Yeah, Cliff Lee dips:

Composite numbers come out to about this: 12-8/4.68/1.43/130

According to every noteworthy fantasy expert. Not simply us (we’re not that egotistical). Rudy goes over this stuff pretty in-depth, but you can start here for a primer:

http://razzball.com/espn-player-rater-did-they-listen-to-rudy/

Does this mean Lee cannot break out because no one saw it coming? No, it doesn’t. It just means there’s less of a chance.

http://razzball.com/top-twenty-1st-basemen-for-2008/

Maybe bump the home runs up to 35. It’s still very early in the year.

Thanks for talking me down on Brown.

I want to trade away Lee. I ended up making an offer to a Ryan Howard owner to give Lee + Loney and get back Hunter. I’m sure they’re still going to want to play Howard everyday but it might make em feel good to have a solid backup.

I’m just nervous that Lee is about to dip here – obviously he can’t maintain this pace but you have new projections for him?

You’re trying to trade *for* Lee right now? Couldn’t you find a guy that’s slightly less hot? At this point you probably have to trade a 2nd OF. His price tag would be way too high right now. If you are selling Lee, then you should be asking for a 2nd OF. Krispie, Manny, Bay, Mags, Torrii, etc. I’m not sure if I fully understood your question, so I hope this helps.

And (regardless of if you think buy/sell/hold) – what kind of OF would you reasonably think could be traded for him right now? … ideally someone with some speed but whatever.

Oh, and since I have you on the line – if I’m the kind of guy that asks about trading for OFs… does that mean I’m also the kind of guy that should be picking up Emil Brown?

As far as the 6-team league, yeah, it is pretty silly. My bro-in-law wanted me to join it so i did.. it’s pretty lame.

re: Lopez — he hit .245 in May last year and .213 post-All-Star break. I know you bleed blue and teal, but the Mariners aren’t really an offensive juggernaut in an offensive stadium. I don’t even think anyone would buy Lopez, but if they would, I’d be selling quickfast.

Other than the 16-teamer we’re in together I’m in a little 6-team 5×5 and Fausto Carmona just hit waivers. I currently have Aaron Harang, Felix Hernandez, Erik Bedard, C.C. Sabathia, Daisuke Matsuzaka and Yovani Gallardo on my team. Since it’s only 6-teams everyone makes the playoffs (lame) so I’m looking for people that will be good to go later on, not necessarily hot right now (which is why I traded for CC and I’m trying to get Verlander on the cheap as well). Is Fausto worth dropping any of the guys I mentioned? I’m thinking no, but when a name like that hits waivers it makes you think about it harder than you probably should.

The only thing to beware of is the 2nd half dropoff.

Garko has more power potential. Say 70/30/100/.275

Quentin has Butler’s eye, bit more power and ten steal speed. He also comes with a way more risk. He has not put together good numbers in the majors over any extended period of time. For roto (which is all we care about right?), Quentin’s a better player, but not safe. Butler’s the safest, but also the one with the least upside for this year.

Want risk? Quentin. Want safe? Butler — Want a bit of both — Garko. Hope this helps.

He’s Velez little brother. Or medium-sized brother. He’s another all-speed, can’t hit a lick type. I would go a $2 in NL-only if you need speed and $1 in mixed if your sporting Burrell and Stairs on your team (or some pair of the ilk).