This post might only be for those in the back of the room who aren’t paying attention to things like BABIP.  It’s all right with me.  I ain’t mad at cha.  In fact, it makes my job easier.  Most people are gonna know going into 2011 that Aaron Hill was crazy unlucky last year.  Like, for reals.  His BABIP was .196, eighty-eight points off his career BABIP of .288.  That career BABIP is also factoring in his Murphy Law-esque 2010, before that it was above .300.  But as Ernest Hemingway once said, “You make your own luck.”  I’m guessing he said that before he killed himself.  Or in Hill’s case, you make your own unlucky.  His fly balls went through the roof (not literally, I don’t think) with the percentage going from 41% to 54.2%.  His line drives went from 19.6% to 10.6%.  When you hit more fly balls, more fielders catch the ball.  Hit more line drives and you get more hits.  See how that could affect your average?  Okay, I know too many numbers make your eyes heavy so I’ll get to the nuts.  What can we expect of Aaron Hill in 2011 fantasy baseball and what makes him a fantasy sleeper?

Please, blog, may I have some more?

After April 14th, if you take out one start in Fenway and two starts in The House They Built Next To The House That Ruth Built, Brandon Morrow posts a line of 9-4/2.97/1.21/146 in 121 1/3 IP.  And if Tom Cruise were taller, he could see the top of Katie Holmes’ head.  And if I were 14-years-old, I’d be gettin’ slizzard in a G6.  Or at least a vague understanding of what the hell that means.  The fact is Morrow’s final line was 10-7/4.49/1.38/178, but if you’re rolling with Blue Jay pitchers, don’t you bench them vs.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

I take this not-paying-actual-money job way too seriously.  If I tell you a guy is a 2011 fantasy baseball sleeper, it could mean anywhere from he’s not even worth drafting in 12 team leagues to he’s a nice name to look in the 10th round of 10 team leagues that could give you 5th round value.  With that said, I don’t want to tell you to go after Mariner hitters.  I really don’t.  Be aware that it pains me.  It hurts me soul, Lupe Fiasco.  But here we are — you, me and Justin Smoak.  He arrived on the scene when the Rangers could no longer handle watching Bill James sob every time Chris Davis walked to plate and back to the dugout after 3 pitches.  Smoak had Ranger fans no longer asking, “Where’d Davis go and all his strikeouts?” Instead, he had them asking, “Who’s this new guy that strikes out just as much?”  Tis true, boo.  Smoak was just as frustrating and didn’t get much better when he was traded to the Mariners.  So what can we expect of Justin Smoak for 2011 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Please, blog, may I have some more?