabrera and Jason Kipnis man the middle infield.  .198 ISO at Triple-A last year has certainly captured the attention of execs around the league.  It wouldn’t surprise me to see Phelps get his chance at a major league job with a different club.

Pitchers

Nick Hagadone | LHP – RP: 

Hagadone should be used often out of the Tribe’s bullpen this year.  The power lefty throws a mid-to-high-90′s fastball and counters with a late-breaking slider.  He’s still working on his approach toward right-handed hitters, so for now he’s almost strictly a lefty specialist.  Clearly, that’ll be something he’ll need to sort out if he’s ever going to have a chance at a late-innings role.

Chen Lee | RHP – RP:

Lee’s another arm that should have a spot in the Cleveland ‘pen.  His 12.2 K/9 in 2011 during a twenty-game stint at Triple-A to go along with a 2.27 ERA shows he’s ready for a chance in the big leagues.  Chen relies on deception, but his stuff isn’t bad featuring a low-to-mid-90′s fastball with late movement and a strong slider.  He’ll likely return to Columbus to begin 2012, but expect to see him pitching in Cleveland before long.

Scott Barnes | LHP – SP: 

Barnes was on track for a promotion to the big club last season, but was derailed due to a knee injury.  He’ll return to Columbus to begin 2012 with hopes of a late-season call up.  He throws a low-90′s fastball with decent command and also features a solid slider along with a change.  Barnes projects at the backend of the rotation, but he might be relegated to a relief role ultimately.

Zach McAllister | RHP – SP: 

The Indians picked up Derek Lowe this offseason, effectively blocking McAllister from breaking into the rotation.  The righty was forgettable in four big league starts last year, posting a 6.11 ERA over 18 IP.  It’ll take an injury or two for him to reemerge in that role.  And time is not on his side, as he turns 25 later this year.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Chun Chen | C: 

Chen has a very alliterative name, which I enjoy.  He also fits Cleveland’s mold of offense-first catchers as he put up 43 XBH in 467 PA at Double-A last year.  Though scouts have mixed feelings as to whether or not Chen’s bat can truly cut it in the bigs, his incremental improvement at each stage bodes well.  His defense, on the other hand, could use quite a bit of work.  He’ll return to Akron for 2012 to work on that aspect of his game.  Expect a 2013 arrival.  With Carlos Santana blocking him, however, Chen’s chance at regular time is slim.

Pitchers

Austin Adams | RHP – SP:

Adams has a nice heater, but beyond that he’s not too exciting.  He’s already 25 years old too, which only adds to his uninteresting aura.  With a fastball that can touch 100 MPH, however, Adams profiles best in a relief role.  If he can refine his slider a bit, he could surprise folks and work his way into a late-innings role in Cleveland.  For now, he’ll join the Columbus rotation for 2012.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (8) | 2011 (8) | 2010 (20) | 2009 (29) | 2008 (13) | 2007 (29) | 2006 (29)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [71-91] NL West

AAA: [65-79] Pacific Coast League – Tucson

AA: [94-46] Texas League – San Antonio

A+: [96-71] California League – Lake Elsinore

A: [69-70] Midwest League – Fort Wayne

A(ss): [46-30] Northwest League – Eugene

The Run Down

San Diego’s system is, without a doubt, among the best in baseball, and that holds true regarding fantasy.  Recent trades are looking incredibly smart, as they’ve traded away big league pieces for multiple prospects, all of whom appear to be panning out.  Alonso, Grandal, Wieland, Erlin and Kelly were all acquired from other systems, and they’re all on the verge of breaking through with the Padres. Liriano, Gyorko and Spangenberg headline the homegrown talent, which is a bit further from the majors.  But this system is flush with talent and fantasy owners should familiarize themselves with these names.  And as usual, the Petco effect applies – keep an eye on these pitchers, especially.

Arizona Fall League Players – Salt River Rafters

Anthony Bass (RHP); Jeff Ibarra (LHP); Miles Mikolas (RHP); Jason Hagerty (C); Jedd Gyorko (3B); James Darnell (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Cory Luebke (LHP); Logan Forsythe (2B)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Yonder Alonso | 1B:

After posting a .943 OPS in 98 trips to the plate with the Reds last year, it’s clear that Alonso is ready for a full-time role in the bigs.  He should have that opportunity this season with the Padres.  While his power probably falls short of Rizzo’s, Alonso has better on-base skills and he certainly has the ability to hit for a higher average.  For now, he likely falls in with the rest of the boring NL first basemen, but he has a chance to separate himself from that group as he settles into his role.

Yasmani Grandal | C:

The Reds pushed Grandal aggressively in 2011, playing him at three levels, beginning at High-A and ending at Triple-A.  After slashing .305/.401/.500 across those stages, it seems his bat is ready for a shot at big league pitching.  His defense, however, needs more work.  Barring an outstanding spring, Grandal will open up 2012 with Tucson, but expect to see the 23-year-old behind the plate in San Diego at some point this year.

Pitchers

Joe Wieland | RHP – SP:

Wieland’s been pegged by many as a fourth starter, but supreme command is allowing him to project beyond that profile.  He features a four-pitch repertoire and he’s precise with each offering.  His stuff will be tested versus more seasoned hitters in Triple-A, but if his success continues, Wieland could be starting games at Petco this year.

Robbie Erlin | SHP – SP:

Erlin, along with Wieland, was acquired via Texas in the Mike Adams swap.  Also like Wieland, he doesn’t light up the radar gun, relying on deception and plus command, instead.  While there are some differences in approach, for fantasy purposes, Erlin and Wieldard are extremely similar.

Casey Kelly | RHP – SP:

Kelly, at his point, isn’t quite as complete as either Wieland or Erlin, but with a bit more refinement to his secondary pitches, he could reach the majors before both.  Kelly throws a heavy sinker and induces groundballs often.  I’m still waiting for his production to catch up with his ability, but it’s important to note that he was a fulltime shortstop as recently as 2009.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Jedd Gyorko | 3B:

Gyorko hit .365 in the California League but regressed somewhat when he reached Double-A, posting a .288 average.  He returned to form during AFL play, though, claiming the batting title with a .437 mark.  Gyorko’s had nice power figures to this point – 30 HR in 2011 – but expect that aspect of his game to dwindle when he steps inside Petco.  With Chase Headley entrenched at third, Gyorko won’t arrive ‘til 2013 at the soonest.

James Darnell | 3B/OF:

Darnell slashed .410/.406/.547 between Double-A and Triple-A in 2011, and earned a September promotion.  His bat is intriguing, as well as his ability to play multiple positions.  He’ll start 2012 in Tucson, but Darnell is ready for big league ball and he’ll be called up if needed.

Rymer Liriano | OF:

Lirano’s still a long way from the bigs, but it seems something clicked for him last year at Low-A, and he’s poised to post some gaudy numbers in the California League this year.  The 20-year-old is a genuine five-tool-type and he’ll be a guy to watch as he pushes through the system.  Expect a 2014 arrival, but he could pan out more quickly.

Cory Spangenberg | 2B:

Spangenberg is among the best second base prospects in the minors.  He projects to hit for average and be on base often.  Elite speed will allow him to do some work on those basepaths, too.  He’ll begin 2012 in High-A along with Lirano, but being that he’s a bit more polished, San Diego might promote Spangeberg more aggressively.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (16) | 2011 (10) | 2010 (10) | 2009 (20) | 2008 (7) | 2007 (2) | 2006 (11)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [73-89] NL West

AAA: [64-80] Pacific Coast League – Colorado Springs

AA: [68-72] Texas League – Tulsa

A+: [74-66] California League – Modesto

A: [69-70] South Atlantic League – Asheville

A(ss): [44-32] Northwest League – Tri-City

R:  [27-49] Pioneer League – Casper

The Run Down

This Colorado farm system is primed to produce a handful of regular MLB players, perhaps a couple all star-types, included.  From a fantasy perspective, there is plenty of reason for excitement, here.  And we might not have to wait too long for it to play out, either.  Top pitching prospect Drew Pomeranz is ready for a spot in the Rockies’ rotation.  And top hitting prospect Nolan Arenado isn’t far behind.  Wilin Rosario should work his way into a regular role as Colorado’s backstop this season, too.  All three project as solid fantasy options.  Behind them, the Rockies have some talent, but, barring injury, the big club won’t be allowing for many throughways this year.  Baseball America ranks this organization at number 16 for 2012, but I like this Rockies system, and given the upside of guys like Pomeranz and Rosario, I think it could certainly rank higher.

Arizona Fall League Players – Salt River Rafters

Parker Frazier (RHP); Joe Gardner (RHP); Rob Scahill (RHP); Casey Weathers (RHP); Nolan Arenado (3B); Ben Paulsen (1B); Tim Wheeler (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Chris Nelson (2B); Rex Brothers (LHP); Juan Nicasio (RHP); Matt Reynolds (LHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Nolan Arenado | 3B:

Arenado slashed .298/.349/.487 in a full season at High-A in 2011.  He’ll make the jump to Double-A for 2012.  With an advanced approach at the plate and solid defensive skills at third base, the 20-year-old isn’t too far from the majors.  Third base is certainly the Rockies’ greatest weaknes, and Arenado could be in line for a mid-season arrival if things go well in Tulsa.

Wilin Rosario | C:

Rosario served as the Rockies’ starting catcher for several games this past September and it’s likely that he’ll take over as the everyday backstop at some point this year.  Being that he’s skipped Triple-A so far, I’m thinking that Colorado will start him there and recall him after the service time cutoff.  Rosario plays well defensively and he’s armed with a cannon behind the plate, but offensively he’s too aggressive – for now, at least.  He can hit the fastball, though, and he should turn into a 20-homer guy.  If he can work on plate discipline, Rosario could be a very nice catcher option for fantasy.

Charlie Blackmon | OF:

Blackmon was in position to see quite a bit of playing time when he was called up last June, but a broken foot in July derailed him.  He should be back in the bigs for 2012 as a fourth outfielder, however, with a healthy CarGo and the newly acquired Michael Cuddyer, the Rockies’ outfield is far more crowded than a year ago.  Blackmon has a great mental approach and keeps improving all aspects of his game.  2012 will be a good indicator as to whether he’s anything more than just a fourth OF.

Jordan Pacheco | C/1B/3B:

Pacheco has a future in the bigs based on his ability to play several positions.  He can hit a little, too.  He doesn’t bring much pop, but the Rockies have been impressed by his ability to make solid contact and use all fields.  He’ll be competing for a roster spot during spring training, but it seems he’ll max out as a super-utility guy in the majors.

Pitchers

Drew Pomeranz | LHP – SP:

Some have Pomeranz pegged for Triple-A to open 2012, but it seems just as likely that he’ll fit into the Rockies’ rotation right out of camp.  Given the fatigue issues and drop in velocity down the stretch last year, it might make more sense for Colorado to start him in the minors and let him work on his changeup and command.  If that’s the case, though, he shouldn’t be down for very long.  While he’s still working a few things, Pomeranz’s repertoire is big league-ready as is.  Thanks to a filthy fastball-curveball combo, he projects as a solid number two starter.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Tim Wheeler | OF:

Wheeler slashed an impressive .287/.365/.535 at Tulsa in 2011.   He’ll begin 2012 with Colorado Springs, but should his productive ways continue, he’ll be in line for a late-season call up.  Unlike Blackmon, Wheeler definitely projects as a regular and he brings 20-20 upside.

Hector Gomez | SS:

Gomez is a defense-first shortstop, but he does manage to bring some value offensively.  The 23-year-old generates surprising bat speed for a defensive-minded middle infielder and projects to hit 15-20 HR in the bigs should he ever secure a regular role.  Health has always been the major concern with Gomez.  The Rockies hope to see an injury-free 2012 from him at Colorado Springs.

D.J. LeMahieu | 3B/2B:

LeMahieu was acquired from the Cubs in the Ian Stewart swap this past December.  His career ISO is a barely registrable at .082.  Five homers between Double-A and Triple-A last year represents his career best.  For a guy who profiles as third baseman, this absence of power is concerning.  LeMahieu is a Hendry-era Cubs infield prospect out of LSU with almost zero pop.  Remember how well that played out with Theriot and Fontenot?

Pitchers

Chad Bettis | RHP – SP:

Bettis posted a 3.34 ERA along with a 9.8 K/9 in 2011 at High-A.  The righty features mid-90’s fastball with good sink and counters with a hard slider.  Some think he’ll work out better in the bullpen, but after pitching 170 innings last year, it’s not hard to picture him as a workhorse mid-rotation guy in the majors.  It’ll be interesting to see how he bounces back from 2011’s hefty workload when he joins Tulsa’s rotation this season.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (27) | 2011 (11) | 2010 (18) | 2009 (12) | 2008 (22) | 2007 (21) | 2006 (22)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [102-60] NL East

AAA: [80-64] International League – Lehigh Valley

AA: [74-68] Eastern League – Reading

A+: [75-63] Florida State League – Clearwater

A: [68-69] South Atlantic League – Lakewood

A(ss): [43-33] New York-Penn League – Williamsport

The Run Down

The Phillies graduated quite a bit of talent in 2011.  They also shipped a few nice prospects Houston’s way.  What’s left is not exciting.  Not from a fantasy perspective, at least.  The Phillies have some nice arms in the lower rungs of their system – A-ball pitchers like Trevor May, Jesse Biddle and Jonathan Pettibone.  Biddle will need a few more years of seasoning, but May and Pettibone could be up next year.  There are a few relief arms ready to contribute in the bigs, but the closer situation in Philly is locked up for the time being.  Offensively, the Phillies a pretty well set at the Major League level.  Any reinforcements they needed arrived last year.  Freddy Galvis might catch on in a utility role, but he won’t see regular time unless Jimmy Rollins or Chase Utley gets hurt.  Don’t expect this system to produce a big league regular until Sebastian Valle arrives two years from now.

Arizona Fall League Players – Scottsdale Scorpions

Tyler Cloyd (RHP); Jacob Diekman (LHP); B.J. Rosenberg (RHP); Colby Shreve (RHP); Cody Overbeck (1B); Darin Ruf (1B); Tyson Gillies (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Michael Martinez (2B); Domonic Brown (OF); John Mayberry (OF); Vance Worley (RHP); Michael Stutes (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Freddy Galvis | SS:

Galvis is a defense-first shortstop who’ll spend 2012 in Triple-A thanks to Jimmy Rollins’ new contract.  The 22-year-old has been showing some improvement at the plate – 2011 represents his best offensive season as a pro.  Keep in mind, though, that this “career year” line reads:  .278/.324/.392.  Galvis needs to improve his hitting significantly if he’s ever to become fantasy relevant.  No doubt, he’ll be working on that with Lehigh Valley in 2012.

Harold Garcia | 2B:

Garcia lost most of 2011 to a knee injury, but he’s ready for 2012.  The switch-hitter makes solid contact to all fields, but lacks power.  At 25 years old, he needs to break out this season or Philadelphia may lose patience.  Some project him as an everyday second baseman.  I’m skeptical.

Pitchers

Phillippe Aumont | RHP – RP:

With a devastating fastball-curveball combo, Aumont profiles as a Major League closer.  As it stands, there is a blocker in the way, but we all know how quickly these closer situations can deteriorate.  Papelbon isn’t immune… no matter how passionately he purses his stupid lips.  I loathe Papelbon.

Justin De Fratus | RHP – RP:

De Fratus will pitch with the Phillies’ bullpen this year.  His fastball-slider repertoire draws comparisons to Brad Lidge’s and his command is advanced.  He’s probably closer to a late-innings role than Aumont, at this point.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Sebastian Valle | C:

Valle will tackle Double-A in 2012, where at 21 years old, he’ll be among the youngest catchers in the Eastern League.  He generates good pop with a big swing, but he needs to show a lot more patience at the plate (just 3.6 BB% in 2011).  Valle has been tabbed as the Philadelphia’s future backstop.  He could be called up by the end of 2013, but a 2014 arrival seems more likely.

Pitchers

Trevor May | RHP – SP:

May’s 2.69 FIP better reflects his 2011 performance than the 3.80 ERA he posted.  In 144 IP at High-A, he fanned 12 batters per nine while managing to lower his walk rate considerably.  May is polishing his approach and his plus stuff will only get better if he continues to use it wisely.  2013 is probably the earliest he’d arrive.  Projects as a solid second starter for now, but his ceiling keeps rising.  I’m certainly anxious to see how he fares in Double-A this season.

Jon Pettibone | RHP – SP:

Pettibone will join Trevor May in the Reading rotation for 2012.  He doesn’t project quite as well as May, but his command is supreme – the best in the system.  Nothing overwhelming in terms of pure stuff, but he’s got enough to make it as a backend, innings-eating starter.  Long shot for a late-season arrival.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (23) | 2011 (12) | 2010 (21) | 2009 (23) | 2008 (6) | 2007 (6) | 2006 (2)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [82-79] NL West

AAA: [70-74] Pacific Coast League – Albuquerque

AA: [77-62] Southern League – Chattanooga

A+: [80-60] California League – Rancho Cucamonga

A: [72-67] Midwest League – Great Lakes

R: [34-22] Pioneer League – Ogden

The Run Down

While none of them is particularly interesting, the Dodgers have quite a few prospects who are close to helping in some capacity at the Major League level.  Among the pitchers, there isn’t much drawing excitement outside of Zach Lee, and even he doesn’t quite project as the frontline arm you expect from the organization’s top prospect.  There is depth here, though.  LA is loaded with mid-rotation and bullpen arms who’ll be pitching in the bigs before long.  On the offensive side, the situation is much thinner.  Alfredo Silverio has a future as a productive everyday outfielder, but he headlines a collection of hitters that could surely fail to produce a big league regular outside the aforementioned.

Arizona Fall League Players – Salt River Rafters

Steve Ames (RHP); Stephen Fife (RHP); Cole St. Clair (LHP); Josh Wall (RHP); Gorman Erickson (C); Jake Lemmerman (SS); Alex Castellanos (OF); Kyle Russell (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Dee Gordon (SS); Trent Oeltjen (OF); Jerry Sands (OF); Scott Elbert (LHP); Kenley Jansen (RHP); Ruby De La Rosa (RHP); Javy Guerra (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Alfredo Silverio | OF:

Silverio is LA’s top hitting prospect.  Signed in 2003 out of the Dominican, it’s taken a while for the outfielder to develop, but he broke through in 2011 with 76 XBH in 572 trips to the plate.  Silverio makes good contact and drives the ball all over the field.  He should only build on those impressive numbers in the PCL.  Expect Silverio to arrive late this season.  Could be earlier if needed.

Tim Federowicz | C:

Federowicz is a defense-first catcher who, with Barajas out of LA, could work his way into a starting role with the Dodgers this year.  Outside of a 25-game stint in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League during which he slashed .325/.431/.627, Federowicz has never impressed as a hitter.  Even if he earns a regular role, he won’t be worth much in terms of fantasy.

Pitchers

Nate Eovaldi | RHP – SP:

Eovaldi was decently effective during his first stretch in the big leagues, posting a 3.63 ERA over 35 IP.  He throws a heater in the mid to high-90s and counters with a power slider.   He’ll be working to earn a spot as a starter during spring training. If he doesn’t crack the Dodgers’ rotation, he’ll likely be kept by the club for a bullpen role.  His two-pitch power repertoire might be better suited for relief, anyway.

Josh Lindblom | RHP – RP:

In 30 IP with the Dodgers last year, Lindblom posted a 2.73 ERA along with 28 strikeouts.  He should stick in the big leagues for 2012 as a member of the bullpen, and could settle into a set-up role.  It should be noted that Lindblom features a four-pitch repertoire (FB, SL, CB, CH), befitting of a starter.  He hasn’t worked as such since early on in 2010, but the Dodgers could shift him back, conceivably.

Allen Webster | RHP – SP:

After posting a 2.33 ERA in the hitter-friendly California League, Webster was promoted to Double-A where his performance faded somewhat.  With a mid-90′s sinking fastball, he draws plenty of grounders and keeps the ball in the park.  Webster figures to be headed back to Double-A to begin 2012, but depending on big league needs, he could factor into the Dodgers’ rotation at some point this year.

Shawn Tolleson | RHP – RP:

Tolleson has impressed since his debut in 2010.  In two professional seasons, he’s put up a 13.3 K/9 and 1.01 ERA while walking just 23.  The Dodgers consider him MLB-ready and Tolleson will most surely debut in the bigs at some point in 2012.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Kyle Russell | OF:

Russell is bound for Triple-A in 2012 where he’ll work on shrinking some holes in his swing.  Albuquerque is one of the most hitter-friendly facilities in the minors, and he stands to put up some gaudy power figures.  He projects as a 25 HR guy, but hey may never get the chance if those homers are to come along with a .230 AVG and a million K’s.  Russell is a candidate for a late-season arrival in LA if he can tighten up his swing and be a little more selective at the plate.

Scott Van Slyke | OF/1B:

Scott, son of Andy, had an outstanding 2011 in Double-A, slashing .346./.425/.593.  It was his best year as a pro by a comfy margin, and the Dodgers are anxious to watch him build on it in Albuquerque in 2012.  Like Russell, Van Slyke could be in line for a late-season call up.

Ivan DeJesus Jr. | 2B/SS/3B:

DeJesus opened the 2011 season with the Dodgers and struggled mightily.  After being sent to Albuquerque in May, however, he settled back into Triple-A ball nicely.  Slashing .310/.389/.432, DeJesus put himself back into position to compete in spring training for a spot with the big club.  The on-base specialist will likely return to Triple-A to begin 2012, but the Dodgers will be quick to recall him for their bench if his productive numbers continue.  Ultimately just a utility guy, though.

Pitchers

Zach Lee | RHP – SP:

Lee, the system’s top prospect, is an impressive athlete.  He could have played QB at LSU, but pulled out to sign with the Dodgers in 2010.  Although his numbers at Low-A weren’t overly impressive, the Dodgers believe Lee has the makeup and ability to move quickly through the minors.  He projects as a workhorse number two and he should arrive in 2013.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2012 (19) | 2011 (13) | 2010 (6) | 2009 (22) | 2008 (15) | 2007 (8) | 2006 (6)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [63-99] AL Central

AAA: [53-91] International League – Rochester

AA: [72-70] Eastern League – New Britain

A+: [63-76] Florida State League – Fort Meyers

A: [69-69] Midwest League – Beloit

R: [42-26] Appalachian League – Elizabethton

The Run Down

Much of the Twins best talent is years away from its arrival in the big leagues.  The club’s top prospect, Miguel Sano, is not yet 19.  He headlines a handful of talented prospects beneath the Double-A level, including Eddie Rosario, Aaron Hicks and Oswaldo Arcia.  With their first round pick in the June Draft, the Twins added Levi Michael out of UNC.  They hope the shortstop will add some polish to their system’s hitting prospects and climb the ladder quickly, though he’s yet to step foot on a ball field as a pro.

While the bulk of its talent remains distant, the system isn’t void of big league-ready prospects.  Joe Benson will try to earn a spot in the Twins outfield this spring.  Given Justin Morneau’s injury woes (see Aaron Gleeman’s Twins Preview), Chris Parmelee could see the field often.  Right-handed starter, Liam Hendriks, is on the verge, too. Beyond that, there isn’t much here to draw excitement.  Not for a few years, at least.

Arizona Fall League Players – Mesa Solar Sox

Cole DeVries (RHP); Scott Diamond (LHP); Brett Jacobson (RHP); Bruce Pugh (RHP); Chris Herrmann (C); Brian Dozier (SS/2B); Aaron Hicks (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Ben Revere (OF); Luke Hughes (3B); Trevor Plouffe (SS); Tsuyoshi Nishioka (2B); Rene Tosoni (LF)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Joe Benson | OF:

Benson will compete for a spot in the Minnesota outfield at Twins camp this spring, but he’s skipped Triple-A to this point, and it seems more likely that he’ll end up with Rochester for opening day.  With great power potential, he could be a 25 HR guy if he can keep improving on plate discipline, although he’ll probably struggle in AVG and OBP throughout his career.  Even so, Benson should bring quite a bit more fantasy value than Ben Revere, so keep an eye on that battle during the coming weeks.

Chris Parmelee | 1B/OF:

Parmelee’s first stint with the big club was impressive:  .355/.443/.592 including 10 XBH (4 homers) in 88 trips to the plate.  Granted, that’s a tiny sample, but it’s reflective of his ability to swing with confidence versus major league pitching.  He’ll need to improve his approach against lefties, but with Justin Morneau’s injured brain tissue and all, Parmelee is in good position to collect significant AB’s in 2012.

Pitchers

Liam Hendriks | RHP – SP:

Hendricks was forgettable in four starts with Minnesota last year, but the Aussie maintains a great competitive demeanor and he shouldn’t be deterred.  He’s a command-first righty and he needs to keep his pitches down in order to be effective.  When he’s on, though, he works quickly and induces weak contact.  Hendricks is probably ready for a backend role in the Twins’ rotation, but he’ll begin 2012 in Triple-A.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Brian Dozier | SS/2B:

Dozier broke out in 2011, slashing .320/.399/.491 between High-A and Double-A.  The 24-year-old has never been highly touted, but it’s hard to ignore his numbers.  With Jamey Carroll signed through 2013, don’t expect to see Dozier in a full time role ‘til 2014.  He could certainly be used in a utility role at some point this year, though.

Aaron Hicks | OF:

Hicks is an extremely toolsy prospect, but his numbers hardly reflect his potential.  After posting a worrisome .722 OPS in a full season at High-A, the Twins are hoping he’s ready for Double-A in 2012.  With his level of talent, Hicks should move quickly once he’s figured it out.

Oswaldo Arcia | OF:

Arcia, like Hicks, is yet to reach Double-A.  He hit 23 homers across three levels in 2011, and that figure should only grow in the coming years.  9 BB as opposed to 53 K’s at High-A is concerning.  The Twins would like to see him draw more walks in 2012 in order to justify his spot on the 40-man.

Chris Herrmann | C/OF:

Herrmann is positioned to step in as Joe Mauer’s backup in 2013, which is to say:  Herrmann stands to see plenty of AB’s in 2013.  He’s at least a year away, and his numbers have never been spectacular, but he’s worth noting for his potential to land a near-regular role next season.  Keep an eye on him as he pushes through to Triple-A in 2012.

Pitchers

Kyle Gibson | RHP – SP:

Gibson was Minnesota’s #1 prospect just a year ago, but his stock has dropped significantly after the righty underwent Tommy John surgery last July.  With excellent secondary pitches to go along with a low-90s fastball with movement, Gibson profiles nicely as a #2 or #3 starter.  Unfortunately, it’s not likely that we’ll see him in the Majors until 2013.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (14) | 2010 (24) | 2009 (21) | 2008 (10) | 2007 (30) | 2006 (24)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [80-81] NL East

AAA: [66-74] International League – Syracuse

AA: [80-62] Eastern League – Harrisburg

A+: [68-71] Carolina League – Potomac

A: [75-64] South Atlantic League – Hagerstown

A(ss): [45-30] New York-Penn League – Auburn

The Run Down

There would’ve been a few more guys to discuss here, had the Nationals not gutted their system in acquiring Gio Gonzalez.  Their top two pitching prospects (Brad Peacock & A.J. Cole) were shipped out along with top catching prospect, Kerek Norris, and big-league-ready LHP, Tom Milone.  Prior to the trade, Baseball America had this Nationals system ranked #1 overall.  GM Mike Rizzo drafted some high-ceiling types in Anthony Rendon and Matt Purke, and the organization still possesses baseball’s top prospect.  Regarding that top prospect:  he’s got the tools and makeup to be a perennial All Star, but his mustache could use some work.  It’s flat and whispy, but not pathetic enough to be making a comedic statement a la Derek Holland.  Harper needs to add significant volume to his 6^th tool in order to complete the package.  Perhaps Grey could lend some advice?

Arizona Fall League Players – Scottsdale Scorpions

Pat Lehman (RHP); Rafael Martin (RHP); Sammy Solis (LHP); Derek Norris (C); Bryce Harper (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Danny Espinosa (SS); Wilson Ramos (C); Yunesky Maya (RHP); Ryan Mattheus (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Bryce Harper | OF:

Grey previews Harper here.  And while I tend to agree with the guarded outlook, the Nationals have been adamant about not counting their prized prospect out of a Major League role when camp breaks.  Grey noted that this could simply be a ploy to stir fan interest, which seems plausible.  Lately, though, I’m wondering if the Nats are sincere about promoting Harper sooner rather than later.  This, of course, is a situation worth watching closely as it develops this spring.  My best guess:  Harper will be called up in June.

Chris Marrero | 1B:

Marrero collected 100+ AB’s as the Nationals’ primary first baseman this past September.  Unfortunately, the 23-year-old did not impress.  His 2011 Triple-A figures (.300/.375/.449), however, are his best to date.  Blocked by Michael Morse and Adam LaRoche, Marrero should return to AAA, but he’s right on the cusp of breaking through as another rather boring NL first baseman.

Steve Lombardozzi | 2B:

Lombardozzi is one of those scraptastic guys who you probably don’t want anywhere near your fantasy roster.  Not very toolsy, but oozing with baseball acumen.  You know the type.  He’ll likely make the Nats as a utility infielder, but shouldn’t see regular time unless Danny Espinosa or Ian Desmond goes down to injury.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Anthony Rendon | 3B:

The sixth overall selection in the 2011 draft, Rendon signed late and is yet to make his pro debut.  He brings a polished approach to hitting and is discussed in the same light as Evan Longoria and David Wright.  Washington will be careful with him at first; a strained throwing shoulder hampered him in his final season at Rice.  Rendon has a Major League contract so he’ll be in camp with the big club this spring, but I expect him to make his pro debut in Potomac.  The Nats may have to consider shifting him to second base while Zimmerman holds down third.

Pitchers

Matt Purke | LHP – SP:

Purke signed too late to gain any professional experience last year, but he has the potential to climb quickly through the Washington farm system.  The lefty went 16-0 with Texas Christian in 2010, but didn’t pitch in 2011 due to a shoulder ailment.  The condition didn’t require surgery, and the Nationals feel they got a steal in drafting Purke in the third round last June.  Until he proves his health on the mound, it’s fair to be skeptical, but Purke is armed with a filthy fastball-slider combo, and projects as a frontline starter.

Cole Kimball | RHP – RP:

Kimball was off to a nice start to his Major League career before his season was cut short to injury.  In 12 appearances with the Nats, the righty posted a 1.93 ERA.  This was after Kimball put up a 0.00 ERA in 12 appearances as the closer in Syracuse.  Rotator-cuff surgery is cause for concern, but the Nationals hope to have Kimball back in their bullpen for the second half.

Sammy Solis | LHP – SP:

Solis projects as a mid-rotation, innings eating type.  His repertoire features a mid-90′s fastball with movement, a decent curve, and a work-in-progress changeup.  Solis posted a 2.72 ERA in 10 starts at High-A to round out his 2011. He’ll ride that momentum into Harrisburg for 2012 and could progress quickly from there, given his solid mechanics and fundamental approach.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (15) | 2010 (2) | 2009 (1) | 2008 (4) | 2007 (28) | 2006 (16)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [96-66] AL West

AAA: [87-57] Pacific Coast League – Round Rock

AA: [79-61] Texas League – Frisco

A+: [72-67] Carolina League – Myrtle Beach

A: [79-58] South Atlantic League – Hickory

A(ss): [35-41] Northwest League – Spokane

The Run Down

Being that we’re discussing fantasy baseball here, I feel compelled to focus on the measurables of the players I highlight, and justifiably so; the game we’re playing is based entirely on these calculable elements, after all.  This group of Rangers prospects, however, is difficult to calculate.  We’re dealing with a first-year guy out of Japan, a second-year guy out of Cuba, an 18-year-old, and a handful of promising arms who’ve yet to pan out, production-wise.  There are, of course, some exceptions.  Both Mike Olt and Jurickson Profar impressed in A-ball.  Neil Ramirez had nice marks, too, and De Los Santos struck out, like, everyone.  But for the most part, the numbers here aren’t the attraction.  The potential is the attraction.  That’s not to suggest that I’m not excited about these Texas Rangers prospects.  Actually, I really look forward to tracking this system and I believe it’ll produce significant fantasy value in years to come – 2012 included.

Arizona Fall League Players – Surprise Saguaros

Miguel De Los Santos (RHP); Ryan Kelly (RHP); Neil Ramirez (RHP); Johan Yan (RHP); Elio Sarmiento (C); Leury Garcia (SS); Mike Olt (3B); Ryan Strausborger (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Craig Gentry (OF); Yoshinori Tateyama (RHP)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Leonys Martin | OF:

Martin played at four levels in 2011, from rookie ball to MLB.  The 23-year-old Cuban will be competing for the Rangers’ center field job this spring.  If he wins the job, his immediate value will be mostly defensive.  The Rangers are confident he’ll blossom into a quality leadoff hitter, but I haven’t seen enough to endorse that sentiment.  Certainly keep an eye on him this spring.

Pitchers

Yu Darvish | RHP – SP:

Grey offers his thoughts on Darvish here.  Erik, too, has posted regarding Yu.  Hype abounds.  Darvish won’t go cheaply, but he’ll be very productive for fantasy purposes.  I’m intrigued.  I think I’ll be in on the bidding.

Martin Perez | LHP – SP:

Perez features three plus offerings, including a mid-90′s fastball, a changeup and a curve.  Command, it seems, is the only thing holding the 20-year-old back at this point.  After struggling in 10 Triple-A starts last season, Perez is in line to return to Round Rock for 2012.  The Rangers have pushed him along rather quickly thus far, and there’s no reason to believe they won’t continue to do so.  Provided he shows improved consistency, he’ll be a nice candidate for a midseason call up.

Neil Ramirez | RHP – SP:

While his stuff isn’t quite as impressive as Perez’s, Ramirez might be a safer option if the Rangers need a starter at any point.  His command is Major League-ready and he’s added a changeup to his repertoire.  Texas might choose to use him in their bullpen to begin with, but Ramirez projects as a mid-rotation starter.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Jurickson Profar | SS:

At 18 years old, Profar is very young, but he’s a guy you’ll want to keep an eye on as he climbs the ladder.  With 57 XBH in 516 trips to the plate in 2011, it’s clear that he’s ready for High-A, perhaps more.  It’ll be interesting to see how the Rangers handle Profar’s development, with Elvis Andrus occupying shortstop for the foreseeable future.  Regarded as a top-ten overall prospect, Jurickson is a name to remember.

Mike Olt | 3B:

Here’s another guy who is currently blocked at his natural position.  With Adrian Beltre holding down third, Olt, too, is in line for a position change if he is to arrive in Texas any time soon.  Perhaps more likely, the Rangers will look to use Olt as trade-bait.  In which case, the 23-year-old could be manning 3^rd for a team like the Cubs come August.

Pitchers

Tanner Scheppers | RHP – RP:

Scheppers features a filthy fastball that touches 100, but his command has struggled along the way and there are health concerns.  With his stuff, though, he’s not far from the Major League bullpen.  Unfortunately, the Rangers have quite a few impressive arms ahead of him in their pen.  Fantasy relevance is a ways away at this point.

Miguel De Los Santos | LHP – SP:

A 13.5 K/9 in 2011 is certainly worth noting.  A 5.04 ERA is less so.  He needs to maintain command of his fastball if he is to be effective at higher levels, but ridiculous strikeout numbers stand out.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (15) | 2010 (26) | 2009 (25) | 2008 (11) | 2007 (4) | 2006 (4)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [86-76] AL West

AAA: [62-82] Pacific Coast League – Salt Lake

AA: [68-69] Texas League – Arkansas

A+: [69-71] California League – Inland Empire

A: [61-68] Midwest League – Cedar Rapids

R: [46-30] Pioneer League – Orem

The Run Down

Unfortunately for the likes of Mike Trout and Garret Richards, the Angels spent big this offseason, and in turn, they seem to have clogged up any prospect throughways.  Barring injury, I don’t see much opportunity in 2012 for this Los Angeles farm system.  Trout is a top overall prospect and anyone drafting in keepers should definitely consider him.  Richards will compete for the fifth starter role, and there are a handful of arms who could get a chance in the bullpen, but beyond that, there isn’t much fantasy relevance just yet.  Looking a little further ahead, the Angels’ system could yield quite a bit of fantasy production, as Trout and Richards settle into regular roles along with Jean Segura and 2010 first-rounder, Kaleb Cowart.

Arizona Fall League Players – Scottsdale Scorpions

David Carpenter (RHP); Chris Scholl (RHP); Daniel Tillman (RHP); Jean Segura (SS); Mike Trout (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Mark Trumbo (1B); Hank Conger (C)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Mike Trout | OF:

Quoting Grey Albright: “I’m afraid to report to you, Mike Trout’s not seeing time until 2013.  My Mike Trout 2012 fantasy is missing one caveat — what happens if they sign Albert Effin’ Pujols?  My guess is their outfield is gonna be Hunter, Bourjos and Wells with Abreu platooning in the outfield and at DH […] To recap for fantasy, Pujols is fine, Bourjos is fine, Trumbo is fine if he can play 3rd which seems unlikely, Kendrys is fine if he’s healthy, Abreu is not fine, Mike Trout is not fine.”  After the Pujols acquisition, the Angels appear too crowded accommodate a promotion for their top prospect.  Trout skipped Triple-A entirely and he won’t be 21 ‘til August, so keeping him back seems justifiable.

Alexi Amarista | 2B:

Amarista collected 33 XBH in 396 PA at Triple-A and stole 15 bags along the way.  He’s a slick-fielding second baseman and he’s hit fairly well at every level, aside from a small sample in the bigs.  He shows occasional gap power, but he needs to develop more patience at the plate before he’s ready to contribute in the majors.  Amarista should return to Salt Lake to begin 2012, as the Angels are well equipped at middle infield.

Jeremy Moore | OF:

Moore has the tools, but he’ll need to improve vastly on his plate discipline.  His 4.6 BB% at Triple-A is concerning, but if he can improve on that, he could make a nice third or fourth outfielder down the road.  Moore has 15-20 potential and the Angels have an aging outfield.  Do keep an eye on him.

Pitchers

Garrett Richards | RHP – SP:

Richards’ numbers at Double-A weren’t overly impressive, but in 143 IP he did manage a 3.15 ERA and surrendered just 10 homers.  He earned a late season call up but was forgettable in seven appearances (three starts).  Richards throws a mid-90s fastball, a 12-6 curve, and an occasional changeup.  He’ll need to improve the change before he can truly be effective at the Major League level, but Richards will likely compete for starts at some point this year.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Jean Segura | SS/2B: 

Segura’s development has been slowed by injury, but he’s produced while healthy.  Stephen’s outlook a year ago still holds, although it seems Segura is in line to begin in Double-A this year.

Pitchers

John Hellweg | RHP – SP/RP:

Hellweg posted a 2.12 ERA as a starter in the hitter-friendly California League.  The 6-9 23-year-old throws fastball in the high 90s and counters with a low 80s slider.  The combination draws plenty of strikeouts.  He’ll begin 2012 in Arkansas, but he’ll rise quickly if his dominance continues.

Dan Tillman | RHP – RP:

Tillman sports a similarly devastating fastball-slider combo to Hellweg, however he projects more as a late innings reliever than as a starter.  Perhaps the system’s most promising relief arm, Tillman is a non-roster invitee to big league camp, but he’ll likely begin 2012 in the minors.  Should the Angels’ pen need help at any point, he’ll be among the first considered.

Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America:

2011 (16) | 2010 (14) | 2009 (27) | 2008 (18) | 2007 (18) | 2006 (15)

2011 Affiliate Records

MLB: [71-91] NL Central

AAA: [66-77] Pacific Coast League – Iowa

AA: [83-57] Southern League – Tennessee

A+: [76-61] Florida State League – Daytona

A: [60-79] Midwest League – Peoria

A(ss): [36-40] Northwest League – Boise

The Run Down

The Cubs’ MLB-ready talent doesn’t extend too far beyond Anthony Rizzo and Brett Jackson.  A few relief prospects and a backup catcher could crack the big league roster, but there aren’t a slew of guys here who are ready to contribute in the majors.  Even so, Rizzo and Jackson alone are sufficient to generate fantasy buzz.  And behind them, the Cubs have youthful types like Matt Szczur, Javier Baez and Dillon Maples.

Of all their additions this offseason, none is more important than Theo.   The Cubs are finally setting smart, long-term goals through emphasizing scouting and player development.  They’ve partnered with Bloomberg Sports, who will develop custom information systems and support data-driven decision-making.  They’re dumping Major League dead weight and they’re building from within.  They seem to be heading in the right direction.

Arizona Fall League Players – Mesa Solar Sox

Jeff Beliveau (LHP); Chris Carpenter (RHP); Andrew Cashner (RHP); Marcus Hatley (RHP); Trey McNutt (RHP); Junior Lake (SS); D.J. LeMahieu (2B); Josh Vitters (OF); Brett Jackson (OF)

Graduated Prospects

Darwin Barney (2B); Tony Campana (OF)

Players of Interest

Hitters

Brett Jackson | OF:

Although Soriano and Byrd remain, it seems only a matter of time before one (or both) is shipped elsewhere, making room for Jackson in the Chicago outfield.  Grey previews Jackson here.  It’s a great write-up mostly because of the dong joke (dong jokes get me every time), but I tend to agree with the non-dong-related content.  I just used the word “dong” four times while discussing Brett Jackson.  That places me second all-time behind Phil Rogers.

Anthony Rizzo | 1B:

Grey discusses Donkey Kong Jr.’s 2012 outlook here.  Rizzo, of course, now has a new team, a new ballpark and new teammates.  Long-term, the new environment certainly helps Rizzo.  But for 2012, I don’t think much needs to be changed from Grey’s projection, although 25 homers is probably a fair assessment, now.  Rizzo will likely begin 2012 in Iowa.  Bryan LaHair will hold his place in Chicago in the meantime.  I expect Rizzo up by midseason.

Welington Castillo | C:

There’s a good chance he’ll serve as Geovany Soto’s backup in 2012.  .238 ISO at Triple-A in 2011 reflects nice pop for a catcher, even in the PCL.  Soto, like many other Cubs regulars, is a trade candidate and Castillo would step into a starting role should a trade occur.  He’ll be worth adding across all formats if he’s ever getting regular AB’s.

Pitchers

Rafael Dolis | RHP – RP:

I suspect that Theo will, at some point, be shopping Marmol.  That is, if he isn’t already.  And if the Cubs are so lucky to unload their closer, Dolis seems like a good candidate to take on the role, as his high 90s sinking fastball can be utterly unhittable.  He’ll likely start 2012 at Triple-A where he’ll work on secondary pitches and overall command, but he’ll be up before long.

Chris Carpenter | RHP – RP:

Carpenter is a power righty who projects as a setup man.  When his command is with him, he’s tough to hit, but he has struggled in that regard.  Carpenter is pretty much a two-pitch guy with a high 90s fastball and high 80s slider.  He should be ready to join the Cubs bullpen full-time in 2012.

Honorable Mention

Hitters

Josh Vitters | 3B/1B:

Vitters moderate improvement at Double-A in 2011, slashing .283/.322/.448.  But it’s still hardly the production that the Cubs would like to see out of their 3^rd overall pick in 2007.  At just 22, there is still time for him to polish his tools and start progressing, but he’ll need to begin doing so quickly.

Pitchers

Trey McNutt | RHP – SP:

McNutt struggled at Tennessee in 2011 and is probably in for a return to Double-A in 2012.  For a power pitcher with a plus fastball and plus curve, it’s concerning that his strikeout ratios aren’t at all impressive (6.2 K/9 in 2011).  A prospect with this kind of stuff shouldn’t be ignored, however.  If he can improve his command, the ratios will fall in line and he could find himself pitching at Wrigley come September.

Jay Jackson | RHP – SP:

Jackson’s had a rough couple of years at Triple-A, but the Cubs haven’t yet lost faith.  An initiative of Epstein’s has been to glean his rotation from a hoard of Major League-caliber pitching.  Jackson still has the stuff to be included in that hoard.