Ervin Santana is likely headed to the DL and we hate to be the ones to say, “I told you so,” but we did. We told you 20 risky pitchers to be careful of for 2009 fantasy baseball.  Rudy said this about Ervin Santana, “Santana bounced back from a Homeschooled 2007 (1-10, 8.38 ERA on road) to have a career year in 2008.  He’s maintained steady pitch counts the last 3 years but his growing over-reliance on his slider (21% in ‘06 to 33% in ‘08) and near-abandoning of the changeup (9.6% to 3.9%) make him a riskier than average proposition in 2009.”  And that’s me quoting Rudy!  If you’ve drafted Ervin already, Rudy put the kavorka on you.  To reverse the hex, you need a buzzard’s wing, seven bottles of Tabasco, a beetle and a solid three other starters.

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We have posted the 2009 Point Shares for 10 team and 12 team leagues under ‘2009 Fantasy Baseball Rankings‘ in the top navigation menu.  Point Shares are the estimated difference in an average fantasy team’s points if they were to substitute a given player for the average player at his position.  For example, David Wright’s 6.64 Point Shares means he is worth 6.6 points more to the average team than an average 3B (closest player to ‘average 3B’ is Kevin Youkilis).  Point Shares are estimated for each statistical category – Wright’s points are broken out as:  1.5 Runs, 0.9 HRs, 1.7 RBI, 1.1 SB, and 1.4 AVG.

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Rob Neyer put Torre’s potential lineup as this:

(S) Rafael Furcal, SS
(R) Russell Martin, C
(L) Andre Ethier, RF
(R) Manny Ramirez, LF
(L) James Loney, 1B
(R) Matt Kemp, CF
(S) Orlando Hudson, 2B
(R) Casey Blake, 3B

That, folks, is not a long shot.  Torre loves lefty-righty combos like I love Pepperoni Combos.  Damon, Jeter, Abreu, A-Rod…  Always separated guys like O’Neill and Tino Martinez.  This is how Bernie Williams became a #4 hitter.  So let’s assume the above lineup is what it is.  Matt Kemp is now your 2009 Los Angeles City of Los Angeles Dodgers number six hitter.  How does this effect him for fantasy baseball?

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There’s no Reyes, Rollins or Hanley on this list of shortstops.  This list is guys that can be had later in your drafts if you’ve punted shortstop or still are looking for a middle infielder.  Look at this as a supplement to the top 20 shortstops of 2009 fantasy baseball list.  If you’re feeling especially industrious, click on the players name to read more about them or to see their 2009 projections.  Anyway, here’s some shortstops to target for 2009 fantasy baseball:

Ryan Theriot/Jason Bartlett – Exactly the kind of late-round shortstop you should be targeting when you’re feeling light on speed.  They’d be a nice MI complement if you had Hardy as your shortstop.  And if you get scooped on Theriot, just grab Bartlett.

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Hey, I’m drafting my fantasy baseball team on March 4th and I got the first pick!  Woo-Hoo!  I got A-Rod! Sorry, random italicized voice, you’re going to need to rethink some things.  There’s some injury news.  The 2009 fantasy baseball rankings have been updated.  A-Rod is no longer your number one fantasy baseball pick for 2009.  Hanley Ramirez is currently wearing the laurels and being fitted for the toga.  A-Rod’s hip surgery will have him out until May.  So what does this do for A-Rod for 2009 fantasy baseball?

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I’m not going to point out Brian McCann or Mauer or any other catchers you or your leaguemates will be looking at in the first 10 rounds.  Here are some catchers that I will be targeting at my 2009 fantasy drafts after the top options are gone.  I’m also not going to get into the strategy of punting catchers.  Been there, half-drunkenly wrote that.  Click on the player’s name where applicable to  read more and see their 2009 projections.  This is a supplement to the top 20 catchers of 2009 fantasy baseball.  Anyway, here’s some catchers to target for 2009 fantasy baseball:

Pablo Sandoval – I have his 2009 projections as 60/14/65/.300.  I think he can get to 17+ home runs without losing anything on the average side.  He’s not as appealing to me as a 3rd baseman or a swimsuit model.

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I already went over a Josh Hamilton overrated post, but I guess people were off reading his inspirational autobiography, “Baseball Between the Lines.”  So I brought out the pirated Photoshop for a quick, “Don’t make me come back there!”  Okay, this wonky .jpg is a bastardized Hype Cycle.  If you don’t know what a Hype Cycle is, it’s because you didn’t go to Harvard.  Don’t worry, neither did I.  If I had, you would’ve heard about it a gazillion times.  A hype cycle is this thingamaboob that tells you the life cycle of hype for certain technologies.  Or technologiez, if you’re under 14.  Now I took this thingamaboob and I reinvented it for Josh Hamilton and the schmohawkian hype that is following him around as we head toward your 2009 fantasy baseball draft day.  So let’s break down this Josh Hamilton fantasy baseball .jpeg-a-roo-ski into the different stages of hype, shall we?

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