It’s always good to look at spring training numbers to give you an idea what you can expect from guys during the season. They’re facing the top pitchers who are all displaying their best stuff. No one needs time to get warmed up. No one’s trying new pitches or getting a feel for the ball. They are at the height of their game in March. In fact, I think someone should propose to Bud that the World Series could easily be played in March. Yes, The March Classic. I like how that sounds. Since these spring training numbers mean so much, I decided to look at some players in March:
Sean Rodriguez – Has 6 homers while batting .460. Forget Sean-Rod, how about Wow-Rod?! Am I right or am I right-right?! Please, blog, may I have some more?
I could probably draft a team of these starters, who are drafted after the 150 mark in mock drafts, and win your league’s pitching stats. In this post last year was Jonathan Sanchez, Cueto, Colby Lewis, Tim Hudson, Jorge de la Rosa, Clay Buchholz, David Price, Gio Gonzalez, Mat Latos and Ian Kennedy. I had those guys on multiple teams. I don’t say this to brag, but I’m really good at targeting starters to, um, target. Well, I’m good with hitters too, but starters I’m really good. I’d like to say it’s because I’m smart, but since I’m sorta dumb I’m not sure what it is. Maybe I’m an idiot savant, who I believe was Doug Savant’s cousin that had a walk-on part on Melrose Place, the Original. And with all of that said, you should still draft a starter or two before you see any of these names on the top of your draft list. Well, you know what to do from my top 20 starters for 2011 fantasy baseball. It’s good to have a safe starter or two before you go upside. In the immortal words of some drunk carny, “I don’t need the net under the trapeze but I want it there.” There’s also a pitchers pairings post to help you along with your staff. That’s what she said! Wait, what? Anyway, here’s some starters to target in your 2011 fantasy baseball drafts:
Ricky Romero - Whenever I hear his name, I always want to sing The Batdance by Prince and replace Vicki Vale with Ricky Romero. Never the hoo! I love that Romero’s K-rate has been steadily climbing the past few years and think it continues to rise. There’s going to be some moments during the season when you’re gonna get sonavabenched by him and other moments when you’re gonna wish you benched him vs. Please, blog, may I have some more?
And, yes, that’s bad as in bad not bad as in good. They don’t have Ryan Howard down in the thirties like some ESPN schmohawks. They didn’t drop Miggy out of the first round because he’s a bit of a tippler only to move him back a week later. They don’t overrate Carl Crawford, they don’t underrate Jose Reyes, they don’t drink with their pinkies out. Sure, Funston looks like Tim Curry in his profile pic and Brad Evans is wearing nurse’s scrubs, but at least they’re not telling you four starters should be drafted in the first 22 picks. When you compare my 2011 fantasy baseball rankings to theirs, you find lots of overlap. Maybe when Pianowski was hovering past my window in a hot air balloon it wasn’t just to test out his leather cap’s wind resistance as he said, but maybe he was spying on my picks. Your guess = my guess. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Zack Greinke fractured his rib while playing basketball. Word is he jumped from the free throw line and tried to dunk over the Brewers’ 2011 expectations. Prince Fielder would’ve missed the shot before looking bad. Since we just drafted Gallardo, I’m glad he doesn’t play hoops with Yovani. Greinke will miss 3 starts, so take him from 220 IP to 200 IP or the equivalent of 3 rounds, or $20 to $16 in 12 team mixed leagues. (BTW, Point Shares for AL-Only and NL-Only have been added.) In my top 20 starters for 2011 fantasy baseball post, I was already pretty realistic (read: not crazy optimistic) with Greinke so I’m not changing my projections or ranking. I.e., I do what I do, you do what you do and together we do what we do. Anyway, here’s some more news for fantasy baseball:
Corey Hart – Was already avoiding him in all leagues this year and now he has a sharp pain by his strained oblique. I wouldn’t touch him with your team. Hart’s hoping his trip to the doctor can figure out what ails him. Never surrender, Corey Hart! Please, blog, may I have some more?
Even if you draft one or two outfielders in the top 100 (which you should), you’ll still need to identify some late bargains. The top 20, 40, 60 and 80 outfielders for 2011 fantasy baseball can be found under the 2011 fantasy baseball rankings. This is by no means all the outfielders I’d draft for one of my teams. This is a list of guys that will go after the top 200 and could provide some healthy returns. Where applicable, click on the player’s name to read more about them and to see their 2011 projections. Anyway, here’s some outfielders to target for 2011 fantasy baseball:
Julio Borbon – I don’t want to toot my own horn — well, actually I do, but can’t reach — but last year this outfielder to target post had Bruce, Rasmus, Corey Hart, Jason Heyward, Austin Jackson and Julio Borbon. Okay, Borbon was a year too early. Fair enough, fair enough. What makes Borbon enticing is his potential for 5 to 7 homers and 20 to 30 steals. The parade rain is his potential to sit on the bench and watch David Murphy play. One injury to the Rangers outfield — that could never happen with Hamilton and Cruz! Please, blog, may I have some more?
Domonic Brown is set to have surgery today and will be out for 4-6 weeks. At least that’s what the Phillies are saying. Brown is missing crucial time to get up to speed for the upcoming season, so he’s going to need time in the minors once he’s recovered. The hamate bone injury also causes hitters to lose power when they return, for up to a year later. So maybe Domonic Brown comes back healthy in May. And maybe Jessica Alba likes mustaches and I have a chance. Put your maybes in a time capsule and someone in hundred years will open it and say, “Um, who cares?” He was only a 12/14 hitter to begin with. Now, what do you get? 8/10? Sounds like Chris Denorfia. Chris Denorfia wasn’t that interesting when I dated a person by the same name in high school and they went by Christine. You really don’t want a piece now. Anyway, here’s some more news for fantasy baseball:
Ben Francisco – Will take over for Domonic Brown. Just draft Francisco late for a 15/15 type season and hope he stays in the lineup even when Brown is healthy. Basically, Francisco’s going to give you what you should’ve been expecting from Brown without all the sexy-time spinning tassels. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Welcome to the 3rd annual stab at highlighting the riskiest pitcher propositions in fantasy baseball. I say ‘stab’ because I can’t claim success just yet. It’s easier to do that when you don’t compare your results against any baseline (like Mr. Please, blog, may I have some more?
This post is not meant to scream fire in the theater of Razzball. I’m not saying don’t draft these guys. I’m not unfriending them. I would hide all of their stupid Mafia Wars updates. I’m just saying you need to be aware of certain concerns that I’ve kept to myself about these players. I’m unburdening myself. My shrink says it’s good for me. I still like these players; I just want you to have the whole picture. Anyway, here’s some concerns for 2011 fantasy baseball:
Troy Tulowitzki – Concern: Injury. Sure, his previous injuries were of the fluky nature, but his 1st halfs make Te(i)x seem like a year-round performer. In 2009, he hit .254 in the 1st half. In 2008, he hit .166. In 2010, he hit 18 homers in August and September. A lot of you fantasy baseballers (<–my mom’s term!) who play in roto are thinking, “It’s cool, doode. Just get me the stats.” That’s you. Yeah, but it’s not cool when you’re out of the running in August because your first round pick is hitting .260 with ten homers. “You’re right. Not cool, doode.” That’s you again. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Chris Carpenter left yesterday’s spring training game with a strained hammy. That sounds delicious! Unless, of course, you’ve drafted him already. Then you’re like, “Jesus, Carpenter!” But you shouldn’t have drafted him already. You really shouldn’t draft until the last possible second in March. You don’t want to lose your league before the season even starts, that’s not fun/fair. Not to mention, I wouldn’t draft Carpenter. I don’t trust him to stay healthy, even if recent history tells us I should. I also don’t walk on the sidewalk cracks and sometimes check to make sure my door is locked seven times before leaving. Hey, no one’s perfect. The Cardinals say Carpenter will be fine in ten days or so. I still say stay away. Older pitcher coming off a 235 IP season who is already hurting? I’m okay without that. BTW, if you found this site by searching Google for “Jesus + Carpenter + what do Cardinals say?” you’re in the wrong place. Sorry. Anyway, here’s some more news for fantasy baseball:
Grady Sizemore – Won’t be ready until the middle of April. Hopefully he’s taking this extra time to pose for some more nudie pictures of himself. “Oh, darn, I got something on my pants. Maybe I should remove them.” That’s Grady playing coy, the only playing he’s been doing lately. Please, blog, may I have some more?