This is part of a two-part series designed to help Fantasy Baseball fans determine on what fantasy rankings and projections to rely. The first part covered Rankings. The second part will cover Projections. The methodology for the test relies on comparing Razzball Commenter League team drafts (576 teams in 2012 across 48 12-Team MLB leagues using ESPN’s default 5×5 format) and their end of season point totals. Background on the methodology can be found here.
Please, blog, may I have some more?Rudy Gamble
This is part of a two-part series designed to help Fantasy Baseball fans determine on what fantasy rankings and projections to rely. The first part will cover Rankings. The second part will cover Projections. The methodology for the test relies on comparing Razzball Commenter League team drafts (576 teams in 2012 across 48 12-Team MLB leagues using ESPN’s default 5×5 format) and their end of season point totals. Background on the methodology can be found here.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
There has been a lot of interest on the site and in the forums involving streaming pitchers. As many of you know, I value SP more than the average drafter but I am not completely averse to streaming – particularly on teams in shallower league formats (10-12 MLB) with small benches and when I have lost SPs to injury (like RCL where Beachy and Colby are toast).
Please, blog, may I have some more?
For the ‘season to date’ Fantasy Baseball Player Rater (everything except the ‘Last 7 day’ and ‘Last 20 day’), I’ve made a methodology change that improves the Point Share accuracy of AVG, ERA, and WHIP.
As some of you may know, creating Point Shares requires that I create a ‘rostered universe’ for each league format – e.g., I think these 18 2nd basemen would be rostered in a 12-team mixed league.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
We’ve added two new data grids to our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater to help you identify streaking hitters/pitchers (streaking in the non-Ferrellian sense):
Hot Hitters : This has hitting stats for the past 20 days of all hitters with 1+ AB. Besides your typical 5×5 stats, it includes BABIP, OBP, OPS, SLG, and K%. Players are ranked in descending order of their ‘Heat Index’ which is calculated using a mix of Hits, Runs, HRs, RBI, SBs, and ABs. Each player is indexed against the 156th most valuable hitter for the period (156 hitters are active on a given day in a 12-team league). While it isn’t possible for us to know if he’s available or not in your league, we provide pre-season and in-season $ estimates (based on 12 team 5×5 ESPN rosters) – the higher those values, the more likely a player is already owned.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
With great pride and bland post titling, I’d like to announce a Beta release of our fantasy baseball in-season player rater as well as two charts that highlight the differences between pitcher FIP vs. ERA and batter BABIP vs. AVG.
The player rater work is an adaptation of the Point Shares methodology I’ve used the last couple of years for pre-season and post-season player estimates.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
Over the past 2 years, Grey and I have had several conversations around joining a high-stakes baseball league. We are intrigued by the NFBC but our math keeps suggesting that their rake is too high (e.g., I calculated a 20% rake on the $150 slow draft).
Please, blog, may I have some more?
In a previous post, I laid out a methodology for testing fantasy baseball player rankings/auction values and all the components involved in projecting player values. I got feedback from some smart folks that didn’t ‘get’ the test. Since the common variable in that equation was me, I’m going to try explaining it one more time before I jump into the results of my test across 14 player rankings across 12 sources (2 f0r ESPN & Razzball) + the Average Draft Position (ADP) for the 456 (38 leagues of 12 teams) Razzball Commenter Leagues participants.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
As we mentioned earlier this month, we created an ‘expert’ league that follows the same rules as the Razzball Commenter League and will be included in the master standings. Will the Expert League reign supreme (Iron ChefTM) in competitive index or will several RCL leagues put the experts in their place?
Please, blog, may I have some more?
One of the biggest challenges facing the fantasy baseball fanatic is how to value and rank players. This is felt most acutely during draft season when nearly every fantasy sports site/expert has their own Top 200/300 rankings and each manager has to decide which source(s) to believe. This challenge is also felt – albeit to a lesser extent – during the season when managers are looking for a ‘player rater’ to determine trade values.
Please, blog, may I have some more?
